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Analysis Fujikura Kasei Co., Ltd. (4620)

6/3/2024

Analysis Fujikura Kasei Co., Ltd. (4620)

Analysis of Fujikura Kasei Co., Ltd. (4620)

Fujikura Kasei Co., Ltd. (symbol: 4620) has been showing some interesting price movements and technical indicators in the past few days. Here is a brief analysis based on the provided data:

1. Price Movement:
- The closing prices have been fluctuating between 482.00000 and 545.00000 in the last 10 days.
- The stock closed at 531.00000 on the latest trading day, showing some volatility in the price.

2. Technical Indicators:
- RSI Indicator: The Relative Strength Index (RSI) has been mostly above 70 in the past few days, indicating the stock is in overbought territory.
- MACD Indicator: The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) has been showing positive values, suggesting a bullish trend.
- Moving Averages: The Simple Moving Average (SMA), Exponential Moving Average (EMA), and Weighted Moving Average (WMA) have been trending upwards, indicating a positive momentum.

3. Overall:
- The stock seems to be in a bullish phase based on the MACD indicator and moving averages.
- However, the RSI being in the overbought zone might signal a potential reversal or correction in the near future.

Investors should keep an eye on the RSI levels and any potential divergence between price movements and technical indicators to make informed decisions regarding Fujikura Kasei Co., Ltd.

Earnings

The company's results for the most recent quarter, ending on April 30, 2025, have not been provided at this time. The previous results were reported on February 27, 2025, by the Transfer Agent. Before that, on January 31, 2025, the results were released after hours. The results from October 31, 2024, were not provided at the time. On August 1, 2024, the company reported an earnings per share (EPS) estimate of 1.32.

Main Statystic 🧠

The data provided includes financials, stock statistics, valuation metrics, stock price summary, and dividends and splits information for a specific company.

In terms of financials, the company has strong operating cash flow and levered free cash flow, with a positive current ratio. The profit margin and operating margin are also healthy, indicating efficient operations. The company's fiscal year ends in September 2023, and the most recent quarter reported is March 2024. The company shows good returns on assets and equity.

Looking at stock statistics, the company has a low short ratio and a significant percentage held by institutions. The stock price summary shows volatility within a fifty-two week range and provides moving averages for 50 and 200 days.

Valuation metrics suggest the stock may be overvalued based on the PEG ratio and price to earnings ratios. The company's market capitalization and enterprise value are substantial compared to its financial metrics.

Lastly, dividends and splits information show a history of dividend payments and a recent split in 2020. The company has a forward annual dividend yield and a 5-year average dividend yield. The payout ratio indicates the percentage of earnings paid out as dividends.

Income statement 💸

These are the revenue figures. Here are the conclusions:

1. The company's sales revenue has been increasing steadily over the years, from $274.5 billion in 2020 to $383.3 billion in 2023.
2. The gross profit margin has been relatively stable, with gross profit ranging from around $105 billion to $169 billion.
3. Operating income has also shown a consistent growth trend, reaching $114.3 billion in 2023 from $66.3 billion in 2020.
4. Net income has been increasing over the years, from $57.4 billion in 2020 to $97 billion in 2023.
5. Earnings per share (EPS) have shown a slight fluctuation but have generally been on an upward trajectory.
6. The company has been able to manage its operating expenses effectively, as seen in the growth of net income despite increasing revenues.
7. Overall, the financial performance of the company in terms of revenue and profitability has been positive and improving over the years.

Balance Sheet

These are balance sheets. Here are the conclusions:

1. The total assets have been increasing over the years, reaching the highest value in 2023 at $352,583,000,000.
2. Current assets fluctuate, with the highest value in 2019 at $162,819,000,000.
3. Non-current assets have been increasing steadily, with the highest value in 2023 at $209,017,000,000.
4. Total liabilities have also been increasing, reaching the highest value in 2023 at $290,437,000,000.
5. Shareholders' equity has been fluctuating, with the highest value in 2023 at $73,812,000,000.
6. The company has been relying more on non-current assets and debt to finance its operations over the years.

Cash Flow 💶

This is the cash flow statement. Here are some conclusions we can draw from the data:

1. The company's free cash flow has been fluctuating over the years, with the highest value recorded in 2022 and the lowest in 2020.
2. Operating cash flow has generally been increasing year over year, indicating improved operational efficiency.
3. The company has been consistently paying interest and income taxes, with varying amounts each year.
4. The end cash position has also been fluctuating, reaching its peak in 2020.
5. Financing activities show a pattern of common stock repurchase, issuance of long-term debt, and payment of dividends.
6. Investing activities include the sale and purchase of investments, as well as capital expenditures.
7. Overall, the company seems to be managing its cash flow effectively, with a focus on operational performance and strategic investments.

Earnings estimate

Based on the analysts' estimates for future quarterly and annual earnings per share:

1. For the current quarter ending on June 30, 2024, the average estimated EPS is $1.23, with a low estimate of $1.18 and a high estimate of $1.26. This shows an improvement compared to the EPS of $1.17 from the same quarter a year ago.

2. For the next quarter ending on September 30, 2024, the average estimated EPS is $1.42, with a low estimate of $1.33 and a high estimate of $1.51. This also indicates growth from the EPS of $1.35 in the same quarter last year.

3. Looking at the estimates for the current fiscal year ending on September 30, 2024, the average estimated EPS is $6.10, ranging from a low estimate of $5.95 to a high estimate of $6.41. This reflects an increase from the EPS of $5.67 for the previous fiscal year.

4. For the next fiscal year ending on September 30, 2025, the average estimated EPS is $6.69, with a low estimate of $5.92 and a high estimate of $7.31. This suggests a slight improvement from the EPS of $6.10 in the current fiscal year.

Overall, the analysts' estimates point towards a positive trend of increasing earnings per share for both the upcoming quarters and fiscal years.

Revenue estimate

Based on the analysts' estimates for the future quarterly and annual sales of the company, we can draw the following conclusions:

1. For the current quarter ending on June 30, 2024, the average sales estimate is $77,545,400,000, with a sales growth of 2% compared to the same quarter last year. The number of analysts providing estimates is 25.

2. For the next quarter ending on September 30, 2024, the average sales estimate is $85,501,800,000, showing a sales growth of 3% compared to the previous year's same quarter. The number of analysts providing estimates remains at 25.

3. For the current fiscal year ending on September 30, 2024, the average sales estimate is $357,772,000,000, with a sales growth of 1% compared to the previous fiscal year. The number of analysts providing estimates is 38.

4. Looking ahead to the next fiscal year ending on September 30, 2025, the average sales estimate is $380,772,000,000, indicating a significant sales growth of 6% compared to the current fiscal year. The number of analysts providing estimates remains at 38.

Overall, the analysts are forecasting moderate to strong sales growth for both the upcoming quarters and the next fiscal year, with the highest growth expected in the next fiscal year ending in September 2025.

Growth estimates

Based on the consensus estimates provided by analysts, we can draw the following conclusions regarding the growth rate of the company for different periods:

1. Current Quarter: The estimated growth rate for the current quarter is 5.1%.
2. Next Quarter: The estimated growth rate for the next quarter is 5.2%.
3. Current Year: The estimated growth rate for the current year is 7.6%.
4. Next Year: The estimated growth rate for the next year is 9.7%.
5. Past 5 Years (per annum): The average annual growth rate for the past 5 years is 20.1%.
6. Next 5 Years (per annum): The estimated average annual growth rate for the next 5 years is 9.7%.

These estimates suggest a positive growth trend for the company, with a slightly lower growth rate expected in the next 5 years compared to the past 5 years. It indicates a steady but slightly slower growth trajectory for the company in the near future.

Price target

The analysts' forecast for the future price of the security is as follows:
- Low: $164
- High: $275
- Median: $201.43
- Average: $204.58
- Current price: $192.25

Based on these figures, it can be observed that the analysts have a wide range of opinions on the future price of the security, with the low end of the forecast at $164, the high end at $275, and the average at $204.58. The current price of the security is $192.25.

MACD of 4620

This is not investment advice. Remember to verify the information provided here.

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Contacts

Telephone number

+48 32 700 81 66

Email address

[email protected]

Company information

Honey Payment Group S.A. at Al. Aleje Jerozolimskie 65 / 79, 00-697 Warsaw, Poland, Register number KRS 0000335507, NIP 5252859204, REGON 388760204. Honey Payment Group is listed on the Warsaw Stock Exchange (WSE) under the ticker symbol HPG. Link