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Analysis Harland & Wolff Group Holdings Plc (HARL)

5/28/2024

Analysis Harland & Wolff Group Holdings Plc (HARL)

Analysis of Harland & Wolff Group Holdings Plc (HARL)

Harland & Wolff Group Holdings Plc, with the symbol HARL, has shown some interesting price movements and technical indicators in the recent days:

1. Price Movement:
- The stock price has been fluctuating between highs and lows, with the price closing at 9.642 on 28th May, after opening at 10.280.
- On 24th May, the price closed at 21.050, showing stability with no significant movement.

2. Technical Indicators:
- RSI Indicator: The Relative Strength Index (RSI) values have been around 47-52, indicating a neutral to slightly bearish sentiment in the market.
- MACD Indicator: The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) values have been negative, suggesting a bearish trend in the stock.
- Moving Averages: The Simple Moving Average (SMA), Exponential Moving Average (EMA), and Weighted Moving Average (WMA) have been relatively close to each other, indicating a stable trend.

3. Overall Analysis:
- The stock seems to be trading in a range-bound pattern with no clear trend.
- The technical indicators suggest a slightly bearish sentiment in the market.
- Investors may need to closely monitor the price movements and key support/resistance levels for potential trading opportunities.

Please note that this analysis is based on the provided data and should be supplemented with further research before making any investment decisions.

Earnings

The company's results for the most recent quarter ending on April 30, 2025, have not been provided yet. The previous results were reported on February 27, 2025, through the Transfer Agent. Before that, on January 31, 2025, the results were released after hours. The results for October 31, 2024, were not provided at the specified time. However, on August 1, 2024, the company reported an earnings per share (EPS) estimate of 1.32.

Main Statystic 🧠

The data provided includes financials, stock statistics, valuation metrics, stock price summary, and dividends and splits information for a specific company.

In terms of financials, the company has strong operating cash flow and levered free cash flow, with a positive profit margin and healthy return on assets and equity. The balance sheet shows a current ratio slightly above 1, indicating good liquidity, but a high total debt to equity ratio. The income statement highlights significant revenue and EBITDA, with a positive diluted EPS and net income to common shareholders. Quarterly revenue and earnings growth have seen slight declines.

Stock statistics reveal details about short interest, shares outstanding, insider and institutional ownership, and other key metrics. Valuation metrics show the company's price ratios, enterprise value, and market capitalization. The stock price summary includes beta, moving averages, and the 52-week price range.

Lastly, dividends and splits information includes payout ratios, dividend dates, split history, and dividend yield data.

Income statement 💸

These are the revenues. Here are the conclusions:

1. The company's sales revenue has been increasing steadily over the past four fiscal years.
2. The gross profit margin seems to be consistent, indicating stable cost management.
3. EBIT and EBITDA have also shown a positive trend, reflecting the company's operational efficiency.
4. Net income has been growing, suggesting that the company is effectively managing its expenses and taxes.
5. Earnings per share (EPS) have been relatively stable, indicating consistent profitability per share.
6. The company has been able to maintain a healthy balance between operating expenses and income, leading to sustained profitability.
7. Overall, the financial performance of the company, as indicated by its revenues, seems to be on a positive trajectory.

Balance Sheet

These are balance sheets. Here are the conclusions:

1. The total assets have been increasing over the years, reaching $365,725,000,000 in 2018.
2. Current assets have fluctuated, with the highest value in 2019 at $162,819,000,000.
3. Non-current assets have shown an increasing trend, with the highest value in 2019 at $175,697,000,000.
4. Total liabilities have also been increasing, reaching $255,355,000,000 in 2018.
5. Shareholders' equity has shown an increasing trend, with the highest value in 2018 at $107,147,000,000.
6. The company has been relying more on non-current assets to support its operations.
7. There has been a consistent increase in shareholders' equity, indicating a positive trend in the company's financial health.

Cash Flow 💶

This is the cash flow statement. Here are some conclusions we can draw from the data:

1. The company's free cash flow has been fluctuating over the years, with the highest value in 2022 and the lowest in 2020.
2. Operating cash flow has generally been increasing year over year, indicating improved operational efficiency.
3. The company has been consistently paying interest and income taxes, with varying amounts each year.
4. The end cash position has also been fluctuating, reaching its highest value in 2020.
5. Financing activities show a pattern of common stock repurchase, issuance of long-term debt, and payment of dividends.
6. Investing activities include the sale and purchase of investments, as well as capital expenditures.
7. Overall, the company seems to be managing its cash flow effectively, with some fluctuations in different areas that may require further analysis.

Earnings estimate

Based on the analysts' estimates for future quarterly and annual earnings per share:

1. For the current quarter ending on June 30, 2024, the average estimated EPS is $1.33, with a range from $1.27 to $1.36. This shows growth compared to the EPS of $1.26 from a year ago.

2. For the next quarter ending on September 30, 2024, the average estimated EPS is $1.53, with a range from $1.44 to $1.63. This indicates a slight increase from the EPS of $1.46 from a year ago.

3. For the current year ending on September 30, 2024, the average estimated EPS is $6.59, with a range from $6.43 to $6.92. This reflects growth compared to the EPS of $6.13 from the previous year.

4. For the next year ending on September 30, 2025, the average estimated EPS is $7.23, with a range from $6.40 to $7.90. This shows a potential increase from the EPS of $6.59 from the previous year.

Overall, the analysts are forecasting growth in earnings per share for both the upcoming quarters and the next two fiscal years.

Revenue estimate

Based on the analysts' estimates for the future quarterly and annual sales of the company, we can draw the following conclusions:

1. For the current quarter ending on June 30, 2024, the average sales estimate is $83,776,900,000, with a sales growth of 2% compared to the same quarter last year. The number of analysts providing estimates is 24.

2. For the next quarter ending on September 30, 2024, the average sales estimate is $92,375,300,000, with a sales growth of 3% compared to the same quarter last year. The number of analysts providing estimates is 24.

3. For the current fiscal year ending on September 30, 2024, the average sales estimate is $386,681,000,000, with a sales growth of 1% compared to the previous fiscal year. The number of analysts providing estimates is 37.

4. For the next fiscal year ending on September 30, 2025, the average sales estimate is $411,555,000,000, with a sales growth of 6% compared to the current fiscal year. The number of analysts providing estimates is 37.

These estimates indicate a moderate growth trend in both quarterly and annual sales for the company, with slightly higher growth rates expected in the upcoming fiscal year.

Growth estimates

Based on the consensus estimates provided, we can draw the following conclusions regarding the growth rate of the company for different periods:

1. Current Quarter: The estimated growth rate for the current quarter is 5.6%.
2. Next Quarter: The estimated growth rate for the next quarter is 4.8%.
3. Current Year: The estimated growth rate for the current year is 7.5%.
4. Next Year: The estimated growth rate for the next year is 9.7%.
5. Past 5 Years (per annum): The average annual growth rate for the past 5 years is 20.1%.
6. Next 5 Years (per annum): The estimated average annual growth rate for the next 5 years is 11%.

These estimates suggest a positive growth trend for the company, with a slightly lower growth rate expected in the future compared to the past performance. It indicates a healthy growth trajectory for the company in the near term and over the long term, albeit at a slightly moderated pace compared to the past 5 years.

Price target

The analysts' forecast for the future price of the security is as follows:
- Low: $164
- High: $250
- Median: $200
- Average: $202.26
- Current price: $191.57

Based on these forecasts, it can be observed that the analysts have a range of opinions regarding the future price of the security, with the average and median both indicating a price higher than the current value. The low and high ends of the forecast suggest a potential price range within which the security may fluctuate.

MACD of HARL

This is not investment advice. Remember to verify the information provided here.

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Contacts

Telephone number

+48 32 700 81 66

Email address

[email protected]

Company information

Honey Payment Group S.A. at Al. Aleje Jerozolimskie 65 / 79, 00-697 Warsaw, Poland, Register number KRS 0000335507, NIP 5252859204, REGON 388760204. Honey Payment Group is listed on the Warsaw Stock Exchange (WSE) under the ticker symbol HPG. Link