Analysis Fastenal Co (FAST)
6/1/2024
Analysis of Fastenal Co (FAST)
Fastenal Co (FAST) has been showing some volatility in its stock price over the past few days. The Relative Strength Index (RSI) values have been fluctuating around the oversold territory, indicating potential buying opportunities.The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) indicator has been negative, but the MACD histogram has shown some signs of stabilization, suggesting a possible trend reversal in the near future.
The Simple Moving Average (SMA), Exponential Moving Average (EMA), and Weighted Moving Average (WMA) have been relatively close to each other, indicating a consolidation phase in the stock price.
Overall, Fastenal Co seems to be in a consolidation phase with potential buying opportunities emerging as the stock price stabilizes. Traders and investors may want to keep an eye on the RSI values and the MACD indicator for potential entry points.
Earnings estimate
The analysts' estimates for future quarterly and annual earnings per share are as follows:1. Current Quarter (as of June 30, 2024):
- Average Estimate: $1.23
- Low Estimate: $1.18
- High Estimate: $1.26
- Year Ago EPS: $1.17
- Number of Analysts: 27
2. Next Quarter (as of September 30, 2024):
- Average Estimate: $1.42
- Low Estimate: $1.33
- High Estimate: $1.51
- Year Ago EPS: $1.35
- Number of Analysts: 26
3. Current Year (as of September 30, 2024):
- Average Estimate: $6.10
- Low Estimate: $5.95
- High Estimate: $6.41
- Year Ago EPS: $5.67
- Number of Analysts: 40
4. Next Year (as of September 30, 2025):
- Average Estimate: $6.69
- Low Estimate: $5.92
- High Estimate: $7.31
- Year Ago EPS: $6.10
- Number of Analysts: 40
Based on these estimates, we can see a generally positive trend in the expected earnings per share both for the upcoming quarters and the next year compared to the previous year's performance. The number of analysts providing estimates also indicates a strong interest in the company's financial performance.
Revenue estimate
Based on the analysts' estimates for the future quarterly and annual sales of the company, we can draw the following conclusions:1. For the current quarter ending on June 30, 2024, the average sales estimate is $77,545,400,000, with a sales growth of 2% compared to the same quarter last year. The number of analysts providing estimates is 25.
2. For the next quarter ending on September 30, 2024, the average sales estimate is $85,501,800,000, with a sales growth of 3% compared to the same quarter last year. The number of analysts providing estimates is 25.
3. For the current fiscal year ending on September 30, 2024, the average sales estimate is $357,772,000,000, with a sales growth of 1% compared to the previous fiscal year. The number of analysts providing estimates is 38.
4. For the next fiscal year ending on September 30, 2025, the average sales estimate is $380,772,000,000, with a sales growth of 6% compared to the current fiscal year. The number of analysts providing estimates is 38.
Overall, the analysts are generally optimistic about the company's future sales performance, with moderate growth expected in both the quarterly and annual sales figures.
Growth estimates
Based on the consensus estimates provided by analysts, we can draw the following conclusions regarding the growth rate of the company for different periods:1. Current Quarter: The estimated growth rate for the current quarter is 5.1%.
2. Next Quarter: The estimated growth rate for the next quarter is 5.2%.
3. Current Year: The estimated growth rate for the current year is 7.6%.
4. Next Year: The estimated growth rate for the next year is 9.7%.
5. Past 5 Years (per annum): The average annual growth rate for the past 5 years is 20.1%.
6. Next 5 Years (per annum): The estimated average annual growth rate for the next 5 years is 9.7%.
These estimates suggest that the company has been experiencing strong growth in the past, and analysts expect this growth to continue at a slightly lower but still healthy rate in the coming years.
Price target
The analysts' forecast for the future price of the security is as follows:- Low: $164
- High: $250
- Median: $200
- Average: $202.26
- Current price: $191.57
- Currency: USD
Based on these forecasts, we can see that the analysts have a wide range of opinions on the future price of the security, with the low end at $164, the high end at $250, and the average at $202.26. The current price of the security is $191.57, which is below the median and average forecasted prices. Investors should consider these forecasts along with other factors when making investment decisions.
Earnings
The company's results for the most recent quarter, ending on April 30, 2025, have not been provided yet. The previous results, ending on February 27, 2025, were handled by the Transfer Agent. The results before that, ending on January 31, 2025, were released after hours. The results for October 31, 2024, were not provided at the time. However, the results for August 1, 2024, showed an earnings per share (EPS) estimate of 1.32.Main Statystic ðŸ§
The data provided includes financials, stock statistics, valuation metrics, stock price summary, and dividends and splits information for a specific company.In terms of financials, the company has a strong operating cash flow and levered free cash flow, with a positive current ratio and a high total debt to equity ratio. The profit margin and operating margin are also healthy, indicating efficient operations. The company's fiscal year ends in September 2023, and it has shown a decrease in quarterly revenue and earnings growth year over year.
Moving on to stock statistics, the company has a low short ratio and a significant percentage of shares held by institutions. The stock price summary shows a beta value, moving averages, and the range of the stock price over the past fifty-two weeks.
Valuation metrics reveal a high PEG ratio, price-to-earnings ratios, and other key financial ratios. The market capitalization and enterprise value are also provided.
Lastly, dividends and splits information includes details about dividend rates, payout ratios, dividend dates, and historical split factors.
Income statement 💸
Here are the revenue figures for the company over the past four fiscal years:- 2020: $274,515,000,000
- 2021: $365,817,000,000
- 2022: $394,328,000,000
- 2023: $383,285,000,000
From these numbers, we can observe that the company has experienced a steady increase in revenue from 2020 to 2022, with a slight decrease in 2023. This trend indicates a generally positive growth trajectory for the company over the past few years.
Balance Sheet
These are balance sheets. Here are the conclusions:1. The total assets have been increasing over the years, reaching $365,725,000,000 in 2018.
2. Current assets have fluctuated, with the highest value in 2019 at $162,819,000,000.
3. Non-current assets have shown an increasing trend, with the highest value in 2019 at $175,697,000,000.
4. Total liabilities have also been increasing, reaching $255,355,000,000 in 2018.
5. Shareholders' equity has shown an increasing trend, with the highest value in 2018 at $107,147,000,000.
6. The company has been relying more on non-current assets to finance its operations, as seen in the increasing trend of non-current assets compared to current assets.
7. The company has been funding its operations through a mix of liabilities and shareholders' equity, with both showing an increasing trend over the years.
Cash Flow 💶
This is the cash flow statement. Here are some conclusions we can draw from the data:1. The company's free cash flow has been fluctuating over the years, with the highest value recorded in 2022 and the lowest in 2020.
2. Operating cash flow has been relatively stable over the years, indicating consistent operational performance.
3. The company has been paying a significant amount in income taxes each year, with the highest amount paid in 2021.
4. The end cash position has also varied, reaching its peak in 2020 and its lowest point in 2022.
5. Financing activities have had a major impact on the company's cash flow, with substantial amounts being used for common stock repurchases and debt issuances/payments.
6. Investing activities show significant fluctuations, especially in terms of acquisitions, investments, and capital expenditures.
7. Overall, the company's cash flow statement reflects a mix of stable operational performance, significant financing activities, and varying investing activities over the years.
MACD of FAST
This is not investment advice. Remember to verify the information provided here.
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