Analysis Gama Aviation PLC (GMAA)
6/4/2024
Analysis of Gama Aviation PLC (GMAA)
Gama Aviation PLC (GMAA) has shown a strong uptrend in recent days, with the price closing at 107.5 on the most recent trading day. The Relative Strength Index (RSI) is indicating overbought conditions at 84.29, suggesting a potential reversal or correction in the short term.The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) indicator is positive at 1.53, with the MACD line above the signal line, indicating bullish momentum. However, the MACD histogram has started to decrease, which could signal a potential weakening of the uptrend.
The Simple Moving Average (SMA), Exponential Moving Average (EMA), and Weighted Moving Average (WMA) are all showing an increasing trend, supporting the current uptrend in prices.
Overall, while the technical indicators suggest a strong bullish momentum, traders should be cautious of a potential correction due to the overbought RSI levels. It would be advisable to monitor the price action closely for any signs of a reversal in the coming days.
Balance Sheet
These are balance sheets. Here are the conclusions:1. The total assets have been increasing over the years, from $323.9 billion in 2018 to $352.8 billion in 2023.
2. Current assets have fluctuated, with the highest value in 2019 at $162.8 billion and the lowest in 2023 at $135.4 billion.
3. Non-current assets have shown an increasing trend, reaching $217.4 billion in 2023.
4. Total liabilities have also been increasing, from $255.4 billion in 2018 to $290.4 billion in 2023.
5. Shareholders' equity has shown a slight increase over the years, from $107.1 billion in 2018 to $62.1 billion in 2023.
6. The company has been relying more on non-current assets to support its operations, as seen in the increasing trend of non-current assets compared to current assets.
7. The company's liabilities have been increasing at a faster rate than shareholders' equity, indicating a higher reliance on debt financing.
8. Overall, the company's financial position seems stable, but there is a need to monitor the increasing liabilities in relation to equity.
Cash Flow 💶
This is the cash flow statement. Here are some conclusions we can draw from the data:1. The company's free cash flow has been fluctuating over the years, with the highest value in 2022 and the lowest in 2020.
2. Operating cash flow has generally been increasing year over year, indicating improved operational efficiency.
3. The company has been consistently paying interest and income taxes, with varying amounts each year.
4. The end cash position has also been fluctuating, reaching its highest value in 2020.
5. Financing activities show a pattern of common stock repurchase, issuance of long-term debt, and payment of dividends.
6. Investing activities include the sale and purchase of investments, as well as capital expenditures.
7. Overall, the company seems to be managing its cash flow effectively, with some fluctuations in different areas that may require further analysis.
Earnings estimate
Based on the analysts' estimates for future quarterly and annual earnings per share:1. For the current quarter ending on June 30, 2024, the average EPS estimate is $1.23, with a low estimate of $1.18 and a high estimate of $1.26. This shows an improvement compared to the EPS of $1.17 from the same quarter a year ago.
2. For the next quarter ending on September 30, 2024, the average EPS estimate is $1.42, with a low estimate of $1.33 and a high estimate of $1.51. This also indicates growth from the EPS of $1.35 in the same quarter last year.
3. Looking at the estimates for the current year ending on September 30, 2024, the average EPS estimate is $6.10, ranging from a low estimate of $5.95 to a high estimate of $6.41. This reflects an increase from the EPS of $5.67 for the previous year.
4. For the next year ending on September 30, 2025, the average EPS estimate is $6.69, with a low estimate of $5.92 and a high estimate of $7.31. This suggests a slight improvement from the EPS of $6.10 in the previous year.
Overall, the analysts' estimates point towards a positive trend of increasing earnings per share for both the upcoming quarters and the next few years.
Revenue estimate
Based on the analysts' estimates for the future quarterly and annual sales of the company, we can draw the following conclusions:1. For the current quarter ending on June 30, 2024, the average sales estimate is $77,545,400,000, with a sales growth of 2% compared to the same quarter last year. The number of analysts providing estimates is 25.
2. For the next quarter ending on September 30, 2024, the average sales estimate is $85,501,800,000, with a sales growth of 3% compared to the same quarter last year. The number of analysts providing estimates is 25.
3. For the current fiscal year ending on September 30, 2024, the average sales estimate is $357,772,000,000, with a sales growth of 1% compared to the previous fiscal year. The number of analysts providing estimates is 38.
4. For the next fiscal year ending on September 30, 2025, the average sales estimate is $380,772,000,000, with a sales growth of 6% compared to the current fiscal year. The number of analysts providing estimates is 38.
Overall, the analysts are generally optimistic about the company's future sales performance, with moderate growth expected in both the quarterly and annual sales figures.
Growth estimates
Based on the consensus estimates from analysts, we can draw the following conclusions regarding the growth rate of the company for different periods:1. Current Quarter: The estimated growth rate for the current quarter is 5.1%.
2. Next Quarter: The estimated growth rate for the next quarter is 5.2%.
3. Current Year: The estimated growth rate for the current year is 7.6%.
4. Next Year: The estimated growth rate for the next year is 9.7%.
5. Past 5 Years (per annum): The average annual growth rate for the past 5 years is 20.1%.
6. Next 5 Years (per annum): The estimated average annual growth rate for the next 5 years is 9.7%.
These estimates suggest that the company has been experiencing strong growth in the past, but analysts expect the growth rate to moderate slightly in the coming years, although it is still expected to be healthy.
Price target
The analysts' forecast for the future price of the security is as follows:- Low: $164
- High: $275
- Median: $201.43
- Average: $204.58
- Current price: $192.25
Based on these forecasts, it appears that the analysts have a range of opinions on the future price of the security, with a median expectation of $201.43. The current price of the security is below both the median and average forecast, suggesting that there may be potential for growth according to analysts' expectations.
Earnings
The company's results for the most recent quarter, ending on April 30, 2025, have not been provided at this time. The previous results were reported on February 27, 2025, by the Transfer Agent. Before that, on January 31, 2025, the results were released after hours. The results from October 31, 2024, were not provided at the time. On August 1, 2024, the company reported an earnings per share (EPS) estimate of 1.32.Main Statystic ðŸ§
The data provided includes financials, stock statistics, valuation metrics, stock price summary, and dividends and splits information for a specific company.In terms of financials, the company has strong operating cash flow and levered free cash flow, with a positive current ratio and a high total debt to equity ratio. The profit margin and operating margin are also healthy, indicating efficient operations. The company's fiscal year ends in September 2023, and the most recent quarter reported is March 2024. The company shows good returns on assets and equity.
Looking at stock statistics, the company has a low short ratio and a significant percentage of shares held by institutions. The stock price summary shows volatility with a beta of 1.264 and a fluctuation between the fifty-two-week low and high.
Valuation metrics reveal a high PEG ratio and price-to-book ratio, with the company being relatively expensive based on these metrics. The company's market capitalization and enterprise value are substantial.
Lastly, dividends and splits information show a history of dividends and a recent split in 2020. The company has a forward annual dividend rate and yield, with a payout ratio indicating sustainability.
Income statement 💸
Here are the revenue figures for the company over the past four fiscal years:1. Fiscal Year 2023: Sales of $383,285,000,000
2. Fiscal Year 2022: Sales of $394,328,000,000
3. Fiscal Year 2021: Sales of $365,817,000,000
4. Fiscal Year 2020: Sales of $274,515,000,000
From these figures, we can observe the following trends:
- The company experienced a decrease in sales from FY 2022 to FY 2023.
- Prior to the decrease, there was a consistent growth in sales from FY 2020 to FY 2022.
- FY 2022 had the highest sales figure among the four fiscal years.
- The company's revenue has shown fluctuations over the years, indicating potential changes in market conditions or business strategies.
MACD of GMAA
This is not investment advice. Remember to verify the information provided here.
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