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Analysis Firstrand Limited (FANDF)

6/1/2024

Analysis Firstrand Limited (FANDF)

Analysis of Firstrand Limited (FANDF)

FirstRand Limited (FANDF) has been showing a consistent uptrend in its stock price over the past few days. The Relative Strength Index (RSI) is currently at 93.70, indicating that the stock may be overbought and a potential reversal could be on the horizon.

The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) indicator is positive, with the MACD line above the signal line, suggesting bullish momentum. However, the MACD histogram has been decreasing slightly, which could indicate a weakening of the bullish trend.

In terms of moving averages, the stock price is above the Simple Moving Average (SMA), Exponential Moving Average (EMA), and Weighted Moving Average (WMA), indicating a positive trend.

Overall, while the stock has been performing well recently, investors should be cautious of a possible correction due to the high RSI value and the slight decrease in the MACD histogram. It would be advisable to monitor the stock closely for any signs of a trend reversal.

Income statement 💸

These are the revenues. Here are the conclusions:

1. The company's sales revenue has been increasing steadily over the years, from $274.5 billion in 2020 to $383.3 billion in 2023.
2. The gross profit margin has been fluctuating, with the highest in 2020 at $104.9 billion and the lowest in 2021 at $152.8 billion.
3. Operating income has also been varying, with the highest in 2020 at $66.3 billion and the lowest in 2023 at $114.3 billion.
4. Net income has shown an increasing trend, from $57.4 billion in 2020 to $97 billion in 2023.
5. Earnings per share (EPS) have been relatively stable, with slight fluctuations over the years.
6. The company has been able to maintain a healthy EBITDA margin, with the highest at $133.1 billion in 2022.
7. Despite fluctuations in income tax expenses, the company has managed to increase its net income continuously.
8. The company has been able to generate positive EBIT and EBITDA consistently over the years, indicating operational efficiency and profitability.

Earnings

The company's results for the most recent quarter, ending on April 30, 2025, have not been provided at this time. The previous quarter's results, ending on February 27, 2025, were handled by the Transfer Agent. The quarter before that, ending on January 31, 2025, had results released after hours. The results for the quarter ending on October 31, 2024, were not provided at the time. However, for the quarter ending on August 1, 2024, the company had an EPS estimate of 1.32.

Main Statystic 🧠

The data provided includes financials, stock statistics, valuation metrics, stock price summary, and dividends and splits information for a specific company.

In terms of financials, the company has strong operating cash flow and levered free cash flow, with a positive current ratio. The profit margin and operating margin are also healthy, indicating efficient operations. The company's fiscal year ends in September 2023, and it has shown a positive return on assets and return on equity.

Looking at stock statistics, the company has a low short ratio and a significant percentage of shares held by institutions. The stock price has fluctuated between a fifty-two-week low and high, with a positive change over the period.

Valuation metrics show a relatively high PEG ratio and price-to-book ratio. The company's market capitalization and enterprise value are substantial, with moderate price-to-sales and enterprise-to-EBITDA ratios.

The stock price summary includes beta, moving averages, and the range of prices over the past year.

Lastly, dividends and splits information shows the company's dividend history, payout ratio, and dividend yield metrics. The company has a regular dividend payout and has undergone a stock split in the past.

Balance Sheet

These are balance sheets. Here are the conclusions:

1. The total assets have been increasing over the years, reaching the highest value in 2023 at $352,583,000,000.
2. Current assets fluctuate each year, with the highest value in 2019 at $162,819,000,000.
3. Non-current assets have been increasing steadily, with the highest value in 2023 at $209,017,000,000.
4. Total liabilities have also been increasing, reaching the highest value in 2023 at $290,437,000,000.
5. Shareholders' equity has been fluctuating, with the highest value in 2019 at $90,488,000,000.
6. The company has been relying more on non-current assets to support its operations.
7. There is a significant amount of debt in the company's capital structure, both short-term and long-term.
8. The company has been investing more in machinery, furniture, and equipment over the years.
9. Retained earnings have been positive in most years, except for a negative value in 2023.
10. The company has been managing its cash and cash equivalents effectively, with fluctuations in other current assets.

Cash Flow 💶

This is the cash flow statement. Here are some conclusions we can draw from the data:

1. The company's free cash flow has been fluctuating over the years, with the highest value in 2022 and the lowest in 2020.
2. Operating cash flow has been consistently higher than free cash flow, indicating that the company is generating sufficient cash from its core operations.
3. The company has been paying a significant amount in income taxes each year, with the highest amount paid in 2021.
4. The end cash position has also been fluctuating, with the highest value in 2020 and the lowest in 2022.
5. Financing activities have a significant impact on the company's cash flow, with large amounts being used for common stock repurchase and debt issuance.
6. Investing activities show a pattern of significant investments in the sale and purchase of investments, with varying levels of capital expenditures each year.
7. The company has been consistently paying interest on its debts each year.
8. Stock-based compensation has been a notable expense for the company each year.
9. The company has been consistently paying dividends to its shareholders, with varying amounts each year.

Earnings estimate

Based on the analysts' estimates for future quarterly and annual earnings per share:

1. For the current quarter ending on June 30, 2024, the average estimated EPS is $1.23, with a low estimate of $1.18 and a high estimate of $1.26. This shows an improvement compared to the EPS of $1.17 from the same quarter a year ago.

2. For the next quarter ending on September 30, 2024, the average estimated EPS is $1.42, with a low estimate of $1.33 and a high estimate of $1.51. This also indicates growth from the EPS of $1.35 in the same quarter last year.

3. Looking at the estimates for the current year ending on September 30, 2024, the average estimated EPS is $6.10, with a low estimate of $5.95 and a high estimate of $6.41. This reflects an increase from the EPS of $5.67 for the previous year.

4. For the next year ending on September 30, 2025, the average estimated EPS is $6.69, with a low estimate of $5.92 and a high estimate of $7.31. This suggests a slight improvement from the EPS of $6.10 in the previous year.

Overall, the analysts' estimates show a positive outlook for the company's earnings per share, with expected growth in both the short term and the long term.

Revenue estimate

The analysts' estimates for the future quarterly and annual sales of the company indicate a moderate growth trend.

For the current quarter ending on June 30, 2024, the average sales estimate is $77,545,400,000, which represents a 2% increase compared to the same quarter last year. The number of analysts providing estimates is 25.

Looking ahead to the next quarter ending on September 30, 2024, the average sales estimate is $85,501,800,000, with a sales growth of 3% compared to the previous year. The number of analysts remains at 25.

For the current fiscal year ending on September 30, 2024, the average sales estimate is $357,772,000,000, showing a 1% growth from the previous year. The number of analysts providing estimates has increased to 38.

In the following fiscal year ending on September 30, 2025, the average sales estimate is $380,772,000,000, indicating a more significant growth of 6% compared to the current fiscal year. The number of analysts remains at 38.

Overall, the estimates suggest a steady growth trajectory for the company's sales in the upcoming quarters and years, with a slightly more optimistic outlook for the next fiscal year.

Growth estimates

Based on the consensus estimates provided:
- The company is expected to experience a growth rate of 7.6% in the current year and 9.7% in the next year.
- For the current quarter and the next quarter, the growth rate is estimated to be around 5.1%.
- Over the next 5 years, the company is projected to have a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of approximately 9.7%.
- However, when looking at the past 5 years, the company had a higher growth rate of around 20.1% per annum.

Overall, it seems that the company is expected to maintain a solid growth trajectory, with a slightly lower growth rate in the near term compared to the past performance.

Price target

The analysts' forecast for the future price of the security paper is as follows:
- Low: $164
- High: $250
- Median: $200
- Average: $202.26
- Current price: $191.57
- Currency: USD

Based on these forecasts, we can see that the analysts have a range of opinions on the future price of the security paper, with the low end at $164, the high end at $250, and the average forecast at $202.26. The current price is below both the average and median forecast, indicating that there is potential for growth according to the analysts' predictions.

MACD of FANDF

This is not investment advice. Remember to verify the information provided here.

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Contacts

Telephone number

+48 32 700 81 66

Email address

[email protected]

Company information

Honey Payment Group S.A. at Al. Aleje Jerozolimskie 65 / 79, 00-697 Warsaw, Poland, Register number KRS 0000335507, NIP 5252859204, REGON 388760204. Honey Payment Group is listed on the Warsaw Stock Exchange (WSE) under the ticker symbol HPG. Link