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Analysis GraniteShares 3x Long PayPal Daily ETP (LPP3)

6/1/2024

Analysis GraniteShares 3x Long PayPal Daily ETP (LPP3)

Analysis of GraniteShares 3x Long PayPal Daily ETP (LPP3)

The GraniteShares 3x Long PayPal Daily ETP (Exchange Traded Product) aims to provide investors with three times the daily return of PayPal's stock price. Looking at the recent data provided, we can see that the price of the ETP has been fluctuating, with some days showing gains and others showing losses.

Key indicators such as the Relative Strength Index (RSI), Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD), and Moving Averages (MA) can provide insights into the momentum and trend of the ETP.

The RSI values indicate whether the ETP is overbought or oversold, with values above 70 suggesting overbought conditions and values below 30 suggesting oversold conditions. In this case, the RSI values seem to be fluctuating around the mid-range, indicating a neutral sentiment.

The MACD indicator helps identify changes in the strength, direction, momentum, and duration of a trend in the ETP's price. A positive MACD value suggests a bullish trend, while a negative value suggests a bearish trend. The MACD values provided show fluctuations, indicating potential shifts in momentum.

The Moving Averages (MA) can help identify trends and potential support or resistance levels. The ETP's price compared to different types of moving averages (SMA, EMA, WMA) can provide insights into the overall trend direction.

Overall, investors in the GraniteShares 3x Long PayPal Daily ETP should closely monitor these indicators along with other market factors to make informed decisions about their investments.

Earnings

The company's results for the most recent quarter, ending on April 30, 2025, have not been provided at this time. The previous quarter's results, ending on February 27, 2025, were handled by the Transfer Agent. The quarter before that, ending on January 31, 2025, had results released After Hours. The results for the quarter ending on October 31, 2024, were not provided at the time. However, for the quarter ending on August 1, 2024, the company reported an earnings per share (EPS) estimate of 1.32.

Main Statystic 🧠

The data provided includes financials, stock statistics, valuation metrics, stock price summary, and dividends and splits information for a specific company.

In terms of financials, the company has strong cash flow with operating cash flow at $110.56 billion and levered free cash flow at $84.73 billion. The balance sheet shows a total cash of $67.15 billion, total debt of $104.59 billion, and a current ratio of 1.037. The profit margin is 26.31%, with a return on assets of 22.07% and return on equity of 147.25%. The company's fiscal year ends on September 30, 2023.

Moving on to stock statistics, the company has a short ratio of 1.53, with 99.29 million shares shorted out of 15.31 billion float shares. The stock is held by institutions at 57.59% and insiders at 5.22%, with a short percent of shares outstanding at 0.65%.

Valuation metrics show a PEG ratio of 26.32, forward P/E of 26.32, and trailing P/E of 29.59. The enterprise value is $2.95 trillion, with a market capitalization of $2.92 trillion. The price to book ratio is 39.34, and price to sales ratio is 7.65.

The stock price summary includes a beta of 1.26, 50-day moving average of $176.26, and 200-day moving average of $181.04. The stock's 52-week low is $164.08, high is $199.62, with a 52-week change of 6.85%.

Lastly, dividends and splits information indicate a payout ratio of 14.93%, with a forward annual dividend rate of $1 and a trailing annual dividend rate of $0.97. The company's dividend yield is 0.53% and the 5-year average dividend yield is 0.73%. The last split date was on August 31, 2020, with a 4-for-1 split. The ex-dividend date is on May 10, 2024, and the dividend date is on May 16, 2024.

Income statement 💸

These are the revenue figures. Here are the conclusions:

1. The company's sales revenue has been increasing steadily over the years, from $274.5 billion in 2020 to $383.3 billion in 2023.
2. Despite the increase in sales, the cost of goods sold has also been rising, indicating a potential decrease in profit margins.
3. The company's gross profit has fluctuated over the years, reaching its peak in 2023 at $169.1 billion.
4. Operating income has shown an upward trend, with the company generating $114.3 billion in 2023 compared to $66.3 billion in 2020.
5. Net income has also been increasing annually, reaching $97 billion in 2023 from $57.4 billion in 2020.
6. Earnings per share (EPS) have shown a slight fluctuation but have generally increased over the years.
7. The company has been able to maintain a stable number of outstanding shares, indicating no significant dilution of shares.
8. Overall, the financial performance of the company in terms of revenue and income has been positive, showing growth and profitability.

Balance Sheet

These are balance sheets. Here are the conclusions:

1. The total assets have been increasing over the years, reaching $365,725,000,000 in 2018.
2. Current assets fluctuate, with the highest value in 2019 at $162,819,000,000.
3. Non-current assets have been increasing steadily, with the highest value in 2019 at $175,697,000,000.
4. Total liabilities have also been increasing, reaching $255,355,000,000 in 2018.
5. Shareholders' equity has been fluctuating, with the highest value in 2018 at $107,147,000,000.

Cash Flow 💶

This is a cash flow statement. Here are some conclusions we can draw from the data:

1. The company's free cash flow has been fluctuating over the years, with the highest value in 2022 and the lowest in 2020.
2. Operating cash flow has generally been increasing year over year, indicating improved operational efficiency.
3. Financing activities show significant fluctuations, with large amounts being spent on common stock repurchase and debt issuance/payment.
4. Investing activities also vary, with significant amounts being spent on the sale and purchase of investments.
5. The end cash position has been relatively stable, with some fluctuations due to the company's financial activities.
6. Interest paid and income tax paid have also varied over the years, impacting the company's cash flow position.
7. Stock-based compensation is a significant factor in the company's cash flow statement, indicating the use of equity as a form of compensation.

Earnings estimate

Based on the analysts' estimates for future quarterly and annual earnings per share:

1. For the current quarter ending on June 30, 2024, the average EPS estimate is $1.23, with a low estimate of $1.18 and a high estimate of $1.26. This shows an improvement compared to the EPS of $1.17 from the same quarter a year ago.

2. For the next quarter ending on September 30, 2024, the average EPS estimate is $1.42, with a low estimate of $1.33 and a high estimate of $1.51. This also indicates growth from the EPS of $1.35 in the same quarter last year.

3. Looking at the estimates for the current year ending on September 30, 2024, the average EPS estimate is $6.10, ranging from a low estimate of $5.95 to a high estimate of $6.41. This reflects an increase from the EPS of $5.67 for the previous year.

4. For the next year ending on September 30, 2025, the average EPS estimate is $6.69, with a low estimate of $5.92 and a high estimate of $7.31. This forecast suggests a slight improvement from the EPS of $6.10 in the previous year.

Overall, the analysts' estimates point towards a positive trend of increasing earnings per share for the company in both the short term and the long term.

Revenue estimate

Based on the analysts' estimates for the future quarterly and annual sales of the company, we can draw the following conclusions:

1. For the current quarter ending on June 30, 2024, the average sales estimate is $77,545,400,000, with a sales growth of 2% compared to the same quarter last year. The number of analysts providing estimates is 25.

2. For the next quarter ending on September 30, 2024, the average sales estimate is $85,501,800,000, with a sales growth of 3% compared to the same quarter last year. The number of analysts providing estimates is 25.

3. For the current fiscal year ending on September 30, 2024, the average sales estimate is $357,772,000,000, with a sales growth of 1% compared to the previous fiscal year. The number of analysts providing estimates is 38.

4. For the next fiscal year ending on September 30, 2025, the average sales estimate is $380,772,000,000, with a sales growth of 6% compared to the current fiscal year. The number of analysts providing estimates is 38.

These estimates indicate a moderate growth trend in both quarterly and annual sales for the company, with slightly higher growth expected in the next fiscal year compared to the current one.

Growth estimates

Based on the consensus estimates provided by analysts, we can draw the following conclusions regarding the growth rate of the company for different periods:

1. Current Quarter: The estimated growth rate for the current quarter is 5.1%.
2. Next Quarter: The estimated growth rate for the next quarter is 5.2%.
3. Current Year: The estimated growth rate for the current year is 7.6%.
4. Next Year: The estimated growth rate for the next year is 9.7%.
5. Past 5 Years (per annum): The average annual growth rate for the past 5 years is 20.1%.
6. Next 5 Years (per annum): The estimated average annual growth rate for the next 5 years is 9.7%.

These estimates suggest a positive growth trend for the company, with a slight decrease in growth rate compared to the past 5 years but still showing healthy growth prospects in the near future.

Price target

The analysts' forecast for the future price of the security is as follows:
- Low: $164
- High: $250
- Median: $200
- Average: $202.26
- Current price: $191.57
- Currency: USD

Based on these forecasts, we can see that the analysts have a range of opinions on the future price of the security, with the average and median both indicating a price higher than the current price. The low end of the forecast suggests a potential decrease in price, while the high end indicates a significant increase. It's important to consider these different perspectives when making investment decisions.

MACD of LPP3

This is not investment advice. Remember to verify the information provided here.

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Contacts

Telephone number

+48 32 700 81 66

Email address

[email protected]

Company information

Honey Payment Group S.A. at Al. Aleje Jerozolimskie 65 / 79, 00-697 Warsaw, Poland, Register number KRS 0000335507, NIP 5252859204, REGON 388760204. Honey Payment Group is listed on the Warsaw Stock Exchange (WSE) under the ticker symbol HPG. Link