Analysis First Bancshares Inc-The (FBMS)
5/30/2024
Analysis of First Bancshares Inc-The (FBMS)
First Bancshares Inc-The (FBMS) stock has been showing some volatility in the recent trading days. The Relative Strength Index (RSI) values have been fluctuating around the 50 level, indicating a lack of strong trend. The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) indicator has been hovering around the zero line, suggesting a balance between buying and selling pressure.The stock price has been moving within a range, with the 20-day Moving Average (MA) acting as a resistance level. The Simple Moving Average (SMA), Exponential Moving Average (EMA), and Weighted Moving Average (WMA) have been relatively close to each other, indicating a consolidation phase.
Overall, the stock seems to be consolidating after a period of volatility. Traders and investors may want to wait for a clearer trend to emerge before making any significant trading decisions.
Income statement 💸
These are the revenues. Here are the conclusions:1. The company's sales have been increasing over the years, from $274.5 billion in 2020 to $383.3 billion in 2023.
2. The gross profit margin has been relatively stable, with gross profit ranging from around $105 billion to $169 billion.
3. Operating income has also shown an increasing trend, from $66.3 billion in 2020 to $114.3 billion in 2023.
4. Net income has been growing steadily, reaching $97 billion in 2023 from $57.4 billion in 2020.
5. Earnings per share (EPS) have shown a slight fluctuation but have generally increased over the years.
6. The company has been able to maintain a healthy EBITDA margin, with EBITDA increasing from $81 billion in 2020 to $129.2 billion in 2023.
7. Despite an increase in income tax expenses, the company has managed to grow its net income consistently.
8. The company has been able to control its operating expenses effectively, allowing for growth in operating income.
9. Overall, the financial performance of the company has been positive, with increasing revenues and profitability over the years.
Balance Sheet
These are balance sheets. Here are the conclusions:1. The total assets have been increasing over the years, reaching $365,725,000,000 in 2018.
2. Current assets include cash, inventory, and receivables, with a significant portion in cash equivalents and short-term investments.
3. Non-current assets consist mainly of investments and advances, along with machinery, furniture, and equipment.
4. Total liabilities have also been increasing, but at a slower pace compared to assets, resulting in a growth in shareholders' equity.
5. Shareholders' equity includes common stock, retained earnings, and other components, contributing to the overall equity of the company.
6. The company has been managing its short-term and long-term debts while investing in assets for future growth.
7. The accumulated depreciation indicates the wear and tear on the company's assets over the years.
8. The provision for risks and charges is accounted for in the liabilities, showing the company's preparedness for potential future expenses.
Cash Flow 💶
This is the cash flow statement. Here are some conclusions we can draw from the data:1. The company's free cash flow has been fluctuating over the years, with the highest value in 2022 and the lowest in 2020.
2. Operating cash flow has generally been increasing year over year, indicating improved operational efficiency.
3. The company has been consistently paying interest and income taxes, with varying amounts each year.
4. The end cash position has also been fluctuating, reaching its highest value in 2020.
5. Financing activities show a pattern of common stock repurchase, issuance of long-term debt, and payment of dividends.
6. Investing activities include the sale and purchase of investments, as well as capital expenditures.
7. Overall, the company seems to be managing its cash flow effectively, with a focus on operational performance and strategic investments.
Earnings estimate
Based on the analysts' estimates for future quarterly and annual earnings per share:1. For the current quarter ending on June 30, 2024, the average estimated EPS is $1.33, which is higher than the EPS of $1.26 from the same quarter a year ago. The range of estimates is between $1.27 and $1.36, as provided by 26 analysts.
2. For the next quarter ending on September 30, 2024, the average estimated EPS is $1.53, compared to $1.46 from the previous year's quarter. The estimates range from $1.44 to $1.63, based on 25 analysts' forecasts.
3. Looking at the current fiscal year ending on September 30, 2024, the average estimated EPS is $6.59, an increase from the previous year's EPS of $6.13. The analysts' estimates range from $6.43 to $6.92, with insights from 39 analysts.
4. For the next fiscal year ending on September 30, 2025, the average estimated EPS is $7.23, with a range of estimates between $6.40 and $7.90. This forecast is based on the input of 39 analysts.
Overall, the analysts are predicting growth in earnings per share both for the upcoming quarters and the next fiscal years, indicating positive expectations for the company's performance.
Revenue estimate
Based on the analysts' estimates for the future quarterly and annual sales of the company, we can draw the following conclusions:1. For the current quarter ending on June 30, 2024, the average sales estimate is $83,776,900,000, with a sales growth of 2% compared to the same quarter last year. The number of analysts providing estimates is 24.
2. For the next quarter ending on September 30, 2024, the average sales estimate is $92,375,300,000, with a sales growth of 3% compared to the same quarter last year. The number of analysts providing estimates is 24.
3. For the current fiscal year ending on September 30, 2024, the average sales estimate is $386,681,000,000, with a sales growth of 1% compared to the previous fiscal year. The number of analysts providing estimates is 37.
4. For the next fiscal year ending on September 30, 2025, the average sales estimate is $411,555,000,000, with a sales growth of 6% compared to the current fiscal year. The number of analysts providing estimates is 37.
These estimates suggest a moderate growth trend in both quarterly and annual sales for the company, with slightly higher growth expected in the next fiscal year compared to the current one.
Growth estimates
Based on the consensus estimates provided:- The current year growth rate is 7.5%
- The next quarter growth rate is 4.8%
- The current quarter growth rate is 5.6%
- The next year growth rate is 9.7%
- The next 5 years compound annual growth rate (CAGR) is 11%
- The past 5 years compound annual growth rate (CAGR) is 20.15%
From these estimates, we can see that the company is expected to experience a significant increase in growth compared to the past 5 years, with a particularly strong growth rate projected for the next 5 years. However, there is a slight dip in growth expected in the next quarter compared to the current quarter.
Price target
The analysts' forecast for the future price of the security is as follows:- Low: $164
- High: $250
- Median: $200
- Average: $202.26
- Current price: $191.57
- Currency: USD
Based on these forecasts, we can see that the analysts have a range of opinions on the future price of the security, with the low end at $164, the high end at $250, and the average at $202.26. The current price is below both the average and median forecast, indicating that there is potential for growth according to the analysts' predictions.
Earnings
The company's results for the most recent quarter ending on April 30, 2025, have not been provided at this time. The previous results were reported on February 27, 2025, through the Transfer Agent. Before that, on January 31, 2025, the results were released after hours. The results from October 31, 2024, were not provided at the time. On August 1, 2024, the company reported an earnings per share (EPS) estimate of 1.32.Main Statystic ðŸ§
The data provided includes financials, stock statistics, valuation metrics, stock price summary, and dividends and splits information for a specific company.In terms of financials, the company has strong operating cash flow and levered free cash flow, with a positive current ratio and a high total debt to equity ratio. The profit margin and operating margin are also healthy, indicating efficient operations. The company's fiscal year ends in September 2023, and it has shown a positive return on assets and return on equity.
Looking at stock statistics, the company has a low short ratio and a significant percentage of shares held by institutions. The stock price summary shows volatility with a beta of 1.264 and a fluctuation between the fifty-two-week low and high.
Valuation metrics reveal a high PEG ratio and price to book ratio, with the company being relatively expensive based on its forward and trailing P/E ratios. The enterprise value, market capitalization, and other ratios indicate the company's valuation in the market.
Lastly, dividends and splits information show the company's dividend history, payout ratio, and dividend yield. The company has a regular dividend payout and has undergone a stock split in the past.
MACD of FBMS
This is not investment advice. Remember to verify the information provided here.
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