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Analysis FG Financial Group, Inc. (FGF)

6/5/2024

Analysis FG Financial Group, Inc. (FGF)

Analysis of FG Financial Group, Inc. (FGF)

FG Financial Group, Inc. (FGF) has been experiencing some volatility in its stock price recently. The RSI indicator shows fluctuations around the 50 level, indicating a balanced market sentiment. The MACD indicator has been hovering around the zero line, suggesting a lack of strong momentum in either direction.

The moving averages (SMA, EMA, WMA) have been relatively close to each other, indicating a stable trend. However, the price has been fluctuating between the high and low points, suggesting uncertainty in the market.

Overall, FGF seems to be in a consolidation phase with no clear trend direction. Traders and investors may need to closely monitor the price movements and wait for a clearer signal before making any significant trading decisions.

Earnings

The company's results for the most recent quarter, ending on April 30, 2025, have not been provided at this time. The previous quarter's results, ending on February 27, 2025, were handled by the Transfer Agent. The results for the quarter ending on January 31, 2025, were released after hours. The results for the quarter ending on October 31, 2024, were not supplied. However, for the quarter ending on August 1, 2024, the company reported an earnings per share (EPS) estimate of 1.32.

Main Statystic 🧠

The data provided includes financials, stock statistics, valuation metrics, stock price summary, and dividends and splits information for a specific company.

In terms of financials, the company has strong operating cash flow and levered free cash flow, with a positive profit margin and healthy return on assets and equity. The balance sheet shows a current ratio slightly above 1, indicating good liquidity, but a high total debt to equity ratio. The income statement highlights significant revenue and EBITDA, with a positive diluted EPS and net income.

Moving on to stock statistics, the company has a low short ratio and short percent of shares outstanding, with a significant percentage held by institutions. The stock price summary shows volatility within a 52-week range and moving averages.

Valuation metrics indicate a high PEG ratio and price to book ratio, with the company being relatively expensive based on PE ratios. The enterprise value is substantial compared to revenue and EBITDA, with a significant market capitalization.

Lastly, dividends and splits information reveal a moderate payout ratio and dividend yield, with recent dividend and split dates provided.

Income statement 💸

These are the revenue figures. Here are the conclusions:

1. The company's sales revenue has been increasing steadily over the years, from $274.5 billion in 2020 to $383.3 billion in 2023.
2. Despite the increase in sales, the cost of goods sold has also been rising, indicating a potential need for cost management strategies.
3. The gross profit margin has fluctuated slightly but remained relatively stable over the years.
4. Operating income has shown an upward trend, reaching $114.3 billion in 2023.
5. Net income has also been increasing annually, from $57.4 billion in 2020 to $97 billion in 2023.
6. Earnings per share (EPS) have shown a positive trend, with both basic and diluted EPS increasing over the years.
7. The company has been able to maintain a consistent number of outstanding shares.
8. Overall, the financial performance of the company in terms of revenue and profitability has been positive and improving over the years.

Balance Sheet

These are balance sheets. Here are the conclusions:

1. The total assets have been increasing over the years, reaching $365,725,000,000 in 2018.
2. Current assets fluctuate, with the highest value in 2019 ($162,819,000,000) and the lowest in 2023 ($135,405,000,000).
3. Non-current assets have been increasing steadily, with the highest value in 2023 ($217,350,000,000).
4. Total liabilities have also been increasing, reaching $255,355,000,000 in 2018.
5. Shareholders' equity has been fluctuating, with the highest value in 2018 ($107,147,000,000) and the lowest in 2022 ($50,672,000,000).
6. The company has been relying more on non-current liabilities over the years, as seen in the increasing values from 2018 to 2023.
7. The company has been investing more in non-current assets, such as investments and advances, machinery, furniture, and equipment.
8. The company's cash and cash equivalents have been fluctuating, with the highest value in 2019 ($48,844,000,000) and the lowest in 2023 ($29,965,000,000).

Cash Flow 💶

This is the cash flow statement. Here are some conclusions we can draw from the data:

1. The company's free cash flow has been fluctuating over the years, with the highest value in 2022 and the lowest in 2020.
2. Operating cash flow has generally been increasing year over year, indicating improved operational efficiency.
3. The company has been consistently paying interest and income taxes, with varying amounts each year.
4. The end cash position has also been fluctuating, reaching its highest value in 2021.
5. Financing activities show a pattern of common stock repurchase, issuance of long-term debt, and payment of dividends.
6. Investing activities include the sale and purchase of investments, as well as capital expenditures.
7. Overall, the company seems to be managing its cash flow effectively, with a focus on operational performance and strategic investments.

Earnings estimate

Based on the analysts' estimates for future quarterly and annual earnings per share (EPS):

1. For the current quarter ending on June 30, 2024, the average EPS estimate is $1.23, with a low estimate of $1.18 and a high estimate of $1.26. This shows an improvement compared to the EPS of $1.17 from the same quarter a year ago.

2. For the next quarter ending on September 30, 2024, the average EPS estimate is $1.42, with a low estimate of $1.33 and a high estimate of $1.51. This also indicates growth from the EPS of $1.35 in the same quarter last year.

3. Looking at the estimates for the current year ending on September 30, 2024, the average EPS estimate is $6.10, ranging from a low estimate of $5.95 to a high estimate of $6.41. This reflects an increase from the EPS of $5.67 for the previous year.

4. For the next year ending on September 30, 2025, the average EPS estimate is $6.69, with a low estimate of $5.92 and a high estimate of $7.31. This suggests a growth trajectory from the EPS of $6.10 in the current year.

Overall, the analysts' estimates point towards a positive outlook for the company's earnings per share, showing consistent growth over the upcoming quarters and years.

Revenue estimate

Based on the analysts' estimates for the future quarterly and annual sales of the company, we can draw the following conclusions:

1. For the current quarter ending on June 30, 2024, the average sales estimate is $77,545,400,000, with a sales growth of 2% compared to the same quarter last year. The number of analysts providing estimates is 25.

2. For the next quarter ending on September 30, 2024, the average sales estimate is $85,501,800,000, with a sales growth of 3% compared to the same quarter last year. The number of analysts providing estimates is 25.

3. For the current fiscal year ending on September 30, 2024, the average sales estimate is $357,772,000,000, with a sales growth of 1% compared to the previous fiscal year. The number of analysts providing estimates is 38.

4. For the next fiscal year ending on September 30, 2025, the average sales estimate is $380,772,000,000, with a sales growth of 6% compared to the current fiscal year. The number of analysts providing estimates is 38.

Overall, the analysts are generally optimistic about the company's future sales performance, with moderate growth expected in both the quarterly and annual sales figures.

Growth estimates

Based on the consensus estimates provided by analysts, we can draw the following conclusions regarding the growth rate of the company for different periods:

1. Current Quarter: The estimated growth rate for the current quarter is 5.1%.
2. Next Quarter: The estimated growth rate for the next quarter is 5.2%.
3. Current Year: The estimated growth rate for the current year is 7.6%.
4. Next Year: The estimated growth rate for the next year is 9.7%.
5. Past 5 Years (per annum): The average annual growth rate for the past 5 years is 20.1%.
6. Next 5 Years (per annum): The estimated average annual growth rate for the next 5 years is 9.7%.

These estimates suggest that the company has been experiencing strong growth in the past, but analysts expect the growth rate to moderate slightly in the coming years, although it is still expected to be healthy.

Price target

The analysts' forecast for the future price of the security is as follows:
- Low: $164
- High: $275
- Median: $201.43
- Average: $204.58
- Current price: $192.25

Based on these forecasts, it appears that the analysts are generally optimistic about the future price of the security, with a median and average price above the current price. However, there is a wide range of forecasts, from a low of $164 to a high of $275, indicating some uncertainty in the market.

MACD of FGF

This is not investment advice. Remember to verify the information provided here.

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Contacts

Telephone number

+48 32 700 81 66

Email address

[email protected]

Company information

Honey Payment S.A. at ul. Nowy Swiat 33/13, 00-029 Warsaw, Poland, Register number KRS 0000895826, share capital in the amount of 201.4 mln PLN, NIP 5252859204, REGON 388760204