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Analysis Graphico, Inc. (4930)

6/4/2024

Analysis Graphico, Inc. (4930)

Analysis of Graphico, Inc. (4930)

Graphico, Inc. is showing a stable trend in its stock price, hovering around the $3780-$3795 range over the past few days. The Relative Strength Index (RSI) indicator is indicating a moderate level of strength in the stock, with values around 63-72, suggesting that it is neither overbought nor oversold.

The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) indicator is showing a slight decrease in momentum, with the MACD line moving below the signal line and the histogram showing negative values. This could indicate a potential weakening in the short-term trend.

Overall, Graphico, Inc. seems to be trading in a relatively stable range with moderate strength in the stock. Traders may want to keep an eye on the MACD indicator for any potential changes in momentum.

Income statement 💸

These are the revenue figures. Here are the conclusions:

1. The company's sales revenue has been increasing steadily over the years, from $274.5 billion in 2020 to $383.3 billion in 2023.
2. Despite fluctuations in other financial metrics, the gross profit has generally followed the trend of increasing sales revenue.
3. The company has been able to maintain a healthy EBITDA margin, with EBITDA reaching $129.2 billion in 2023.
4. Net income has also shown an increasing trend, reaching $97 billion in 2023 from $57.4 billion in 2020.
5. Earnings per share (EPS) have been relatively stable over the years, with slight fluctuations but no significant downward trends.
6. The company has managed its operating expenses effectively, with operating income showing a positive trend.
7. Overall, the financial performance of the company, as indicated by the revenue figures, has been positive and shows a growth trajectory.

Balance Sheet

These are balance sheets. Here are the conclusions:

1. The total assets have been increasing over the years, reaching $365,725,000,000 in 2018.
2. Current assets have fluctuated, with the highest value in 2019 at $162,819,000,000.
3. Non-current assets have shown an increasing trend, with the highest value in 2019 at $175,697,000,000.
4. Total liabilities have also been increasing, reaching $255,355,000,000 in 2018.
5. Shareholders' equity has generally increased, with the highest value in 2018 at $107,147,000,000.
6. The company has been relying more on non-current assets to support its operations.
7. There is a significant amount of debt in the company's capital structure, both short-term and long-term.
8. Retained earnings have been positive in most years, indicating profitability and reinvestment in the business.
9. The company has been maintaining a healthy amount of cash and cash equivalents over the years.
10. Overall, the financial position of the company seems stable and has been improving over the years.

Earnings

The company's results for the most recent quarter, ending on April 30, 2025, have not been provided at this time. The previous results were reported on February 27, 2025, by the Transfer Agent. Before that, on January 31, 2025, the results were released after hours. The results from October 31, 2024, were not provided at the time. On August 1, 2024, the company reported an earnings per share (EPS) estimate of 1.32.

Main Statystic 🧠

The data provides a comprehensive overview of the financial and stock-related metrics for a company. Here are the key points:

1. **Financials**:
- **Cash Flow**: Operating cash flow for the trailing twelve months (TTM) is $110,563,000,320. Levered free cash flow TTM is $84,726,874,112.
- **Balance Sheet**: Total cash on a quarterly basis is $67,150,000,128. Total debt on a quarterly basis is $104,590,000,128. Current ratio is 1.037. Book value per share is $4.837. Total cash per share is $4.379. Total debt to equity ratio is 140.968.
- **Profit Margin**: The profit margin is 26.306%.
- **Income Statement**: EBITDA is $131,393,000,000. Revenue TTM is $381,623,009,280. Diluted EPS TTM is $6.43. Gross profit TTM is $169,148,000,000. Revenue per share TTM is $24.537. Net income to common TTM is $100,389,003,264. Quarterly revenue growth is -4.3%. Quarterly earnings growth year-over-year is -2.2%.
- **Operating Margin**: The operating margin is 30.743%.
- **Return on Assets**: Return on assets TTM is 22.073999%.
- **Return on Equity**: Return on equity TTM is 147.25%.
- **Fiscal Year Ends**: The fiscal year ends on September 30, 2023.
- **Most Recent Quarter**: The most recent quarter is March 31, 2024.

2. **Stock Statistics**:
- **Short Ratio**: 1.53.
- **Float Shares**: 15,308,320,742.
- **Shares Short**: 99,287,450.
- **Average Volume**: 10-day average volume is 46,860,048 and 90-day average volume is 57,498,254.
- **Shares Outstanding**: 15,334,099,968.
- **Percentage Held by Insiders**: 5.22%.
- **Percentage Held by Institutions**: 57.589%.
- **Short Percent of Shares Outstanding**: 0.65%.

3. **Valuations Metrics**:
- **PEG Ratio**: 26.319502.
- **Forward PE**: 26.319502.
- **Trailing PE**: 29.59409.
- **Enterprise Value**: $2,950,762,332,160.
- **Price to Book**: 39.3405.
- **Price to Sales**: 7.646095.
- **Enterprise to EBITDA**: 22.763.
- **Enterprise to Revenue**: 7.732.
- **Market Capitalization**: $2,917,925,650,432.

4. **Stock Price Summary**:
- **Beta**: 1.264.
- **50-Day Moving Average**: $176.2646.
- **200-Day Moving Average**: $181.0429.
- **52-Week Low**: $164.08.
- **52-Week High**: $199.62.
- **52-Week Change**: 6.853%.

5. **Dividends and Splits**:
- **Payout Ratio**: 14.93%.
- **Dividend Date**: May 16, 2024.
- **Ex-Dividend Date**: May 10, 2024.
- **Last Split Date**: August 31, 2020.
- **Last Split Factor**: 4-for-1 split.
- **Forward Annual Dividend Rate**: $1.
- **5-Year Average Dividend Yield**: 0.73%.
- **Forward Annual Dividend Yield**: 0.5255%.
- **Trailing Annual Dividend Rate**: $0.97.
- **Trailing Annual Dividend Yield**: 0.5097%.

Cash Flow 💶

This is the cash flow statement. Here are some conclusions we can draw from the data:

1. The company's free cash flow has been fluctuating over the years, with the highest value recorded in 2022 and the lowest in 2020.
2. Operating cash flow has generally been increasing year over year, indicating improved operational efficiency.
3. Financing activities show significant fluctuations, with large amounts being spent on common stock repurchase and debt issuance/payment.
4. Investing activities also vary, with notable amounts spent on the sale and purchase of investments.
5. The end cash position has been fluctuating, but overall, it has shown a positive trend over the years.
6. Interest paid and income tax paid have also varied, reflecting changes in the company's financial obligations.
7. Stock-based compensation has been a significant factor in the company's financial activities.
8. The company has been consistently paying dividends to its shareholders, with varying amounts each year.

Earnings estimate

Based on the analysts' estimates for future quarterly and annual earnings per share:

1. For the current quarter ending on June 30, 2024, the average EPS estimate is $1.23, with a low estimate of $1.18 and a high estimate of $1.26. This shows an improvement compared to the EPS of $1.17 from the same quarter a year ago.

2. For the next quarter ending on September 30, 2024, the average EPS estimate is $1.42, with a low estimate of $1.33 and a high estimate of $1.51. This also indicates growth from the EPS of $1.35 in the same quarter last year.

3. Looking at the estimates for the current year ending on September 30, 2024, the average EPS estimate is $6.10, ranging from a low estimate of $5.95 to a high estimate of $6.41. This reflects an increase from the EPS of $5.67 for the previous year.

4. For the next year ending on September 30, 2025, the average EPS estimate is $6.69, with a low estimate of $5.92 and a high estimate of $7.31. This suggests a potential growth compared to the EPS of $6.10 for the current year.

Overall, the analysts' estimates point towards a positive trend of increasing earnings per share for both the upcoming quarters and the next two fiscal years.

Revenue estimate

Based on the analysts' estimates for the future quarterly and annual sales of the company, we can draw the following conclusions:

1. For the current quarter ending on June 30, 2024, the average sales estimate is $77,545,400,000, with a sales growth of 2% compared to the same quarter last year. The number of analysts providing estimates is 25.

2. For the next quarter ending on September 30, 2024, the average sales estimate is $85,501,800,000, with a sales growth of 3% compared to the same quarter last year. The number of analysts providing estimates is 25.

3. For the current fiscal year ending on September 30, 2024, the average sales estimate is $357,772,000,000, with a sales growth of 1% compared to the previous fiscal year. The number of analysts providing estimates is 38.

4. For the next fiscal year ending on September 30, 2025, the average sales estimate is $380,772,000,000, with a sales growth of 6% compared to the current fiscal year. The number of analysts providing estimates is 38.

Overall, the analysts are generally optimistic about the company's future sales performance, with moderate growth expected in both the quarterly and annual sales figures.

Growth estimates

Based on the consensus estimates provided:
- The current year growth rate is 7.6%
- The next quarter growth rate is 5.1%
- The current quarter growth rate is 5.1%
- The next year growth rate is 9.7%
- The average annual growth rate for the next 5 years is 9.7%
- The average annual growth rate for the past 5 years is 20.1%

It can be observed that the company is expected to experience a significant increase in growth compared to the past 5 years, with a particularly strong growth rate projected for the next year and the next 5 years. The growth rates for the current and next quarter are more moderate in comparison.

Price target

The analysts' forecast for the future price of the security is as follows:
- Low: $164
- High: $275
- Median: $201.43
- Average: $204.58
- Current price: $192.25
- Currency: USD

Based on these forecasts, we can see that the analysts have a range of opinions on the future price of the security, with a median of $201.43 and an average of $204.58. The current price of the security is $192.25, which is below both the median and average forecasted prices. Investors should consider these forecasts along with other factors when making decisions about buying or selling the security.

MACD of 4930

This is not investment advice. Remember to verify the information provided here.

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Contacts

Telephone number

+48 32 700 81 66

Email address

[email protected]

Company information

Honey Payment Group S.A. at Al. Aleje Jerozolimskie 65 / 79, 00-697 Warsaw, Poland, Register number KRS 0000335507, NIP 5252859204, REGON 388760204. Honey Payment Group is listed on the Warsaw Stock Exchange (WSE) under the ticker symbol HPG. Link