Analysis HCI Group, Inc. (0J22)
6/5/2024
Analysis of HCI Group, Inc. (0J22)
HCI Group, Inc. is showing some interesting trends based on the provided data. Here are a few key points from the recent trading days:1. **Price Movement**: The closing prices have been fluctuating, with the most recent closing price at $97.52. There seems to be some volatility in the stock price, as seen in the range between the high of $100.11 and the low of $96.05.
2. **Technical Indicators**:
- **RSI Indicator**: The Relative Strength Index (RSI) is around 40, indicating that the stock is neither overbought nor oversold.
- **MACD Indicator**: The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) is negative, suggesting a bearish trend in the stock price.
- **Moving Averages**: The Simple Moving Average (SMA), Exponential Moving Average (EMA), and Weighted Moving Average (WMA) are all above the current price, indicating a potential downtrend.
3. **Overall Analysis**: The stock seems to be in a consolidation phase with some bearish signals from the MACD indicator. Traders and investors may want to closely monitor the stock for a potential trend reversal or continuation.
Please note that this analysis is based on the provided data and should be supplemented with additional research before making any investment decisions.
Earnings
The company's results for the most recent quarter, ending on April 30, 2025, have not been provided at this time. The previous quarter's results, ending on February 27, 2025, were handled by the Transfer Agent. The quarter before that, ending on January 31, 2025, had results released after hours. The results for the quarter ending on October 31, 2024, were not provided at the time. However, for the quarter ending on August 1, 2024, the company had an EPS estimate of 1.32.Main Statystic ðŸ§
The data provided includes financials, stock statistics, valuation metrics, stock price summary, and dividends and splits information for a specific company.In terms of financials, the company has a strong operating cash flow and levered free cash flow. The balance sheet shows a healthy current ratio, but a relatively high total debt to equity ratio. The profit margin and operating margin are both positive, indicating profitability. The company's fiscal year ends in September 2023, with notable figures such as revenue, EBITDA, and net income.
Moving on to stock statistics, we see details such as short ratio, float shares, shares outstanding, and insider and institutional ownership percentages. The company's stock price summary includes metrics like beta, moving averages, and the 52-week high and low prices.
Valuation metrics provide insights into the company's valuation multiples, such as P/E ratio, PEG ratio, price to book, and price to sales ratios. The enterprise value, market capitalization, and other valuation figures are also included.
Lastly, dividends and splits information reveals details about the company's dividend history, payout ratio, dividend dates, and dividend yields. The company has a dividend payment scheduled, with information on past splits and dividend rates.
Income statement 💸
These are the revenues. Here are the conclusions:1. The company's sales revenue has been increasing steadily over the years, from $274.5 billion in 2020 to $383.3 billion in 2023.
2. The gross profit margin has fluctuated slightly, with a peak in 2022 at $170.8 billion and a slight decrease in 2023 to $169.1 billion.
3. Operating income has shown an upward trend, reaching $114.3 billion in 2023 from $66.3 billion in 2020.
4. Net income has also been increasing consistently, with a significant rise from $57.4 billion in 2020 to $97 billion in 2023.
5. Earnings per share (EPS) have shown a positive trend, with both basic and diluted EPS increasing over the years.
6. The company has been able to maintain a healthy EBITDA margin, with a slight increase from $81 billion in 2020 to $129.2 billion in 2023.
7. Despite fluctuations in other income and expenses, the company has managed to increase its net income from continuous operations over the years.
8. The company has effectively managed its operating expenses, with a slight increase in research and development costs but relatively stable selling, general, and administrative expenses.
9. The company's tax expenses have also increased in line with the growth in revenue and income.
10. Overall, the financial performance of the company in terms of revenue generation has been positive, indicating growth and profitability.
Balance Sheet
These are balance sheets. Here are the conclusions:1. The total assets have been increasing over the years, reaching $365,725,000,000 in 2018.
2. Current assets include cash, inventory, and receivables, with a significant portion in cash and cash equivalents.
3. Non-current assets consist of investments, machinery, and other long-term assets.
4. Total liabilities have also been increasing, but at a slower pace compared to assets.
5. Shareholders' equity has shown fluctuations but has generally been positive.
6. The company has been investing in both current and non-current assets to support its operations and growth.
7. There is a mix of short-term and long-term liabilities, with a portion allocated for risks and charges.
8. Retained earnings have varied over the years, impacting the overall shareholders' equity.
9. The company seems to be managing its debt levels while maintaining a healthy balance between assets and liabilities.
Cash Flow 💶
This is the cash flow statement. Here are some conclusions we can draw from the data:1. The company's free cash flow has been fluctuating over the years, with the highest value in 2022 and the lowest in 2020.
2. Operating cash flow has been relatively stable over the years, indicating consistent operational performance.
3. The company has been consistently paying interest and income taxes, with varying amounts each year.
4. The end cash position has also been fluctuating, reaching its highest value in 2020.
5. Financing activities show a pattern of common stock repurchase, issuance of long-term debt, and payment of dividends.
6. Investing activities include the sale and purchase of investments, as well as capital expenditures.
7. Overall, the company's financial activities seem to be well-managed, with a focus on maintaining a healthy cash position while investing in growth and returning value to shareholders.
Earnings estimate
Based on the analysts' estimates for future quarterly and annual earnings per share:1. For the current quarter ending on June 30, 2024, the average estimated EPS is $1.23, with a low estimate of $1.18 and a high estimate of $1.26. This shows an improvement compared to the EPS of $1.17 from the same quarter a year ago.
2. For the next quarter ending on September 30, 2024, the average estimated EPS is $1.42, with a low estimate of $1.33 and a high estimate of $1.51. This also indicates growth from the EPS of $1.35 in the same quarter last year.
3. Looking at the estimates for the current fiscal year ending on September 30, 2024, the average estimated EPS is $6.10, ranging from a low estimate of $5.95 to a high estimate of $6.41. This reflects an increase from the EPS of $5.67 for the previous fiscal year.
4. For the next fiscal year ending on September 30, 2025, the average estimated EPS is $6.69, with a low estimate of $5.92 and a high estimate of $7.31. This suggests further growth compared to the EPS of $6.10 in the current fiscal year.
Overall, the analysts' estimates point towards a positive trend of increasing earnings per share for the company in both the short term and the long term.
Revenue estimate
Based on the analysts' estimates for the future quarterly and annual sales of the company, the following conclusions can be drawn:1. For the current quarter ending on June 30, 2024, the average sales estimate is $77,545,400,000, with a sales growth of 2% compared to the same quarter last year. The number of analysts providing estimates is 25.
2. For the next quarter ending on September 30, 2024, the average sales estimate is $85,501,800,000, with a sales growth of 3% compared to the same quarter last year. The number of analysts providing estimates is 25.
3. For the current fiscal year ending on September 30, 2024, the average sales estimate is $357,772,000,000, with a sales growth of 1% compared to the previous fiscal year. The number of analysts providing estimates is 38.
4. For the next fiscal year ending on September 30, 2025, the average sales estimate is $380,772,000,000, with a sales growth of 6% compared to the current fiscal year. The number of analysts providing estimates is 38.
Overall, the analysts are generally optimistic about the company's future sales performance, with moderate to healthy growth expected in both the short term and the long term.
Growth estimates
Based on the consensus estimates provided:- The current year growth rate is 7.6%
- The next quarter growth rate is 5.1%
- The current quarter growth rate is 5.1%
- The next year growth rate is 9.7%
- The average annual growth rate for the next 5 years is 9.7%
- The average annual growth rate for the past 5 years is 20.1%
It can be observed that the company is expected to experience a significant increase in growth rate from the past 5 years to the next 5 years. The growth rates for the current and next quarter are the same, indicating a steady performance in the short term. The next year is expected to show a higher growth rate compared to the current year.
Price target
The analysts' forecast for the future price of the security is as follows:- Low: $164
- High: $275
- Median: $201.43
- Average: $204.58
- Current price: $192.25
- Currency: USD
Based on these forecasts, it appears that the analysts are generally optimistic about the future price of the security, with a median forecast above the current price. However, there is a wide range of predictions, from a low of $164 to a high of $275, indicating some uncertainty in the market.
MACD of 0J22
This is not investment advice. Remember to verify the information provided here.
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