Analysis GrainCorp Ltd. (GRCLF)
5/27/2024
Analysis of GrainCorp Ltd. (GRCLF)
GrainCorp Ltd. (GRCLF) is showing some interesting trends based on the provided data:1. Price Movement: The stock price has been fluctuating between $5.200 and $5.610 over the past few days, with the most recent closing price at $5.410. This indicates some volatility in the stock.
2. Technical Indicators:
- RSI Indicator: The Relative Strength Index (RSI) values have been around 50-60, indicating a neutral to slightly bullish sentiment in the market.
- MACD Indicator: The MACD line has been positive, suggesting a bullish trend, with the MACD line crossing above the signal line in recent days.
- Moving Averages: The stock price is currently above the Simple Moving Average (SMA), Exponential Moving Average (EMA), and Weighted Moving Average (WMA), indicating a potential bullish trend.
3. Overall, based on the technical indicators, GrainCorp Ltd. may be showing signs of a bullish trend in the short term. However, investors should closely monitor the price movements and key support/resistance levels for a more accurate assessment of the stock's future performance.
Price target
Based on the analysts' forecast, the future price of the security is expected to range between $164 (low) and $250 (high), with a median estimate of $200 and an average estimate of $202.26. The current price of the security is $191.57.Revenue estimate
Based on the analysts' estimates for the future quarterly and annual sales of the company, we can draw the following conclusions:1. For the current quarter ending on June 30, 2024, the average sales estimate is $83,776,900,000, with a sales growth of 2% compared to the same quarter last year. The number of analysts providing estimates is 24.
2. For the next quarter ending on September 30, 2024, the average sales estimate is $92,375,300,000, with a sales growth of 3% compared to the same quarter last year. The number of analysts providing estimates is 24.
3. For the current fiscal year ending on September 30, 2024, the average sales estimate is $386,681,000,000, with a sales growth of 1% compared to the previous fiscal year. The number of analysts providing estimates is 37.
4. For the next fiscal year ending on September 30, 2025, the average sales estimate is $411,555,000,000, with a sales growth of 6% compared to the current fiscal year. The number of analysts providing estimates is 37.
These estimates indicate a moderate growth trend in both quarterly and annual sales for the company, with slightly higher growth expected in the next fiscal year.
Earnings
The company's results for the most recent quarter, ending on April 30, 2025, have not been provided at this time. The previous quarter's results, ending on February 27, 2025, were handled by the Transfer Agent. The results for the quarter ending on January 31, 2025, were released after hours. The results for the quarter ending on October 31, 2024, were not provided at the time. However, for the quarter ending on August 1, 2024, the company reported an earnings per share (EPS) estimate of 1.33.Main Statystic ðŸ§
The data provided includes financials, stock statistics, valuation metrics, stock price summary, and dividends and splits information for a specific company. Here is a summary of the key data points:1. Financials:
- Cash Flow: Operating cash flow (TTM) is $110,563,000,320 and levered free cash flow (TTM) is $84,726,874,112.
- Balance Sheet: Total cash (MRQ) is $67,150,000,128, total debt (MRQ) is $104,590,000,128, current ratio (MRQ) is 1.037, book value per share (MRQ) is $4.837, total cash per share (MRQ) is $4.379, and total debt to equity ratio (MRQ) is 140.968.
- Profit Margin: 26.306%
- Fiscal Year Ends: September 30, 2023
- Income Statement: EBITDA is $131,393,000,000, revenue (TTM) is $381,623,009,280, diluted EPS (TTM) is $6.44, gross profit (TTM) is $169,148,000,000, revenue per share (TTM) is $24.537, net income to common (TTM) is $100,389,003,264, quarterly revenue growth is -4.3%, and quarterly earnings growth YoY is -2.2%.
- Operating Margin: 30.743%
- Return on Assets (TTM): 22.073%
- Return on Equity (TTM): 147.25%
2. Stock Statistics:
- Short Ratio: 1.66
- Float Shares: 15,308,320,742
- Shares Short: 94,308,265
- Average 10-Day Volume: 52,903,608
- Average 90-Day Volume: 62,823,269
- Shares Outstanding: 15,334,099,968
- Percent Held by Insiders: 5.22%
- Percent Held by Institutions: 57.555%
- Short Percent of Shares Outstanding: 0.62%
3. Valuation Metrics:
- PEG Ratio: 26.213
- Forward P/E: 26.213
- Trailing P/E: 29.429
- Enterprise Value: $2,948,462,018,560
- Price to Book (MRQ): 39.181
- Price to Sales (TTM): 7.615
- Enterprise to EBITDA: 22.745
- Enterprise to Revenue: 7.726
- Market Capitalization: $2,906,118,684,672
4. Stock Price Summary:
- Beta: 1.264
- 50-Day Moving Average: $173.6936
- 200-Day Moving Average: $180.7906
- 52-Week Low: $164.08
- 52-Week High: $199.62
- 52-Week Change: 8.253%
5. Dividends and Splits:
- Payout Ratio: 14.93%
- Dividend Date: May 16, 2024
- Last Split Date: August 31, 2020
- Ex-Dividend Date: May 10, 2024
- Last Split Factor: 4-for-1 split
- Forward Annual Dividend Rate: $1
- 5-Year Average Dividend Yield: 0.73%
- Forward Annual Dividend Yield: 0.53%
- Trailing Annual Dividend Rate: $0.97
- Trailing Annual Dividend Yield: 0.51%
Income statement 💸
Here are the revenue figures for the company over the past four fiscal years:1. Fiscal Year 2020: Sales of $274,515,000,000
2. Fiscal Year 2021: Sales of $365,817,000,000
3. Fiscal Year 2022: Sales of $394,328,000,000
4. Fiscal Year 2023: Sales of $383,285,000,000
From these figures, we can observe the following trends:
- There was a steady increase in sales from 2020 to 2022, with a slight decrease in 2023.
- The company experienced significant growth in revenue between 2020 and 2022, indicating positive performance.
- Despite a slight dip in sales in 2023, the overall revenue remains at a high level compared to the base year of 2020.
These trends suggest that the company has been successful in growing its top line over the past few years, with a minor setback in the most recent fiscal year.
Balance Sheet
These are balance sheets. Here are the conclusions:1. The total assets have been increasing over the years, reaching $365,725,000,000 in 2018.
2. Current assets fluctuate, with the highest value in 2019 at $162,819,000,000.
3. Non-current assets have been increasing steadily, with the highest value in 2019 at $175,697,000,000.
4. Total liabilities have also been increasing, reaching $255,355,000,000 in 2018.
5. Shareholders' equity has been fluctuating, with the highest value in 2019 at $90,488,000,000.
6. The company has been relying more on non-current assets to finance its operations over the years.
7. There seems to be a trend of increasing debt, both short-term and long-term, which is reflected in the rising total liabilities.
8. Retained earnings have been positive in all years except for 2023, where it is negative at -$214,000,000.
Cash Flow 💶
This is a cash flow statement. Here are some conclusions we can draw from the data:1. The company's free cash flow has been fluctuating over the years, with the highest value in 2022 and the lowest in 2020.
2. Operating cash flow has generally been increasing, indicating improved operational efficiency.
3. The company has been consistently paying interest and income taxes, with varying amounts each year.
4. The end cash position has also been fluctuating, reaching its highest value in 2020.
5. Financing activities show significant cash outflows, mainly due to common stock repurchases and debt payments.
6. Investing activities have also seen significant cash flows, with the company making investments and acquisitions while also divesting assets.
7. Stock-based compensation has been a significant non-cash item impacting the company's cash flow.
8. Overall, the company's cash flow statement reflects a mix of operational, financing, and investing activities that have influenced its financial position over the years.
Earnings estimate
The analysts' estimates for future quarterly and annual earnings per share are as follows:1. Current Quarter (as of June 30, 2024):
- Average Estimate: $1.33
- Low Estimate: $1.27
- High Estimate: $1.36
- Year Ago EPS: $1.26
- Number of Analysts: 26
2. Next Quarter (as of September 30, 2024):
- Average Estimate: $1.53
- Low Estimate: $1.44
- High Estimate: $1.63
- Year Ago EPS: $1.46
- Number of Analysts: 25
3. Current Year (as of September 30, 2024):
- Average Estimate: $6.59
- Low Estimate: $6.43
- High Estimate: $6.92
- Year Ago EPS: $6.13
- Number of Analysts: 39
4. Next Year (as of September 30, 2025):
- Average Estimate: $7.23
- Low Estimate: $6.40
- High Estimate: $7.90
- Year Ago EPS: $6.59
- Number of Analysts: 39
Based on these estimates, we can see a generally positive trend in expected earnings per share for both the upcoming quarters and the next two years. The average estimates are showing growth compared to the previous year's EPS figures, indicating optimism among analysts regarding the company's performance.
Growth estimates
Based on the consensus estimates provided, we can draw the following conclusions regarding the growth rate of the company for different periods:1. Current Quarter: The estimated growth rate for the current quarter is 5.6%.
2. Next Quarter: The estimated growth rate for the next quarter is 4.8%.
3. Current Year: The estimated growth rate for the current year is 7.5%.
4. Next Year: The estimated growth rate for the next year is 9.7%.
5. Past 5 Years (per annum): The average annual growth rate for the past 5 years is 20.1%.
6. Next 5 Years (per annum): The estimated average annual growth rate for the next 5 years is 11%.
These estimates suggest that the company has experienced significant growth in the past but is expected to see a slightly lower growth rate in the coming years, although still positive. It is important to note that these are analyst estimates and actual performance may vary.
MACD of GRCLF
This is not investment advice. Remember to verify the information provided here.
Get access to the full analysis
- Over 35 000 indexes
- CFD, Forex, Crypto and Stocks Exchange
- Over 150 Indicators
- Pattern and candle analysis
- Support and resistance levels
- Fundamental, technical and sentimental analysis
- Power from AI
