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Analysis Future Retail Limited (FRETAIL)

6/3/2024

Analysis Future Retail Limited (FRETAIL)

Analysis of Future Retail Limited (FRETAIL)

Future Retail Limited (FRETAIL) has shown some interesting price movements recently. The stock closed at 2.99 on the last trading day, with a high of 3.03 and a low of 2.89. The Relative Strength Index (RSI) is at 67.18, indicating that the stock may be slightly overbought.

Looking at the Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) indicator, the MACD line is below the signal line, with a positive histogram, suggesting a potential bullish signal.

In terms of moving averages, the Simple Moving Average (SMA), Exponential Moving Average (EMA), and Weighted Moving Average (WMA) are all showing an upward trend, indicating a positive momentum in the stock price.

Overall, based on the technical indicators, Future Retail Limited seems to have a bullish outlook in the short term. However, it is always important to consider other factors such as market conditions, news, and fundamental analysis before making any investment decisions.

Earnings

The company's results for the most recent quarter ending on April 30, 2025, have not been provided at this time. The previous results were reported on February 27, 2025, through the Transfer Agent. Before that, on January 31, 2025, the results were released after hours. The results from October 31, 2024, were not provided at the time. The results from August 1, 2024, showed an earnings per share (EPS) estimate of 1.32.

Main Statystic 🧠

The data provided includes financials, stock statistics, valuations metrics, stock price summary, and dividends and splits information for a specific company.

In terms of financials, the company has strong operating cash flow and levered free cash flow, with a positive current ratio. The profit margin and operating margin are also healthy, indicating efficient operations. The company's fiscal year ends in September 2023, and it has shown a positive return on assets and return on equity.

Looking at stock statistics, the company has a low short ratio and a significant percentage of shares held by institutions. The stock price has fluctuated between a fifty-two-week low and high, with a positive change over the period.

Valuations metrics show a relatively high PEG ratio and forward PE ratio. The company's market capitalization and enterprise value are substantial, with a high price-to-book ratio and price-to-sales ratio.

The stock price summary includes beta, moving averages, and the range of prices over the past fifty-two weeks.

Lastly, dividends and splits information shows the company's dividend dates, payout ratios, and historical dividend yields. The company has also undergone a stock split in the past.

Income statement 💸

These are the revenues. Here are the conclusions:

1. The company's sales revenue has been increasing steadily over the past four fiscal years.
2. The gross profit margin seems to be consistent, indicating stable cost management.
3. EBIT and EBITDA have also shown a positive trend, reflecting the company's operational efficiency.
4. Net income has been growing, suggesting that the company is effectively managing its expenses and taxes.
5. The basic and diluted earnings per share (EPS) have been relatively stable over the years.
6. The company has been able to maintain a consistent number of outstanding shares.
7. Overall, the financial performance of the company, in terms of revenue generation and profitability, appears to be strong and improving.

Balance Sheet

These are balance sheets. Here are the conclusions based on the provided data:

1. The total assets have been increasing over the years, reaching the highest value of $365,725,000,000 in 2018.
2. Current assets fluctuate from year to year, with the highest value of $162,819,000,000 in 2019.
3. Non-current assets have shown an increasing trend, with the highest value of $234,386,000,000 in 2018.
4. Total liabilities have also been increasing, reaching the highest value of $290,437,000,000 in 2023.
5. Shareholders' equity has shown fluctuations but generally follows an increasing trend, with the highest value of $107,147,000,000 in 2018.
6. The company has been relying more on non-current liabilities compared to current liabilities in recent years.
7. Investments and advances constitute a significant portion of non-current assets.
8. Cash and cash equivalents are a substantial part of current assets, indicating liquidity.
9. Accumulated depreciation has a significant impact on the value of non-current assets.
10. The company has been consistently investing in machinery, furniture, and equipment over the years.

Cash Flow 💶

This is the cash flow statement. Here are some conclusions we can draw from the data:

1. The company's free cash flow has been fluctuating over the years, with the highest value in 2022 and the lowest in 2020.
2. Operating cash flow has generally been increasing year over year, indicating improved operational efficiency.
3. The company has been consistently paying interest and income taxes, with varying amounts each year.
4. The end cash position has also been fluctuating, reaching its highest value in 2020.
5. Financing activities show a pattern of common stock repurchase, issuance of long-term debt, and payment of dividends.
6. Investing activities include the sale and purchase of investments, as well as capital expenditures.
7. Overall, the company seems to be managing its cash flow effectively, with a focus on operational efficiency and strategic investments.

Earnings estimate

Based on the analysts' estimates for future quarterly and annual earnings per share:

1. For the current quarter ending on June 30, 2024, the average estimated EPS is $1.23, with a low estimate of $1.18 and a high estimate of $1.26. This shows an improvement compared to the EPS of $1.17 from the same quarter a year ago.

2. For the next quarter ending on September 30, 2024, the average estimated EPS is $1.42, with a low estimate of $1.33 and a high estimate of $1.51. This is also an increase from the EPS of $1.35 in the same quarter last year.

3. Looking at the estimates for the current year ending on September 30, 2024, the average estimated EPS is $6.10, ranging from a low estimate of $5.95 to a high estimate of $6.41. This reflects growth compared to the EPS of $5.67 from the previous year.

4. For the next year ending on September 30, 2025, the average estimated EPS is $6.69, with a low estimate of $5.92 and a high estimate of $7.31. This indicates a potential increase from the EPS of $6.10 in the previous year.

Overall, the analysts' estimates suggest a positive outlook for the company's earnings per share, showing growth trends in both the quarterly and annual performance over the specified periods.

Revenue estimate

Based on the analysts' estimates for the future quarterly and annual sales of the company, we can draw the following conclusions:

1. For the current quarter ending on June 30, 2024, the average sales estimate is $77,545,400,000, with a sales growth of 2% compared to the same quarter last year. The number of analysts providing estimates is 25.

2. For the next quarter ending on September 30, 2024, the average sales estimate is $85,501,800,000, with a sales growth of 3% compared to the same quarter last year. The number of analysts providing estimates is 25.

3. For the current fiscal year ending on September 30, 2024, the average sales estimate is $357,772,000,000, with a sales growth of 1% compared to the previous fiscal year. The number of analysts providing estimates is 38.

4. For the next fiscal year ending on September 30, 2025, the average sales estimate is $380,772,000,000, with a sales growth of 6% compared to the current fiscal year. The number of analysts providing estimates is 38.

These estimates suggest a moderate growth trend in both quarterly and annual sales for the company, with slightly higher growth expected in the next fiscal year compared to the current one.

Growth estimates

Based on the consensus estimates provided by analysts, we can draw the following conclusions regarding the growth rate of the company for different periods:

1. Current Quarter: The estimated growth rate for the current quarter is 5.1%.
2. Next Quarter: The estimated growth rate for the next quarter is 5.2%.
3. Current Year: The estimated growth rate for the current year is 7.6%.
4. Next Year: The estimated growth rate for the next year is 9.7%.
5. Past 5 Years (per annum): The estimated average annual growth rate for the past 5 years is 20.1%.
6. Next 5 Years (per annum): The estimated average annual growth rate for the next 5 years is 9.7%.

These estimates suggest a positive growth trend for the company, with a slightly lower growth rate expected in the next 5 years compared to the past 5 years. The company is expected to experience steady growth in the short term and maintain a healthy growth rate in the long term.

Price target

The analysts' forecast for the future price of the security is as follows:
- Low: $164
- High: $275
- Median: $201.43
- Average: $204.58
- Current price: $192.25
- Currency: USD

Based on these forecasts, it appears that the analysts are generally optimistic about the future price of the security, with a median forecast of $201.43 and an average forecast of $204.58. However, it's worth noting that there is a wide range of forecasts, from a low of $164 to a high of $275. The current price of the security is $192.25, which is below both the median and average forecasted prices.

MACD of FRETAIL

This is not investment advice. Remember to verify the information provided here.

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Contacts

Telephone number

+48 32 700 81 66

Email address

[email protected]

Company information

Honey Payment Group S.A. at Al. Aleje Jerozolimskie 65 / 79, 00-697 Warsaw, Poland, Register number KRS 0000335507, NIP 5252859204, REGON 388760204. Honey Payment Group is listed on the Warsaw Stock Exchange (WSE) under the ticker symbol HPG. Link