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Analysis GCM Securities Limited (GCMSECU)

5/31/2024

Analysis GCM Securities Limited (GCMSECU)

Analysis of GCM Securities Limited (GCMSECU)

GCM Securities Limited has been showing relatively stable price movements over the past few days, with the price closing around 1.00. The Relative Strength Index (RSI) values have been hovering around 50-60, indicating a neutral to slightly bullish sentiment in the market.

The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) indicator has been fluctuating around 0, suggesting a balanced momentum in the stock. The MACD histogram has been mostly negative, indicating some bearish pressure.

The Moving Average (MA) indicator has been close to the Simple Moving Average (SMA) values, with Exponential Moving Average (EMA) and Weighted Moving Average (WMA) slightly below the current price, suggesting a potential downward trend.

Overall, based on the indicators, GCM Securities Limited seems to be in a consolidation phase with a slightly bearish bias. Traders and investors may want to closely monitor the price movements and key support levels for potential trading opportunities.

Balance Sheet

These are balance sheets. Here are the conclusions:

1. The total assets have been increasing over the years, reaching $365,725,000,000 in 2018.
2. Current assets fluctuate, with the highest value in 2019 at $162,819,000,000.
3. Non-current assets have been increasing steadily, with the highest value in 2019 at $175,697,000,000.
4. Total liabilities have also been increasing, reaching $255,355,000,000 in 2018.
5. Shareholders' equity has been fluctuating, with the highest value in 2018 at $107,147,000,000.

Cash Flow 💶

This is a cash flow statement. Here are some conclusions we can draw from the data:

1. The company's free cash flow has been fluctuating over the years, with the highest value in 2022 and the lowest in 2020.
2. Operating cash flow has generally been increasing year over year, indicating improved operational efficiency.
3. The company has been consistently paying interest and income taxes, with varying amounts each year.
4. The end cash position has also been fluctuating, reaching its highest value in 2021.
5. Financing activities show a mix of debt issuances, repayments, stock repurchases, and dividend payments.
6. Investing activities include acquisitions, investments, and capital expenditures, with significant variations in values each year.
7. The company has been generating positive net income each year, with varying levels of depreciation and other non-cash items.
8. Stock-based compensation has also been a significant factor in the company's financial activities.

These conclusions provide insights into the company's financial performance, cash management, and investment strategies over the years.

Earnings estimate

Based on the analysts' estimates for future quarterly and annual earnings per share:

1. For the current quarter ending on June 30, 2024, the average EPS estimate is $1.23, with a low estimate of $1.18 and a high estimate of $1.26. This shows an improvement compared to the EPS of $1.17 from the same quarter a year ago.

2. For the next quarter ending on September 30, 2024, the average EPS estimate is $1.42, with a low estimate of $1.33 and a high estimate of $1.51. The EPS estimate is also higher than the $1.35 reported in the same quarter last year.

3. For the current fiscal year ending on September 30, 2024, the average EPS estimate is $6.10, with a low estimate of $5.95 and a high estimate of $6.41. This reflects growth from the EPS of $5.67 in the previous fiscal year.

4. Looking ahead to the next fiscal year ending on September 30, 2025, the average EPS estimate is $6.69, with a low estimate of $5.92 and a high estimate of $7.31. This indicates further growth from the EPS of $6.10 in the current fiscal year.

Overall, the analysts' estimates suggest a positive outlook for the company's earnings per share, with expected growth in both the quarterly and annual results over the coming periods.

Revenue estimate

Based on the analysts' estimates for the future quarterly and annual sales of the company, we can draw the following conclusions:

1. For the current quarter ending on June 30, 2024, the average sales estimate is $77,545,400,000, with a sales growth of 2% compared to the same quarter last year. The number of analysts providing estimates is 25.

2. For the next quarter ending on September 30, 2024, the average sales estimate is $85,501,800,000, with a sales growth of 3% compared to the same quarter last year. The number of analysts providing estimates is 25.

3. For the current fiscal year ending on September 30, 2024, the average sales estimate is $357,772,000,000, with a sales growth of 1% compared to the previous fiscal year. The number of analysts providing estimates is 38.

4. For the next fiscal year ending on September 30, 2025, the average sales estimate is $380,772,000,000, with a sales growth of 6% compared to the current fiscal year. The number of analysts providing estimates is 38.

Overall, the analysts are generally optimistic about the company's future sales performance, with moderate growth expected in both the quarterly and annual sales figures.

Growth estimates

Based on the consensus estimates provided:
- The company is expected to experience a growth rate of 7.5% in the current year.
- The growth rate is projected to increase to 5.6% in the current quarter and further to 4.8% in the next quarter.
- Over the next year, the growth rate is expected to reach 9.7%.
- Looking ahead, the company is forecasted to achieve an annual growth rate of 11% over the next 5 years.
- However, the company has experienced a higher growth rate in the past, with an annual growth rate of 20.15% over the past 5 years.

Overall, the company is expected to maintain a positive growth trajectory, with a slight decrease in the short term followed by stronger growth in the long term compared to the past performance.

Price target

The analysts' forecast for the future price of the security is as follows:
- Low: $164
- High: $250
- Median: $200
- Average: $202.26
- Current price: $191.57
- Currency: USD

Based on these forecasts, we can see that the analysts have a range of opinions on the future price of the security, with the majority clustering around the median and average values. The current price is below both the median and average forecast, indicating that analysts generally expect the price to increase in the future.

Earnings

The company's results for the most recent quarter, ending on April 30, 2025, have not been provided at this time. The previous quarter's results, ending on February 27, 2025, were handled by the Transfer Agent. The quarter before that, ending on January 31, 2025, had results released after hours. The results for the quarter ending on October 31, 2024, were not provided at the time. However, for the quarter ending on August 1, 2024, the company had an EPS estimate of 1.32.

Main Statystic 🧠

The data provided includes financials, stock statistics, valuation metrics, stock price summary, and dividends and splits information for a specific company.

Financials:
- Cash flow: Operating cash flow TTM is $110,563,000,320 and levered free cash flow TTM is $84,726,874,112.
- Balance sheet: Total cash MRQ is $67,150,000,128, total debt MRQ is $104,590,000,128, current ratio MRQ is 1.037, book value per share MRQ is $4.837, total cash per share MRQ is $4.379, and total debt to equity MRQ is 140.968.
- Profit margin: 26.306%
- Fiscal year ends: September 30, 2023
- Income statement: EBITDA is $131,393,000,000, revenue TTM is $381,623,009,280, diluted EPS TTM is $6.43, gross profit TTM is $169,148,000,000, revenue per share TTM is $24.537, net income to common TTM is $100,389,003,264, quarterly revenue growth is -4.3%, and quarterly earnings growth YoY is -2.2%.
- Operating margin: 30.743%
- Most recent quarter: March 31, 2024
- Return on assets TTM: 22.073999%
- Return on equity TTM: 147.25%

Stock statistics:
- Short ratio: 1.53
- Float shares: 15,308,320,742
- Shares short: 99,287,450
- Average 10-day volume: 46,860,048
- Average 90-day volume: 57,498,254
- Shares outstanding: 15,334,099,968
- Percent held by insiders: 5.22%
- Percent held by institutions: 57.589%
- Short percent of shares outstanding: 0.65%

Valuation metrics:
- PEG ratio: 26.319502
- Forward PE: 26.319502
- Trailing PE: 29.59409
- Enterprise value: $2,950,762,332,160
- Price to book MRQ: 39.3405
- Price to sales TTM: 7.646095
- Enterprise to EBITDA: 22.763
- Enterprise to revenue: 7.732
- Market capitalization: $2,917,925,650,432

Stock price summary:
- Beta: 1.264
- 50-day moving average: $176.2646
- 200-day moving average: $181.0429
- 52-week low: $164.08
- 52-week high: $199.62
- 52-week change: 6.853%

Dividends and splits:
- Payout ratio: 14.93%
- Dividend date: May 16, 2024
- Last split date: August 31, 2020
- Ex-dividend date: May 10, 2024
- Last split factor: 4-for-1 split
- Forward annual dividend rate: $1
- 5-year average dividend yield: 0.73%
- Forward annual dividend yield: 0.5255%
- Trailing annual dividend rate: $0.97
- Trailing annual dividend yield: 0.5097%

Income statement 💸

These are the revenues. Here are the conclusions:

1. The company's sales revenue has been increasing steadily over the years, from $274.5 billion in 2020 to $383.3 billion in 2023.
2. Despite the increase in sales, the cost of goods sold has also been rising, indicating that the company is facing higher production costs or selling prices.
3. The gross profit margin has remained relatively stable, with gross profit increasing along with sales revenue.
4. Operating income has also shown a consistent growth trend, reaching $114.3 billion in 2023 from $66.3 billion in 2020.
5. Net income has been increasing over the years, reflecting the company's ability to manage its expenses and generate profits.
6. Earnings per share (EPS) have shown a slight fluctuation but have generally increased, indicating that the company's profitability is improving.
7. The company has been able to maintain a healthy EBITDA margin, which suggests efficient operational performance.
8. Overall, the financial performance of the company in terms of revenues has been positive, showing growth and profitability.

MACD of GCMSECU

This is not investment advice. Remember to verify the information provided here.

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Contacts

Telephone number

+48 32 700 81 66

Email address

[email protected]

Company information

Honey Payment Group S.A. at Al. Aleje Jerozolimskie 65 / 79, 00-697 Warsaw, Poland, Register number KRS 0000335507, NIP 5252859204, REGON 388760204. Honey Payment Group is listed on the Warsaw Stock Exchange (WSE) under the ticker symbol HPG. Link