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Analysis H Lundbeck A/S (HLUBF)

5/29/2024

Analysis H Lundbeck A/S (HLUBF)

Analysis of H Lundbeck A/S (HLUBF)

H Lundbeck A/S (HLUBF) has been trading at a price of 3.91 for the past several days. The Relative Strength Index (RSI) indicator is low at 1.93, indicating potential oversold conditions. The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) indicator is negative but showing signs of improvement, with the MACD line crossing above the signal line.

The Moving Average (MA) indicator is in line with the current price at 3.91. The Simple Moving Average (SMA) and Exponential Moving Average (EMA) are close to the current price, while the Weighted Moving Average (WMA) is slightly higher.

Overall, the stock seems to be consolidating around the current price level, with some bullish signals from the MACD indicator. Traders may want to monitor the RSI for potential reversal signals and watch for confirmation of a bullish trend from the MACD indicator.

Earnings

The company's results for the most recent quarter, ending on April 30, 2025, have not been provided at this time. The previous quarter's results, ending on February 27, 2025, were handled by the Transfer Agent. The quarter before that, ending on January 31, 2025, had results released after hours. The results for the quarter ending on October 31, 2024, were not provided at the time. However, for the quarter ending on August 1, 2024, the company reported an earnings per share (EPS) estimate of 1.32.

Main Statystic 🧠

The data provided includes financials, stock statistics, valuation metrics, stock price summary, and dividends and splits information for a specific company.

In terms of financials, the company has strong operating cash flow and levered free cash flow, with a positive profit margin and healthy return on assets and equity. The balance sheet shows a decent current ratio, but a relatively high total debt to equity ratio. The income statement indicates significant revenue and EBITDA, with a good gross profit margin and diluted EPS.

Stock statistics reveal details such as short ratio, float shares, shares outstanding, and insider and institutional ownership percentages. Valuation metrics include PEG ratio, PE ratios, enterprise value, price to book, price to sales, and market capitalization.

The stock price summary provides information on beta, moving averages, and the range of the stock price over the past year. Lastly, dividends and splits data show dividend rates, payout ratio, dividend dates, and historical split information.

Income statement 💸

These are the revenues. Here are the conclusions:

1. The company's sales revenue has been increasing steadily over the past four fiscal years.
2. The gross profit margin seems to be consistent, indicating stable pricing and cost management.
3. Despite fluctuations in net income, there is an overall positive trend in profitability.
4. Earnings per share (EPS) have shown some variability but have generally been on an upward trajectory.
5. Operating income has been growing, reflecting improved operational efficiency.
6. The company has been able to maintain a healthy EBITDA margin over the years.
7. Effective tax management is evident from the relatively stable income tax expenses.
8. Continuous operations have been profitable, with net income from these operations showing an increasing trend.
9. The company has been investing in research and development, which is reflected in the operating expenses.
10. Non-operating interest expenses have been managed effectively, contributing to overall profitability.

Cash Flow 💶

This is the cash flow statement. Here are some conclusions we can draw from the data:

1. The company's free cash flow has been fluctuating over the years, with the highest value recorded in 2022 and the lowest in 2020.
2. Operating cash flow has generally been increasing year over year, indicating improved operational efficiency.
3. The company has been consistently paying interest and income taxes, with varying amounts each year.
4. The end cash position has also been fluctuating, reaching its highest value in 2020.
5. Financing activities show a pattern of common stock repurchase, issuance of long-term debt, and payment of dividends.
6. Investing activities include the sale and purchase of investments, as well as capital expenditures.
7. Overall, the company seems to be managing its cash flow effectively, with some fluctuations in different areas that may require further analysis.

Earnings estimate

The analysts' estimates for future quarterly and annual earnings per share are as follows:

1. Current Quarter (as of June 30, 2024):
- Average Estimate: $1.33
- Low Estimate: $1.27
- High Estimate: $1.36
- Number of Analysts: 26
- Year Ago EPS: $1.26

2. Next Quarter (as of September 30, 2024):
- Average Estimate: $1.53
- Low Estimate: $1.44
- High Estimate: $1.63
- Number of Analysts: 25
- Year Ago EPS: $1.46

3. Current Year (as of September 30, 2024):
- Average Estimate: $6.59
- Low Estimate: $6.43
- High Estimate: $6.92
- Number of Analysts: 39
- Year Ago EPS: $6.13

4. Next Year (as of September 30, 2025):
- Average Estimate: $7.23
- Low Estimate: $6.40
- High Estimate: $7.90
- Number of Analysts: 39
- Year Ago EPS: $6.59

Based on these estimates, we can see a generally positive trend in the expected earnings per share for both the upcoming quarters and years, with the numbers generally increasing compared to the previous year's earnings. This indicates a positive outlook from analysts regarding the company's performance and profitability in the future.

Revenue estimate

Based on the analysts' estimates for the future quarterly and annual sales of the company, we can draw the following conclusions:

1. For the current quarter ending on June 30, 2024, the average sales estimate is $83,776,900,000, with a sales growth of 2% compared to the same quarter last year. The number of analysts providing estimates is 24.

2. For the next quarter ending on September 30, 2024, the average sales estimate is $92,375,300,000, with a sales growth of 3% compared to the same quarter last year. The number of analysts providing estimates is 24.

3. For the current fiscal year ending on September 30, 2024, the average sales estimate is $386,681,000,000, with a sales growth of 1% compared to the previous fiscal year. The number of analysts providing estimates is 37.

4. For the next fiscal year ending on September 30, 2025, the average sales estimate is $411,555,000,000, with a sales growth of 6% compared to the current fiscal year. The number of analysts providing estimates is 37.

These estimates indicate a generally positive outlook for the company, with expected growth in both quarterly and annual sales over the coming quarters and years.

Growth estimates

Based on the consensus estimates provided, we can draw the following conclusions regarding the growth rate of the company for different periods:

1. Current Quarter: The estimated growth rate for the current quarter is 5.6%.
2. Next Quarter: The estimated growth rate for the next quarter is 4.8%.
3. Current Year: The estimated growth rate for the current year is 7.5%.
4. Next Year: The estimated growth rate for the next year is 9.7%.
5. Past 5 Years (per annum): The average growth rate for the past 5 years is 20.1% per annum.
6. Next 5 Years (per annum): The estimated growth rate for the next 5 years is 11% per annum.

These estimates suggest a positive growth trend for the company, with a slightly lower growth rate expected in the near term compared to the historical average. However, the company is still projected to experience solid growth over the next few years according to analyst consensus.

Price target

The analysts' forecast for the future price of the security is as follows:
- Low: $164
- High: $250
- Median: $200
- Average: $202.26
- Current price: $191.57
- Currency: USD

Based on these forecasts, we can see that the current price is below both the average and median predicted prices. The analysts' opinions vary, with a wide range between the low and high estimates. The median price of $200 could be considered a benchmark for the future price of the security.

Balance Sheet

These are balance sheets. Here are the conclusions:

1. The total assets have been increasing over the years, reaching $365,725,000,000 in 2018.
2. Current assets include cash, inventory, and receivables, with a significant portion in cash equivalents and short-term investments.
3. Non-current assets consist mainly of investments and advances, along with machinery, furniture, and equipment.
4. Total liabilities have also been increasing, but at a slower pace compared to assets.
5. Shareholders' equity has shown a positive trend, indicating a healthy financial position.
6. The company has been managing its short-term and long-term debts effectively.
7. Accumulated depreciation has been significant, affecting the value of non-current assets.
8. Provision for risks and charges has been relatively stable over the years.
9. The company has been investing in leases, land, and improvements consistently.
10. Retained earnings have fluctuated but have generally shown an upward trend.

MACD of HLUBF

This is not investment advice. Remember to verify the information provided here.

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Contacts

Telephone number

+48 32 700 81 66

Email address

[email protected]

Company information

Honey Payment S.A. at ul. Nowy Swiat 33/13, 00-029 Warsaw, Poland, Register number KRS 0000895826, share capital in the amount of 201.4 mln PLN, NIP 5252859204, REGON 388760204