Analysis Heartland Financial USA, Inc. (HTLFP)
6/5/2024
Analysis of Heartland Financial USA, Inc. (HTLFP)
Heartland Financial USA, Inc. (HTLFP) has been showing some stability in its stock price recently. The Relative Strength Index (RSI) values have been hovering around 50, indicating a balanced market sentiment. The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) indicator is close to zero, suggesting a lack of strong momentum in either direction.The stock has been trading around the Simple Moving Average (SMA), Exponential Moving Average (EMA), and Weighted Moving Average (WMA) values, indicating a consolidation phase. The stock price has been fluctuating within a narrow range, with no clear trend in place.
Overall, based on the recent data, Heartland Financial USA, Inc. seems to be in a period of consolidation and indecision. Traders and investors may want to wait for a clearer trend to emerge before making any significant trading decisions.
Earnings estimate
Based on the analysts' estimates for future quarterly and annual earnings per share (EPS):1. For the current quarter ending on June 30, 2024, the average EPS estimate is $1.23, with a low estimate of $1.18 and a high estimate of $1.26. This shows an improvement compared to the EPS of $1.17 from the same quarter a year ago.
2. For the next quarter ending on September 30, 2024, the average EPS estimate is $1.42, with a low estimate of $1.33 and a high estimate of $1.51. The EPS is expected to be higher than the $1.35 reported in the same quarter last year.
3. Looking at the estimates for the current year ending on September 30, 2024, the average EPS estimate is $6.10, ranging from a low estimate of $5.95 to a high estimate of $6.41. This reflects growth compared to the EPS of $5.67 from the previous year.
4. For the next year ending on September 30, 2025, the average EPS estimate is $6.69, with a low estimate of $5.92 and a high estimate of $7.31. Analysts are forecasting an increase in EPS compared to the $6.10 reported in the previous year.
Overall, the analysts' estimates suggest a positive outlook for the company's earnings per share, with expected growth in both the short term and the long term.
Revenue estimate
Based on the analysts' estimates for the future quarterly and annual sales of the company, we can draw the following conclusions:1. For the current quarter ending on June 30, 2024, the average sales estimate is $77,545,400,000, with a sales growth of 2% compared to the same quarter last year. The number of analysts providing estimates is 25.
2. For the next quarter ending on September 30, 2024, the average sales estimate is $85,501,800,000, showing a sales growth of 3% from the previous year's quarter. The number of analysts providing estimates remains at 25.
3. For the current fiscal year ending on September 30, 2024, the average sales estimate is $357,772,000,000, with a sales growth of 1% compared to the previous fiscal year. The number of analysts providing estimates increases to 38.
4. Looking ahead to the next fiscal year ending on September 30, 2025, the average sales estimate is $380,772,000,000, indicating a significant sales growth of 6% from the current fiscal year. The number of analysts providing estimates remains at 38.
Overall, the analysts are forecasting moderate to strong sales growth for both the upcoming quarters and the next fiscal year, with an increasing number of analysts providing estimates for the company's performance.
Growth estimates
Based on the consensus estimates provided:- The current year growth rate is 7.6%
- The next quarter growth rate is 5.1%
- The current quarter growth rate is 5.1%
- The next year growth rate is 9.7%
- The average annual growth rate for the next 5 years is 9.7%
- The average annual growth rate for the past 5 years was 20.1%
It appears that the company has experienced a significant growth rate in the past 5 years, but analysts expect the growth rate to slow down in the coming years, with a more moderate but still positive growth rate projected for the next year and the next 5 years. It's important to note that these are just estimates and actual performance may vary.
Price target
The analysts' forecast for the future price of the security is as follows:- Low: $164
- High: $275
- Median: $201.43
- Average: $204.58
- Current price: $192.25
- Currency: USD
Based on these forecasts, we can see that the analysts have a range of opinions on the future price of the security, with the low end at $164, the high end at $275, and the average at $204.58. The current price of the security is $192.25, which is below the median and average forecasted prices. Investors should consider these forecasts along with other factors when making investment decisions.
Earnings
The company's results for the most recent quarter, ending on April 30, 2025, have not been provided at this time. The previous quarter's results, ending on February 27, 2025, were handled by the Transfer Agent. The quarter before that, ending on January 31, 2025, had results released after hours. The results for the quarter ending on October 31, 2024, were not provided at the time. However, for the quarter ending on August 1, 2024, the company had an EPS estimate of 1.32.Main Statystic ðŸ§
The data provided includes financials, stock statistics, valuation metrics, stock price summary, and dividends and splits information for a specific company.Financials:
- Cash flow: Operating cash flow TTM is $110,563,000,320 and levered free cash flow TTM is $84,726,874,112.
- Balance sheet: Total cash MRQ is $67,150,000,128, total debt MRQ is $104,590,000,128, current ratio MRQ is 1.037, book value per share MRQ is $4.837, total cash per share MRQ is $4.379, and total debt to equity MRQ is 140.968.
- Profit margin: 26.306%.
- Fiscal year ends: September 30, 2023.
- Income statement: EBITDA is $131,393,000,000, revenue TTM is $381,623,009,280, diluted EPS TTM is $6.43, gross profit TTM is $169,148,000,000, revenue per share TTM is $24.537, net income to common TTM is $100,389,003,264, quarterly revenue growth is -4.3%, and quarterly earnings growth YoY is -2.2%.
- Operating margin: 30.743%.
- Most recent quarter: March 31, 2024.
- Return on assets TTM: 22.073999%.
- Return on equity TTM: 147.25%.
Stock statistics:
- Short ratio: 1.53.
- Float shares: 15,308,320,742.
- Shares short: 99,287,450.
- Average 10-day volume: 46,860,048.
- Average 90-day volume: 57,498,254.
- Shares outstanding: 15,334,099,968.
- Percent held by insiders: 5.22%.
- Percent held by institutions: 57.589%.
- Short percent of shares outstanding: 0.65%.
Valuation metrics:
- PEG ratio: 26.319502.
- Forward PE: 26.319502.
- Trailing PE: 29.59409.
- Enterprise value: $2,950,762,332,160.
- Price to book MRQ: 39.3405.
- Price to sales TTM: 7.646095.
- Enterprise to EBITDA: 22.763.
- Enterprise to revenue: 7.732.
- Market capitalization: $2,917,925,650,432.
Stock price summary:
- Beta: 1.264.
- 50-day moving average: $176.2646.
- 200-day moving average: $181.0429.
- 52-week low: $164.08.
- 52-week high: $199.62.
- 52-week change: 6.853%.
Dividends and splits:
- Payout ratio: 14.93%.
- Dividend date: May 16, 2024.
- Last split date: August 31, 2020.
- Ex-dividend date: May 10, 2024.
- Last split factor: 4-for-1 split.
- Forward annual dividend rate: $1.
- 5-year average dividend yield: 0.73%.
- Forward annual dividend yield: 0.5255%.
- Trailing annual dividend rate: $0.97.
- Trailing annual dividend yield: 0.5097%.
Income statement 💸
These are the revenues. Here are the conclusions:1. The company's sales have been increasing steadily over the past four fiscal years, from $274.5 billion in 2020 to $383.3 billion in 2023.
2. Despite the increase in sales, the net income has also shown a positive trend, rising from $57.4 billion in 2020 to $97 billion in 2023.
3. The company has been able to maintain a healthy EBITDA margin, with values ranging from $81 billion to $129 billion over the four-year period.
4. The basic and diluted earnings per share (EPS) have remained relatively stable, with slight fluctuations over the years.
5. Operating income has also shown a positive trend, increasing from $66.3 billion in 2020 to $114.3 billion in 2023.
6. The company has effectively managed its operating expenses, with a slight increase in research and development costs but relatively stable selling, general, and administrative expenses.
7. Overall, the financial performance of the company seems to be strong, with consistent growth in sales and net income over the years.
Balance Sheet
These are balance sheets. Here are the conclusions:1. The total assets have been increasing over the years, reaching $365,725,000,000 in 2018.
2. Current assets include cash, inventory, and receivables, with a significant portion in cash equivalents and short-term investments.
3. Non-current assets consist mainly of investments and advances, along with machinery, furniture, and equipment.
4. Total liabilities have also been increasing, but at a slower pace compared to assets, resulting in a growth in shareholders' equity.
5. Shareholders' equity is composed of common stock, retained earnings, and other equity components.
6. The company has been managing its short-term and long-term debts while investing in non-current assets for future growth.
7. The accumulated depreciation indicates the wear and tear on the company's assets over the years.
8. The provision for risks and charges has been relatively stable across the years.
9. The company has been maintaining a healthy balance between its assets and liabilities, ensuring a positive shareholders' equity.
Cash Flow 💶
This is a cash flow statement. Here are some conclusions we can draw from the data:1. The company's free cash flow has been fluctuating over the years, with the highest value in 2022 and the lowest in 2020.
2. The operating cash flow has been relatively stable over the years, indicating consistent operational performance.
3. The company has been consistently paying interest and income taxes, with varying amounts each year.
4. The end cash position has also been fluctuating, reaching its highest value in 2020 and its lowest in 2022.
5. The company has been actively involved in financing activities, including common stock repurchases, debt issuances, and dividends.
6. Investing activities have also been significant, with the company making acquisitions, selling investments, and investing in capital expenditures.
7. Overall, the company's financial activities show a mix of strategies aimed at managing cash flow, investing in growth, and returning value to shareholders.
MACD of HTLFP
This is not investment advice. Remember to verify the information provided here.
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