Analysis Farmers & Merchants Bancshares, Inc. (FMBN)
5/31/2024
Analysis of Farmers & Merchants Bancshares, Inc. (FMBN)
Farmers & Merchants Bancshares, Inc. (FMBN) has shown consistent closing prices around $22.50 over the past few days. The Relative Strength Index (RSI) is indicating overbought conditions with a value of around 78.66, suggesting a potential reversal in the stock price.The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) indicator is positive, with the MACD line above the signal line and a positive MACD histogram. This indicates bullish momentum in the stock.
The Moving Average (MA) indicator is showing values around 21.05, which is close to the current closing price, indicating a possible support level.
Overall, based on the technical indicators, FMBN seems to be in a bullish phase with potential for a price reversal due to the overbought RSI. Traders and investors may want to monitor the stock closely for any signs of a trend reversal.
Cash Flow 💶
This is the cash flow statement. Here are some conclusions we can draw from the data:1. The company's free cash flow has been fluctuating over the years, with the highest value recorded in 2022 and the lowest in 2020.
2. Operating cash flow has been relatively stable over the years, indicating consistent operational performance.
3. The company has been consistently paying interest and income taxes, with varying amounts each year.
4. The end cash position has also been fluctuating, reaching its highest value in 2020.
5. Financing activities show significant variability, with large amounts being spent on common stock repurchase and debt issuance and payments.
6. Investing activities also vary, with significant amounts being spent on the sale and purchase of investments, as well as capital expenditures.
7. Overall, the company's financial activities show a mix of stability in operations and variability in financing and investing decisions.
Earnings estimate
The analysts' estimates for future quarterly and annual earnings per share are as follows:1. Current Quarter (as of June 30, 2024):
- Average Estimate: $1.33
- Low Estimate: $1.27
- High Estimate: $1.36
- Year Ago EPS: $1.26
- Number of Analysts: 26
2. Next Quarter (as of September 30, 2024):
- Average Estimate: $1.53
- Low Estimate: $1.44
- High Estimate: $1.63
- Year Ago EPS: $1.46
- Number of Analysts: 25
3. Current Year (as of September 30, 2024):
- Average Estimate: $6.59
- Low Estimate: $6.43
- High Estimate: $6.92
- Year Ago EPS: $6.13
- Number of Analysts: 39
4. Next Year (as of September 30, 2025):
- Average Estimate: $7.23
- Low Estimate: $6.40
- High Estimate: $7.90
- Year Ago EPS: $6.59
- Number of Analysts: 39
Based on these estimates, we can see a generally positive trend in the expected earnings per share for both the upcoming quarters and the next year compared to the previous year's earnings. It indicates potential growth and improvement in the company's financial performance according to analysts' projections.
Balance Sheet
These are balance sheets. Here are the conclusions:1. The total assets have been increasing over the years, reaching $365,725,000,000 in 2018.
2. Current assets have fluctuated, with the highest value in 2019 at $162,819,000,000.
3. Non-current assets have shown an increasing trend, with the highest value in 2019 at $175,697,000,000.
4. Total liabilities have also been increasing, reaching $255,355,000,000 in 2018.
5. Shareholders' equity has shown an increasing trend, with the highest value in 2018 at $107,147,000,000.
6. The company has been investing more in non-current assets over the years, which might indicate long-term growth strategies.
7. The company has been relying more on long-term debt to finance its operations, as seen in the increasing trend of non-current liabilities.
8. The company has been effectively managing its retained earnings, as seen in the positive values over the years.
Earnings
The company's results for the most recent quarter ending on April 30, 2025, have not been provided yet. The previous quarter's results, ending on February 27, 2025, were handled by the Transfer Agent. The results for the quarter ending on January 31, 2025, were released after hours. The results for the quarter ending on October 31, 2024, were not provided at the time. However, for the quarter ending on August 1, 2024, the company reported an earnings per share (EPS) estimate of 1.32.Main Statystic ðŸ§
The data provided includes financials, stock statistics, valuation metrics, stock price summary, and dividends and splits information for a specific company.In terms of financials, the company has a strong operating cash flow and levered free cash flow. The balance sheet shows a healthy current ratio, but a high total debt to equity ratio. The profit margin and operating margin are both positive, indicating profitability. The company's fiscal year ends in September 2023, with notable figures such as revenue, EBITDA, and net income.
Moving on to stock statistics, we see details such as short ratio, float shares, and shares outstanding. The percentage held by insiders and institutions is also provided, along with short interest metrics.
Valuation metrics include PEG ratio, PE ratios, enterprise value, and market capitalization. Price to book, price to sales, and other ratios give insight into the company's valuation.
The stock price summary provides information on beta, moving averages, and the range of the stock price over the past year.
Lastly, dividends and splits data show dividend rates, payout ratios, dividend dates, and historical split information.
Income statement 💸
Here are the revenue figures for the company over the past four fiscal years:1. Fiscal Year 2020: Sales of $274,515,000,000
2. Fiscal Year 2021: Sales of $365,817,000,000
3. Fiscal Year 2022: Sales of $394,328,000,000
4. Fiscal Year 2023: Sales of $383,285,000,000
From these figures, we can observe the following trends:
- There was a steady increase in revenue from 2020 to 2022, with a significant jump between 2021 and 2022.
- However, in 2023, there was a slight decrease in revenue compared to the previous year.
Overall, the company has shown growth in revenue over the past four years, with a notable increase in 2022.
Revenue estimate
Based on the analysts' estimates for the future quarterly and annual sales of the company, we can draw the following conclusions:1. For the current quarter ending on June 30, 2024, the average sales estimate is $83,776,900,000, with a sales growth of 2% compared to the same quarter last year. The number of analysts providing estimates is 24.
2. For the next quarter ending on September 30, 2024, the average sales estimate is $92,375,300,000, with a sales growth of 3% compared to the same quarter last year. The number of analysts providing estimates is 24.
3. For the current fiscal year ending on September 30, 2024, the average sales estimate is $386,681,000,000, with a sales growth of 1% compared to the previous fiscal year. The number of analysts providing estimates is 37.
4. For the next fiscal year ending on September 30, 2025, the average sales estimate is $411,555,000,000, with a sales growth of 6% compared to the current fiscal year. The number of analysts providing estimates is 37.
These estimates suggest a moderate growth trend in both quarterly and annual sales for the company, with a slightly higher growth rate expected in the next fiscal year compared to the current one.
Growth estimates
Based on the consensus estimates provided:- The company is expected to experience a growth rate of 7.5% in the current year.
- The growth rate is projected to increase to 5.6% in the current quarter and further to 4.8% in the next quarter.
- Over the next year, the growth rate is expected to reach 9.7%.
- Looking ahead, the company is forecasted to achieve an annual growth rate of 11% over the next 5 years.
- However, the company has experienced a higher growth rate in the past, with an annual growth rate of 20.15% over the past 5 years.
Overall, the company is expected to maintain a positive growth trajectory, with a slight decrease in the short term followed by stronger growth in the long term compared to the past performance.
Price target
The analysts' forecast for the future price of the security is as follows:- Low: $164
- High: $250
- Median: $200
- Average: $202.26
- Current price: $191.57
- Currency: USD
Based on these forecasts, we can see that the analysts have a range of opinions on the future price of the security, with the low end at $164, the high end at $250, and the average at $202.26. The current price is below both the average and median forecast, indicating that there is potential upside according to the analysts' predictions.
MACD of FMBN
This is not investment advice. Remember to verify the information provided here.
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