Analysis Golden Agri-Resources (GARPF)
5/27/2024
Analysis of Golden Agri-Resources (GARPF)
Golden Agri-Resources (GARPF) has been trading at a consistent price of 0.19 for the past several days. The Relative Strength Index (RSI) is around 44.04, indicating a neutral sentiment in the market.Looking at the Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) indicator, the MACD line is slightly below the signal line, with a negative MACD histogram. This suggests a potential bearish trend in the short term.
In terms of moving averages, the Simple Moving Average (SMA), Exponential Moving Average (EMA), and Weighted Moving Average (WMA) are all above the current price, indicating a bearish sentiment.
Overall, based on the RSI, MACD, and moving averages, the short-term outlook for Golden Agri-Resources (GARPF) appears to be bearish. Traders and investors may want to exercise caution or consider short-term selling strategies.
Cash Flow 💶
This is the cash flow statement. Here are some conclusions we can draw from the data:1. The company's free cash flow has been fluctuating over the years, with the highest value in 2022 and the lowest in 2020.
2. Operating cash flow has generally been increasing year over year, indicating improved operational efficiency.
3. The company has been consistently paying interest and income taxes, with varying amounts each year.
4. The end cash position has also been fluctuating, reaching its highest value in 2020.
5. Financing activities show a pattern of common stock repurchase, long-term debt issuance, and payments, with significant fluctuations in values.
6. Investing activities indicate a mix of acquisitions, investments, and capital expenditures, with varying levels of cash flow.
7. Overall, the company's financial performance seems to be stable, with some fluctuations in key financial metrics over the years.
Earnings estimate
Based on analysts' estimates for future quarterly and annual earnings per share:1. For the current quarter ending on June 30, 2024, the average estimated EPS is $1.33, compared to $1.26 a year ago. The range of estimates is between $1.27 and $1.36, based on 26 analysts' forecasts.
2. For the next quarter ending on September 30, 2024, the average estimated EPS is $1.53, compared to $1.46 a year ago. The range of estimates is between $1.44 and $1.63, based on 25 analysts' forecasts.
3. For the current fiscal year ending on September 30, 2024, the average estimated EPS is $6.59, compared to $6.13 a year ago. The range of estimates is between $6.43 and $6.92, based on 39 analysts' forecasts.
4. For the next fiscal year ending on September 30, 2025, the average estimated EPS is $7.23, compared to $6.59 a year ago. The range of estimates is between $6.40 and $7.90, based on 39 analysts' forecasts.
Overall, the analysts are generally forecasting an increase in earnings per share both for the upcoming quarters and the next fiscal years compared to the previous periods.
Revenue estimate
Based on the analysts' estimates for the future quarterly and annual sales of the company, we can draw the following conclusions:1. For the current quarter ending on June 30, 2024, the average sales estimate is $83,776,900,000, with a sales growth of 2% compared to the same quarter last year. The number of analysts providing estimates is 24.
2. For the next quarter ending on September 30, 2024, the average sales estimate is $92,375,300,000, with a sales growth of 3% compared to the same quarter last year. The number of analysts providing estimates is 24.
3. For the current fiscal year ending on September 30, 2024, the average sales estimate is $386,681,000,000, with a sales growth of 1% compared to the previous fiscal year. The number of analysts providing estimates is 37.
4. For the next fiscal year ending on September 30, 2025, the average sales estimate is $411,555,000,000, with a sales growth of 6% compared to the current fiscal year. The number of analysts providing estimates is 37.
These estimates suggest a moderate growth trend in both quarterly and annual sales for the company, with slightly higher growth expected in the next fiscal year compared to the current one.
Growth estimates
Based on the consensus estimates provided, we can draw the following conclusions regarding the growth rate of the company for different periods:1. Current Quarter: The estimated growth rate for the current quarter is 5.6%.
2. Next Quarter: The estimated growth rate for the next quarter is 4.8%.
3. Current Year: The estimated growth rate for the current year is 7.5%.
4. Next Year: The estimated growth rate for the next year is 9.7%.
5. Past 5 Years (per annum): The average annual growth rate for the past 5 years is 20.1%.
6. Next 5 Years (per annum): The estimated average annual growth rate for the next 5 years is 11%.
These estimates suggest a positive growth trend for the company, with a slightly lower growth rate expected in the near term compared to the past performance. However, the company is still projected to experience healthy growth both in the short and long term according to analyst consensus.
Price target
The analysts' forecast for the future price of the security is as follows:- Low: $164
- High: $250
- Median: $200
- Average: $202.26
- Current price: $191.57
- Currency: USD
Based on these forecasts, we can see that the analysts have a range of opinions on the future price of the security, with the low end at $164, the high end at $250, and the average at $202.26. The current price is $191.57, which is below the median and average forecasted prices. Investors should consider these forecasts along with other factors when making investment decisions.
Earnings
The company's results for the most recent quarter, ending on April 30, 2025, have not been provided at this time. The previous quarter's results, ending on February 27, 2025, were handled by the Transfer Agent. The results for the quarter ending on January 31, 2025, were released after hours. The results for the quarter ending on October 31, 2024, were not provided at the time. However, for the quarter ending on August 1, 2024, the company reported an earnings per share (EPS) estimate of 1.33.Main Statystic ðŸ§
The data provided includes financials, stock statistics, valuation metrics, stock price summary, and dividends and splits for a specific company.In terms of financials, the company has strong operating cash flow and levered free cash flow. The balance sheet shows a healthy current ratio, but a high total debt to equity ratio. The profit margin and operating margin are both positive, indicating profitability. The company's fiscal year ends in September 2023, with notable figures such as revenue, EBITDA, and net income.
Moving on to stock statistics, we see details such as short ratio, float shares, shares outstanding, and insider/institutional ownership percentages. The company's stock price summary includes metrics like beta, moving averages, and the 52-week high and low prices.
Valuation metrics reveal information about the company's price-to-earnings ratios, enterprise value, market capitalization, and other key financial indicators. Lastly, the dividends and splits section provides data on dividend rates, payout ratios, dividend yield, and historical split information for the company's stock.
Income statement 💸
These are the revenues. Here are the conclusions:1. The company's sales revenue has been increasing steadily over the years, from $274.5 billion in 2020 to $383.3 billion in 2023.
2. Despite the increase in sales, the cost of goods sold has also been rising, indicating that the company is facing higher production or acquisition costs.
3. The gross profit margin has remained relatively stable over the years, indicating that the company has been able to maintain its profitability despite the increase in costs.
4. Operating income has also shown a consistent growth trend, reaching $114.3 billion in 2023 from $66.3 billion in 2020.
5. Net income has been increasing over the years, showing that the company is effectively managing its expenses and taxes to generate higher profits.
6. Earnings per share (EPS) have also been on the rise, indicating that the company's profitability is being distributed among shareholders.
7. The company's EBITDA has shown a positive trend, reaching $129.2 billion in 2023 from $81 billion in 2020, indicating the company's operational efficiency and profitability.
8. Overall, the financial performance of the company seems to be strong, with consistent growth in revenues, income, and profitability metrics over the years.
Balance Sheet
These are balance sheets. Here are the conclusions based on the provided data:1. The total assets have been increasing over the years, reaching the highest value in 2023 at $352,583,000,000.
2. Current assets fluctuate from year to year, with the highest value in 2019 at $162,819,000,000.
3. Non-current assets have been increasing steadily, with the highest value in 2023 at $209,017,000,000.
4. Total liabilities have also been increasing, reaching the highest value in 2023 at $290,437,000,000.
5. Shareholders' equity has been fluctuating, with the highest value in 2019 at $90,488,000,000.
6. The company has been relying more on non-current assets to finance its operations, as seen in the increasing trend of non-current assets compared to current assets.
7. The company has been taking on more debt over the years, as indicated by the increasing total liabilities.
8. Retained earnings have been positive in most years, except for a negative value in 2023, indicating potential financial challenges in that year.
MACD of GARPF
This is not investment advice. Remember to verify the information provided here.
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