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Analysis GraniteShares 3x Short Microsoft Daily ETP (3SME)

6/5/2024

Analysis GraniteShares 3x Short Microsoft Daily ETP (3SME)

Analysis of GraniteShares 3x Short Microsoft Daily ETP (3SME)

The GraniteShares 3x Short Microsoft Daily ETP is designed to provide three times the inverse daily performance of Microsoft stock. Looking at the recent data, we can see that the price has been fluctuating around the mid-teens to low twenties range.

The Relative Strength Index (RSI) indicator has been hovering around 30-50, indicating a neutral to slightly bearish sentiment in the market. The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) indicator has been negative, suggesting a bearish trend. However, the MACD histogram has shown some positive values, indicating a potential reversal in the short term.

Overall, the ETP seems to be in a bearish trend based on the technical indicators. Traders and investors should closely monitor the price movements and key support/resistance levels to make informed decisions.

Earnings

The company's results for the most recent quarter, ending on April 30, 2025, have not been provided at this time. The previous quarter's results, ending on February 27, 2025, were handled by the Transfer Agent. The results for the quarter ending on January 31, 2025, were released after hours. The results for the quarter ending on October 31, 2024, were not provided at this time. The results for the quarter ending on August 1, 2024, showed an earnings per share (EPS) estimate of 1.32.

Main Statystic 🧠

The data provided includes financials, stock statistics, valuation metrics, stock price summary, and dividends and splits information for a specific company.

In terms of financials, the company has strong operating cash flow and levered free cash flow, with a positive current ratio and a high total debt to equity ratio. The profit margin and operating margin are also healthy, indicating efficient operations. The company's fiscal year ends in September 2023, and it has shown a positive return on assets and return on equity.

Looking at stock statistics, the company has a low short ratio and a significant percentage of shares held by institutions. The stock has a beta of 1.264 and has been trading within a range between a fifty-two-week low and high.

Valuation metrics show a relatively high PEG ratio and forward PE ratio, with the company's market capitalization and enterprise value also provided. The stock is trading at a high price-to-book ratio and price-to-sales ratio, with moderate enterprise to EBITDA and enterprise to revenue ratios.

The stock price summary includes moving averages, fifty-two-week low and high prices, and the percentage change over the past year.

Lastly, dividends and splits information shows the company's dividend dates, payout ratio, and dividend yields, as well as details on past stock splits.

Income statement 💸

These are the revenues. Here are the conclusions:

1. The company's sales revenue has been increasing steadily over the years, from $274.5 billion in 2020 to $383.3 billion in 2023.
2. The gross profit margin has been fluctuating, with the highest in 2020 at $104.9 billion and the lowest in 2021 at $152.8 billion.
3. Operating income has also varied, with the highest in 2020 at $66.3 billion and the lowest in 2023 at $114.3 billion.
4. Net income has shown an increasing trend, from $57.4 billion in 2020 to $97 billion in 2023.
5. Earnings per share (EPS) have been relatively stable, with slight fluctuations over the years.
6. The company has been able to maintain a consistent number of outstanding shares, with no significant changes observed.
7. Overall, the financial performance of the company in terms of revenue and profitability has shown positive growth over the years.

Balance Sheet

These are balance sheets. Here are the conclusions:

1. The total assets have been increasing over the years, reaching $365,725,000,000 in 2018.
2. Current assets include cash, inventory, and receivables, with a significant portion in cash equivalents and short-term investments.
3. Non-current assets consist mainly of investments and advances, along with machinery, furniture, and equipment.
4. Total liabilities have also been increasing, but at a slower pace compared to assets, indicating a healthy financial position.
5. Shareholders' equity has shown a positive trend, with a notable increase in retained earnings over the years.
6. The company has been managing its short-term and long-term debts effectively, with a good balance between current and non-current liabilities.
7. Overall, the financial stability and growth of the company seem to be on a positive trajectory based on the balance sheet analysis.

Cash Flow 💶

This is a cash flow statement. Here are some conclusions we can draw from the data:

1. The company's free cash flow has been fluctuating over the years, with the highest value in 2022 and the lowest in 2020.
2. Operating cash flow has been relatively stable over the years, indicating consistent operational performance.
3. The company has been consistently paying interest and income taxes, with varying amounts each year.
4. The end cash position has also been fluctuating, reaching its highest value in 2020.
5. Financing activities show significant variations, with large amounts being spent on common stock repurchase and debt issuance.
6. Investing activities also vary, with significant amounts being spent on the sale and purchase of investments.
7. The company has been consistently generating net income, with some fluctuations.
8. Depreciation and stock-based compensation have been significant components of the operating activities.
9. The company has been managing its accounts payable and accounts receivable effectively over the years.
10. Overall, the cash flow statement reflects the company's financial health and its ability to generate and manage cash effectively.

Earnings estimate

Based on the analysts' estimates for future quarterly and annual earnings per share:

1. For the current quarter ending on June 30, 2024, the average EPS estimate is $1.23, with a low estimate of $1.18 and a high estimate of $1.26. This shows an improvement compared to the EPS of $1.17 from the same quarter a year ago.

2. For the next quarter ending on September 30, 2024, the average EPS estimate is $1.42, with a low estimate of $1.33 and a high estimate of $1.51. The EPS estimate is also higher than the $1.35 reported in the same quarter last year.

3. Looking at the estimates for the current year ending on September 30, 2024, the average EPS estimate is $6.10, ranging from a low estimate of $5.95 to a high estimate of $6.41. This is an improvement from the EPS of $5.67 in the previous year.

4. For the next year ending on September 30, 2025, the average EPS estimate is $6.69, with a low estimate of $5.92 and a high estimate of $7.31. This forecast indicates growth compared to the EPS of $6.10 in the previous year.

Overall, the analysts' estimates suggest a positive outlook for the company's earnings per share in both the short term and the long term.

Revenue estimate

Based on the analysts' estimates for the future quarterly and annual sales of the company, we can draw the following conclusions:

1. For the current quarter ending on June 30, 2024, the average sales estimate is $77,545,400,000, with a sales growth of 2% compared to the same quarter last year. The number of analysts providing estimates is 25.

2. For the next quarter ending on September 30, 2024, the average sales estimate is $85,501,800,000, with a sales growth of 3% compared to the same quarter last year. The number of analysts providing estimates is 25.

3. For the current fiscal year ending on September 30, 2024, the average sales estimate is $357,772,000,000, with a sales growth of 1% compared to the previous fiscal year. The number of analysts providing estimates is 38.

4. For the next fiscal year ending on September 30, 2025, the average sales estimate is $380,772,000,000, with a sales growth of 6% compared to the current fiscal year. The number of analysts providing estimates is 38.

These estimates suggest a moderate growth trend in both quarterly and annual sales for the company, with slightly higher growth expected in the next fiscal year compared to the current one.

Growth estimates

Based on the consensus estimates provided by analysts, we can draw the following conclusions regarding the growth rate of the company for different periods:

1. Current Quarter: The estimated growth rate for the current quarter is 5.1%.
2. Next Quarter: The estimated growth rate for the next quarter is 5.2%.
3. Current Year: The estimated growth rate for the current year is 7.6%.
4. Next Year: The estimated growth rate for the next year is 9.7%.
5. Past 5 Years (per annum): The average annual growth rate for the past 5 years is 20.1%.
6. Next 5 Years (per annum): The estimated average annual growth rate for the next 5 years is 9.7%.

These estimates suggest a positive growth trend for the company, with a slightly lower growth rate expected in the next 5 years compared to the past 5 years. It indicates a steady but slightly slower growth trajectory for the company in the near future.

Price target

The analysts' forecast for the future price of the security is as follows:
- Low: $164
- High: $275
- Median: $201.43
- Average: $204.58
- Current price: $192.25
- Currency: USD

Based on these forecasts, it appears that the analysts are generally optimistic about the future price of the security, with a median forecast above the current price. However, there is a wide range of estimates, from a low of $164 to a high of $275, indicating some uncertainty in the predictions.

MACD of 3SME

This is not investment advice. Remember to verify the information provided here.

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Contacts

Telephone number

+48 32 700 81 66

Email address

[email protected]

Company information

Honey Payment Group S.A. at Al. Aleje Jerozolimskie 65 / 79, 00-697 Warsaw, Poland, Register number KRS 0000335507, NIP 5252859204, REGON 388760204. Honey Payment Group is listed on the Warsaw Stock Exchange (WSE) under the ticker symbol HPG. Link