Analysis Hydrofarm Holdings Group, Inc. (HYFM)
5/26/2024
Analysis of Hydrofarm Holdings Group, Inc. (HYFM)
Hydrofarm Holdings Group, Inc. (HYFM) has been showing some volatility in its stock price over the past few days. The RSI indicator has been fluctuating around the mid-range, indicating a lack of strong momentum in either direction.The MACD indicator has been negative, suggesting a bearish trend, although the MACD histogram has been decreasing, which could indicate a potential reversal in the near future.
The moving averages (SMA, EMA, WMA) have been relatively close to each other, indicating a lack of clear trend direction.
Overall, it seems that HYFM is currently in a consolidation phase, with no clear trend emerging. Traders and investors may want to wait for more definitive signals before making any significant trading decisions.
Revenue estimate
Based on the analysts' estimates for the future quarterly and annual sales of the company, the following conclusions can be drawn:1. For the current quarter ending on June 30, 2024, the average sales estimate is $83,776,900,000, with a sales growth of 2% compared to the same quarter last year. The number of analysts providing estimates is 24.
2. For the next quarter ending on September 30, 2024, the average sales estimate is $92,375,300,000, with a sales growth of 3% compared to the same quarter last year. The number of analysts providing estimates is 24.
3. For the current fiscal year ending on September 30, 2024, the average sales estimate is $386,681,000,000, with a sales growth of 1% compared to the previous fiscal year. The number of analysts providing estimates is 37.
4. For the next fiscal year ending on September 30, 2025, the average sales estimate is $411,555,000,000, with a sales growth of 6% compared to the current fiscal year. The number of analysts providing estimates is 37.
Overall, the analysts are generally optimistic about the company's future sales performance, with moderate growth expected in both the quarterly and annual sales figures.
Growth estimates
Based on the consensus estimates provided:- The current year growth rate is 7.5%
- The next quarter growth rate is 4.8%
- The current quarter growth rate is 5.6%
- The next year growth rate is 9.7%
- The next 5 years compound annual growth rate (CAGR) is 11%
- The past 5 years compound annual growth rate (CAGR) is 20.15%
It can be observed that the company is expected to experience a significant increase in growth rate compared to the past 5 years, with a particularly high growth rate projected for the next 5 years. This indicates positive expectations and potential for expansion and development in the future.
Price target
The analysts' forecast for the future price of the security paper is as follows:- Low: $164
- High: $250
- Median: $200
- Average: $202.26
- Current price: $191.57
- Currency: USD
Based on these forecasts, we can see that the analysts have a wide range of opinions on the future price of the security paper, with the low end at $164, the high end at $250, and the average at $202.26. The current price is below both the average and median forecast, indicating that there is potential for growth according to the analysts' predictions.
Earnings
The company's results for the most recent quarter, ending on April 30, 2025, have not been provided at this time. The previous quarter's results, ending on February 27, 2025, were handled by the Transfer Agent. The results for January 31, 2025, were released after hours. The results for October 31, 2024, were not provided at the time. The results for August 1, 2024, showed an earnings per share (EPS) estimate of 1.33.Main Statystic ðŸ§
The data provided includes financials, stock statistics, valuation metrics, stock price summary, and dividends and splits for a specific company. Here is a summary of the key information:1. Financials:
- Cash Flow: Operating cash flow (TTM) is $110.56 billion, and levered free cash flow (TTM) is $84.73 billion.
- Balance Sheet: Total cash (MRQ) is $67.15 billion, total debt (MRQ) is $104.59 billion, current ratio (MRQ) is 1.037, book value per share (MRQ) is $4.837, total cash per share (MRQ) is $4.379, and total debt to equity ratio (MRQ) is 140.968.
- Profit Margin: 26.31%
- Fiscal Year Ends: September 30, 2023
- Income Statement: EBITDA is $131.39 billion, revenue (TTM) is $381.62 billion, diluted EPS (TTM) is $6.44, gross profit (TTM) is $169.15 billion, revenue per share (TTM) is $24.537, net income to common (TTM) is $100.39 billion, quarterly revenue growth is -4.3%, and quarterly earnings growth YoY is -2.2%.
- Operating Margin: 30.74%
- Return on Assets (TTM): 22.07%
- Return on Equity (TTM): 147.25%
2. Stock Statistics:
- Short Ratio: 1.66
- Float Shares: 15.31 billion
- Shares Short: 94.31 million
- Average 10-Day Volume: 52.90 million
- Average 90-Day Volume: 62.82 million
- Shares Outstanding: 15.33 billion
- Percent Held by Insiders: 5.22%
- Percent Held by Institutions: 57.56%
- Short Percent of Shares Outstanding: 0.62%
3. Valuation Metrics:
- PEG Ratio: 26.21
- Forward P/E: 26.21
- Trailing P/E: 29.43
- Enterprise Value: $2.95 trillion
- Price to Book (MRQ): 39.18
- Price to Sales (TTM): 7.62
- Enterprise to EBITDA: 22.75
- Enterprise to Revenue: 7.73
- Market Capitalization: $2.91 trillion
4. Stock Price Summary:
- Beta: 1.264
- 50-Day Moving Average: $173.69
- 200-Day Moving Average: $180.79
- 52-Week Low: $164.08
- 52-Week High: $199.62
- 52-Week Change: 8.25%
5. Dividends and Splits:
- Payout Ratio: 14.93%
- Dividend Date: May 16, 2024
- Last Split Date: August 31, 2020
- Ex-Dividend Date: May 10, 2024
- Last Split Factor: 4-for-1 split
- Forward Annual Dividend Rate: $1
- 5-Year Average Dividend Yield: 0.73%
- Forward Annual Dividend Yield: 0.53%
- Trailing Annual Dividend Rate: $0.97
- Trailing Annual Dividend Yield: 0.51%
Income statement 💸
These are the revenue figures. Here are the conclusions:1. The company's sales revenue has been increasing steadily over the years, from $274.5 billion in 2020 to $383.3 billion in 2023.
2. Despite the increase in sales, the cost of goods sold has also been rising, indicating a potential need for cost management.
3. The gross profit margin has remained relatively stable over the years, indicating efficient cost control measures.
4. The operating income has shown a positive trend, reaching $114.3 billion in 2023 from $66.3 billion in 2020.
5. The net income has also been increasing consistently, from $57.4 billion in 2020 to $97 billion in 2023.
6. Earnings per share (EPS) have shown a slight fluctuation but have generally increased over the years.
7. The company has been able to maintain a healthy EBITDA margin, indicating strong operational performance.
8. Overall, the financial performance of the company in terms of revenue and profitability has been positive and improving over the years.
Balance Sheet
These are balance sheets. Here are the conclusions:1. The total assets have been increasing over the years, reaching the highest value of $365,725,000,000 in 2018.
2. Current assets fluctuate, with the highest value in 2019 at $162,819,000,000.
3. Non-current assets have been increasing steadily, with the highest value in 2019 at $175,697,000,000.
4. Total liabilities have also been increasing, reaching the highest value of $302,083,000,000 in 2022.
5. Shareholders' equity has been fluctuating, with the highest value in 2018 at $107,147,000,000.
Cash Flow 💶
This is the cash flow statement. Here are some conclusions we can draw from the data:1. The company's free cash flow has been fluctuating over the years, with the highest value recorded in 2022 and the lowest in 2020.
2. Operating cash flow has generally been increasing year over year, indicating improved operational efficiency.
3. The company has been consistently paying interest and income taxes, with varying amounts each year.
4. Financing activities show significant fluctuations, especially in common stock repurchases and long-term debt issuuance.
5. Investing activities also vary, with notable amounts spent on the sale and purchase of investments.
6. The end cash position has been fluctuating, reaching its highest value in 2020 and its lowest in 2022.
These conclusions provide insights into the company's financial performance and management of cash flows over the years.
Earnings estimate
Based on analysts' estimates for future quarterly and annual earnings per share:1. For the current quarter ending on June 30, 2024, the average EPS estimate is $1.33, with a low estimate of $1.27 and a high estimate of $1.36. This shows growth compared to the EPS of $1.26 from the same quarter a year ago.
2. For the next quarter ending on September 30, 2024, the average EPS estimate is $1.53, with a low estimate of $1.44 and a high estimate of $1.63. This indicates an increase from the EPS of $1.46 from the same quarter last year.
3. For the current fiscal year ending on September 30, 2024, the average EPS estimate is $6.59, with a low estimate of $6.43 and a high estimate of $6.92. This reflects growth compared to the EPS of $6.13 from the previous fiscal year.
4. Looking ahead to the next fiscal year ending on September 30, 2025, the average EPS estimate is $7.23, with a low estimate of $6.40 and a high estimate of $7.90. This suggests an increase from the EPS of $6.59 reported for the current fiscal year.
Overall, the analysts' estimates indicate a positive outlook for the company's earnings per share, with expected growth in both the short term and the long term.
MACD of HYFM
This is not investment advice. Remember to verify the information provided here.
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