Analysis Grupa Azoty Zaklady Chemiczne Police SA (PCE)
5/28/2024
Analysis of Grupa Azoty Zaklady Chemiczne Police SA (PCE)
Grupa Azoty Zakłady Chemiczne Police SA (PCE) is currently trading at 11.75 PLN. The stock has been showing some positive momentum recently, with the RSI indicator at 61.09, indicating that it is neither overbought nor oversold.Looking at the moving averages, the stock's price is above the Simple Moving Average (SMA), Exponential Moving Average (EMA), and Weighted Moving Average (WMA), suggesting a bullish trend.
The MACD indicator is also positive, with the MACD line above the signal line and the MACD histogram showing an uptrend, indicating a potential buying opportunity.
Overall, based on the technical indicators, Grupa Azoty Zakłady Chemiczne Police SA seems to be in a bullish phase, and investors may consider monitoring the stock for a potential entry point.
Earnings
The company's results for the most recent quarter, ending on April 30, 2025, have not been provided at this time. The previous quarter's results, ending on February 27, 2025, were handled by the Transfer Agent. The quarter before that, ending on January 31, 2025, had results released after hours. The results for the quarter ending on October 31, 2024, were not provided at the time. However, for the quarter ending on August 1, 2024, the company had an EPS estimate of 1.32.Main Statystic 🧠
The data provided includes financials, stock statistics, valuation metrics, stock price summary, and dividends and splits information for a specific company.In terms of financials, the company has a strong operating cash flow and levered free cash flow, with a positive current ratio and a high total debt to equity ratio. The profit margin and operating margin are also healthy, with a good return on assets and return on equity. The company's fiscal year ends in September 2023, and the most recent quarter reported is March 31, 2024.
Moving on to stock statistics, the company has a low short ratio and a significant percentage of shares held by institutions. The stock price summary shows a beta value, moving averages, and the range of the stock price over the past fifty-two weeks.
Valuation metrics indicate a high PEG ratio, forward and trailing P/E ratios, and other key financial ratios such as price to book, price to sales, enterprise value to EBITDA, and market capitalization.
Lastly, the dividends and splits information includes details about dividend rates, payout ratios, dividend dates, and historical split factors for the company's stock.
Income statement 💸
These are the revenues. Here are the conclusions:1. The company's sales revenue has been increasing over the years, from $274.52 billion in 2020 to $383.29 billion in 2023.
2. The gross profit margin has been fluctuating, with the highest in 2023 at $169.15 billion and the lowest in 2020 at $104.96 billion.
3. Operating income has also shown an increasing trend, reaching $114.30 billion in 2023 from $66.28 billion in 2020.
4. Net income has been on the rise, with the company making $99.80 billion in 2022 and $96.99 billion in 2023.
5. Earnings per share (EPS) have been relatively stable, with slight fluctuations over the years.
6. The company has been able to maintain a healthy EBITDA margin, with the highest at $129.18 billion in 2023.
7. Despite fluctuations in other income and expenses, the company has been able to generate consistent net income from continuous operations.
8. The company has been managing its operating expenses effectively, with a slight increase over the years but not at a disproportionate rate compared to the revenue growth.
Balance Sheet
These are balance sheets. Here are the conclusions:1. The total assets have been increasing over the years, reaching $365,725,000,000 in 2018.
2. Current assets fluctuate, with the highest value in 2019 at $162,819,000,000.
3. Non-current assets have been increasing steadily, with the highest value in 2019 at $175,697,000,000.
4. Total liabilities have also been increasing, reaching $255,355,000,000 in 2018.
5. Shareholders' equity has been increasing over the years, with the highest value in 2018 at $107,147,000,000.
Cash Flow 💶
This is the cash flow statement. Here are some conclusions we can draw from the data:1. The company's free cash flow has been fluctuating over the years, with the highest value in 2022 and the lowest in 2020.
2. Operating cash flow has been relatively stable over the years, indicating consistent operational performance.
3. The company has been consistently paying interest and income taxes, with varying amounts each year.
4. The end cash position has also been fluctuating, reaching its highest value in 2020.
5. Financing activities show significant variability, with large amounts being spent on common stock repurchase and debt issuance and payments.
6. Investing activities also vary, with significant amounts being spent on the sale and purchase of investments, as well as capital expenditures.
7. Overall, the company's financial activities show a mix of stability in operations and variability in financing and investing decisions.
Earnings estimate
Based on the analysts' estimates for future quarterly and annual earnings per share:1. For the current quarter ending on June 30, 2024, the average EPS estimate is $1.33, with a low estimate of $1.27 and a high estimate of $1.36. This shows growth compared to the EPS of $1.26 from the same quarter a year ago.
2. For the next quarter ending on September 30, 2024, the average EPS estimate is $1.53, with a low estimate of $1.44 and a high estimate of $1.63. This indicates an increase from the EPS of $1.46 from the same quarter last year.
3. Looking at the current fiscal year ending on September 30, 2024, the average EPS estimate is $6.59, with a low estimate of $6.43 and a high estimate of $6.92. This reflects growth compared to the EPS of $6.13 from the previous fiscal year.
4. For the next fiscal year ending on September 30, 2025, the average EPS estimate is $7.23, with a low estimate of $6.40 and a high estimate of $7.90. This shows an increase from the EPS of $6.59 reported for the current fiscal year.
Overall, the analysts' estimates suggest a positive outlook with expected growth in earnings per share for both the upcoming quarters and the next fiscal years.
Revenue estimate
Based on the analysts' estimates for the future quarterly and annual sales of the company, we can draw the following conclusions:1. For the current quarter ending on June 30, 2024, the average sales estimate is $83,776,900,000, with a sales growth of 2% compared to the same quarter last year. The number of analysts providing estimates is 24.
2. For the next quarter ending on September 30, 2024, the average sales estimate is $92,375,300,000, with a sales growth of 3% compared to the same quarter last year. The number of analysts providing estimates is 24.
3. For the current fiscal year ending on September 30, 2024, the average sales estimate is $386,681,000,000, with a sales growth of 1% compared to the previous fiscal year. The number of analysts providing estimates is 37.
4. For the next fiscal year ending on September 30, 2025, the average sales estimate is $411,555,000,000, with a sales growth of 6% compared to the current fiscal year. The number of analysts providing estimates is 37.
These estimates suggest a moderate growth trend in both quarterly and annual sales for the company over the specified periods, with a more significant increase expected in the next fiscal year.
Growth estimates
Based on the consensus estimates provided:- The current year growth rate is 7.5%
- The next quarter growth rate is 4.8%
- The current quarter growth rate is 5.6%
- The next year growth rate is 9.7%
- The next 5 years compound annual growth rate (CAGR) is 11%
- The past 5 years compound annual growth rate (CAGR) is 20.15%
It can be observed that the company is expected to experience a significant increase in growth rate from the current year to the next year. The long-term outlook also shows a positive trend with a projected CAGR of 11% for the next 5 years. However, the past 5 years have seen a higher growth rate compared to the current estimates.
Price target
The analysts' forecast for the future price of the security is as follows:- Low: $164
- High: $250
- Median: $200
- Average: $202.26
- Current price: $191.57
- Currency: USD
Based on these forecasts, we can see that the analysts have a range of opinions regarding the future price of the security, with the low end at $164, the high end at $250, and the average at $202.26. The current price is below both the average and median forecast, indicating that there is potential for the security to increase in value according to the analysts' predictions.
MACD of PCE
This is not investment advice. Remember to verify the information provided here.
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