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Analysis Genki Sushi Co., Ltd. (9828)

5/30/2024

Analysis Genki Sushi Co., Ltd. (9828)

Analysis of Genki Sushi Co., Ltd. (9828)

Genki Sushi Co., Ltd. is showing some interesting trends based on the provided data. Here are some key points from the analysis:

1. Price Movement:
- The closing prices have been fluctuating between 3125 and 3345 over the past few days, indicating some volatility in the stock.
- The stock opened at higher prices on some days but closed lower, suggesting potential intraday fluctuations.

2. Technical Indicators:
- The Relative Strength Index (RSI) values are mostly in the range of 48 to 59, indicating a neutral to slightly bullish sentiment.
- The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) histogram has shown positive values on most days, indicating a bullish trend.

3. Moving Averages:
- The Simple Moving Average (SMA) and Exponential Moving Average (EMA) have been relatively close to each other, suggesting a stable trend.
- The Weighted Moving Average (WMA) has also been consistent with the SMA and EMA, indicating a smooth price movement.

4. Overall, based on the RSI, MACD, and moving averages, Genki Sushi Co., Ltd. appears to be in a neutral to slightly bullish phase with some volatility in the stock price. Traders and investors may want to monitor the stock closely for any potential breakout or trend reversal.

Please note that this analysis is based on the provided historical data and market conditions may change rapidly. It is always recommended to conduct further research and analysis before making any investment decisions.

Income statement 💸

Here are the revenue figures for the company over the past four fiscal years:

1. Fiscal Year 2020: Sales of $274,515,000,000
2. Fiscal Year 2021: Sales of $365,817,000,000
3. Fiscal Year 2022: Sales of $394,328,000,000
4. Fiscal Year 2023: Sales of $383,285,000,000

From the data, we can observe the following trends:
- There was a steady increase in revenue from 2020 to 2022, with a significant jump between 2021 and 2022.
- However, in 2023, there was a slight decrease in revenue compared to the previous year.
- Overall, the company has shown growth in sales over the past four years, with some fluctuations in the most recent year.

These revenue figures provide insights into the company's performance and can be used to analyze its financial health and growth trajectory.

Balance Sheet

These are balance sheets. Here are the conclusions:

1. The total assets have been increasing over the years, reaching $365,725,000,000 in 2018.
2. Current assets fluctuate, with the highest value in 2019 at $162,819,000,000.
3. Non-current assets have been increasing steadily, with the highest value in 2019 at $175,697,000,000.
4. Total liabilities have also been increasing, reaching $255,355,000,000 in 2018.
5. Shareholders' equity has been fluctuating, with the highest value in 2018 at $107,147,000,000.

Earnings

The company's results for the most recent quarter, ending on April 30, 2025, have not been provided at this time. The previous quarter's results, ending on February 27, 2025, were handled by the Transfer Agent. The quarter before that, ending on January 31, 2025, had results released after hours. The results for the quarter ending on October 31, 2024, were not provided at the time. However, for the quarter ending on August 1, 2024, the company reported an earnings per share (EPS) estimate of 1.32.

Main Statystic 🧠

The data provided includes financials, stock statistics, valuation metrics, stock price summary, and dividends and splits information for a specific company.

Financials:
- Cash flow: Operating cash flow TTM is $110,563,000,320 and levered free cash flow TTM is $84,726,874,112.
- Balance sheet: Total cash MRQ is $67,150,000,128, total debt MRQ is $104,590,000,128, current ratio MRQ is 1.037, book value per share MRQ is $4.837, total cash per share MRQ is $4.379, and total debt to equity MRQ is 140.968.
- Profit margin is 26.306%.
- Fiscal year ends on September 30, 2023.
- Income statement: EBITDA is $131,393,000,000, revenue TTM is $381,623,009,280, diluted EPS TTM is $6.44, gross profit TTM is $169,148,000,000, revenue per share TTM is $24.537, net income to common TTM is $100,389,003,264, quarterly revenue growth is -4.3%, and quarterly earnings growth YoY is -2.2%.
- Operating margin is 30.743%.
- Return on assets TTM is 22.073999% and return on equity TTM is 147.25%.
- Most recent quarter ends on March 31, 2024.

Stock statistics:
- Short ratio is 1.66.
- Float shares are 15,308,320,742.
- Shares short are 94,308,265.
- Average 10-day volume is 52,903,608.
- Average 90-day volume is 62,823,269.
- Shares outstanding are 15,334,099,968.
- Percent held by insiders is 5.22% and percent held by institutions is 57.555%.
- Short percent of shares outstanding is 0.62%.

Valuation metrics:
- PEG ratio is 26.213001.
- Forward PE is 26.213001 and trailing PE is 29.428572.
- Enterprise value is $2,948,462,018,560.
- Price to book MRQ is 39.181313.
- Price to sales TTM is 7.6151557.
- Enterprise to EBITDA is 22.745.
- Enterprise to revenue is 7.726.
- Market capitalization is $2,906,118,684,672.

Stock price summary:
- Beta is 1.264.
- 50-day moving average is $173.6936.
- 200-day moving average is $180.7906.
- Fifty-two week low is $164.08 and fifty-two week high is $199.62.
- Fifty-two week change is 8.253%.

Dividends and splits:
- Payout ratio is 14.93%.
- Dividend date is May 16, 2024.
- Last split date is August 31, 2020.
- Ex-dividend date is May 10, 2024.
- Last split factor is a 4-for-1 split.
- Forward annual dividend rate is $1.
- 5-year average dividend yield is 0.73%.
- Forward annual dividend yield is 0.5266761603816345%.
- Trailing annual dividend rate is $0.97.
- Trailing annual dividend yield is 0.5108758755701854%.

Cash Flow 💶

This is the cash flow statement. Here are some conclusions we can draw from the data:

1. The company's free cash flow has been fluctuating over the years, with the highest value in 2022 and the lowest in 2020.
2. Operating cash flow has generally been increasing year over year, indicating improved operational efficiency.
3. Financing activities show significant fluctuations, with large amounts being spent on common stock repurchase and debt issuance/payment.
4. Investing activities also vary, with significant amounts being spent on the sale and purchase of investments.
5. The end cash position has been fluctuating, but overall, it has shown a positive trend over the years.
6. Interest paid and income tax paid have also varied, reflecting changes in the company's financial obligations.
7. Stock-based compensation has been a significant factor in the company's financial activities.
8. The company has been consistently paying dividends to its shareholders, with varying amounts each year.

Earnings estimate

The analysts' estimates for future quarterly and annual earnings per share are as follows:

1. Current Quarter (as of June 30, 2024):
- Average Estimate: $1.33
- Low Estimate: $1.27
- High Estimate: $1.36
- Year Ago EPS: $1.26
- Number of Analysts: 26

2. Next Quarter (as of September 30, 2024):
- Average Estimate: $1.53
- Low Estimate: $1.44
- High Estimate: $1.63
- Year Ago EPS: $1.46
- Number of Analysts: 25

3. Current Year (as of September 30, 2024):
- Average Estimate: $6.59
- Low Estimate: $6.43
- High Estimate: $6.92
- Year Ago EPS: $6.13
- Number of Analysts: 39

4. Next Year (as of September 30, 2025):
- Average Estimate: $7.23
- Low Estimate: $6.40
- High Estimate: $7.90
- Year Ago EPS: $6.59
- Number of Analysts: 39

Based on these estimates, we can see a generally positive trend in the expected earnings per share for both the upcoming quarters and the next year compared to the previous year. It indicates potential growth and improvement in the company's financial performance according to analysts' projections.

Revenue estimate

Based on the analysts' estimates for the future quarterly and annual sales of the company, we can draw the following conclusions:

1. For the current quarter ending on June 30, 2024, the average sales estimate is $83,776,900,000, with a sales growth of 2% compared to the same quarter last year. The number of analysts providing estimates is 24.

2. For the next quarter ending on September 30, 2024, the average sales estimate is $92,375,300,000, with a sales growth of 3% compared to the same quarter last year. The number of analysts providing estimates is 24.

3. For the current fiscal year ending on September 30, 2024, the average sales estimate is $386,681,000,000, with a sales growth of 1% compared to the previous fiscal year. The number of analysts providing estimates is 37.

4. For the next fiscal year ending on September 30, 2025, the average sales estimate is $411,555,000,000, with a sales growth of 6% compared to the current fiscal year. The number of analysts providing estimates is 37.

These estimates suggest a moderate growth trend in both quarterly and annual sales for the company, with slightly higher growth expected in the next fiscal year.

Growth estimates

Based on the consensus estimates provided, we can draw the following conclusions regarding the growth rate of the company for different periods:

1. Current Quarter: The estimated growth rate for the current quarter is 5.6%.
2. Next Quarter: The estimated growth rate for the next quarter is 4.8%.
3. Current Year: The estimated growth rate for the current year is 7.5%.
4. Next Year: The estimated growth rate for the next year is 9.7%.
5. Past 5 Years (per annum): The average growth rate for the past 5 years is 20.1% per annum.
6. Next 5 Years (per annum): The estimated growth rate for the next 5 years is 11% per annum.

These estimates suggest a positive growth trend for the company, with a slightly lower growth rate expected in the near term compared to the past performance. However, the company is still projected to maintain a double-digit growth rate over the next 5 years according to analyst consensus.

Price target

The analysts' forecast for the future price of the security is as follows:
- Low: $164
- High: $250
- Median: $200
- Average: $202.26
- Current price: $191.57
- Currency: USD

Based on these forecasts, we can see that the analysts have a range of opinions regarding the future price of the security, with the low end at $164, the high end at $250, and the average at $202.26. The current price is below both the average and median forecast, indicating that there is potential for the security to increase in value according to the analysts' predictions.

MACD of 9828

This is not investment advice. Remember to verify the information provided here.

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Contacts

Telephone number

+48 32 700 81 66

Email address

[email protected]

Company information

Honey Payment Group S.A. at Al. Aleje Jerozolimskie 65 / 79, 00-697 Warsaw, Poland, Register number KRS 0000335507, NIP 5252859204, REGON 388760204. Honey Payment Group is listed on the Warsaw Stock Exchange (WSE) under the ticker symbol HPG. Link