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Analysis Gladstone Investment Corporation 5.00% Notes Due 2026 (GAINN)

5/30/2024

Analysis Gladstone Investment Corporation 5.00% Notes Due 2026 (GAINN)

Analysis of Gladstone Investment Corporation 5.00% Notes Due 2026 (GAINN)

Based on the provided data for Gladstone Investment Corporation (symbol: GAINN) for the past three days, we can see the following:

1. The closing prices have been relatively stable, with slight fluctuations between $23.25 and $23.61.
2. The opening prices have also shown minor variations, indicating some volatility in the market.
3. The price range (high and low) has been relatively narrow, suggesting a lack of significant price movements.
4. Technical indicators such as RSI, MACD, and moving averages (SMA, EMA, WMA) are not available for analysis in the provided data.

Overall, based on the limited data available, it appears that Gladstone Investment Corporation has been experiencing a period of consolidation or stability in its stock price. Further analysis with additional data and technical indicators would be needed to provide a more comprehensive assessment of the stock's performance.

Earnings

The company's results for the most recent quarter, ending on April 30, 2025, have not been provided at this time. The previous quarter's results, ending on February 27, 2025, were handled by the Transfer Agent. The results for the quarter ending on January 31, 2025, were released after hours. The results for the quarter ending on October 31, 2024, were not provided at this time. The results for the quarter ending on August 1, 2024, showed an earnings per share (EPS) estimate of 1.32.

Main Statystic 🧠

The data provided includes financials, stock statistics, valuation metrics, stock price summary, and dividends and splits information for a specific company.

Financials:
- Cash flow: Operating cash flow TTM is $110,563,000,320 and levered free cash flow TTM is $84,726,874,112.
- Balance sheet: Total cash MRQ is $67,150,000,128, total debt MRQ is $104,590,000,128, current ratio MRQ is 1.037, book value per share MRQ is $4.837, total cash per share MRQ is $4.379, and total debt to equity MRQ is 140.968.
- Profit margin: 26.306%
- Fiscal year ends: September 30, 2023
- Income statement: EBITDA is $131,393,000,000, revenue TTM is $381,623,009,280, diluted EPS TTM is $6.43, gross profit TTM is $169,148,000,000, revenue per share TTM is $24.537, net income to common TTM is $100,389,003,264, quarterly revenue growth is -4.3%, and quarterly earnings growth YoY is -2.2%.
- Operating margin: 30.743%
- Most recent quarter: March 31, 2024
- Return on assets TTM: 22.073999%
- Return on equity TTM: 147.25%

Stock statistics:
- Short ratio: 1.53
- Float shares: 15,308,320,742
- Shares short: 99,287,450
- Average 10-day volume: 46,860,048
- Average 90-day volume: 57,498,254
- Shares outstanding: 15,334,099,968
- Percent held by insiders: 5.22%
- Percent held by institutions: 57.589%
- Short percent of shares outstanding: 0.65%

Valuation metrics:
- PEG ratio: 26.319502
- Forward PE: 26.319502
- Trailing PE: 29.59409
- Enterprise value: $2,950,762,332,160
- Price to book MRQ: 39.3405
- Price to sales TTM: 7.646095
- Enterprise to EBITDA: 22.763
- Enterprise to revenue: 7.732
- Market capitalization: $2,917,925,650,432

Stock price summary:
- Beta: 1.264
- 50-day moving average: $176.2646
- 200-day moving average: $181.0429
- 52-week low: $164.08
- 52-week high: $199.62
- 52-week change: 6.853%

Dividends and splits:
- Payout ratio: 14.93%
- Dividend date: May 16, 2024
- Last split date: August 31, 2020
- Ex-dividend date: May 10, 2024
- Last split factor: 4-for-1 split
- Forward annual dividend rate: $1
- 5-year average dividend yield: 0.73%
- Forward annual dividend yield: 0.5255%
- Trailing annual dividend rate: $0.97
- Trailing annual dividend yield: 0.5097%

Income statement 💸

These are the revenues. Here are the conclusions:

1. The company's sales revenue has been increasing steadily over the years, from $274.5 billion in 2020 to $383.3 billion in 2023.
2. Despite fluctuations in other financial metrics, such as net income and operating income, the trend in sales revenue shows consistent growth.
3. The company's ability to generate revenue has been strong, indicating a healthy demand for its products or services.
4. Investors and analysts may view the company positively due to its consistent growth in sales revenue, which is a key indicator of a company's performance and market position.

Balance Sheet

These are balance sheets. Here are the conclusions:

1. The total assets have been increasing over the years, reaching the highest value in 2023 at $352,583,000,000.
2. Current assets fluctuate from year to year, with the highest value in 2019 at $162,819,000,000.
3. Non-current assets have been increasing steadily, with the highest value in 2023 at $209,017,000,000.
4. Total liabilities have also been increasing, reaching the highest value in 2023 at $290,437,000,000.
5. Shareholders' equity has been fluctuating, with the highest value in 2019 at $90,488,000,000.
6. The company has been relying more on non-current assets to support its operations.
7. There is a significant amount of debt in the company's capital structure, both short-term and long-term.
8. The company has been investing in leases, land, and improvements over the years.
9. Retained earnings have been positive in most years, except for 2023 where it is negative.
10. The company has been maintaining a significant amount of cash and cash equivalents on hand.

Cash Flow 💶

This is the cash flow statement. Here are some conclusions we can draw from the data:

1. The company's free cash flow has been fluctuating over the years, with the highest value in 2022 and the lowest in 2020.
2. Operating cash flow has been relatively stable over the years, indicating consistent operational performance.
3. Financing activities show significant variations, with large amounts being spent on common stock repurchase and debt issuance and payments.
4. Investing activities also vary, with notable amounts spent on the sale and purchase of investments.
5. The end cash position has been fluctuating, reaching its highest value in 2020 and its lowest in 2022.
6. Interest paid has been relatively stable, while income tax paid shows some fluctuations.
7. Stock-based compensation has been increasing over the years, indicating a possible trend in incentivizing employees through stock options.
8. The company has been paying dividends consistently, with varying amounts each year.

These conclusions provide insights into the company's financial performance and management of cash flows over the years.

Earnings estimate

Based on the analysts' estimates for future quarterly and annual earnings per share:

1. For the current quarter ending on June 30, 2024, the average estimated EPS is $1.33, compared to $1.26 a year ago.
2. For the next quarter ending on September 30, 2024, the average estimated EPS is $1.53, compared to $1.46 a year ago.
3. For the current fiscal year ending on September 30, 2024, the average estimated EPS is $6.59, compared to $6.13 a year ago.
4. For the next fiscal year ending on September 30, 2025, the average estimated EPS is $7.23, compared to $6.59 a year ago.

Overall, the analysts are forecasting an increase in earnings per share for both the upcoming quarters and the next fiscal years compared to the previous periods.

Revenue estimate

Based on the analysts' estimates for the future quarterly and annual sales of the company, we can draw the following conclusions:

1. For the current quarter ending on June 30, 2024, the average sales estimate is $83,776,900,000, with a sales growth of 2% compared to the same quarter last year. The number of analysts providing estimates is 24.

2. For the next quarter ending on September 30, 2024, the average sales estimate is $92,375,300,000, with a sales growth of 3% compared to the same quarter last year. The number of analysts providing estimates is 24.

3. For the current fiscal year ending on September 30, 2024, the average sales estimate is $386,681,000,000, with a sales growth of 1% compared to the previous fiscal year. The number of analysts providing estimates is 37.

4. For the next fiscal year ending on September 30, 2025, the average sales estimate is $411,555,000,000, with a sales growth of 6% compared to the current fiscal year. The number of analysts providing estimates is 37.

These estimates suggest a moderate growth trend in both quarterly and annual sales for the company over the specified periods.

Growth estimates

Based on the consensus estimates provided:
- The current year growth rate is 7.5%
- The next quarter growth rate is 4.8%
- The current quarter growth rate is 5.6%
- The next year growth rate is 9.7%
- The next 5 years compound annual growth rate (CAGR) is 11%
- The past 5 years compound annual growth rate (CAGR) is 20.15%

It can be observed that the company is expected to experience a significant increase in growth rate in the next year compared to the current year. The long-term outlook also appears positive with a projected CAGR of 11% for the next 5 years. However, the past 5 years have seen a higher growth rate compared to the current estimates, indicating a potential slowdown in growth.

Price target

The analysts' forecast for the future price of the security paper is as follows:
- Low: $164
- High: $250
- Median: $200
- Average: $202.26
- Current price: $191.57
- Currency: USD

Based on these forecasts, we can see that the analysts have a range of opinions on the future price of the security paper, with the low end at $164, the high end at $250, and the average at $202.26. The current price is below both the average and median forecast, indicating a potential opportunity for growth according to the analysts' predictions.

This is not investment advice. Remember to verify the information provided here.

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Contacts

Telephone number

+48 32 700 81 66

Email address

[email protected]

Company information

Honey Payment S.A. at ul. Nowy Swiat 33/13, 00-029 Warsaw, Poland, Register number KRS 0000895826, share capital in the amount of 201.4 mln PLN, NIP 5252859204, REGON 388760204