Analysis Firstsource Solutions Limited (FSL)
6/2/2024
Analysis of Firstsource Solutions Limited (FSL)
Firstsource Solutions Limited (FSL) has been experiencing a downward trend in its stock price over the past few days. The Relative Strength Index (RSI) indicator is showing values below 50, indicating a bearish momentum in the stock. Additionally, the Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) indicator is negative, with the MACD line below the signal line, suggesting a potential further decline in the stock price.The stock has been trading below its Simple Moving Average (SMA), Exponential Moving Average (EMA), and Weighted Moving Average (WMA), indicating a bearish sentiment in the market.
Overall, based on the technical indicators and moving averages, the short-term outlook for Firstsource Solutions Limited appears bearish. Traders and investors may consider exercising caution or implementing risk management strategies when trading or holding positions in FSL.
Earnings
The company's results for the most recent quarter, ending on April 30, 2025, have not been provided at this time. The previous quarter's results, ending on February 27, 2025, were handled by the Transfer Agent. The quarter before that, ending on January 31, 2025, had results released after hours. The results for the quarter ending on October 31, 2024, were not provided at the time. However, for the quarter ending on August 1, 2024, the company reported an earnings per share (EPS) estimate of 1.32.Main Statystic ðŸ§
The data provided includes financials, stock statistics, valuations metrics, stock price summary, and dividends and splits information for a specific company.In terms of financials, the company has strong cash flow with operating cash flow TTM of $110.56 billion and levered free cash flow TTM of $84.73 billion. The balance sheet shows a total cash MRQ of $67.15 billion, total debt MRQ of $104.59 billion, and a current ratio MRQ of 1.037. The profit margin is 26.31%, and the company's fiscal year ends on September 30, 2023. The income statement reveals EBITDA of $131.39 billion, revenue TTM of $381.62 billion, and a diluted EPS TTM of 6.43.
Moving on to stock statistics, the company has a short ratio of 1.53, with 15.31 billion float shares and 99.29 million shares short. The average 10-day volume is 46.86 million, and the average 90-day volume is 57.50 million. The company has 15.33 billion shares outstanding, with 5.22% held by insiders and 57.59% held by institutions.
Valuation metrics show a PEG ratio of 26.32, forward PE of 26.32, and trailing PE of 29.59. The enterprise value is $2.95 trillion, with a price to book MRQ of 39.34 and price to sales TTM of 7.65. The enterprise to EBITDA ratio is 22.76, and the enterprise to revenue ratio is 7.73. The market capitalization is $2.92 trillion.
The stock price summary includes a beta of 1.26, a 50-day moving average of $176.26, a 200-day moving average of $181.04, a 52-week low of $164.08, a 52-week high of $199.62, and a 52-week change of 6.85%.
Lastly, dividends and splits information shows a payout ratio of 14.93%, with a dividend date of May 16, 2024, and an ex-dividend date of May 10, 2024. The last split date was August 31, 2020, with a 4-for-1 split factor. The forward annual dividend rate is $1, with a 5-year average dividend yield of 0.73% and a forward annual dividend yield of 0.53%. The trailing annual dividend rate is $0.97, with a trailing annual dividend yield of 0.51%.
Revenue estimate
The analysts' estimates for the future quarterly and annual sales of the company indicate a moderate growth trend.For the current quarter ending on June 30, 2024, the average estimate is $77,545,400,000, representing a 2% increase from the same period last year. The number of analysts providing estimates is 25.
Looking at the next quarter ending on September 30, 2024, the average estimate is $85,501,800,000, with a sales growth of 3% compared to the previous year. Again, 25 analysts have contributed to these estimates.
For the current fiscal year ending on September 30, 2024, the average estimate is $357,772,000,000, showing a 1% growth from the previous year. The number of analysts providing estimates for the annual sales is 38.
In the following fiscal year ending on September 30, 2025, the average estimate is $380,772,000,000, indicating a more significant growth of 6% from the current year. The number of analysts remains at 38.
Overall, the estimates suggest a steady growth trajectory for the company's sales in both the short term and the long term.
Growth estimates
Based on the consensus estimates provided by analysts, we can draw the following conclusions regarding the growth rate of the company for different periods:1. Current Quarter: The estimated growth rate for the current quarter is 5.1%.
2. Next Quarter: The estimated growth rate for the next quarter is 5.2%.
3. Current Year: The estimated growth rate for the current year is 7.6%.
4. Next Year: The estimated growth rate for the next year is 9.7%.
5. Past 5 Years (per annum): The average annual growth rate for the past 5 years is 20.1%.
6. Next 5 Years (per annum): The estimated average annual growth rate for the next 5 years is 9.7%.
These estimates suggest that the company has been experiencing strong growth in the past, but analysts expect the growth rate to moderate slightly in the coming years, although it is still expected to be healthy.
Price target
Based on the analysts' forecast, the future price of the security is expected to range between $164 (low) and $250 (high), with a median estimate of $200 and an average estimate of $202.26. The current price of the security is $191.57.Income statement 💸
Here are the revenue figures for the company over the past four fiscal years:1. Fiscal Year 2023: Sales of $383,285,000,000
2. Fiscal Year 2022: Sales of $394,328,000,000
3. Fiscal Year 2021: Sales of $365,817,000,000
4. Fiscal Year 2020: Sales of $274,515,000,000
From these figures, we can observe the following trends:
- The company experienced a decrease in sales from FY 2022 to FY 2023.
- Prior to FY 2023, there was a general upward trend in sales over the previous years.
- The company saw a significant increase in sales from FY 2020 to FY 2021.
These trends in revenue can provide insights into the company's performance and market conditions over the specified fiscal years.
Balance Sheet
These are balance sheets. Here are the conclusions:1. The total assets have been increasing over the years, reaching $365,725,000,000 in 2018.
2. Current assets include cash, inventory, and receivables, with a significant portion in cash equivalents and short-term investments.
3. Non-current assets consist mainly of investments and advances, along with machinery, furniture, and equipment.
4. Total liabilities have also been increasing, but at a slower pace compared to assets, resulting in a growth in shareholders' equity.
5. Shareholders' equity includes common stock, retained earnings, and other components, contributing to the overall equity of the company.
6. The company has been managing its short-term and long-term debts while investing in assets for future growth.
7. Overall, the financial health of the company seems stable and improving over the years.
Cash Flow 💶
This is the cash flow statement. Here are some conclusions we can draw from the data:1. The company's free cash flow has been fluctuating over the years, with the highest value recorded in 2022 and the lowest in 2020.
2. Operating cash flow has generally been increasing year over year, indicating improved operational efficiency.
3. Financing activities show a pattern of common stock repurchases and long-term debt issuances, with significant variations in amounts each year.
4. Investing activities reflect a mix of acquisitions, capital expenditures, and investments, with notable changes in the sale and purchase of investments.
5. The end cash position has also varied, reaching its peak in 2020 and its lowest point in 2022.
6. Interest paid and income tax paid figures show fluctuations, impacting the company's overall cash flow position.
7. Stock-based compensation has been a consistent part of the operating activities, indicating the use of equity incentives for employees.
These conclusions provide insights into the company's financial performance and strategic decisions over the years.
Earnings estimate
Based on the analysts' estimates for future quarterly and annual earnings per share:1. For the current quarter ending on June 30, 2024, the average estimated EPS is $1.23, with a low estimate of $1.18 and a high estimate of $1.26. This shows an improvement compared to the EPS of $1.17 from the same quarter a year ago.
2. For the next quarter ending on September 30, 2024, the average estimated EPS is $1.42, with a low estimate of $1.33 and a high estimate of $1.51. This also indicates growth from the EPS of $1.35 in the same quarter last year.
3. Looking at the estimates for the current fiscal year ending on September 30, 2024, the average estimated EPS is $6.10, ranging from a low estimate of $5.95 to a high estimate of $6.41. This reflects an increase from the EPS of $5.67 for the previous fiscal year.
4. For the next fiscal year ending on September 30, 2025, the average estimated EPS is $6.69, with a low estimate of $5.92 and a high estimate of $7.31. This suggests a slight improvement from the EPS of $6.10 in the current fiscal year.
Overall, the analysts' estimates point towards a positive trend of increasing earnings per share for the company in both the short term and the long term.
MACD of FSL
This is not investment advice. Remember to verify the information provided here.
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