Analysis Firstgroup PLC (FGROF)
6/1/2024
Analysis of Firstgroup PLC (FGROF)
Firstgroup PLC (FGROF) has been showing a consistent price of 1.91 over the past several days. The Relative Strength Index (RSI) indicator is quite low at 18.53, indicating that the stock may be oversold.Looking at the Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) indicator, we see that the MACD line is below the signal line, with a negative value of -0.09. This suggests a bearish trend in the stock price.
In terms of moving averages, the Simple Moving Average (SMA), Exponential Moving Average (EMA), and Weighted Moving Average (WMA) are all above the current price of 1.91, indicating a downward trend.
Overall, based on the RSI, MACD, and moving averages, it seems that Firstgroup PLC may be experiencing a bearish trend in the short term. Traders and investors may want to exercise caution and further analyze the stock before making any decisions.
Cash Flow 💶
This is a cash flow statement. Here are some conclusions we can draw from the data:1. The company's free cash flow has been fluctuating over the years, with the highest value in 2022 and the lowest in 2020.
2. Operating cash flow has generally been increasing year over year, indicating improved operational efficiency.
3. The company has been consistently paying interest and income taxes, with varying amounts each year.
4. The end cash position has also been fluctuating, reaching its highest value in 2020.
5. Financing activities show a pattern of common stock repurchase, issuance of long-term debt, and payment of dividends.
6. Investing activities include the sale and purchase of investments, as well as capital expenditures.
7. Overall, the company seems to be managing its cash flow effectively, with a focus on operational efficiency and strategic investments.
Earnings estimate
The analysts' estimates for future quarterly and annual earnings per share are as follows:1. Current Quarter (as of June 30, 2024):
- Average Estimate: $1.23
- Low Estimate: $1.18
- High Estimate: $1.26
- Year Ago EPS: $1.17
- Number of Analysts: 27
2. Next Quarter (as of September 30, 2024):
- Average Estimate: $1.42
- Low Estimate: $1.33
- High Estimate: $1.51
- Year Ago EPS: $1.35
- Number of Analysts: 26
3. Current Year (as of September 30, 2024):
- Average Estimate: $6.10
- Low Estimate: $5.95
- High Estimate: $6.41
- Year Ago EPS: $5.67
- Number of Analysts: 40
4. Next Year (as of September 30, 2025):
- Average Estimate: $6.69
- Low Estimate: $5.92
- High Estimate: $7.31
- Year Ago EPS: $6.10
- Number of Analysts: 40
Based on these estimates, we can see a generally positive trend in the expected earnings per share for both the upcoming quarters and the next two years. The average estimates are showing an increase compared to the year-ago EPS figures, indicating potential growth in earnings for the company.
Revenue estimate
Based on the analysts' estimates for the future quarterly and annual sales of the company, we can draw the following conclusions:1. For the current quarter ending on June 30, 2024, the average sales estimate is $77,545,400,000, with a sales growth of 2% compared to the same quarter last year. The number of analysts providing estimates is 25.
2. For the next quarter ending on September 30, 2024, the average sales estimate is $85,501,800,000, with a sales growth of 3% compared to the same quarter last year. The number of analysts providing estimates is 25.
3. For the current fiscal year ending on September 30, 2024, the average sales estimate is $357,772,000,000, with a sales growth of 1% compared to the previous fiscal year. The number of analysts providing estimates is 38.
4. For the next fiscal year ending on September 30, 2025, the average sales estimate is $380,772,000,000, with a sales growth of 6% compared to the current fiscal year. The number of analysts providing estimates is 38.
These estimates suggest a moderate growth trend in both quarterly and annual sales for the company, with slightly higher growth expected in the next fiscal year compared to the current one.
Growth estimates
Based on the consensus estimates provided by analysts, we can draw the following conclusions regarding the growth rate of the company for different periods:1. Current Quarter: The estimated growth rate for the current quarter is 5.1%.
2. Next Quarter: The estimated growth rate for the next quarter is 5.2%.
3. Current Year: The estimated growth rate for the current year is 7.6%.
4. Next Year: The estimated growth rate for the next year is 9.7%.
5. Past 5 Years (per annum): The average annual growth rate for the past 5 years is 20.1%.
6. Next 5 Years (per annum): The estimated average annual growth rate for the next 5 years is 9.7%.
These estimates suggest a positive growth trend for the company, with a slightly lower growth rate expected in the next 5 years compared to the past 5 years. The company is expected to experience steady growth in the upcoming quarters and years, indicating a positive outlook according to analyst consensus.
Price target
Based on the analysts' forecast, the future price of the security is expected to range between $164 (low) and $250 (high), with a median estimate of $200 and an average estimate of $202.26. The current price of the security is $191.57.Earnings
The company's results for the most recent quarter, ending on April 30, 2025, have not been provided at this time. The previous quarter's results, ending on February 27, 2025, were handled by the Transfer Agent. The quarter before that, ending on January 31, 2025, had results released after hours. The results for the quarter ending on October 31, 2024, were not provided at the time. However, for the quarter ending on August 1, 2024, the company had an EPS estimate of 1.32.Main Statystic ðŸ§
The data provided includes financials, stock statistics, valuations metrics, stock price summary, and dividends and splits information for a specific company.In terms of financials, the company has strong cash flow with operating cash flow at $110.56 billion and levered free cash flow at $84.73 billion. The balance sheet shows total cash at $67.15 billion, total debt at $104.59 billion, and a current ratio of 1.037. The profit margin is 26.31%, with a fiscal year ending on September 30, 2023. The income statement reveals EBITDA of $131.39 billion, revenue of $381.62 billion, and a diluted EPS of 6.43.
Moving on to stock statistics, the short ratio is 1.53, with 99.29 million shares shorted out of 15.31 billion float shares. The company has a market capitalization of $2.92 trillion, with 57.59% held by institutions and 5.22% held by insiders.
Valuation metrics show a PEG ratio of 26.32, forward P/E of 26.32, and trailing P/E of 29.59. The enterprise value is $2.95 trillion, with a price-to-book ratio of 39.34 and price-to-sales ratio of 7.65.
The stock price summary includes a beta of 1.264, 50-day moving average of $176.26, and 200-day moving average of $181.04. The 52-week low and high are $164.08 and $199.62, respectively.
Lastly, dividends and splits information indicates a payout ratio of 14.93%, with a forward annual dividend rate of $1 and a trailing annual dividend rate of $0.97. The company had a 4-for-1 split on August 31, 2020, and the most recent dividend date is May 16, 2024.
Income statement 💸
These are the revenues. Here are the conclusions:1. The company's sales revenue has been increasing steadily over the years, from $274.5 billion in 2020 to $383.3 billion in 2023.
2. Despite fluctuations in other financial metrics, the gross profit has generally followed the trend of increasing sales revenue.
3. The company has been able to maintain a healthy EBITDA margin, with EBITDA reaching $129.2 billion in 2023.
4. Net income has also shown an increasing trend, reaching $97 billion in 2023 from $57.4 billion in 2020.
5. The company has been managing its operating expenses effectively, as seen in the stable operating income figures over the years.
6. The basic and diluted earnings per share (EPS) have shown a slight fluctuation but have generally increased over the years.
7. The company has been able to generate consistent income from its continuous operations, with net income from continuous operations showing an increasing trend.
8. Overall, the financial performance of the company, as indicated by its revenue figures, has been positive and shows a growth trajectory.
Balance Sheet
These are balance sheets. Here are the conclusions:1. The total assets have been increasing over the years, reaching $365,725,000,000 in 2018.
2. Current assets have fluctuated, with the highest value in 2019 at $162,819,000,000.
3. Non-current assets have shown an increasing trend, peaking at $234,386,000,000 in 2018.
4. Total liabilities have also been on the rise, with the highest value in 2018 at $255,355,000,000.
5. Shareholders' equity has generally increased, with the highest value in 2018 at $107,147,000,000.
6. The company has been investing more in non-current assets and retaining earnings to increase shareholders' equity.
MACD of FGROF
This is not investment advice. Remember to verify the information provided here.
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