Analysis Federal-Mogul Goetze (FMGOETZE)
6/4/2024
Analysis of Federal-Mogul Goetze (FMGOETZE)
Federal-Mogul Goetze (FMGOETZE) stock has been showing some interesting trends based on the provided data:1. Price Movement: The stock price has been fluctuating between a high of 407.75 and a low of 360.25 over the past few days, indicating some volatility in the market.
2. Relative Strength Index (RSI): The RSI values have been hovering around 45 to 67, suggesting that the stock is neither overbought nor oversold, but rather in a neutral territory.
3. Moving Averages: The Moving Average (MA) indicator, Simple Moving Average (SMA), Exponential Moving Average (EMA), and Weighted Moving Average (WMA) are all relatively close to each other, indicating a stable trend in the stock price.
4. MACD Indicator: The MACD indicator has been fluctuating around 3 to 9, with the MACD line crossing above and below the signal line, indicating potential shifts in momentum.
Overall, based on the provided data, Federal-Mogul Goetze stock seems to be experiencing some volatility with neutral RSI values and potential momentum shifts indicated by the MACD indicator. Investors may want to closely monitor these indicators for potential trading opportunities.
Earnings
The company's results for the most recent quarter, ending on April 30, 2025, have not been provided at this time. The previous results, ending on February 27, 2025, were handled by the Transfer Agent. The results from January 31, 2025, were reported after hours. The results from October 31, 2024, were not provided at the time. The results from August 1, 2024, showed an earnings per share (EPS) estimate of 1.32.Main Statystic ðŸ§
The data provided includes financials, stock statistics, valuation metrics, stock price summary, and dividends and splits information for a specific company.In terms of financials, the company has strong cash flow with operating cash flow at $110.56 billion and levered free cash flow at $84.73 billion. The balance sheet shows a total cash of $67.15 billion, total debt of $104.59 billion, and a current ratio of 1.037. The profit margin is 26.31%, with a fiscal year ending on September 30, 2023. The income statement reveals an EBITDA of $131.39 billion, revenue of $381.62 billion, and a diluted EPS of 6.43.
Moving on to stock statistics, the company has a short ratio of 1.53, with 15.31 billion float shares and 99.29 million shares shorted. The stock outstanding is 15.33 billion, with 5.22% held by insiders and 57.59% held by institutions.
Valuation metrics show a PEG ratio of 26.32, forward PE of 26.32, and trailing PE of 29.59. The enterprise value is $2.95 trillion, with a price to book ratio of 39.34 and price to sales ratio of 7.65.
The stock price summary includes a beta of 1.264, 50-day moving average of $176.26, 200-day moving average of $181.04, and a 52-week range between $164.08 and $199.62.
Lastly, dividends and splits information indicates a payout ratio of 14.93%, with a dividend date set for May 16, 2024. The last split date was on August 31, 2020, with a 4-for-1 split factor. The forward annual dividend rate is $1, with a trailing annual dividend yield of 0.51% and a 5-year average dividend yield of 0.73%.
Revenue estimate
Based on the analysts' estimates for the future quarterly and annual sales of the company, we can draw the following conclusions:1. For the current quarter ending on June 30, 2024, the average sales estimate is $77,545,400,000, with a sales growth of 2% compared to the same quarter last year. The number of analysts providing estimates is 25.
2. For the next quarter ending on September 30, 2024, the average sales estimate is $85,501,800,000, with a sales growth of 3% compared to the same quarter last year. The number of analysts providing estimates is 25.
3. For the current fiscal year ending on September 30, 2024, the average sales estimate is $357,772,000,000, with a sales growth of 1% compared to the previous fiscal year. The number of analysts providing estimates is 38.
4. For the next fiscal year ending on September 30, 2025, the average sales estimate is $380,772,000,000, with a sales growth of 6% compared to the current fiscal year. The number of analysts providing estimates is 38.
These estimates suggest a moderate growth trend in both quarterly and annual sales for the company, with slightly higher growth expected in the next fiscal year compared to the current one.
Growth estimates
Based on the consensus estimates provided, we can draw the following conclusions regarding the growth rate of the company for different periods:1. Current Quarter: The estimated growth rate for the current quarter is 5.1%.
2. Next Quarter: The estimated growth rate for the next quarter is slightly higher at 5.2%.
3. Current Year: The growth rate for the current year is estimated to be 7.6%.
4. Next Year: The growth rate for the next year is expected to increase to 9.7%.
5. Past 5 Years: Over the past 5 years, the company has experienced an average annual growth rate of 20.1%.
6. Next 5 Years: Looking ahead, analysts project an average annual growth rate of 9.7% for the next 5 years.
These estimates suggest a positive outlook for the company's growth, with a gradual increase in growth rate from the current period to the next year. However, the projected growth rates for the next year and the next 5 years are lower compared to the average growth rate experienced over the past 5 years.
Price target
The analysts' forecast for the future price of the security is as follows:- Low: $164
- High: $275
- Median: $201.43
- Average: $204.58
- Current price: $192.25
- Currency: USD
Based on these forecasts, it can be observed that the analysts have a range of opinions regarding the future price of the security, with a median of $201.43 and an average of $204.58. The current price of the security is $192.25, which is below both the median and average forecasted prices. This suggests that the analysts, on average, expect the price of the security to increase in the future, with a potential high of $275 and a low of $164.
Income statement 💸
Here are the revenue figures for the company over the past four fiscal years:1. Fiscal Year 2020: Sales of $274,515,000,000
2. Fiscal Year 2021: Sales of $365,817,000,000
3. Fiscal Year 2022: Sales of $394,328,000,000
4. Fiscal Year 2023: Sales of $383,285,000,000
From these figures, we can observe the following trends:
- There was a steady increase in revenue from 2020 to 2022, with a significant jump between 2021 and 2022.
- However, in 2023, there was a slight decrease in revenue compared to the previous year.
Overall, the company has shown growth in revenue over the past four years, with a minor dip in the most recent fiscal year.
Balance Sheet
These are balance sheets. Here are the conclusions:1. The total assets have been increasing over the years, reaching $365,725,000,000 in 2018.
2. Current assets include cash, inventory, and receivables, with a significant portion in cash and cash equivalents.
3. Non-current assets consist of investments, machinery, and other long-term assets.
4. Total liabilities have also been increasing, but at a slower pace compared to assets.
5. Shareholders' equity has shown fluctuations but has generally been positive.
6. The company has been investing in both current and non-current assets to drive growth.
7. There is a consistent level of debt in the company's capital structure.
8. The company has been managing its short-term and long-term obligations effectively.
9. Retained earnings have been a significant component of shareholders' equity.
10. The company has been maintaining a balance between debt and equity financing.
Cash Flow 💶
This is the cash flow statement. Here are some conclusions we can draw from the data:1. The company's free cash flow has been fluctuating over the years, with the highest value in 2022 and the lowest in 2020.
2. Operating cash flow has generally been increasing year over year, indicating improved operational efficiency.
3. The company has been consistently paying interest and income taxes, with varying amounts each year.
4. The end cash position has also been fluctuating, reaching its highest value in 2020.
5. Financing activities show a pattern of common stock repurchase, issuance of long-term debt, and payment of dividends.
6. Investing activities include the sale and purchase of investments, as well as capital expenditures.
7. Overall, the company seems to be managing its cash flow effectively, with a focus on operational efficiency and strategic investments.
Earnings estimate
Based on the analysts' estimates for future quarterly and annual earnings per share:1. For the current quarter ending on June 30, 2024, the average estimated EPS is $1.23, with a low estimate of $1.18 and a high estimate of $1.26. This shows an improvement compared to the EPS of $1.17 from the same quarter a year ago.
2. For the next quarter ending on September 30, 2024, the average estimated EPS is $1.42, with a low estimate of $1.33 and a high estimate of $1.51. This also indicates growth from the EPS of $1.35 in the same quarter last year.
3. Looking at the estimates for the current year ending on September 30, 2024, the average estimated EPS is $6.10, ranging from a low estimate of $5.95 to a high estimate of $6.41. This reflects an increase from the EPS of $5.67 for the previous year.
4. For the next year ending on September 30, 2025, the average estimated EPS is $6.69, with a low estimate of $5.92 and a high estimate of $7.31. This suggests a growth trajectory from the EPS of $6.10 in the current year.
Overall, the analysts' estimates point towards a positive outlook for the company's earnings per share, showing a trend of improvement and growth in the upcoming quarters and years.
MACD of FMGOETZE
This is not investment advice. Remember to verify the information provided here.
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