Analysis freee K.K. (4478)
5/24/2024
Analysis of freee K.K. (4478)
Freee K.K. (4478) is showing some interesting trends based on the provided data:1. **Price Movement**: The price has been fluctuating between 2578 and 2927 over the past few days, with the latest closing price at 2633. There seems to be some volatility in the stock.
2. **Technical Indicators**:
- **RSI Indicator**: The Relative Strength Index (RSI) is around 34.93, indicating that the stock is approaching oversold conditions.
- **MACD Indicator**: The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) is negative at -81.77, suggesting a bearish trend in the stock price.
- **Moving Averages**: The Simple Moving Average (SMA) is at 2836.80, the Exponential Moving Average (EMA) is at 2917.07, and the Weighted Moving Average (WMA) is at 2850.19. These moving averages can help identify potential support and resistance levels.
3. **Overall Trend**: The stock seems to be in a downtrend based on the MACD indicator and the RSI approaching oversold levels. However, the moving averages are still above the current price, indicating a possible reversal.
4. **Recommendation**: It might be a good idea to wait for confirmation of a trend reversal before making any trading decisions. Keep an eye on the RSI, MACD, and moving averages for potential signals.
Please note that this analysis is based on historical data and trends can change quickly in the stock market. It's always recommended to do further research or consult with a financial advisor before making any investment decisions.
Earnings
The company's results for the quarter ending April 30, 2025, have not been provided at this time. The results for the quarter ending February 27, 2025, are pending confirmation from the transfer agent. The results for the quarter ending January 31, 2025, were released after hours. The results for the quarter ending October 31, 2024, have not been provided at this time. The results for the quarter ending August 1, 2024, showed an EPS estimate of 1.33.Main Statystic ðŸ§
The data provided includes financials, stock statistics, valuation metrics, stock price summary, and dividends and splits for a specific company. Here is a summary of the key information:1. Financials:
- Cash Flow: Operating cash flow TTM is $110,563,000,320 and levered free cash flow TTM is $84,726,874,112.
- Balance Sheet: Total cash MRQ is $67,150,000,128, total debt MRQ is $104,590,000,128, current ratio MRQ is 1.037, book value per share MRQ is $4.837, total cash per share MRQ is $4.379, and total debt to equity MRQ is 140.968.
- Profit Margin: 26.306%
- Fiscal Year Ends: September 30, 2023
- Income Statement: EBITDA is $131,393,000,000, revenue TTM is $381,623,009,280, diluted EPS TTM is $6.44, gross profit TTM is $169,148,000,000, revenue per share TTM is $24.537, net income to common TTM is $100,389,003,264, quarterly revenue growth is -4.3%, and quarterly earnings growth YoY is -2.2%.
- Operating Margin: 30.743%
- Most Recent Quarter: March 31, 2024
- Return on Assets TTM: 22.073999%
- Return on Equity TTM: 147.25%
2. Stock Statistics:
- Short Ratio: 1.66
- Float Shares: 15,308,320,742
- Shares Short: 94,308,265
- Average 10-Day Volume: 52,903,608
- Average 90-Day Volume: 62,823,269
- Shares Outstanding: 15,334,099,968
- Percent Held by Insiders: 5.22%
- Percent Held by Institutions: 57.555%
- Short Percent of Shares Outstanding: 0.62%
3. Valuation Metrics:
- PEG Ratio: 26.213001
- Forward PE: 26.213001
- Trailing PE: 29.428572
- Enterprise Value: $2,948,462,018,560
- Price to Book MRQ: 39.181313
- Price to Sales TTM: 7.6151557
- Enterprise to EBITDA: 22.745
- Enterprise to Revenue: 7.726
- Market Capitalization: $2,906,118,684,672
4. Stock Price Summary:
- Beta: 1.264
- 50-Day Moving Average: $173.6936
- 200-Day Moving Average: $180.7906
- 52-Week Low: $164.08
- 52-Week High: $199.62
- 52-Week Change: 8.253%
5. Dividends and Splits:
- Payout Ratio: 14.93%
- Dividend Date: May 16, 2024
- Last Split Date: August 31, 2020
- Ex-Dividend Date: May 10, 2024
- Last Split Factor: 4-for-1 split
- Forward Annual Dividend Rate: $1
- 5-Year Average Dividend Yield: 0.73%
- Forward Annual Dividend Yield: 0.5266761603816345%
- Trailing Annual Dividend Rate: $0.97
- Trailing Annual Dividend Yield: 0.5108758755701854%
Income statement 💸
These are the revenue figures. Here are the conclusions:1. The company's sales revenue has been increasing steadily over the years, from $274.5 billion in 2020 to $383.3 billion in 2023.
2. Despite the increase in sales, the cost of goods sold has also been rising, indicating a potential need for cost management.
3. The gross profit margin has remained relatively stable over the years, suggesting efficient cost control measures.
4. Operating income has shown a positive trend, reaching $114.3 billion in 2023 from $66.3 billion in 2020.
5. Net income has also been increasing consistently, from $57.4 billion in 2020 to $97 billion in 2023.
6. Earnings per share (EPS) have shown a slight fluctuation but have generally been on an upward trajectory.
7. The company has been able to maintain a healthy EBITDA margin, indicating strong operational performance.
8. Overall, the financial performance of the company seems to be improving, with a focus on revenue growth and cost management.
Earnings estimate
Based on the analysts' estimates for future quarterly and annual earnings per share (EPS), we can draw the following conclusions:1. For the current quarter ending on June 30, 2024, the average EPS estimate is $1.33, with a low estimate of $1.27 and a high estimate of $1.36. This shows an improvement compared to the EPS of $1.26 from the same quarter a year ago.
2. Looking ahead to the next quarter ending on September 30, 2024, the average EPS estimate is higher at $1.53, with a low estimate of $1.44 and a high estimate of $1.63. This is also an improvement from the EPS of $1.46 in the corresponding quarter last year.
3. For the current fiscal year ending on September 30, 2024, analysts project an average EPS of $6.59, ranging from a low estimate of $6.43 to a high estimate of $6.92. This reflects growth compared to the EPS of $6.13 for the previous fiscal year.
4. Looking further ahead to the next fiscal year ending on September 30, 2025, analysts anticipate an average EPS of $7.23, with a low estimate of $6.40 and a high estimate of $7.90. This forecast suggests a recovery from the EPS of $6.59 reported for the fiscal year ending in 2024.
Overall, the analysts' estimates indicate a positive trend of increasing earnings per share for both the upcoming quarters and the full fiscal years, signaling potential growth and improvement in the company's financial performance.
Revenue estimate
Based on the analysts' estimates for the future quarterly and annual sales of the company, we can draw the following conclusions:1. For the current quarter ending on June 30, 2024, the average sales estimate is $83,776,900,000, with a sales growth of 2% compared to the same quarter last year. The number of analysts providing estimates is 24.
2. For the next quarter ending on September 30, 2024, the average sales estimate is $92,375,300,000, with a sales growth of 3% compared to the same quarter last year. The number of analysts providing estimates is 24.
3. For the current fiscal year ending on September 30, 2024, the average sales estimate is $386,681,000,000, with a sales growth of 1% compared to the previous fiscal year. The number of analysts providing estimates is 37.
4. For the next fiscal year ending on September 30, 2025, the average sales estimate is $411,555,000,000, with a sales growth of 6% compared to the current fiscal year. The number of analysts providing estimates is 37.
These estimates suggest a moderate growth trend in both quarterly and annual sales for the company over the specified periods, with slightly higher growth expected in the next fiscal year.
Growth estimates
Based on the consensus estimates provided, we can draw the following conclusions regarding the growth rate of the company for different periods:1. Current Quarter: The estimated growth rate for the current quarter is 5.6%.
2. Next Quarter: The estimated growth rate for the next quarter is 4.8%.
3. Current Year: The estimated growth rate for the current year is 7.5%.
4. Next Year: The estimated growth rate for the next year is 9.7%.
5. Past 5 Years (per annum): The average annual growth rate for the past 5 years is 20.1%.
6. Next 5 Years (per annum): The estimated average annual growth rate for the next 5 years is 11%.
These estimates suggest a positive growth trend for the company, with a slightly lower growth rate expected in the next 5 years compared to the past 5 years. The company is projected to experience steady growth in the upcoming quarters and years, indicating a positive outlook for its future performance.
Price target
The analysts' forecast for the future price of the security is as follows:- Low: $164
- High: $250
- Median: $200
- Average: $202.26
- Current price: $191.57
- Currency: USD
Based on these forecasts, we can see that the analysts have a range of opinions on the future price of the security, with the low end at $164, the high end at $250, and the average forecast at $202.26. The current price of the security is $191.57, which is below the median and average forecast, indicating that some analysts may expect the price to increase in the future.
Balance Sheet
These are balance sheets. Here are the conclusions based on the provided data:1. The total assets have been increasing over the years, reaching the highest value of $365,725,000,000 in 2018.
2. Current assets fluctuate from year to year, with the highest value of $162,819,000,000 in 2019.
3. Non-current assets have shown an increasing trend, with the highest value of $234,386,000,000 in 2018.
4. Total liabilities have also been increasing, reaching the highest value of $302,083,000,000 in 2022.
5. Shareholders' equity has been fluctuating, with the highest value of $90,488,000,000 in 2019.
6. The company has been relying more on non-current assets to support its operations over the years.
7. There is a significant amount of debt in the company's capital structure, both short-term and long-term.
8. The company has been investing in leases, land, improvements, and machinery, furniture, and equipment to support its operations.
9. Retained earnings have been negative in some years, indicating that the company has experienced losses.
10. The company has been managing its cash and cash equivalents effectively, with fluctuations in other current assets.
Cash Flow 💶
Based on the cash flow data provided, we can draw the following conclusions:1. The company's free cash flow has been fluctuating over the years, with a significant increase in 2022 compared to 2021 and a slight decrease in 2023 compared to 2022.
2. The company has been consistently paying interest and income taxes, with varying amounts each year.
3. The end cash position has also been fluctuating, showing a general upward trend over the years.
4. Financing activities have had a significant impact on the company's cash flow, with large amounts being used for common stock repurchase and long-term debt issuance.
5. Investing activities have also played a role in the cash flow, with significant amounts being used for the sale and purchase of investments.
6. Operating activities have generated a substantial amount of cash flow each year, with net income being a major contributor.
7. Stock-based compensation has been a consistent expense for the company each year.
Overall, the company's cash flow statement reflects a mix of operational, investing, and financing activities that have influenced its financial position over the years.
MACD of 4478
This is not investment advice. Remember to verify the information provided here.
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