Analysis Harmonic Drive Systems, Inc. (HSYDF)
6/1/2024
Analysis of Harmonic Drive Systems, Inc. (HSYDF)
Harmonic Drive Systems, Inc. (HSYDF) has been showing a consistent price of 26.3 over the past few days. The Relative Strength Index (RSI) indicator is low at 11.7, indicating potential oversold conditions. The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) indicator is negative, with the MACD line below the signal line and the histogram showing a downtrend.Looking at the moving averages, the Simple Moving Average (SMA), Exponential Moving Average (EMA), and Weighted Moving Average (WMA) are all above the current price, suggesting a bearish trend.
On the other hand, the stock recently showed a price spike to 28.6, with the RSI indicator reaching a high of 98.7, indicating potential overbought conditions. The MACD indicator was positive during this period, with the MACD line above the signal line and a positive histogram.
In conclusion, Harmonic Drive Systems, Inc. has been experiencing price stability around 26.3 with some recent volatility. Traders should be cautious of potential reversals in the trend based on the RSI and MACD indicators.
Earnings
The company's results for the most recent quarter, ending on April 30, 2025, have not been provided at this time. The previous quarter's results, ending on February 27, 2025, were handled by the Transfer Agent. The quarter before that, ending on January 31, 2025, had results released after hours. The results for the quarter ending on October 31, 2024, were not provided at the time. However, for the quarter ending on August 1, 2024, the company had an EPS estimate of 1.32.Main Statystic ðŸ§
The company's financials show a strong cash flow, with operating cash flow at $110.56 billion and levered free cash flow at $84.73 billion. The balance sheet indicates a total cash of $67.15 billion, total debt of $104.59 billion, and a current ratio of 1.037. The company's profit margin is 26.31%, with a fiscal year ending on September 30, 2023. The income statement reveals an EBITDA of $131.39 billion, revenue of $381.62 billion, and a diluted EPS of 6.43. The operating margin is 30.74%, with a return on assets of 22.07% and return on equity of 147.25%.In terms of stock statistics, the short ratio is 1.53, with 99.29 million shares shorted out of 15.31 billion float shares. The company has a market capitalization of $2.92 trillion, with a PEG ratio of 26.32 and a forward P/E of 26.32. The stock price summary shows a beta of 1.264, a 50-day moving average of $176.26, and a 200-day moving average of $181.04. The stock's 52-week low was $164.08, the high was $199.62, with a 52-week change of 6.85%.
Regarding dividends and splits, the company has a payout ratio of 14.93% and a forward annual dividend rate of $1, yielding 0.53%. The last dividend date was on May 16, 2024, with an ex-dividend date of May 10, 2024. The company had a 4-for-1 split on August 31, 2020. The 5-year average dividend yield is 0.73%, and the trailing annual dividend yield is 0.51%.
Income statement 💸
Here are the revenue figures for the company over the past four fiscal years:- 2020: $274,515,000,000
- 2021: $365,817,000,000
- 2022: $394,328,000,000
- 2023: $383,285,000,000
From these numbers, we can observe that the company has experienced a steady increase in revenue from 2020 to 2022, with a slight decrease in 2023. This trend indicates a generally positive growth trajectory for the company over the past few years.
Cash Flow 💶
This is the cash flow statement. Here are some conclusions we can draw from the data:1. The company's free cash flow has been fluctuating over the years, with the highest value recorded in 2022 and the lowest in 2020.
2. Operating cash flow has generally been increasing year over year, indicating improved operational efficiency.
3. The company has been consistently paying interest and income taxes, with varying amounts each year.
4. The end cash position has also been fluctuating, but generally, it has been positive.
5. Financing activities show a mix of common dividends, stock repurchases, debt issuances, and payments, with significant variations each year.
6. Investing activities include acquisitions, investments, and capital expenditures, with varying levels of cash flow each year.
7. Overall, the company's financial performance seems to be stable, with some fluctuations in key financial metrics.
Earnings estimate
The analysts' estimates for future quarterly and annual earnings per share are as follows:1. Current Quarter (as of June 30, 2024):
- Average Estimate: $1.23
- Low Estimate: $1.18
- High Estimate: $1.26
- Year Ago EPS: $1.17
- Number of Analysts: 27
2. Next Quarter (as of September 30, 2024):
- Average Estimate: $1.42
- Low Estimate: $1.33
- High Estimate: $1.51
- Year Ago EPS: $1.35
- Number of Analysts: 26
3. Current Year (as of September 30, 2024):
- Average Estimate: $6.10
- Low Estimate: $5.95
- High Estimate: $6.41
- Year Ago EPS: $5.67
- Number of Analysts: 40
4. Next Year (as of September 30, 2025):
- Average Estimate: $6.69
- Low Estimate: $5.92
- High Estimate: $7.31
- Year Ago EPS: $6.10
- Number of Analysts: 40
Based on these estimates, we can see a generally positive trend in expected earnings per share both for the upcoming quarters and the next year compared to the previous year's performance. This indicates a growth trajectory in the company's profitability as projected by analysts.
Revenue estimate
Based on the analysts' estimates for the future quarterly and annual sales of the company, we can draw the following conclusions:1. For the current quarter ending on June 30, 2024, the average sales estimate is $77,545,400,000, with a sales growth of 2% compared to the same quarter last year. The number of analysts providing estimates is 25.
2. For the next quarter ending on September 30, 2024, the average sales estimate is $85,501,800,000, with a sales growth of 3% compared to the same quarter last year. The number of analysts providing estimates is 25.
3. For the current fiscal year ending on September 30, 2024, the average sales estimate is $357,772,000,000, with a sales growth of 1% compared to the previous fiscal year. The number of analysts providing estimates is 38.
4. For the next fiscal year ending on September 30, 2025, the average sales estimate is $380,772,000,000, with a sales growth of 6% compared to the current fiscal year. The number of analysts providing estimates is 38.
These estimates suggest a moderate growth trend in both quarterly and annual sales for the company, with slightly higher growth rates expected in the upcoming fiscal year.
Growth estimates
Based on the consensus estimates provided by analysts, we can draw the following conclusions regarding the growth rate of the company for different periods:1. Current Quarter: The estimated growth rate for the current quarter is 5.1%.
2. Next Quarter: The estimated growth rate for the next quarter is 5.2%.
3. Current Year: The estimated growth rate for the current year is 7.6%.
4. Next Year: The estimated growth rate for the next year is 9.7%.
5. Past 5 Years (per annum): The average annual growth rate for the past 5 years is 20.1%.
6. Next 5 Years (per annum): The estimated average annual growth rate for the next 5 years is 9.7%.
These estimates suggest that the company has been experiencing strong growth in the past, but analysts expect the growth rate to moderate slightly in the coming years, although it is still expected to be healthy.
Price target
The analysts' forecast for the future price of the security paper is as follows:- Low: $164
- High: $250
- Median: $200
- Average: $202.26
- Current price: $191.57
- Currency: USD
Based on these forecasts, we can see that the analysts have a range of opinions regarding the future price of the security paper, with the low end at $164, the high end at $250, and the average at $202.26. The current price is below both the average and median forecast, indicating that there is potential for growth according to the analysts' predictions.
Balance Sheet
These are balance sheets. Here are the conclusions:1. The total assets have been increasing over the years, reaching the highest value in 2023 at $352,583,000,000.
2. Current assets fluctuate from year to year, with the highest value in 2019 at $162,819,000,000.
3. Non-current assets have been increasing steadily, with the highest value in 2023 at $209,017,000,000.
4. Total liabilities have also been increasing, reaching the highest value in 2023 at $290,437,000,000.
5. Shareholders' equity has been fluctuating, with the highest value in 2019 at $90,488,000,000.
6. The company has been relying more on non-current assets to support its operations.
7. There is a significant amount of debt in the company's capital structure, both short-term and long-term.
8. The company has been investing in leases, land, and machinery, indicating potential expansion or modernization efforts.
MACD of HSYDF
This is not investment advice. Remember to verify the information provided here.
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