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Analysis Hello Group Inc. (0K2P)

6/4/2024

Analysis Hello Group Inc. (0K2P)

Analysis of Hello Group Inc. (0K2P)

Hello Group Inc. has been showing some interesting price movements recently. The stock closed at $7.01, slightly lower than the opening price of $7.03. The Relative Strength Index (RSI) is quite high at 77.42, indicating that the stock may be overbought.

Looking at the Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) indicator, we see a positive value of 0.062, with the MACD line above the signal line, suggesting a bullish trend. The Moving Average (MA) indicator is also positive at 5.872.

Overall, based on the RSI and MACD indicators, it seems like Hello Group Inc. may be in a short-term overbought condition, but the bullish trend indicated by the MACD suggests that the stock may continue to rise in the near future. Traders and investors may want to keep an eye on these indicators for potential trading opportunities.

Earnings

The company's results for the most recent quarter, as of April 30, 2025, have not been provided at this time. The previous results, as of February 27, 2025, were handled by the Transfer Agent. The results from January 31, 2025, were released after hours. The results from October 31, 2024, were not supplied at the time. The results from August 1, 2024, showed an earnings per share (EPS) estimate of 1.32.

Main Statystic 🧠

The data provided includes financials, stock statistics, valuation metrics, stock price summary, and dividends and splits information for a specific company.

In terms of financials, the company has strong cash flow with operating cash flow at $110.56 billion and levered free cash flow at $84.73 billion. The balance sheet shows a total cash of $67.15 billion, total debt of $104.59 billion, and a current ratio of 1.037. The profit margin is 26.31%, with a return on assets of 22.07% and return on equity of 147.25%. The fiscal year ends on September 30, 2023.

Stock statistics reveal a short ratio of 1.53, with 99.29 million shares shorted out of 15.31 billion float shares. The company has a market capitalization of $2.92 trillion.

Valuation metrics show a PEG ratio of 26.32, forward P/E of 26.32, and trailing P/E of 29.59. The enterprise value is $2.95 trillion, with a price-to-book ratio of 39.34 and price-to-sales ratio of 7.65.

The stock price summary includes a beta of 1.264, 50-day moving average of $176.26, and 200-day moving average of $181.04. The stock's 52-week low is $164.08, high is $199.62, with a 52-week change of 6.85%.

Dividends and splits information shows a payout ratio of 14.93%, with a forward annual dividend rate of $1 and a trailing annual dividend rate of $0.97. The company has a 5-year average dividend yield of 0.73% and a forward annual dividend yield of 0.53%. The last split was a 4-for-1 split on August 31, 2020.

Income statement 💸

Here are the revenue figures for the past four fiscal years:

1. Fiscal Year 2023: Sales of $383,285,000,000
2. Fiscal Year 2022: Sales of $394,328,000,000
3. Fiscal Year 2021: Sales of $365,817,000,000
4. Fiscal Year 2020: Sales of $274,515,000,000

From the data, we can observe the following trends:
- There was a decrease in sales from FY 2022 to FY 2023.
- Sales have been increasing over the past four years, with a significant jump from FY 2020 to FY 2021.
- The company experienced the highest sales figure in FY 2022.

These trends indicate fluctuations in the company's revenue over the years, with both increases and decreases in sales.

Balance Sheet

These are balance sheets. Here are the conclusions:

1. The total assets have been increasing over the years, reaching $365,725,000,000 in 2018.
2. Current assets fluctuate, with the highest value in 2019 at $162,819,000,000.
3. Non-current assets have been increasing steadily, with the highest value in 2019 at $175,697,000,000.
4. Total liabilities have also been increasing, reaching $255,355,000,000 in 2018.
5. Shareholders' equity has been fluctuating, with the highest value in 2018 at $107,147,000,000.

Cash Flow 💶

This is a cash flow statement. Here are some conclusions we can draw from the data:

1. The company's free cash flow has been fluctuating over the years, with the highest value in 2022 and the lowest in 2020.
2. Operating cash flow has been consistently positive, indicating that the company's core business operations are generating cash.
3. The company has been paying a significant amount in income taxes each year, with the highest amount paid in 2021.
4. The company has been consistently paying interest on its debts each year.
5. The company has been repurchasing common stock and paying dividends, indicating a return of value to shareholders.
6. The company's end cash position has been varying each year, with the highest position in 2020 and the lowest in 2022.
7. The company has been involved in investing activities such as acquisitions, capital expenditures, and the sale/purchase of investments.
8. Financing activities show the issuance and repayment of long-term and short-term debts, as well as other financing charges.
9. Stock-based compensation has been a significant non-cash item each year.
10. Overall, the company's cash flow statement reflects its financial health and management of cash resources over the years.

Earnings estimate

Based on the analysts' estimates for future quarterly and annual earnings per share (EPS):

1. For the current quarter ending on June 30, 2024, the average EPS estimate is $1.23, with a low estimate of $1.18 and a high estimate of $1.26. This shows an improvement compared to the EPS of $1.17 from the same quarter a year ago.

2. For the next quarter ending on September 30, 2024, the average EPS estimate is $1.42, with a low estimate of $1.33 and a high estimate of $1.51. The EPS estimate is also higher than the $1.35 reported in the same quarter last year.

3. Looking at the estimates for the current year ending on September 30, 2024, the average EPS estimate is $6.10, ranging from a low estimate of $5.95 to a high estimate of $6.41. This indicates growth from the EPS of $5.67 in the previous year.

4. For the next year ending on September 30, 2025, the average EPS estimate is $6.69, with a low estimate of $5.92 and a high estimate of $7.31. This forecast suggests a further increase from the EPS of $6.10 in the current year.

Overall, the analysts' estimates point towards a positive trend of increasing earnings per share for the company in both the short term and the long term.

Revenue estimate

Based on the analysts' estimates for the future quarterly and annual sales of the company, we can draw the following conclusions:

1. For the current quarter ending on June 30, 2024, the average sales estimate is $77,545,400,000, with a sales growth of 2% compared to the same quarter last year. The number of analysts providing estimates is 25.

2. For the next quarter ending on September 30, 2024, the average sales estimate is $85,501,800,000, showing a sales growth of 3% from the previous year. The number of analysts providing estimates remains at 25.

3. For the current fiscal year ending on September 30, 2024, the average sales estimate is $357,772,000,000, with a sales growth of 1% compared to the previous fiscal year. The number of analysts providing estimates is 38.

4. Looking ahead to the next fiscal year ending on September 30, 2025, the average sales estimate is $380,772,000,000, indicating a significant sales growth of 6% from the current fiscal year. The number of analysts providing estimates remains at 38.

Overall, the analysts are forecasting moderate to strong sales growth for both the upcoming quarters and the next fiscal year, with the highest growth expected in the next fiscal year ending in 2025.

Growth estimates

Based on the consensus estimates provided by analysts, we can draw the following conclusions regarding the growth rate of the company for different periods:

1. Current Quarter: The estimated growth rate for the current quarter is 5.1%.
2. Next Quarter: The estimated growth rate for the next quarter is 5.2%.
3. Current Year: The estimated growth rate for the current year is 7.6%.
4. Next Year: The estimated growth rate for the next year is 9.7%.
5. Past 5 Years (per annum): The average annual growth rate for the past 5 years is 20.1%.
6. Next 5 Years (per annum): The estimated average annual growth rate for the next 5 years is 9.7%.

These estimates suggest a positive growth trend for the company, with a slightly lower growth rate expected in the next 5 years compared to the past 5 years. It indicates a steady but slightly slower growth trajectory in the future.

Price target

The analysts' forecast for the future price of the security is as follows:
- Low: $164
- High: $275
- Median: $201.43
- Average: $204.58
- Current price: $192.25
- Currency: USD

Based on these forecasts, we can see that the analysts have a range of opinions on the future price of the security, with the low end at $164, the high end at $275, and the average forecast at $204.58. The current price of the security is $192.25, which is below the median and average forecast, indicating that the analysts are generally predicting an increase in the price of the security in the future.

MACD of 0K2P

This is not investment advice. Remember to verify the information provided here.

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Contacts

Telephone number

+48 32 700 81 66

Email address

[email protected]

Company information

Honey Payment Group S.A. at Al. Aleje Jerozolimskie 65 / 79, 00-697 Warsaw, Poland, Register number KRS 0000335507, NIP 5252859204, REGON 388760204. Honey Payment Group is listed on the Warsaw Stock Exchange (WSE) under the ticker symbol HPG. Link