Analysis Green Brick Partners, Inc. (GRBK.PR.A)
6/5/2024
Analysis of Green Brick Partners, Inc. (GRBK.PR.A)
Green Brick Partners, Inc. (GRBK) has shown some interesting price movements recently. Looking at the technical indicators, we can see that the Relative Strength Index (RSI) has been fluctuating around the neutral level of 50, indicating a balanced market sentiment.The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) indicator has been hovering around the signal line, suggesting a potential shift in momentum. The MACD histogram has been mostly negative, indicating some bearish pressure.
In terms of moving averages, the Simple Moving Average (SMA), Exponential Moving Average (EMA), and Weighted Moving Average (WMA) have been relatively close to each other, showing a lack of strong trend direction.
Overall, based on the recent data, Green Brick Partners, Inc. seems to be in a consolidation phase with no clear trend direction. Traders and investors may want to wait for more decisive signals before making any significant trading decisions.
Earnings
The company's results for the most recent quarter, ending on April 30, 2025, have not been provided at this time. The previous quarter's results, ending on February 27, 2025, were handled by the Transfer Agent. The quarter before that, ending on January 31, 2025, had results released after hours. The results for the quarter ending on October 31, 2024, were not provided at the time. However, for the quarter ending on August 1, 2024, the company reported an earnings per share (EPS) estimate of 1.32.Main Statystic ðŸ§
The data provided includes financials, stock statistics, valuation metrics, stock price summary, and dividends and splits information for a specific company.In terms of financials, the company has a strong operating cash flow and levered free cash flow. The balance sheet shows a healthy current ratio, but a relatively high total debt to equity ratio. The profit margin and operating margin are both positive, indicating profitability. The company's fiscal year ends in September 2023, and the most recent quarter reported is March 2024. The company has a good return on assets and return on equity.
In terms of stock statistics, the short ratio is low, indicating low investor sentiment for shorting the stock. The company has a significant percentage of shares held by institutions.
Valuation metrics show a relatively high PEG ratio and forward PE ratio. The company's market capitalization is substantial, and it has a high price to book ratio.
The stock price summary shows the stock's performance over the past year, including its 52-week low and high, as well as the beta value.
Lastly, the dividends and splits information shows the company's dividend history, including payout ratio, dividend dates, and dividend yields. The company has also undergone a stock split in the past.
Earnings estimate
Based on the analysts' estimates for future quarterly and annual earnings per share:1. For the current quarter ending on June 30, 2024, the average estimated EPS is $1.23, with a low estimate of $1.18 and a high estimate of $1.26. This shows an improvement compared to the EPS of $1.17 from the same quarter a year ago.
2. For the next quarter ending on September 30, 2024, the average estimated EPS is $1.42, with a low estimate of $1.33 and a high estimate of $1.51. This is also an increase from the EPS of $1.35 in the same quarter last year.
3. Looking at the estimates for the current fiscal year ending on September 30, 2024, the average EPS is projected to be $6.10, ranging from a low estimate of $5.95 to a high estimate of $6.41. This indicates growth from the EPS of $5.67 in the previous fiscal year.
4. For the next fiscal year ending on September 30, 2025, analysts forecast an average EPS of $6.69, with a low estimate of $5.92 and a high estimate of $7.31. This suggests a further increase from the EPS of $6.10 in the current fiscal year.
Overall, the analysts' estimates point towards a positive trend of increasing earnings per share for the company in both the short term and the long term.
Revenue estimate
Based on the analysts' estimates for the future quarterly and annual sales of the company, we can draw the following conclusions:1. For the current quarter ending on June 30, 2024, the average sales estimate is $77,545,400,000, with a sales growth of 2% compared to the same quarter last year. The number of analysts providing estimates is 25.
2. For the next quarter ending on September 30, 2024, the average sales estimate is $85,501,800,000, with a sales growth of 3% compared to the same quarter last year. The number of analysts providing estimates is 25.
3. For the current fiscal year ending on September 30, 2024, the average sales estimate is $357,772,000,000, with a sales growth of 1% compared to the previous fiscal year. The number of analysts providing estimates is 38.
4. For the next fiscal year ending on September 30, 2025, the average sales estimate is $380,772,000,000, with a sales growth of 6% compared to the current fiscal year. The number of analysts providing estimates is 38.
These estimates suggest a moderate growth trend in both quarterly and annual sales for the company, with slightly higher growth expected in the next fiscal year compared to the current one.
Growth estimates
Based on the consensus estimates provided:- The company is expected to grow at a rate of 7.6% in the current year and 9.7% in the next year.
- For the current quarter and the next quarter, the growth rate is estimated to be around 5.1%.
- Over the next 5 years, the company is projected to grow at an average annual rate of 9.7%.
- However, in the past 5 years, the company has grown at a higher average annual rate of 20.1%.
Overall, it seems that the company is expected to maintain a steady growth rate in the upcoming periods, although the growth rate is projected to be lower compared to the past 5 years.
Price target
The analysts' forecast for the future price of the security is as follows:- Low: $164
- High: $275
- Median: $201.43
- Average: $204.58
- Current price: $192.25
- Currency: USD
Based on these forecasts, it appears that the analysts are generally optimistic about the future price of the security, with a median estimate of $201.43 and an average estimate of $204.58. However, it's worth noting that there is a wide range of forecasts, from a low of $164 to a high of $275. The current price of the security is $192.25, which is below both the median and average forecasted prices.
Income statement 💸
These are the revenue figures. Here are the conclusions:1. The company's sales revenue has been increasing steadily over the years, from $274.5 billion in 2020 to $383.3 billion in 2023.
2. The gross profit margin has been relatively stable, with gross profit ranging from around $105 billion to $169 billion.
3. Operating income has also shown an increasing trend, reaching $114.3 billion in 2023 from $66.3 billion in 2020.
4. Net income has been growing consistently, with the company making $57.4 billion in 2020 and $97 billion in 2023.
5. Earnings per share (EPS) have shown a slight fluctuation but have generally increased over the years.
6. The company has been able to manage its operating expenses effectively, as seen in the growth of net income despite increasing revenues.
7. Overall, the financial performance of the company in terms of revenue and profitability has been positive and improving over the years.
Balance Sheet
These are balance sheets. Here are the conclusions:1. The total assets have been increasing over the years, reaching $365,725,000,000 in 2018.
2. Current assets include cash, inventory, and receivables, with cash and cash equivalents showing fluctuations.
3. Non-current assets consist of investments, machinery, and other assets, with investments and advances being a significant portion.
4. Total liabilities have also been increasing, with the highest value of $302,083,000,000 in 2022.
5. Current liabilities include short-term debt, accounts payable, and other current liabilities.
6. Non-current liabilities comprise long-term debt and other non-current liabilities.
7. Shareholders' equity has shown variations, with the highest value of $90,488,000,000 in 2019.
8. Common stock and retained earnings are part of shareholders' equity.
9. The company has been investing in machinery, equipment, and leases over the years.
10. The company has been managing its cash and short-term investments strategically.
Cash Flow 💶
This is the cash flow statement. Here are some conclusions we can draw from the data:1. The company's free cash flow has been fluctuating over the years, with the highest value recorded in 2022 and the lowest in 2020.
2. Operating cash flow has generally been increasing year over year, indicating improved operational efficiency.
3. The company has been consistently paying interest and income taxes, with varying amounts each year.
4. The end cash position has also been fluctuating, reaching its peak in 2020.
5. Financing activities show a pattern of common stock repurchase, issuance of long-term debt, and payment of dividends.
6. Investing activities include the sale and purchase of investments, as well as capital expenditures.
7. Overall, the company seems to be managing its cash flow effectively, with some fluctuations in different areas that may require further analysis.
MACD of GRBK.PR.A
This is not investment advice. Remember to verify the information provided here.
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