Analysis Genie Energy Ltd (GNE)
6/4/2024
Analysis of Genie Energy Ltd (GNE)
Genie Energy Ltd (GNE) has been showing some volatility in its stock price over the past few days. The Relative Strength Index (RSI) values have been fluctuating around the mid-range, indicating a lack of strong trend in either direction.The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) indicator has been hovering around the zero line, suggesting a balance between bullish and bearish momentum. The MACD histogram has been mostly negative, indicating some downward pressure on the stock price.
The Simple Moving Average (SMA), Exponential Moving Average (EMA), and Weighted Moving Average (WMA) have been relatively close to each other, reflecting a stable trend in the stock price.
Overall, based on the technical indicators, Genie Energy Ltd appears to be in a consolidation phase with no clear trend direction. Traders and investors may need to wait for a clearer signal before making any significant trading decisions.
Income statement 💸
These are the revenues. Here are the conclusions:1. The company's sales have been increasing steadily over the past four years, from $274.5 billion in 2020 to $383.3 billion in 2023.
2. The gross profit margin has been relatively stable, ranging from around 38% to 44% over the four-year period.
3. Operating income has also shown a consistent growth trend, reaching $114.3 billion in 2023 from $66.3 billion in 2020.
4. Net income has been increasing year over year, with a significant jump from $57.4 billion in 2020 to $97 billion in 2023.
5. Earnings per share (EPS) have shown a slight fluctuation but have generally been on an upward trajectory.
6. The company has been able to maintain a healthy EBITDA margin, indicating efficient operational performance.
7. Despite an increase in income tax expenses, the company has managed to grow its net income consistently.
8. Overall, the financial performance of the company in terms of revenues has been positive, showing growth and profitability.
Balance Sheet
These are balance sheets. Here are the conclusions:1. The total assets have been increasing over the years, from $323.9 billion in 2018 to $352.8 billion in 2023.
2. Current assets have fluctuated but generally increased, with the highest value in 2023 at $143.6 billion.
3. Non-current assets have also shown an increasing trend, reaching $209 billion in 2023.
4. Total liabilities have been increasing steadily, from $248 billion in 2019 to $290.4 billion in 2023.
5. Shareholders' equity has shown fluctuations but has generally increased, with the highest value in 2023 at $62.1 billion.
6. The company has been relying more on non-current assets to finance its operations, as seen in the increasing trend of non-current assets compared to current assets.
7. The company has been taking on more debt over the years, as indicated by the increasing total liabilities.
8. Despite the increase in liabilities, the company has managed to increase its shareholders' equity, indicating a positive trend in the company's financial health.
Cash Flow 💶
This is the cash flow statement. Here are some conclusions we can draw from the data:1. The company's free cash flow has been fluctuating over the years, with the highest value in 2022 and the lowest in 2020.
2. Operating cash flow has been consistently higher than free cash flow, indicating that the company is generating sufficient cash from its core operations.
3. The company has been paying a significant amount in income taxes each year, with the highest amount paid in 2021.
4. The end cash position has also been fluctuating, with the highest value in 2020 and the lowest in 2022.
5. The company has been repurchasing common stock and paying dividends, which has had an impact on its financing activities.
6. Investing activities have also varied, with significant amounts spent on the sale and purchase of investments in different years.
7. Overall, the company's financial performance seems to be stable, with fluctuations in certain areas that may require further analysis.
Earnings estimate
Based on the analysts' estimates for future quarterly and annual earnings per share:1. For the current quarter ending on June 30, 2024, the average estimated EPS is $1.23, with a low estimate of $1.18 and a high estimate of $1.26. This shows an improvement compared to the EPS of $1.17 from the same quarter a year ago.
2. For the next quarter ending on September 30, 2024, the average estimated EPS is $1.42, with a low estimate of $1.33 and a high estimate of $1.51. This is higher than the EPS of $1.35 from the same quarter last year.
3. Looking at the estimates for the current year ending on September 30, 2024, the average estimated EPS is $6.10, ranging from $5.95 to $6.41. This reflects growth compared to the EPS of $5.67 from the previous year.
4. For the next year ending on September 30, 2025, the average estimated EPS is $6.69, with a low estimate of $5.92 and a high estimate of $7.31. This indicates a slight increase from the EPS of $6.10 for the current year.
Overall, the analysts' estimates suggest a positive outlook for the company's earnings per share, showing growth potential in both the short term and the long term.
Revenue estimate
Based on the analysts' estimates for the future quarterly and annual sales of the company, we can draw the following conclusions:1. For the current quarter ending on June 30, 2024, the average sales estimate is $77,545,400,000, with a sales growth of 2% compared to the same quarter last year. The number of analysts providing estimates is 25.
2. For the next quarter ending on September 30, 2024, the average sales estimate is $85,501,800,000, with a sales growth of 3% compared to the same quarter last year. The number of analysts providing estimates is 25.
3. For the current fiscal year ending on September 30, 2024, the average sales estimate is $357,772,000,000, with a sales growth of 1% compared to the previous fiscal year. The number of analysts providing estimates is 38.
4. For the next fiscal year ending on September 30, 2025, the average sales estimate is $380,772,000,000, with a sales growth of 6% compared to the current fiscal year. The number of analysts providing estimates is 38.
Overall, the analysts are generally optimistic about the company's future sales performance, with moderate growth expected in both the quarterly and annual sales figures.
Growth estimates
Based on the consensus estimates provided by analysts, we can draw the following conclusions regarding the growth rate of the company for different periods:1. Current Quarter: The estimated growth rate for the current quarter is 5.1%.
2. Next Quarter: The estimated growth rate for the next quarter is 5.2%.
3. Current Year: The estimated growth rate for the current year is 7.6%.
4. Next Year: The estimated growth rate for the next year is 9.7%.
5. Past 5 Years (per annum): The average annual growth rate for the past 5 years is 20.1%.
6. Next 5 Years (per annum): The estimated average annual growth rate for the next 5 years is 9.7%.
These estimates suggest a positive growth trend for the company, with a significant increase expected in the next year compared to the current year. However, the growth rate is projected to be lower in the next 5 years compared to the average growth rate of the past 5 years.
Price target
The analysts' forecast for the future price of the security is as follows:- Low: $164
- High: $275
- Median: $201.43
- Average: $204.58
- Current price: $192.25
All values are in USD. Based on this forecast, it appears that the analysts are generally optimistic about the future price of the security, with a median and average above the current price. However, there is a wide range of estimates, from $164 to $275, indicating some uncertainty in the market.
Earnings
The company's results for the most recent quarter, ending on April 30, 2025, have not been provided at this time. The previous quarter's results, ending on February 27, 2025, were handled by the Transfer Agent. The results for the quarter ending on January 31, 2025, were released after hours. The results for the quarter ending on October 31, 2024, were not provided at the time. However, for the quarter ending on August 1, 2024, the company reported an earnings per share (EPS) estimate of 1.32.Main Statystic ðŸ§
The data provided includes financials, stock statistics, valuation metrics, stock price summary, and dividends and splits information for a specific company.In terms of financials, the company has strong cash flow with operating cash flow at $110.56 billion and levered free cash flow at $84.73 billion. The balance sheet shows a total cash of $67.15 billion, total debt of $104.59 billion, and a current ratio of 1.037. The profit margin is 26.31% and the company's fiscal year ends on September 30, 2023. The income statement reveals an EBITDA of $131.39 billion, revenue of $381.62 billion, and a diluted EPS of 6.43.
Moving on to stock statistics, the company has a short ratio of 1.53, with 99.29 million shares shorted out of 15.31 billion float shares. The stock has an average 10-day volume of 46.86 million and an average 90-day volume of 57.50 million. The stock price summary includes a beta of 1.264, a 50-day moving average of $176.26, and a 200-day moving average of $181.04.
Valuation metrics show a PEG ratio of 26.32, forward PE ratio of 26.32, and trailing PE ratio of 29.59. The enterprise value is $2.95 trillion, with a price to book ratio of 39.34 and price to sales ratio of 7.65. The company's market capitalization is $2.92 trillion.
Lastly, dividends and splits information indicates a payout ratio of 14.93%, with a forward annual dividend rate of $1 and a forward annual dividend yield of 0.53%. The company's last split date was on August 31, 2020, with a 4-for-1 split factor.
MACD of GNE
This is not investment advice. Remember to verify the information provided here.
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