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Analysis Glanbia plc (GLB)

6/4/2024

Analysis Glanbia plc (GLB)

Analysis of Glanbia plc (GLB)

Glanbia plc (GLB) has shown some interesting price movements recently. The stock closed at 18.83 on June 4th, with an opening price of 18.76. The Relative Strength Index (RSI) is at 58.59, indicating a slightly overbought condition but still within a reasonable range.

The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) indicator is positive at 0.17221, with the MACD line above the signal line, suggesting a bullish momentum. The MACD histogram is also positive at 0.04535, indicating an increase in bullish momentum.

In terms of moving averages, the Simple Moving Average (SMA) is at 17.82, the Exponential Moving Average (EMA) is at 17.79, and the Weighted Moving Average (WMA) is at 17.85. These moving averages show a positive trend in the stock price.

Overall, based on the RSI, MACD, and moving averages, Glanbia plc seems to be in a bullish phase with potential for further upward movement. However, it's always important to consider other factors and conduct a more in-depth analysis before making any investment decisions.

Revenue estimate

Based on the analysts' estimates for the future quarterly and annual sales of the company, we can draw the following conclusions:

1. For the current quarter ending on June 30, 2024, the average sales estimate is $77,545,400,000, with a sales growth of 2% compared to the same quarter last year. The number of analysts providing estimates is 25.

2. For the next quarter ending on September 30, 2024, the average sales estimate is $85,501,800,000, with a sales growth of 3% compared to the same quarter last year. The number of analysts providing estimates is 25.

3. For the current fiscal year ending on September 30, 2024, the average sales estimate is $357,772,000,000, with a sales growth of 1% compared to the previous fiscal year. The number of analysts providing estimates is 38.

4. For the next fiscal year ending on September 30, 2025, the average sales estimate is $380,772,000,000, with a sales growth of 6% compared to the current fiscal year. The number of analysts providing estimates is 38.

These estimates suggest a moderate growth trend in both quarterly and annual sales for the company over the specified periods, with varying growth rates.

Growth estimates

Based on the consensus estimates provided by analysts, we can draw the following conclusions regarding the growth rate of the company for different periods:

1. Current Quarter: The estimated growth rate for the current quarter is 5.1%.
2. Next Quarter: The estimated growth rate for the next quarter is 5.2%.
3. Current Year: The estimated growth rate for the current year is 7.6%.
4. Next Year: The estimated growth rate for the next year is 9.7%.
5. Past 5 Years (per annum): The average annual growth rate for the past 5 years is 20.1%.
6. Next 5 Years (per annum): The estimated average annual growth rate for the next 5 years is 9.7%.

These estimates suggest a positive growth trend for the company, with a slightly lower growth rate expected in the next 5 years compared to the past 5 years. The company is expected to experience steady growth in the short term, with a higher growth rate projected for the next year.

Price target

The analysts' forecast for the future price of the security is as follows:
- Low: $164
- High: $275
- Median: $201.43
- Average: $204.58
- Current price: $192.25
- Currency: USD

Based on these forecasts, it appears that the analysts are generally optimistic about the future price of the security, with a median forecast above the current price. However, there is a wide range between the low and high forecasts, indicating some uncertainty in the predictions.

Earnings

The company's results for the most recent quarter, ending on April 30, 2025, have not been provided at this time. The previous quarter's results, ending on February 27, 2025, were handled by the Transfer Agent. The quarter before that, ending on January 31, 2025, had results released after hours. The results for the quarter ending on October 31, 2024, were not provided at the time. However, for the quarter ending on August 1, 2024, the company reported an earnings per share (EPS) estimate of 1.32.

Main Statystic 🧠

The data provided includes financials, stock statistics, valuation metrics, stock price summary, and dividends and splits information for a specific company.

In terms of financials, the company has strong cash flow with operating cash flow at $110.56 billion and levered free cash flow at $84.73 billion. The balance sheet shows a total cash of $67.15 billion, total debt of $104.59 billion, and a current ratio of 1.037. The profit margin is 26.31%, with a return on assets of 22.07% and return on equity of 147.25%. The company's fiscal year ends on September 30, 2023.

Moving on to stock statistics, the short ratio is 1.53, with 99.29 million shares shorted out of 15.31 billion float shares. The company has a market capitalization of $2.92 trillion, with 57.59% held by institutions and 5.22% held by insiders.

Valuation metrics show a PEG ratio of 26.32, forward P/E of 26.32, and trailing P/E of 29.59. The enterprise value is $2.95 trillion, with a price-to-book ratio of 39.34 and price-to-sales ratio of 7.65. The enterprise value to EBITDA ratio is 22.76, and the enterprise value to revenue ratio is 7.73.

The stock price summary includes a beta of 1.26, 50-day moving average of $176.26, and 200-day moving average of $181.04. The 52-week low and high prices are $164.08 and $199.62, respectively, with a 52-week change of 6.85%.

Lastly, dividends and splits information reveals a payout ratio of 14.93%, with a forward annual dividend rate of $1 and a trailing annual dividend rate of $0.97. The company's dividend dates, split dates, and dividend yields are also provided.

Income statement 💸

These are the revenues. Here are the conclusions:

1. The company's sales revenue has been increasing steadily over the past four fiscal years.
2. The gross profit margin seems to be consistent, indicating stable pricing and cost management.
3. Operating income has also shown a positive trend, reflecting efficient operational performance.
4. Net income has been growing, suggesting effective cost control and revenue generation.
5. Earnings per share (EPS) have generally increased, indicating improved profitability on a per-share basis.
6. The company has been able to maintain a healthy EBITDA margin, showing strong operational performance.
7. Despite fluctuations in non-operating interest income and expenses, the company has managed to sustain overall profitability.
8. The number of basic and diluted shares outstanding has remained relatively stable over the years.
9. The company's effective tax rate has fluctuated but has not shown a clear trend.
10. Overall, the financial performance of the company, as indicated by its revenues, seems to be positive and improving.

Balance Sheet

These are balance sheets. Here are the conclusions based on the provided data:

1. The total assets have been increasing over the years, reaching the highest value in 2023 at $352,583,000,000.
2. Current assets fluctuate from year to year, with the highest value in 2019 at $162,819,000,000.
3. Non-current assets have been increasing steadily, with the highest value in 2023 at $209,017,000,000.
4. Total liabilities have also been increasing, reaching the highest value in 2023 at $290,437,000,000.
5. Shareholders' equity has been fluctuating, with the highest value in 2020 at $65,339,000,000.
6. The company has been relying more on non-current liabilities over the years, as seen in the increasing trend.
7. Cash and cash equivalents have been fluctuating, with the highest value in 2019 at $48,844,000,000.
8. Investments and advances have shown a steady increase, reaching the highest value in 2023 at $100,544,000,000.
9. Machinery, furniture, and equipment have also been increasing, with the highest value in 2023 at $78,314,000,000.
10. Accumulated depreciation has been increasing, indicating the aging of assets over the years.

Cash Flow 💶

This is the cash flow statement. Here are some conclusions we can draw from the data:

1. The company's free cash flow has been fluctuating over the years, with the highest value recorded in 2022 and the lowest in 2020.
2. Operating cash flow has generally been increasing year over year, indicating improved operational efficiency.
3. The company has been consistently paying interest and income taxes, with varying amounts each year.
4. The end cash position has also been fluctuating, reaching its highest value in 2020.
5. Financing activities show a pattern of common stock repurchase, issuance of long-term debt, and payment of dividends.
6. Investing activities include the sale and purchase of investments, as well as capital expenditures.
7. Overall, the company seems to be managing its cash flow effectively, with a focus on operational efficiency and strategic investments.

Earnings estimate

Based on the analysts' estimates for future quarterly and annual earnings per share:

1. For the current quarter ending on June 30, 2024, the average estimated EPS is $1.23, with a low estimate of $1.18 and a high estimate of $1.26. This shows an improvement compared to the EPS of $1.17 from the same quarter a year ago.

2. For the next quarter ending on September 30, 2024, the average estimated EPS is $1.42, with a low estimate of $1.33 and a high estimate of $1.51. This also indicates growth from the EPS of $1.35 in the same quarter last year.

3. Looking at the estimates for the current year ending on September 30, 2024, the average estimated EPS is $6.10, ranging from a low estimate of $5.95 to a high estimate of $6.41. This reflects an increase from the EPS of $5.67 for the previous year.

4. For the next year ending on September 30, 2025, the average estimated EPS is $6.69, with a low estimate of $5.92 and a high estimate of $7.31. This suggests a slight improvement from the EPS of $6.10 in the previous year.

Overall, the analysts' estimates point towards a positive trend of increasing earnings per share for the company in both the short term and the long term.

MACD of GLB

This is not investment advice. Remember to verify the information provided here.

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Contacts

Telephone number

+48 32 700 81 66

Email address

[email protected]

Company information

Honey Payment Group S.A. at Al. Aleje Jerozolimskie 65 / 79, 00-697 Warsaw, Poland, Register number KRS 0000335507, NIP 5252859204, REGON 388760204. Honey Payment Group is listed on the Warsaw Stock Exchange (WSE) under the ticker symbol HPG. Link