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Analysis Green Dot Corp (GDOT)

6/5/2024

Analysis Green Dot Corp (GDOT)

Analysis of Green Dot Corp (GDOT)

Green Dot Corp (GDOT) has been showing some interesting price movements recently. Here is a brief analysis based on the provided data:

1. **Price Movement**: The stock price has been fluctuating between $9.43 and $10.07 over the past few days, with the most recent closing price at $9.59. This indicates some volatility in the stock.

2. **Technical Indicators**:
- **RSI Indicator**: The Relative Strength Index (RSI) is around 48, suggesting that the stock is neither overbought nor oversold.
- **MACD Indicator**: The MACD line is below the signal line, indicating a potential bearish signal.
- **Moving Averages**: The stock price is below the Simple Moving Average (SMA), Exponential Moving Average (EMA), and Weighted Moving Average (WMA), which could indicate a bearish trend.

3. **Overall Sentiment**: The RSI and MACD indicators suggest a neutral to slightly bearish sentiment, while the moving averages point towards a bearish trend.

4. **Key Levels**: Watch for support around $9.43 and resistance around $10.07. A break below support could indicate further downside potential.

Please note that this analysis is based on historical data and technical indicators, and it's always important to consider other factors like market conditions, news, and fundamental analysis before making any trading decisions.

Balance Sheet

These are balance sheets. Here are the conclusions:

1. The total assets have been increasing over the years, reaching $365,725,000,000 in 2018.
2. Current assets include cash, inventory, and receivables, with cash and cash equivalents showing fluctuations.
3. Non-current assets consist mainly of investments and advances, with a significant portion in machinery, furniture, and equipment.
4. Total liabilities have also been increasing, but at a slower pace compared to assets.
5. Shareholders' equity has shown variations, with retained earnings being a significant component.
6. The company has been utilizing short-term debt and accounts payable for its operations.
7. There is a consistent provision for risks and charges in the non-current liabilities.
8. The company has been investing in leases, land, and improvements over the years.
9. Accumulated depreciation has been significant, affecting the value of non-current assets.
10. Overall, the company's financial position seems stable, with a focus on investments and managing liabilities.

Cash Flow 💶

This is the cash flow statement. Here are some conclusions we can draw from the data:

1. The company's free cash flow has been fluctuating over the years, with the highest value in 2022 and the lowest in 2020.
2. Operating cash flow has generally been increasing year over year, indicating improved operational efficiency.
3. The company has been consistently paying interest and income taxes, with varying amounts each year.
4. The end cash position has also been fluctuating, reaching its highest value in 2020.
5. Financing activities show a pattern of common stock repurchase, issuance of long-term debt, and payment of dividends.
6. Investing activities include the sale and purchase of investments, as well as capital expenditures.
7. Overall, the company seems to be managing its cash flow effectively, with a focus on operational efficiency and strategic investments.

Earnings estimate

Based on the analysts' estimates for future quarterly and annual earnings per share (EPS), we can draw the following conclusions:

1. For the current quarter ending on June 30, 2024, the average EPS estimate is $1.23, with a low estimate of $1.18 and a high estimate of $1.26. Compared to the EPS of $1.17 from a year ago, there is expected growth.

2. For the next quarter ending on September 30, 2024, the average EPS estimate is $1.42, ranging from $1.33 to $1.51. This indicates an increase from the EPS of $1.35 reported a year ago.

3. Looking at the estimates for the current fiscal year ending on September 30, 2024, analysts project an average EPS of $6.10, with a low estimate of $5.95 and a high estimate of $6.41. This shows growth compared to the EPS of $5.67 from the previous year.

4. For the next fiscal year ending on September 30, 2025, the average EPS estimate is $6.69, with a low estimate of $5.92 and a high estimate of $7.31. This suggests further growth from the EPS of $6.10 reported in the current year.

Overall, the analysts' estimates point towards a positive outlook with expected earnings growth in both the short term and the long term.

Revenue estimate

Based on the analysts' estimates for the future quarterly and annual sales of the company, we can draw the following conclusions:

1. For the current quarter ending on June 30, 2024, the average sales estimate is $77,545,400,000, with a sales growth of 2% compared to the same quarter last year. The number of analysts providing estimates is 25.

2. For the next quarter ending on September 30, 2024, the average sales estimate is $85,501,800,000, with a sales growth of 3% compared to the same quarter last year. The number of analysts providing estimates is 25.

3. For the current fiscal year ending on September 30, 2024, the average sales estimate is $357,772,000,000, with a sales growth of 1% compared to the previous fiscal year. The number of analysts providing estimates is 38.

4. For the next fiscal year ending on September 30, 2025, the average sales estimate is $380,772,000,000, with a sales growth of 6% compared to the current fiscal year. The number of analysts providing estimates is 38.

Overall, the analysts are generally optimistic about the company's future sales performance, with moderate growth expected in both the quarterly and annual sales figures.

Growth estimates

Based on the consensus estimates provided:
- The current year growth rate is 7.6%
- The next quarter growth rate is 5.1%
- The current quarter growth rate is 5.1%
- The next year growth rate is 9.7%
- The next 5 years compound annual growth rate (CAGR) is 9.7%
- The past 5 years compound annual growth rate (CAGR) is 20.1%

It appears that the company has experienced a higher growth rate in the past compared to the estimates for the future. However, the growth rates for the next year and the next 5 years are expected to be consistent at 9.7%. It's important to note that these are analyst estimates and actual performance may vary.

Price target

The analysts' forecast for the future price of the security is as follows:
- Low: $164
- High: $275
- Median: $201.43
- Average: $204.58
- Current price: $192.25

Based on these forecasts, it appears that the analysts are generally optimistic about the future price of the security, with a median forecast above the current price. However, there is a wide range of predictions, from a low of $164 to a high of $275, indicating some uncertainty in the market.

Earnings

The company's results for the most recent quarter, ending on April 30, 2025, have not been provided at this time. The previous results from February 27, 2025, were handled by the Transfer Agent. The results from January 31, 2025, were released after hours. The results from October 31, 2024, were not provided at the time. The results from August 1, 2024, showed an earnings per share (EPS) estimate of 1.32.

Main Statystic 🧠

The data provided includes financials, stock statistics, valuation metrics, stock price summary, and dividends and splits information for a specific company.

In terms of financials, the company has strong operating cash flow and levered free cash flow, with a healthy balance sheet showing a current ratio slightly above 1. The profit margin and operating margin are also favorable, indicating efficient operations. The company's fiscal year ends in September 2023, and the most recent quarter reported is March 2024. Return on assets and return on equity metrics are positive.

Stock statistics show details such as short ratio, float shares, shares outstanding, and percentages held by insiders and institutions. Valuation metrics include PEG ratio, forward and trailing P/E ratios, enterprise value, price to book, price to sales, and other ratios. The market capitalization is also provided.

The stock price summary includes beta, moving averages, fifty-two-week high and low prices, and the percentage change over the past year. Dividends and splits information covers payout ratio, dividend dates, split dates, dividend rates, and yields.

Overall, the data provides a comprehensive overview of the company's financial performance, stock metrics, valuation, stock price movements, and dividend history.

Income statement 💸

These are the revenues. Here are the conclusions:

1. The company's sales revenue has been increasing steadily over the years, from $274.5 billion in 2020 to $383.3 billion in 2023.
2. The gross profit margin has been fluctuating, with a peak in 2021 at $152.8 billion and a slight decrease in 2023 to $169.1 billion.
3. Operating income has shown an upward trend, reaching $114.3 billion in 2023 from $66.3 billion in 2020.
4. Net income has also been increasing consistently, with a significant rise from $57.4 billion in 2020 to $97 billion in 2023.
5. Earnings per share (EPS) have shown a slight variation but have generally been stable over the years.
6. The company has been able to maintain a healthy EBITDA margin, with a slight increase from $81 billion in 2020 to $129.2 billion in 2023.
7. Despite fluctuations in other income and expenses, the company has managed to generate strong net income from continuous operations.
8. The company has been effectively managing its operating expenses, with a balanced allocation between research and development and selling, general, and administrative expenses.
9. The company's tax expenses have also increased in line with the growth in revenue and income.
10. Overall, the financial performance of the company has been positive, with consistent growth in sales, income, and profitability metrics over the years.

MACD of GDOT

This is not investment advice. Remember to verify the information provided here.

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Contacts

Telephone number

+48 32 700 81 66

Email address

[email protected]

Company information

Honey Payment Group S.A. at Al. Aleje Jerozolimskie 65 / 79, 00-697 Warsaw, Poland, Register number KRS 0000335507, NIP 5252859204, REGON 388760204. Honey Payment Group is listed on the Warsaw Stock Exchange (WSE) under the ticker symbol HPG. Link