Analysis Ford Motor Company 6.500% Notes (F.PR.D)
6/2/2024
Analysis of Ford Motor Company 6.500% Notes (F.PR.D)
The Ford Motor Company 6.500% Notes (symbol: F.PR.D) have shown relatively stable performance in the recent trading days. The price has been fluctuating within a narrow range, with the closing prices ranging from $24.55 to $25.20.Key technical indicators such as the Relative Strength Index (RSI), Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD), and Moving Averages (SMA, EMA, WMA) suggest a neutral to slightly bullish sentiment in the market.
The RSI values have been hovering around the mid-range, indicating a balanced buying and selling pressure. The MACD line has been close to the signal line, with the histogram fluctuating around the zero line, suggesting a lack of strong momentum in either direction.
Moving averages show that the current price is close to the short-term averages, indicating a possible consolidation phase. Overall, the technical indicators suggest a sideways movement in the near term.
Investors in Ford Motor Company 6.500% Notes may consider monitoring key support and resistance levels for potential breakout opportunities. Additionally, keeping an eye on any significant news or developments related to Ford Motor Company could provide further insights into the future performance of the notes.
Main Statystic ðŸ§
The data provides detailed information about the financials, stock statistics, valuations metrics, stock price summary, and dividends and splits of a company.1. Financials:
- Cash Flow: Operating cash flow TTM is $110,563,000,320 and levered free cash flow TTM is $84,726,874,112.
- Balance Sheet: Total cash MRQ is $67,150,000,128, total debt MRQ is $104,590,000,128, current ratio MRQ is 1.037, book value per share MRQ is $4.837, total cash per share MRQ is $4.379, total debt to equity MRQ is 140.968.
- Profit Margin: 26.306%
- Fiscal Year Ends: September 30, 2023
- Income Statement: EBITDA is $131,393,000,000, revenue TTM is $381,623,009,280, diluted EPS TTM is $6.43, gross profit TTM is $169,148,000,000, revenue per share TTM is $24.537, net income to common TTM is $100,389,003,264, quarterly revenue growth is -4.3%, quarterly earnings growth YoY is -2.2%.
- Operating Margin: 30.743%
- Most Recent Quarter: March 31, 2024
- Return on Assets TTM: 22.073999%
- Return on Equity TTM: 147.25%
2. Stock Statistics:
- Short Ratio: 1.53
- Float Shares: 15,308,320,742
- Shares Short: 99,287,450
- Avg 10 Volume: 46,860,048
- Avg 90 Volume: 57,498,254
- Shares Outstanding: 15,334,099,968
- Percent Held by Insiders: 5.22%
- Percent Held by Institutions: 57.589%
- Short Percent of Shares Outstanding: 0.65%
3. Valuations Metrics:
- PEG Ratio: 26.319502
- Forward PE: 26.319502
- Trailing PE: 29.59409
- Enterprise Value: $2,950,762,332,160
- Price to Book MRQ: 39.3405
- Price to Sales TTM: 7.646095
- Enterprise to EBITDA: 22.763
- Enterprise to Revenue: 7.732
- Market Capitalization: $2,917,925,650,432
4. Stock Price Summary:
- Beta: 1.264
- Day 50 MA: $176.2646
- Day 200 MA: $181.0429
- Fifty-Two Week Low: $164.08
- Fifty-Two Week High: $199.62
- Fifty-Two Week Change: 6.853%
5. Dividends and Splits:
- Payout Ratio: 14.93%
- Dividend Date: May 16, 2024
- Last Split Date: August 31, 2020
- Ex-Dividend Date: May 10, 2024
- Last Split Factor: 4-for-1 split
- Forward Annual Dividend Rate: $1
- 5-Year Average Dividend Yield: 0.73%
- Forward Annual Dividend Yield: 0.5255%
- Trailing Annual Dividend Rate: $0.97
- Trailing Annual Dividend Yield: 0.5097%
Income statement 💸
Here are the revenue figures for the company over the past four fiscal years:- 2020: $274,515,000,000
- 2021: $365,817,000,000
- 2022: $394,328,000,000
- 2023: $383,285,000,000
From these numbers, we can observe that the company has experienced a steady increase in revenue from 2020 to 2022, with a slight decrease in 2023. This trend indicates a general growth in the company's top line over the years, although there was a slight dip in the most recent fiscal year.
Earnings
The company's results for the most recent quarter, ending on April 30, 2025, have not been provided at this time. The previous quarter's results, ending on February 27, 2025, were handled by the Transfer Agent. The quarter before that, ending on January 31, 2025, had results released after hours. The results for the quarter ending on October 31, 2024, were not provided at the time. However, for the quarter ending on August 1, 2024, the company had an EPS estimate of 1.32.Balance Sheet
These are balance sheets. Here are the conclusions:1. The total assets have been increasing over the years, reaching $365,725,000,000 in 2018.
2. Current assets include cash, inventory, and receivables, with a significant portion in cash equivalents and short-term investments.
3. Non-current assets consist mainly of investments and advances, along with machinery, furniture, and equipment.
4. Total liabilities have also been increasing, but at a slower pace compared to assets.
5. Shareholders' equity has shown a positive trend, indicating a healthy financial position.
6. The company has been investing in leases, land, and improvements, while also managing debt levels effectively.
7. Overall, the financial stability and growth of the company seem to be well-maintained over the years.
Cash Flow 💶
This is the cash flow statement. Here are some conclusions we can draw from the data:1. The company's free cash flow has been fluctuating over the years, with the highest value in 2022 and the lowest in 2020.
2. Operating cash flow has generally been increasing year over year, indicating improved operational efficiency.
3. The company has been consistently paying interest and income taxes, with varying amounts each year.
4. The end cash position has also been fluctuating, reaching its highest value in 2020.
5. Financing activities show a pattern of common stock repurchase, issuance of long-term debt, and payment of dividends.
6. Investing activities include the sale and purchase of investments, as well as capital expenditures.
7. Overall, the company seems to be managing its cash flow effectively, with a focus on operational efficiency and strategic investments.
Earnings estimate
Based on the analysts' estimates for future quarterly and annual earnings per share (EPS):1. For the current quarter ending on June 30, 2024, the average EPS estimate is $1.23, with a low estimate of $1.18 and a high estimate of $1.26. This shows an improvement compared to the EPS of $1.17 from the same quarter a year ago.
2. For the next quarter ending on September 30, 2024, the average EPS estimate is $1.42, with a low estimate of $1.33 and a high estimate of $1.51. This also indicates growth from the EPS of $1.35 in the same quarter last year.
3. Looking at the estimates for the current fiscal year ending on September 30, 2024, the average EPS estimate is $6.10, ranging from a low estimate of $5.95 to a high estimate of $6.41. This reflects an increase from the EPS of $5.67 for the previous fiscal year.
4. For the next fiscal year ending on September 30, 2025, the average EPS estimate is $6.69, with a low estimate of $5.92 and a high estimate of $7.31. This suggests further growth compared to the EPS of $6.10 in the current fiscal year.
Overall, the analysts' estimates point towards a positive trend of increasing earnings per share for both the upcoming quarters and fiscal years.
Revenue estimate
The analysts' estimates for the future quarterly and annual sales of the company indicate a moderate growth trend.For the current quarter ending on June 30, 2024, the average estimate is $77,545,400,000, representing a 2% increase from the same period last year. The number of analysts providing estimates is 25.
Looking at the next quarter ending on September 30, 2024, the average estimate is $85,501,800,000, with a sales growth of 3% compared to the previous year. The number of analysts remains at 25.
For the current fiscal year ending on September 30, 2024, the average estimate is $357,772,000,000, showing a 1% growth from the previous year. The number of analysts providing estimates has increased to 38.
In the following fiscal year ending on September 30, 2025, the average estimate is $380,772,000,000, indicating a more significant growth of 6% from the current fiscal year. The number of analysts remains at 38.
Overall, the estimates suggest a steady growth trajectory for the company's total revenues in the upcoming quarters and years, with a slightly more optimistic outlook for the next fiscal year.
Growth estimates
Based on the consensus estimates from analysts, we can draw the following conclusions regarding the growth rate of the company for different periods:1. Current Quarter: The estimated growth rate for the current quarter is 5.1%.
2. Next Quarter: The estimated growth rate for the next quarter is 5.2%.
3. Current Year: The estimated growth rate for the current year is 7.6%.
4. Next Year: The estimated growth rate for the next year is 9.7%.
5. Past 5 Years (per annum): The average annual growth rate for the past 5 years is 20.1%.
6. Next 5 Years (per annum): The estimated average annual growth rate for the next 5 years is 9.7%.
These estimates suggest a positive growth trend for the company, with a significant decrease in growth rate compared to the past 5 years but still a healthy growth rate expected for the upcoming periods. It indicates a stable growth trajectory with a slight moderation in the growth rate.
Price target
The analysts' forecast for the future price of the security is as follows:- Low: $164
- High: $275
- Median: $201.43
- Average: $204.58
- Current price: $192.25
Based on these forecasts, it appears that the analysts are generally optimistic about the future price of the security, with a median forecast above the current price. However, there is a wide range of estimates, from a low of $164 to a high of $275, indicating some uncertainty in the predictions.
MACD of F.PR.D
This is not investment advice. Remember to verify the information provided here.
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