Analysis Harleysville Financial Corp. (HARL)
6/3/2024
Analysis of Harleysville Financial Corp. (HARL)
Harleysville Financial Corp. (HARL) has been showing relatively stable prices around $21.20 and $9.25 for the closing prices. The Relative Strength Index (RSI) values are around 50, indicating a balanced market sentiment.The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) indicator is slightly negative, suggesting a potential bearish trend. However, the MACD histogram is positive, indicating a possible reversal in the short term.
The Moving Average (MA) indicator values are around $15.65, which is close to the Simple Moving Average (SMA), Exponential Moving Average (EMA), and Weighted Moving Average (WMA) values. This suggests that the stock price has been relatively stable around this level.
Overall, the stock seems to be consolidating with no clear trend direction at the moment. Traders and investors may want to wait for a clearer signal before making any significant trading decisions.
Balance Sheet
These are balance sheets. Here are the conclusions:1. Total assets have been increasing over the years, reaching $365,725,000,000 in 2018.
2. Current assets fluctuate, with the highest value in 2019 at $162,819,000,000.
3. Non-current assets have been increasing steadily, with the highest value in 2019 at $175,697,000,000.
4. Total liabilities have also been increasing, reaching $255,355,000,000 in 2018.
5. Shareholders' equity has been increasing, with the highest value in 2018 at $107,147,000,000.
6. The company has been relying more on non-current assets to finance its operations, as seen in the increasing trend of non-current assets compared to current assets.
7. The company has been managing its debt levels, as seen in the increasing trend of shareholders' equity over the years.
8. The company has been investing in non-current assets, such as investments and advances, to support its growth.
Cash Flow 💶
This is the cash flow statement. Here are some conclusions we can draw from the data:1. The company's free cash flow has been fluctuating over the years, with the highest value in 2022 and the lowest in 2020.
2. Operating cash flow has been relatively stable over the years, indicating consistent operational performance.
3. The company has been consistently paying interest and income taxes, with varying amounts each year.
4. The end cash position has also been fluctuating, reaching its highest value in 2020.
5. Financing activities show significant variations, with large amounts being spent on common stock repurchase and debt issuance/payments.
6. Investing activities also vary, with significant amounts being spent on the sale and purchase of investments, as well as capital expenditures.
7. Overall, the company's financial activities show a mix of stability in operations and fluctuations in financing and investing decisions.
Earnings estimate
Based on the analysts' estimates for future quarterly and annual earnings per share:1. For the current quarter ending on June 30, 2024, the average estimated EPS is $1.23, compared to $1.17 a year ago. The range of estimates is between $1.18 and $1.26, based on 27 analysts' forecasts.
2. For the next quarter ending on September 30, 2024, the average estimated EPS is $1.42, compared to $1.35 a year ago. The range of estimates is between $1.33 and $1.51, based on 26 analysts' forecasts.
3. For the current fiscal year ending on September 30, 2024, the average estimated EPS is $6.10, compared to $5.67 a year ago. The range of estimates is between $5.95 and $6.41, based on 40 analysts' forecasts.
4. For the next fiscal year ending on September 30, 2025, the average estimated EPS is $6.69, compared to $6.10 a year ago. The range of estimates is between $5.92 and $7.31, based on 40 analysts' forecasts.
Overall, it appears that analysts are generally forecasting an increase in earnings per share both for the upcoming quarters and the next fiscal years compared to the previous periods.
Revenue estimate
Based on the analysts' estimates for the future quarterly and annual sales of the company, we can draw the following conclusions:1. For the current quarter ending on June 30, 2024, the average sales estimate is $77,545,400,000, with a sales growth of 2% compared to the same quarter last year. The number of analysts providing estimates is 25.
2. For the next quarter ending on September 30, 2024, the average sales estimate is $85,501,800,000, showing a sales growth of 3% compared to the previous year's same quarter. The number of analysts providing estimates remains at 25.
3. For the current fiscal year ending on September 30, 2024, the average sales estimate is $357,772,000,000, with a sales growth of 1% compared to the previous fiscal year. The number of analysts providing estimates increases to 38.
4. Looking ahead to the next fiscal year ending on September 30, 2025, the average sales estimate is $380,772,000,000, indicating a significant sales growth of 6% compared to the current fiscal year. The number of analysts providing estimates remains at 38.
Overall, the analysts are forecasting moderate to strong sales growth for both the upcoming quarters and the next fiscal year, with an increasing number of analysts providing estimates for the company's performance.
Growth estimates
Based on the consensus estimates provided by analysts, we can draw the following conclusions regarding the growth rate of the company for different periods:1. Current Quarter: The estimated growth rate for the current quarter is 5.1%.
2. Next Quarter: The estimated growth rate for the next quarter is 5.2%.
3. Current Year: The estimated growth rate for the current year is 7.6%.
4. Next Year: The estimated growth rate for the next year is 9.7%.
5. Past 5 Years (per annum): The average annual growth rate for the past 5 years is 20.1%.
6. Next 5 Years (per annum): The estimated average annual growth rate for the next 5 years is 9.7%.
These estimates suggest a positive growth trend for the company, with a slight increase in growth rate expected in the near future compared to the current period. However, the projected growth rates for the next year and the next 5 years are lower than the average growth rate achieved in the past 5 years.
Price target
The analysts' forecast for the future price of the security paper is as follows:- Low: $164
- High: $275
- Median: $201.43
- Average: $204.58
- Current price: $192.25
Based on these forecasts, it appears that the analysts are generally optimistic about the future price of the security paper, with a median estimate of $201.43 and an average estimate of $204.58. However, it's worth noting that there is a wide range of forecasts, from a low of $164 to a high of $275. The current price of the security paper is $192.25.
Earnings
The company's results for the most recent quarter ending on April 30, 2025, have not been provided yet. The previous results were reported on February 27, 2025, through the Transfer Agent. Before that, on January 31, 2025, the results were released after hours. The results for the quarter ending on October 31, 2024, were not provided on time. However, on August 1, 2024, the company reported an earnings per share (EPS) estimate of 1.32.Main Statystic ðŸ§
The data provided includes financials, stock statistics, valuation metrics, stock price summary, and dividends and splits information for a specific company.In terms of financials, the company has strong operating cash flow and levered free cash flow, with a positive current ratio and a high total debt to equity ratio. The profit margin and operating margin are also healthy, with a good return on assets and return on equity. The company's fiscal year ends in September 2023, and the most recent quarter reported is March 31, 2024.
Looking at stock statistics, the company has a low short ratio and a significant percentage of shares held by institutions. The stock price summary shows a beta value, moving averages, and the range of the stock price over the past fifty-two weeks.
Valuation metrics indicate a high PEG ratio, forward and trailing P/E ratios, and other key financial ratios such as price to book, price to sales, and enterprise value multiples. The market capitalization is also provided.
Lastly, dividends and splits information includes details on payout ratio, dividend dates, split dates, dividend rates, and dividend yields.
Income statement 💸
These are the revenues. Here are the conclusions:1. The company's sales revenue has been increasing steadily over the years, from $274.5 billion in 2020 to $383.3 billion in 2023.
2. Despite fluctuations in other financial metrics, the sales revenue has shown a consistent upward trend.
3. The company has managed to grow its top line, indicating successful sales strategies and market positioning.
4. It is essential for the company to continue focusing on increasing sales revenue to drive overall financial performance.
MACD of HARL
This is not investment advice. Remember to verify the information provided here.
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