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Analysis Gym Group PLC-The (GYM)

6/2/2024

Analysis Gym Group PLC-The (GYM)

Analysis of Gym Group PLC-The (GYM)

The Gym Group PLC has shown a consistent uptrend in its stock price over the past few days. The Relative Strength Index (RSI) values have been indicating overbought conditions, with values above 70, suggesting a potential reversal or correction in the near future.

The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) indicator has been showing positive values, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD line has been consistently above the signal line, further supporting the bullish sentiment.

The Simple Moving Average (SMA), Exponential Moving Average (EMA), and Weighted Moving Average (WMA) have all been trending upwards, indicating a positive momentum in the stock price.

Overall, based on the technical indicators, The Gym Group PLC seems to be in a strong bullish trend. However, investors should be cautious of potential overbought conditions and consider the possibility of a correction in the near future.

Earnings estimate

Based on the analysts' estimates for future quarterly and annual earnings per share:

1. For the current quarter ending on June 30, 2024, the average EPS estimate is $1.23, with a low estimate of $1.18 and a high estimate of $1.26. This shows an improvement compared to the EPS of $1.17 from the same quarter a year ago.

2. For the next quarter ending on September 30, 2024, the average EPS estimate is $1.42, with a low estimate of $1.33 and a high estimate of $1.51. This also indicates growth from the EPS of $1.35 in the same quarter last year.

3. Looking at the estimates for the current year ending on September 30, 2024, the average EPS estimate is $6.10, ranging from a low estimate of $5.95 to a high estimate of $6.41. This reflects an increase from the EPS of $5.67 for the previous year.

4. For the next year ending on September 30, 2025, the average EPS estimate is $6.69, with a low estimate of $5.92 and a high estimate of $7.31. This suggests a slight improvement from the EPS of $6.10 in the previous year.

Overall, the analysts' estimates point towards a positive trend of increasing earnings per share for both the upcoming quarters and the next two fiscal years.

Revenue estimate

The analysts' estimates for the future quarterly and annual sales of the company indicate a moderate growth trend.

For the current quarter ending on June 30, 2024, the average estimate is $77,545,400,000, representing a 2% increase from the same period last year. The number of analysts providing estimates is 25.

Looking at the next quarter ending on September 30, 2024, the average estimate is $85,501,800,000, with a sales growth of 3% compared to the previous year. Again, 25 analysts have contributed to these estimates.

For the current fiscal year ending on September 30, 2024, the average estimate is $357,772,000,000, showing a 1% growth from the previous year. The number of analysts providing estimates for the annual sales is 38.

In the following fiscal year ending on September 30, 2025, the average estimate is $380,772,000,000, indicating a more significant growth of 6% from the previous year. The number of analysts remains at 38.

Overall, the estimates suggest a steady growth trajectory for both the quarterly and annual sales of the company over the next few quarters and years.

Growth estimates

Based on the consensus estimates provided by analysts, we can draw the following conclusions regarding the growth rate of the company for different periods:

1. Current Quarter: The estimated growth rate for the current quarter is 5.1%.
2. Next Quarter: The estimated growth rate for the next quarter is 5.2%.
3. Current Year: The estimated growth rate for the current year is 7.6%.
4. Next Year: The estimated growth rate for the next year is 9.7%.
5. Past 5 Years (per annum): The average annual growth rate for the past 5 years is 20.1%.
6. Next 5 Years (per annum): The estimated average annual growth rate for the next 5 years is 9.7%.

These estimates suggest a positive growth trend for the company, with a slightly lower growth rate expected in the next 5 years compared to the past 5 years. It indicates a steady but slightly slower growth trajectory in the future.

Price target

The analysts' forecast for the future price of the security is as follows:
- Low: $164
- High: $275
- Median: $201.43
- Average: $204.58
- Current price: $192.25

Based on these forecasts, it appears that the analysts are generally optimistic about the future price of the security, with a median forecast above the current price. However, there is a wide range of predictions, from a low of $164 to a high of $275, indicating some uncertainty in the market.

Earnings

The company's results for the most recent quarter, ending on April 30, 2025, have not been provided at this time. The previous quarter's results, ending on February 27, 2025, were handled by the Transfer Agent. The quarter before that, ending on January 31, 2025, had results released after hours. The results for the quarter ending on October 31, 2024, were not provided at the time. However, for the quarter ending on August 1, 2024, the company had an EPS estimate of 1.32.

Main Statystic 🧠

The data provides a comprehensive overview of the financial and stock-related metrics for a company. Here are the key points:

1. **Financials**:
- **Cash Flow**: Operating cash flow (TTM) is $110.56 billion, and levered free cash flow (TTM) is $84.73 billion.
- **Balance Sheet**: Total cash (MRQ) is $67.15 billion, total debt (MRQ) is $104.59 billion, current ratio (MRQ) is 1.037, book value per share (MRQ) is $4.837, total cash per share (MRQ) is $4.379, and total debt to equity ratio (MRQ) is 140.968.
- **Profit Margin**: The profit margin is 26.31%.
- **Income Statement**: EBITDA is $131.39 billion, revenue (TTM) is $381.62 billion, diluted EPS (TTM) is $6.43, gross profit (TTM) is $169.15 billion, revenue per share (TTM) is $24.537, net income to common (TTM) is $100.39 billion, quarterly revenue growth is -4.3%, and quarterly earnings growth YoY is -2.2%.
- **Margins**: Operating margin is 30.74%.
- **Returns**: Return on assets (TTM) is 22.07%, and return on equity (TTM) is 147.25%.

2. **Stock Statistics**:
- **Shares**: Float shares are 15.31 billion, shares short are 99.29 million, shares outstanding are 15.33 billion.
- **Short Interest**: Short ratio is 1.53, short percent of shares outstanding is 0.65%.
- **Volume**: Average 10-day volume is 46.86 million, average 90-day volume is 57.50 million.
- **Ownership**: Percent held by insiders is 5.22%, percent held by institutions is 57.59%.

3. **Valuation Metrics**:
- **Ratios**: PEG ratio is 26.32, forward PE is 26.32, trailing PE is 29.59, price to book (MRQ) is 39.34, price to sales (TTM) is 7.65, enterprise to EBITDA is 22.76, enterprise to revenue is 7.73.
- **Values**: Enterprise value is $2.95 trillion, market capitalization is $2.92 trillion.

4. **Stock Price Summary**:
- **Performance**: Beta is 1.26, 50-day moving average is $176.26, 200-day moving average is $181.04, 52-week low is $164.08, 52-week high is $199.62, 52-week change is 6.85%.

5. **Dividends and Splits**:
- **Dividends**: Payout ratio is 14.93%, dividend date is 05/16/2024, ex-dividend date is 05/10/2024, forward annual dividend rate is $1, 5-year average dividend yield is 0.73%, forward annual dividend yield is 0.53%, trailing annual dividend rate is $0.97, trailing annual dividend yield is 0.51%, last split date is 08/31/2020 (4-for-1 split).

Income statement 💸

Here are the revenue figures for the company over the past four fiscal years:

- 2020: $274,515,000,000
- 2021: $365,817,000,000
- 2022: $394,328,000,000
- 2023: $383,285,000,000

From these numbers, we can observe that the company has experienced a steady increase in revenue from 2020 to 2022, with a slight decrease in 2023. This trend indicates a generally positive growth trajectory for the company over the past few years.

Balance Sheet

These are balance sheets. Here are the conclusions based on the data provided:

1. Total assets have been increasing over the years, reaching the highest value in 2023 at $352,583,000,000.
2. Current assets have fluctuated, with the highest value in 2019 at $162,819,000,000.
3. Non-current assets have shown an increasing trend, with the highest value in 2023 at $209,017,000,000.
4. Total liabilities have also been increasing, reaching the highest value in 2023 at $290,437,000,000.
5. Shareholders' equity has shown fluctuations but has generally been increasing, with the highest value in 2023 at $62,146,000,000.
6. The company has been relying more on non-current assets to support its operations over the years.
7. There has been a consistent increase in long-term debt, indicating a shift towards more long-term financing.
8. The company has been investing in machinery, furniture, and equipment, as seen in the increasing values of these assets over the years.

Cash Flow 💶

This is the cash flow statement. Here are some conclusions we can draw from the data:

1. The company's free cash flow has been fluctuating over the years, with the highest value in 2022 and the lowest in 2020.
2. Operating cash flow has generally been increasing year over year, indicating improved operational efficiency.
3. The company has been consistently paying interest and income taxes, with varying amounts each year.
4. The end cash position has also been fluctuating, reaching its highest value in 2020.
5. Financing activities show a pattern of common stock repurchase, issuance of long-term debt, and payment of dividends.
6. Investing activities include the sale and purchase of investments, as well as capital expenditures.
7. Overall, the company seems to be managing its cash flow effectively, with a focus on operational efficiency and strategic investments.

MACD of GYM

This is not investment advice. Remember to verify the information provided here.

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Contacts

Telephone number

+48 32 700 81 66

Email address

[email protected]

Company information

Honey Payment Group S.A. at Al. Aleje Jerozolimskie 65 / 79, 00-697 Warsaw, Poland, Register number KRS 0000335507, NIP 5252859204, REGON 388760204. Honey Payment Group is listed on the Warsaw Stock Exchange (WSE) under the ticker symbol HPG. Link