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Analysis Frontier Developments PLC (FDEV)

5/30/2024

Analysis Frontier Developments PLC (FDEV)

Analysis of Frontier Developments PLC (FDEV)

Frontier Developments PLC (FDEV) has shown some interesting price movements recently. The stock closed at 262.10 on May 30th, after reaching a high of 264.50 and a low of 246.00.

From a technical analysis perspective, the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is at 52.34, indicating a neutral position. The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) is at 12.40, below the signal line of 19.32, with a negative histogram, suggesting a bearish trend.

Looking at the moving averages, the Simple Moving Average (SMA) is at 264.46, the Exponential Moving Average (EMA) is at 253.35, and the Weighted Moving Average (WMA) is at 269.64. The stock price is currently below the SMA, EMA, and WMA, indicating a potential bearish sentiment.

Overall, based on the technical indicators, Frontier Developments PLC may be facing some downward pressure in the near term. Traders and investors should closely monitor the support and resistance levels for potential trading opportunities.

Earnings

The company's results for the most recent quarter, ending on April 30, 2025, have not been provided at this time. The previous quarter's results, ending on February 27, 2025, were handled by the Transfer Agent. The quarter before that, ending on January 31, 2025, had results released after hours. The results for the quarter ending on October 31, 2024, were not provided at the time. However, for the quarter ending on August 1, 2024, the company had an EPS estimate of 1.32.

Main Statystic 🧠

The data provided includes financials, stock statistics, valuation metrics, stock price summary, and dividends and splits information for a specific company.

In terms of financials, the company has strong operating cash flow and levered free cash flow, with a positive current ratio and a high total debt to equity ratio. The profit margin and operating margin are also healthy, indicating efficient operations. The company's fiscal year ends in September 2023, and the most recent quarter reported is March 2024. The company shows good returns on assets and equity.

Looking at stock statistics, the company has a low short ratio and a significant percentage of shares held by institutions. The stock price has a beta of 1.264, and the fifty-two-week range shows a moderate change.

Valuation metrics suggest the stock may be overvalued based on the PEG ratio and forward PE ratio. The company has a high price-to-book ratio and price-to-sales ratio. The market capitalization and enterprise value are substantial.

The stock price summary indicates the stock's performance relative to its moving averages and its fifty-two-week range.

Lastly, dividends and splits information show the company's dividend history, payout ratio, and dividend yield. The company has a regular dividend payout and has undergone a stock split in the past.

Income statement 💸

These are the revenues. Here are the conclusions:

1. The company's sales revenue has been increasing steadily over the past four fiscal years.
2. The EBIT (Earnings Before Interest and Taxes) and EBITDA (Earnings Before Interest, Taxes, Depreciation, and Amortization) have also shown a positive trend, indicating the company's operational efficiency.
3. The net income has been growing consistently, reflecting the company's profitability.
4. The basic and diluted earnings per share (EPS) have been relatively stable over the years.
5. The company has been effectively managing its operating expenses, as seen in the consistent operating income.
6. The company has been able to maintain a healthy gross profit margin despite fluctuations in the cost of goods sold.
7. The company's non-operating interest expenses have been relatively stable, indicating a good control over financial costs.
8. Overall, the financial performance of the company, as indicated by its revenues, profitability, and operational efficiency, seems to be on a positive trajectory.

Balance Sheet

These are balance sheets. Here are the conclusions based on the provided data:

1. The total assets have been increasing over the years, reaching the highest value in 2023 at $352,583,000,000.
2. Current assets fluctuate from year to year, with the highest value in 2019 at $162,819,000,000.
3. Non-current assets have been increasing steadily, with the highest value in 2023 at $209,017,000,000.
4. Total liabilities have also been increasing, reaching the highest value in 2023 at $290,437,000,000.
5. Shareholders' equity has been fluctuating, with the highest value in 2020 at $65,339,000,000.
6. The company has been relying more on non-current assets to support its operations and investments.
7. There is a significant amount of debt in the company's capital structure, both short-term and long-term.
8. The company has been investing in machinery, furniture, and equipment over the years.
9. Retained earnings have been positive in most years, except for 2023 when they were negative.
10. The company has been managing its cash and cash equivalents strategically, with fluctuations in different years.

Cash Flow 💶

This is the cash flow statement. Here are some conclusions we can draw from the data:

1. The company's free cash flow has been fluctuating over the years, with the highest value in 2022 and the lowest in 2020.
2. Operating cash flow has generally been increasing year over year, indicating improved operational efficiency.
3. The company has been consistently paying interest and income taxes, with varying amounts each year.
4. The end cash position has also been fluctuating, reaching its highest value in 2020.
5. Financing activities show a pattern of common stock repurchase, issuance of long-term debt, and payment of dividends.
6. Investing activities include acquisitions, capital expenditures, and the sale/purchase of investments.
7. Overall, the company seems to be managing its cash flow effectively, with a focus on operational performance and strategic investments.

Earnings estimate

Based on analysts' estimates for future quarterly and annual earnings per share:

1. For the current quarter ending on June 30, 2024, the average estimated EPS is $1.33, compared to $1.26 a year ago.
2. For the next quarter ending on September 30, 2024, the average estimated EPS is $1.53, compared to $1.46 a year ago.
3. For the current fiscal year ending on September 30, 2024, the average estimated EPS is $6.59, compared to $6.13 a year ago.
4. For the next fiscal year ending on September 30, 2025, the average estimated EPS is $7.23, compared to $6.59 a year ago.

Overall, analysts are generally forecasting an increase in earnings per share for both the upcoming quarters and the next fiscal years compared to the previous periods.

Revenue estimate

Based on the analysts' estimates for the future quarterly and annual sales of the company, we can draw the following conclusions:

1. For the current quarter ending on June 30, 2024, the average sales estimate is $83,776,900,000, with a sales growth of 2% compared to the same quarter last year. The number of analysts providing estimates is 24.

2. For the next quarter ending on September 30, 2024, the average sales estimate is $92,375,300,000, with a sales growth of 3% compared to the same quarter last year. The number of analysts providing estimates is 24.

3. For the current fiscal year ending on September 30, 2024, the average sales estimate is $386,681,000,000, with a sales growth of 1% compared to the previous fiscal year. The number of analysts providing estimates is 37.

4. For the next fiscal year ending on September 30, 2025, the average sales estimate is $411,555,000,000, with a sales growth of 6% compared to the current fiscal year. The number of analysts providing estimates is 37.

These estimates indicate a generally positive outlook for the company, with expected growth in both quarterly and annual sales over the coming years.

Growth estimates

Based on the consensus estimates provided, we can draw the following conclusions regarding the growth rate of the company for different periods:

1. Current Quarter: The estimated growth rate for the current quarter is 5.6%.
2. Next Quarter: The estimated growth rate for the next quarter is 4.8%.
3. Current Year: The estimated growth rate for the current year is 7.5%.
4. Next Year: The estimated growth rate for the next year is 9.7%.
5. Past 5 Years (per annum): The average annual growth rate for the past 5 years is 20.1%.
6. Next 5 Years (per annum): The estimated average annual growth rate for the next 5 years is 11%.

These estimates suggest that the company has experienced significant growth in the past but is expected to see a more moderate growth rate in the coming years, with a slight dip in the next quarter before picking up again.

Price target

The analysts' forecast for the future price of the security is as follows:
- Low: $164
- High: $250
- Median: $200
- Average: $202.26
- Current price: $191.57
- Currency: USD

Based on these forecasts, we can see that the analysts have a range of opinions on the future price of the security, with the low end at $164, the high end at $250, and the average forecast at $202.26. The current price of the security is $191.57, which is below the median and average forecast, indicating that there is potential for growth according to the analysts' predictions.

MACD of FDEV

This is not investment advice. Remember to verify the information provided here.

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Contacts

Telephone number

+48 32 700 81 66

Email address

[email protected]

Company information

Honey Payment Group S.A. at Al. Aleje Jerozolimskie 65 / 79, 00-697 Warsaw, Poland, Register number KRS 0000335507, NIP 5252859204, REGON 388760204. Honey Payment Group is listed on the Warsaw Stock Exchange (WSE) under the ticker symbol HPG. Link