Analysis gooddays holdings, Inc. (4437)
6/4/2024
Analysis of gooddays holdings, Inc. (4437)
Gooddays Holdings, Inc. is showing some interesting trends based on the provided data:1. **Price Movement**: The stock price has been fluctuating between $663 and $688 over the past few days, with some volatility in the middle. The closing price has been relatively stable around the mid $670s range.
2. **Technical Indicators**:
- **RSI Indicator**: The Relative Strength Index (RSI) has been hovering around 50, indicating a neutral stance in terms of momentum.
- **MACD Indicator**: The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) has shown some fluctuations, with the MACD line crossing above and below the signal line, suggesting potential shifts in momentum.
3. **Moving Averages**:
- **SMA, EMA, WMA**: The Simple Moving Average (SMA), Exponential Moving Average (EMA), and Weighted Moving Average (WMA) have been relatively close to each other, indicating a stable trend in the stock price.
4. **Overall Analysis**:
- The stock seems to be consolidating in a range with no clear trend direction.
- Traders might be waiting for a breakout above $688 or below $663 to establish a new trend.
- The technical indicators suggest a neutral to slightly bearish bias, but further confirmation is needed.
Investors and traders should closely monitor the price levels mentioned and the behavior of technical indicators for potential trading opportunities.
Earnings
The company's results for the most recent quarter, ending on April 30, 2025, have not been provided at this time. The previous quarter's results, ending on February 27, 2025, were handled by the Transfer Agent. The quarter before that, ending on January 31, 2025, had results released after hours. The results for the quarter ending on October 31, 2024, were not provided at the time. However, for the quarter ending on August 1, 2024, the company had an EPS estimate of 1.32.Main Statystic ðŸ§
The data provided includes financials, stock statistics, valuation metrics, stock price summary, and dividends and splits information for a specific company.In terms of financials, the company has strong operating cash flow and levered free cash flow, with a positive current ratio and a high total debt to equity ratio. The profit margin and operating margin are also healthy, indicating efficient operations. The company's fiscal year ends in September 2023, and the most recent quarter reported is March 31, 2024. The company shows good returns on assets and equity.
In terms of stock statistics, there is a low short ratio and a significant percentage of shares held by institutions. The stock has a beta of 1.264 and has been trading within a range between a fifty-two-week low and high.
Valuation metrics show a relatively high PEG ratio and forward PE ratio. The company's market capitalization and enterprise value are substantial, with high price to book and price to sales ratios. The enterprise value to EBITDA and revenue ratios are also notable.
The stock price summary includes moving averages, a 52-week price range, and beta.
Lastly, dividends and splits information shows dividend rates, dates, and yields, as well as details on past stock splits.
Earnings estimate
Based on the analysts' estimates for future quarterly and annual earnings per share:1. For the current quarter ending on June 30, 2024, the average EPS estimate is $1.23, with a low estimate of $1.18 and a high estimate of $1.26. This shows growth compared to the EPS of $1.17 from the same quarter a year ago.
2. For the next quarter ending on September 30, 2024, the average EPS estimate is $1.42, with a low estimate of $1.33 and a high estimate of $1.51. This indicates an increase from the EPS of $1.35 from the same quarter last year.
3. For the current fiscal year ending on September 30, 2024, the average EPS estimate is $6.10, with a low estimate of $5.95 and a high estimate of $6.41. This reflects growth compared to the EPS of $5.67 from the previous fiscal year.
4. Looking ahead to the next fiscal year ending on September 30, 2025, the average EPS estimate is $6.69, with a low estimate of $5.92 and a high estimate of $7.31. This suggests a potential increase from the EPS of $6.10 in the current fiscal year.
Overall, the analysts' estimates indicate a positive outlook for the company's earnings per share, with expected growth in both the short term and the long term.
Revenue estimate
Based on the analysts' estimates for the future quarterly and annual sales of the company, we can draw the following conclusions:1. For the current quarter ending on June 30, 2024, the average sales estimate is $77,545,400,000, with a sales growth of 2% compared to the same quarter last year. The number of analysts providing estimates is 25.
2. For the next quarter ending on September 30, 2024, the average sales estimate is $85,501,800,000, with a sales growth of 3% compared to the same quarter last year. The number of analysts providing estimates is 25.
3. For the current fiscal year ending on September 30, 2024, the average sales estimate is $357,772,000,000, with a sales growth of 1% compared to the previous fiscal year. The number of analysts providing estimates is 38.
4. For the next fiscal year ending on September 30, 2025, the average sales estimate is $380,772,000,000, with a sales growth of 6% compared to the current fiscal year. The number of analysts providing estimates is 38.
These estimates suggest a moderate growth trend in both quarterly and annual sales for the company, with slightly higher growth expected in the next fiscal year compared to the current one.
Growth estimates
Based on the consensus estimates provided:- The current year growth rate is 7.6%
- The next quarter growth rate is 5.1%
- The current quarter growth rate is 5.1%
- The next year growth rate is 9.7%
- The average annual growth rate for the next 5 years is 9.7%
- The average annual growth rate for the past 5 years is 20.1%
It appears that the company is expected to experience a significant increase in growth compared to the past 5 years, with a particularly strong growth forecast for the next year and the next 5 years. The growth rates for the current and next quarter are more moderate in comparison.
Price target
The analysts' forecast for the future price of the security is as follows:- Low: $164
- High: $275
- Median: $201.43
- Average: $204.58
- Current price: $192.25
Based on these forecasts, it appears that the analysts are generally optimistic about the future price of the security, with a median and average price above the current price. However, there is a wide range of forecasts, from a low of $164 to a high of $275, indicating some uncertainty in the predictions.
Income statement 💸
These are the revenues. Here are the conclusions:1. The company's sales revenue has been increasing steadily over the years, from $274.5 billion in 2020 to $383.3 billion in 2023.
2. Despite fluctuations in other financial metrics, such as net income and operating income, the trend in revenue growth has been positive.
3. The company has been able to maintain a healthy gross profit margin, with gross profit consistently above $100 billion each year.
4. The cost of goods sold has also been increasing in line with the growth in sales, indicating a proportional relationship between revenue and cost of goods.
5. Overall, the revenue trend reflects the company's ability to generate increasing sales and maintain a strong market position.
Balance Sheet
These are balance sheets. Here are the conclusions based on the provided data:1. The total assets have been increasing over the years, reaching the highest value in 2023 at $352,583,000,000.
2. Current assets fluctuate from year to year, with the highest value in 2019 at $162,819,000,000.
3. Non-current assets have been increasing steadily, with the highest value in 2023 at $209,017,000,000.
4. Total liabilities have also been increasing, reaching the highest value in 2023 at $290,437,000,000.
5. Shareholders' equity has been fluctuating, with the highest value in 2023 at $62,146,000,000.
6. The company has been relying more on non-current assets to support its operations.
7. There is a significant amount of debt in the company's capital structure, both short-term and long-term.
8. The company has been investing in leases, land, and improvements over the years.
9. Retained earnings have been negative in some years, indicating losses or dividend payouts exceeding profits.
10. The company has been managing its cash and cash equivalents effectively, with fluctuations in other current assets.
Cash Flow 💶
This is a cash flow statement. Here are some conclusions we can draw from the data:1. The company's free cash flow has been fluctuating over the years, with the highest value in 2022 and the lowest in 2020.
2. Operating cash flow has generally been increasing over the years, indicating improved operational efficiency.
3. The company has been consistently paying interest and income taxes, with varying amounts each year.
4. The end cash position has also been fluctuating, reaching its highest value in 2020.
5. Financing activities show significant fluctuations, especially in common stock repurchases and long-term debt issuances.
6. Investing activities also vary, with notable amounts spent on the sale and purchase of investments.
7. The company has been paying dividends consistently, with varying amounts each year.
8. Stock-based compensation has been increasing over the years, indicating a potential focus on employee incentives.
9. Overall, the company's financial activities show a mix of stability and variability, reflecting the dynamic nature of its operations and financial management.
MACD of 4437
This is not investment advice. Remember to verify the information provided here.
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