Analysis Great Elm Capital Corp (GECC)
5/31/2024
Analysis of Great Elm Capital Corp (GECC)
Great Elm Capital Corp (GECC) has been showing some volatility in its stock price recently. The Relative Strength Index (RSI) values have been fluctuating around the mid-range, indicating a balanced buying and selling pressure. The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) indicator has been hovering around the zero line, suggesting a lack of strong trend in the stock price.The stock has been trading around the simple moving average (SMA) and exponential moving average (EMA) values, with some divergence in the MACD histogram. This could indicate a potential change in momentum in the near future.
Overall, GECC seems to be consolidating with no clear trend direction at the moment. Traders and investors may want to wait for a clearer signal before making any significant trading decisions.
Earnings
The company's results for the most recent quarter ending on April 30, 2025, have not been provided yet. The previous results were reported on February 27, 2025, through the Transfer Agent. Before that, on January 31, 2025, the results were released after hours. The results for October 31, 2024, were not provided at a specific time. The results for August 1, 2024, showed an earnings per share (EPS) estimate of 1.32.Main Statystic ðŸ§
The data provided includes financials, stock statistics, valuation metrics, stock price summary, and dividends and splits information for a specific company.In terms of financials, the company has strong operating cash flow and levered free cash flow, with a positive current ratio. The profit margin and operating margin are also healthy, indicating efficient operations. The company's fiscal year ends in September 2023, and it has shown a positive return on assets and return on equity.
Looking at stock statistics, the company has a low short ratio and a significant percentage of shares held by institutions. The stock price has a beta of 1.264 and has shown a slight increase over the fifty-two week period.
Valuation metrics show a relatively high PEG ratio and forward PE ratio. The company's market capitalization and enterprise value are substantial, with a high price-to-book ratio and price-to-sales ratio.
The stock price summary includes moving averages, fifty-two week high and low prices, and the percentage change over the fifty-two week period.
Lastly, dividends and splits information shows the company's dividend dates, payout ratio, and dividend yield metrics. The company has a history of dividend payments and stock splits.
Income statement 💸
These are the revenue figures. Here are the conclusions:1. The company's sales revenue has been increasing steadily over the years, from $274.5 billion in 2020 to $383.3 billion in 2023.
2. Despite the increase in sales, the cost of goods sold has also been rising, indicating a potential need for cost management strategies.
3. The gross profit margin has fluctuated slightly over the years, suggesting some variability in the company's pricing strategies or production costs.
4. Operating income has generally been increasing, reaching $114.3 billion in 2023, indicating improved operational efficiency.
5. Net income has also shown an upward trend, reaching $97 billion in 2023, reflecting the company's overall profitability.
6. Earnings per share (EPS) have been relatively stable, with slight fluctuations over the years.
7. The company has been able to maintain a consistent number of outstanding shares, which is important for investors' equity ownership.
8. Overall, the financial performance of the company seems to be positive, with increasing revenues and profitability over the years.
Balance Sheet
These are balance sheets. Here are the conclusions:1. The total assets have been increasing over the years, reaching $365,725,000,000 in 2018.
2. Current assets have fluctuated, with the highest value in 2019 at $162,819,000,000.
3. Non-current assets have shown an increasing trend, with the highest value in 2019 at $175,697,000,000.
4. Total liabilities have also been increasing, reaching $255,355,000,000 in 2018.
5. Shareholders' equity has shown an increasing trend, with the highest value in 2018 at $107,147,000,000.
6. The company has been relying more on non-current assets to support its operations.
7. There has been a decrease in retained earnings over the years, indicating possible dividend payments or losses.
8. The company has been managing its debt levels, with fluctuations in both short-term and long-term debts.
9. Overall, the financial position of the company seems stable, with a focus on long-term growth and investment.
Cash Flow 💶
This is the cash flow statement. Here are some conclusions we can draw from the data:1. The company's free cash flow has been fluctuating over the years, with the highest value in 2022 and the lowest in 2020.
2. Operating cash flow has generally been increasing year over year, indicating improved operational efficiency.
3. The company has been consistently paying interest and income taxes, with varying amounts each year.
4. The end cash position has also been fluctuating, reaching its highest value in 2021.
5. Financing activities show a pattern of common stock repurchase, long-term debt issuance, and payments, with significant fluctuations in these values.
6. Investing activities indicate a mix of acquisitions, investments, and capital expenditures, with varying levels of cash flow from these activities each year.
7. Overall, the company's cash flow statement reflects a mix of operational, financing, and investing activities that have contributed to its financial position over the years.
Earnings estimate
Based on analysts' estimates for future quarterly and annual earnings per share:1. For the current quarter ending on June 30, 2024, the average estimated EPS is $1.33, with a range from $1.27 to $1.36. This shows growth compared to the EPS of $1.26 from a year ago.
2. For the next quarter ending on September 30, 2024, the average estimated EPS is $1.53, with a range from $1.44 to $1.63. This indicates an increase compared to the EPS of $1.46 from a year ago.
3. For the current year ending on September 30, 2024, the average estimated EPS is $6.59, with a range from $6.43 to $6.92. This reflects growth compared to the EPS of $6.13 from the previous year.
4. For the next year ending on September 30, 2025, the average estimated EPS is $7.23, with a range from $6.40 to $7.90. This suggests an increase compared to the EPS of $6.59 from the previous year.
Overall, the analysts' estimates show a positive outlook for the company's earnings per share, with expected growth in both the short term and the long term.
Revenue estimate
Based on the analysts' estimates for the future quarterly and annual sales of the company, we can draw the following conclusions:1. For the current quarter ending on June 30, 2024, the average sales estimate is $83,776,900,000, with a sales growth of 2% compared to the same quarter last year. The number of analysts providing estimates is 24.
2. For the next quarter ending on September 30, 2024, the average sales estimate is $92,375,300,000, with a sales growth of 3% compared to the same quarter last year. The number of analysts providing estimates is 24.
3. For the current fiscal year ending on September 30, 2024, the average sales estimate is $386,681,000,000, with a sales growth of 1% compared to the previous fiscal year. The number of analysts providing estimates is 37.
4. For the next fiscal year ending on September 30, 2025, the average sales estimate is $411,555,000,000, with a sales growth of 6% compared to the current fiscal year. The number of analysts providing estimates is 37.
These estimates indicate a moderate growth trend in both quarterly and annual sales for the company, with slightly higher growth expected in the next fiscal year compared to the current one.
Growth estimates
Based on the consensus estimates provided, we can draw the following conclusions regarding the growth rate of the company for different periods:1. Current Quarter: The estimated growth rate for the current quarter is 5.6%.
2. Next Quarter: The estimated growth rate for the next quarter is 4.8%.
3. Current Year: The estimated growth rate for the current year is 7.5%.
4. Next Year: The estimated growth rate for the next year is 9.7%.
5. Past 5 Years (per annum): The average annual growth rate for the past 5 years is 20.1%.
6. Next 5 Years (per annum): The estimated average annual growth rate for the next 5 years is 11%.
These estimates suggest a positive growth trend for the company, with a slightly lower growth rate expected in the near term compared to the historical performance. However, the company is still projected to experience solid growth both in the short and long term according to analyst consensus.
Price target
The analysts' forecast for the future price of the security paper is as follows:- Low: $164
- High: $250
- Median: $200
- Average: $202.26
- Current price: $191.57
- Currency: USD
Based on these forecasts, we can see that the analysts have a range of opinions on the future price of the security paper, with the low end at $164, the high end at $250, and the average at $202.26. The current price is below both the average and median forecast, indicating that there may be potential for growth according to the analysts' predictions.
MACD of GECC
This is not investment advice. Remember to verify the information provided here.
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