Analysis Ferguson PLC (FERG)
6/1/2024
Analysis of Ferguson PLC (FERG)
Ferguson PLC is showing some fluctuations in its stock prices over the past few days. The Relative Strength Index (RSI) values are around 48-51, indicating a neutral to slightly bullish sentiment. The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) histogram is negative, suggesting a bearish trend.The stock prices have been moving within a range, with some volatility in both the closing and opening prices. The Simple Moving Average (SMA), Exponential Moving Average (EMA), and Weighted Moving Average (WMA) are all showing different values, indicating some divergence in the trend analysis.
Overall, Ferguson PLC seems to be experiencing some uncertainty in its stock prices, with mixed signals from different technical indicators. It may be a good idea to closely monitor the stock and wait for a clearer trend to emerge before making any trading decisions.
Revenue estimate
Based on the analysts' estimates for the future quarterly and annual sales of the company, the following conclusions can be drawn:1. For the current quarter ending on June 30, 2024, the average sales estimate is $77,545,400,000, with a sales growth of 2% compared to the same quarter last year. The number of analysts providing estimates is 25.
2. For the next quarter ending on September 30, 2024, the average sales estimate is $85,501,800,000, with a sales growth of 3% compared to the same quarter last year. The number of analysts providing estimates is 25.
3. For the current fiscal year ending on September 30, 2024, the average sales estimate is $357,772,000,000, with a sales growth of 1% compared to the previous fiscal year. The number of analysts providing estimates is 38.
4. For the next fiscal year ending on September 30, 2025, the average sales estimate is $380,772,000,000, with a sales growth of 6% compared to the current fiscal year. The number of analysts providing estimates is 38.
Overall, the analysts are forecasting moderate sales growth for both the upcoming quarters and the next fiscal year, indicating a positive outlook for the company's performance.
Growth estimates
Based on the consensus estimates provided by analysts, we can draw the following conclusions regarding the growth rate of the company for different periods:1. Current Quarter: The estimated growth rate for the current quarter is 5.1%.
2. Next Quarter: The estimated growth rate for the next quarter is 5.2%.
3. Current Year: The estimated growth rate for the current year is 7.6%.
4. Next Year: The estimated growth rate for the next year is 9.7%.
5. Past 5 Years (per annum): The average annual growth rate for the past 5 years is 20.1%.
6. Next 5 Years (per annum): The estimated average annual growth rate for the next 5 years is 9.7%.
These estimates suggest a positive growth trend for the company, with a slightly lower growth rate expected in the next 5 years compared to the past 5 years. However, the company is still projected to experience healthy growth in the upcoming periods according to analyst consensus.
Price target
The analysts' forecast for the future price of the security is as follows:- Low: $164
- High: $250
- Median: $200
- Average: $202.26
- Current price: $191.57
- Currency: USD
Based on these forecasts, we can see that the analysts have a range of opinions regarding the future price of the security, with the low end at $164, the high end at $250, and the average forecast at $202.26. The current price of the security is $191.57, which is below the median and average forecast, indicating that there is potential for growth according to the analysts' predictions.
Earnings
The company's results for the most recent quarter, ending on April 30, 2025, have not been provided at this time. The previous quarter's results, ending on February 27, 2025, were handled by the Transfer Agent. The quarter before that, ending on January 31, 2025, had results released after hours. The results for the quarter ending on October 31, 2024, were not provided at the time. However, for the quarter ending on August 1, 2024, the company reported an earnings per share (EPS) estimate of 1.32.Main Statystic ðŸ§
The company's financials show a strong cash flow, with operating cash flow at $110.56 billion and levered free cash flow at $84.73 billion. The balance sheet indicates a total cash of $67.15 billion and total debt of $104.59 billion, resulting in a current ratio of 1.037. The company's book value per share is $4.837, total cash per share is $4.379, and total debt to equity ratio is 140.968.In terms of profitability, the company has a profit margin of 26.31% and an operating margin of 30.74%. The return on assets is 22.07% and the return on equity is 147.25%. The most recent quarter ended on March 31, 2024, with a revenue of $381.62 billion and a net income of $100.39 billion. The diluted earnings per share stand at $6.43.
The stock statistics show a short ratio of 1.53 and a short percent of shares outstanding at 0.65%. The company has a market capitalization of $2.92 trillion, with a P/E ratio of 29.59 and a forward P/E ratio of 26.32. The enterprise value is $2.95 trillion, with a PEG ratio of 26.32.
The stock price summary reveals a beta of 1.264, with a 50-day moving average of $176.26 and a 200-day moving average of $181.04. The stock's 52-week low was $164.08 and the high was $199.62, resulting in a 52-week change of 6.85%.
In terms of dividends and splits, the company has a payout ratio of 14.93% and a forward annual dividend yield of 0.53%. The dividend date is set for May 16, 2024, with an ex-dividend date of May 10, 2024. The last split date was on August 31, 2020, with a 4-for-1 split. The trailing annual dividend rate is $0.97, with a trailing annual dividend yield of 0.51% and a 5-year average dividend yield of 0.73%.
Income statement 💸
Here are the revenue figures for the company over the past four fiscal years:1. Fiscal Year 2023: Sales of $383,285,000,000
2. Fiscal Year 2022: Sales of $394,328,000,000
3. Fiscal Year 2021: Sales of $365,817,000,000
4. Fiscal Year 2020: Sales of $274,515,000,000
From these figures, we can observe the following trends:
- The company experienced a decrease in revenue from FY 2022 to FY 2023.
- Prior to FY 2023, there was a general upward trend in revenue over the previous years.
- The highest revenue was recorded in FY 2022.
These trends can provide insights into the company's performance and may indicate areas that require further analysis or attention.
Balance Sheet
These are balance sheets. Here are the conclusions:1. The total assets have been increasing over the years, reaching $365,725,000,000 in 2018.
2. Current assets include cash, inventory, and receivables, with a significant portion in cash equivalents and short-term investments.
3. Non-current assets consist of leases, land, machinery, and investments.
4. Total liabilities have also been increasing, but at a slower pace compared to assets.
5. Shareholders' equity has shown fluctuations but has generally been positive.
6. The company has been investing in both current and non-current assets to support its operations and growth.
7. There is a healthy mix of cash, investments, and other assets in the company's portfolio.
8. The company has been managing its debt levels while maintaining positive equity.
Cash Flow 💶
This is a cash flow statement. Here are some conclusions we can draw from the data:1. The company's free cash flow has been fluctuating over the years, with the highest value in 2022 and the lowest in 2020.
2. Operating cash flow has generally been increasing year over year, indicating improved operational efficiency.
3. The company has been consistently paying interest and income taxes, with varying amounts each year.
4. The end cash position has also been fluctuating, reaching its highest value in 2020.
5. Financing activities show a pattern of common stock repurchase, issuance of long-term debt, and payment of dividends.
6. Investing activities include the sale and purchase of investments, as well as capital expenditures.
7. Overall, the company seems to be managing its cash flow effectively, with a focus on operational efficiency and strategic investments.
Earnings estimate
Based on the analysts' estimates for future quarterly and annual earnings per share (EPS):1. For the current quarter ending on June 30, 2024, the average EPS estimate is $1.23, with a low estimate of $1.18 and a high estimate of $1.26. This shows an improvement compared to the EPS of $1.17 from the same quarter a year ago.
2. For the next quarter ending on September 30, 2024, the average EPS estimate is $1.42, with a low estimate of $1.33 and a high estimate of $1.51. This also indicates growth from the EPS of $1.35 in the same quarter last year.
3. Looking at the estimates for the current year ending on September 30, 2024, the average EPS estimate is $6.10, ranging from a low estimate of $5.95 to a high estimate of $6.41. This reflects an increase from the EPS of $5.67 for the previous year.
4. For the next year ending on September 30, 2025, the average EPS estimate is $6.69, with a low estimate of $5.92 and a high estimate of $7.31. This suggests a slight improvement from the EPS of $6.10 in the previous year.
Overall, the analysts' estimates show a positive outlook for the company's earnings per share, with expected growth in both the quarterly and annual results over the specified periods.
MACD of FERG
This is not investment advice. Remember to verify the information provided here.
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