Analysis Fortitude Gold Corporation (FTCO)
6/5/2024
Analysis of Fortitude Gold Corporation (FTCO)
Fortitude Gold Corporation (FTCO) has been showing a downward trend in its stock price over the past few days. The Relative Strength Index (RSI) indicator is below 50, indicating a bearish momentum. The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) indicator is also negative, with the MACD line below the signal line, suggesting a potential further decline in the stock price.The Simple Moving Average (SMA), Exponential Moving Average (EMA), and Weighted Moving Average (WMA) are all trending downwards, reflecting the recent price decline.
Overall, based on the technical indicators, Fortitude Gold Corporation may continue to face downward pressure in the near term. Investors should closely monitor the stock for any potential reversal in the trend.
Earnings
The company's results for the most recent quarter, ending on April 30, 2025, have not been provided at this time. The previous quarter's results, ending on February 27, 2025, were handled by the Transfer Agent. The quarter before that, ending on January 31, 2025, had results released after hours. The results for the quarter ending on October 31, 2024, were not provided at the time. However, for the quarter ending on August 1, 2024, the company reported an earnings per share (EPS) estimate of 1.32.Main Statystic ðŸ§
The data provided includes financials, stock statistics, valuation metrics, stock price summary, and dividends and splits information for a specific company.In terms of financials, the company has strong operating cash flow and levered free cash flow, with a positive current ratio. The profit margin and operating margin are also healthy, indicating efficient operations. The company's fiscal year ends in September 2023, and it has shown a positive return on assets and return on equity.
Looking at stock statistics, the company has a low short ratio and a significant percentage of shares held by institutions. The stock price summary shows the stock's performance over the past year, with a beta of 1.264.
Valuation metrics indicate that the company may be considered overvalued based on metrics such as PEG ratio, forward PE, and price to book ratio. The company's market capitalization and enterprise value are also provided.
Lastly, information on dividends and splits shows the company's dividend history, payout ratio, and dividend yield. The company has a regular dividend payment schedule and has undergone a stock split in the past.
Income statement 💸
Here are the revenue figures for the company over the past four fiscal years:1. Fiscal Year 2023: Sales of $383,285,000,000
2. Fiscal Year 2022: Sales of $394,328,000,000
3. Fiscal Year 2021: Sales of $365,817,000,000
4. Fiscal Year 2020: Sales of $274,515,000,000
From these figures, we can observe the following trends:
- The company experienced a significant increase in sales from FY 2020 to FY 2022, followed by a slight decrease in FY 2023.
- Overall, there has been a positive revenue growth trend over the past four years, indicating the company's ability to generate increasing sales.
- It would be beneficial to further analyze the factors contributing to the fluctuations in revenue between the fiscal years to understand the company's performance better.
Balance Sheet
These are balance sheets. Here are the conclusions:1. The total assets have been increasing over the years, reaching $365,725,000,000 in 2018.
2. Current assets fluctuate, with the highest value in 2019 at $162,819,000,000.
3. Non-current assets have been increasing steadily, with the highest value in 2019 at $175,697,000,000.
4. Total liabilities have also been increasing, reaching $255,355,000,000 in 2018.
5. Shareholders' equity has been fluctuating, with the highest value in 2018 at $107,147,000,000.
Cash Flow 💶
This is the cash flow statement. Here are some conclusions we can draw from the data:1. The company's free cash flow has been fluctuating over the years, with the highest value in 2022 and the lowest in 2020.
2. Operating cash flow has generally been increasing year over year, indicating improved operational efficiency.
3. Financing activities show significant fluctuations, with large amounts being spent on common stock repurchase and debt issuance/payment.
4. Investing activities also vary, with notable amounts spent on the sale and purchase of investments.
5. The end cash position has been fluctuating, but overall, the company seems to maintain a healthy cash reserve.
6. Interest paid has increased over the years, which could indicate higher debt levels or interest rates.
7. Income tax paid has also varied, possibly due to changes in profitability or tax regulations.
8. Stock-based compensation is a significant factor in the company's financial activities, impacting both operating and financing cash flows.
Earnings estimate
Based on the analysts' estimates for future quarterly and annual earnings per share:1. For the current quarter ending on June 30, 2024, the average EPS estimate is $1.23, with a range from $1.18 to $1.26. This shows an improvement compared to the EPS of $1.17 from the same quarter last year.
2. For the next quarter ending on September 30, 2024, the average EPS estimate is higher at $1.42, with a low estimate of $1.33 and a high estimate of $1.51. This is also an increase from the EPS of $1.35 in the same quarter a year ago.
3. Looking at the estimates for the current year ending on September 30, 2024, the average EPS estimate is $6.10, ranging from $5.95 to $6.41. This reflects growth from the EPS of $5.67 in the previous year.
4. For the next year ending on September 30, 2025, analysts project further growth with an average EPS estimate of $6.69, ranging from $5.92 to $7.31. This indicates an improvement from the EPS of $6.10 in the current year.
Overall, the estimates suggest a positive outlook for the company's earnings per share, showing a trend of growth and improvement in profitability over the coming quarters and years.
Revenue estimate
Based on the analysts' estimates for the future quarterly and annual sales of the company, the following conclusions can be drawn:1. For the current quarter ending on June 30, 2024, the average sales estimate is $77,545,400,000, with a sales growth of 2% compared to the same quarter last year. The number of analysts providing estimates is 25.
2. For the next quarter ending on September 30, 2024, the average sales estimate is $85,501,800,000, with a sales growth of 3% compared to the same quarter last year. The number of analysts providing estimates is 25.
3. For the current fiscal year ending on September 30, 2024, the average sales estimate is $357,772,000,000, with a sales growth of 1% compared to the previous fiscal year. The number of analysts providing estimates is 38.
4. For the next fiscal year ending on September 30, 2025, the average sales estimate is $380,772,000,000, with a sales growth of 6% compared to the current fiscal year. The number of analysts providing estimates is 38.
Growth estimates
Based on the consensus estimates provided:- The company is expected to experience a growth rate of 7.6% in the current year and 9.7% in the next year.
- For the current quarter and the next quarter, the growth rate is estimated to be around 5.1%.
- Over the next 5 years, the company is projected to have a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of approximately 9.7%.
- However, when looking at the past 5 years, the company had a higher growth rate of around 20.1% per annum.
Overall, it appears that the company is expected to maintain a solid growth trajectory, although at a slightly lower rate compared to the past 5 years.
Price target
The analysts' forecast for the future price of the security is as follows:- Low: $164
- High: $275
- Median: $201.43
- Average: $204.58
- Current price: $192.25
Based on these figures, it can be observed that the analysts have a wide range of opinions regarding the future price of the security, with a low estimate of $164 and a high estimate of $275. The median and average forecasts are $201.43 and $204.58 respectively. The current price of the security is $192.25.
MACD of FTCO
This is not investment advice. Remember to verify the information provided here.
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