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Analysis Internet Initiative Japan Inc. (3774)

5/27/2024

Analysis Internet Initiative Japan Inc. (3774)

Analysis of Internet Initiative Japan Inc. (3774)

Internet Initiative Japan Inc. (3774) is showing some interesting trends based on the provided data:

1. **Price Movement**: The stock price has been fluctuating in the past few days, with the price closing at 2311.5 on the latest available date. There seems to be some volatility in the stock price, as indicated by the high-low range.

2. **Technical Indicators**:
- **RSI Indicator**: The Relative Strength Index (RSI) is around 34.73, indicating that the stock is neither overbought nor oversold. It suggests a neutral position.
- **MACD Indicator**: The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) is negative, with the MACD line below the signal line. This could indicate a bearish trend in the stock price.
- **Moving Averages**: The Simple Moving Average (SMA), Exponential Moving Average (EMA), and Weighted Moving Average (WMA) are all showing a downward trend, indicating a potential bearish signal.

3. **Overall Analysis**:
- The stock seems to be in a consolidation phase with some bearish signals from the MACD and moving averages.
- The RSI suggests a neutral position, which could mean that the stock is not currently overbought or oversold.
- Investors may want to monitor the stock closely for any potential breakout or reversal in the trend.

Please note that this analysis is based on the provided data and should be supplemented with additional research before making any investment decisions.

Revenue estimate

Based on the analysts' estimates for the future quarterly and annual sales of the company, we can draw the following conclusions:

1. For the current quarter ending on June 30, 2024, the average sales estimate is $83,776,900,000, with a sales growth of 2% compared to the same quarter last year.

2. For the next quarter ending on September 30, 2024, the average sales estimate is $92,375,300,000, with a sales growth of 3% compared to the same quarter last year.

3. For the current fiscal year ending on September 30, 2024, the average sales estimate is $386,681,000,000, with a sales growth of 1% compared to the previous fiscal year.

4. For the next fiscal year ending on September 30, 2025, the average sales estimate is $411,555,000,000, with a sales growth of 6% compared to the current fiscal year.

Overall, the analysts are forecasting a moderate growth in sales for both the upcoming quarters and the next fiscal year. The number of analysts providing these estimates is 24 for quarterly estimates and 37 for annual estimates.

Growth estimates

Based on the consensus estimates provided:
- The company is expected to experience a growth rate of 7.5% in the current year and 9.7% in the next year.
- For the current quarter, the growth rate is estimated to be 5.6%, while for the next quarter it is projected to be 4.8%.
- Over the next 5 years, the company is expected to achieve an annual growth rate of 11%.
- However, when looking at the past 5 years, the company has actually achieved a higher annual growth rate of approximately 20.1%.

Overall, it appears that the company is expected to maintain a solid growth trajectory, with a slightly lower growth rate in the near term compared to the past performance.

Price target

Based on the analysts' forecast, the future price of the security is expected to range between $164 (low) and $250 (high), with a median estimate of $200 and an average estimate of $202.26. The current price of the security is $191.57. It appears that the analysts are generally optimistic about the future price of the security, with the average estimate being higher than the current price.

Earnings

The company's results for the most recent quarter ending on April 30, 2025, have not been provided at this time. The previous results were reported on February 27, 2025, through the Transfer Agent. Before that, on January 31, 2025, the results were released after hours. The results for October 31, 2024, were not provided at the time. On August 1, 2024, the company reported an earnings per share (EPS) estimate of 1.33.

Main Statystic 🧠

The data provided includes financials, stock statistics, valuation metrics, stock price summary, and dividends and splits information for a specific company.

1. Financials:
- Cash Flow: Operating cash flow TTM is $110,563,000,320 and levered free cash flow TTM is $84,726,874,112.
- Balance Sheet: Total cash MRQ is $67,150,000,128, total debt MRQ is $104,590,000,128, current ratio MRQ is 1.037, book value per share MRQ is $4.837, total cash per share MRQ is $4.379, and total debt to equity MRQ is 140.968.
- Profit Margin: 26.306%
- Fiscal Year Ends: September 30, 2023
- Income Statement: EBITDA is $131,393,000,000, revenue TTM is $381,623,009,280, diluted EPS TTM is $6.44, gross profit TTM is $169,148,000,000, revenue per share TTM is $24.537, net income to common TTM is $100,389,003,264, quarterly revenue growth is -4.3%, and quarterly earnings growth YoY is -2.2%.
- Operating Margin: 30.743%
- Return on Assets TTM: 22.073999%
- Return on Equity TTM: 147.25%

2. Stock Statistics:
- Short Ratio: 1.66
- Float Shares: 15,308,320,742
- Shares Short: 94,308,265
- Average 10-Day Volume: 52,903,608
- Average 90-Day Volume: 62,823,269
- Shares Outstanding: 15,334,099,968
- Percent Held by Insiders: 5.22%
- Percent Held by Institutions: 57.555%
- Short Percent of Shares Outstanding: 0.62%

3. Valuation Metrics:
- PEG Ratio: 26.213001
- Forward PE: 26.213001
- Trailing PE: 29.428572
- Enterprise Value: $2,948,462,018,560
- Price to Book MRQ: 39.181313
- Price to Sales TTM: 7.6151557
- Enterprise to EBITDA: 22.745
- Enterprise to Revenue: 7.726
- Market Capitalization: $2,906,118,684,672

4. Stock Price Summary:
- Beta: 1.264
- 50-Day Moving Average: $173.6936
- 200-Day Moving Average: $180.7906
- 52-Week Low: $164.08
- 52-Week High: $199.62
- 52-Week Change: 8.253%

5. Dividends and Splits:
- Payout Ratio: 14.93%
- Dividend Date: May 16, 2024
- Last Split Date: August 31, 2020
- Ex-Dividend Date: May 10, 2024
- Last Split Factor: 4-for-1 split
- Forward Annual Dividend Rate: $1
- 5-Year Average Dividend Yield: 0.73%
- Forward Annual Dividend Yield: 0.5266761603816345%
- Trailing Annual Dividend Rate: $0.97
- Trailing Annual Dividend Yield: 0.5108758755701854%

Income statement 💸

Here are the revenue figures for the company over the past four fiscal years:

1. Fiscal Year 2023: Sales of $383,285,000,000
2. Fiscal Year 2022: Sales of $394,328,000,000
3. Fiscal Year 2021: Sales of $365,817,000,000
4. Fiscal Year 2020: Sales of $274,515,000,000

From these figures, we can observe the following trends:
- The company experienced a significant increase in sales from FY 2020 to FY 2022, followed by a slight decrease in FY 2023.
- Overall, there has been a positive growth trajectory in sales over the past four years, indicating a healthy revenue stream for the company.
- It would be beneficial to further analyze the factors contributing to the fluctuations in sales to make informed business decisions and strategies for the future.

Balance Sheet

These are balance sheets. Here are the conclusions based on the data provided:

1. The total assets have been increasing over the years, indicating growth in the company's overall value.
2. Current assets have fluctuated, with some years showing higher cash reserves and others showing higher inventory levels.
3. Non-current assets have generally increased, with investments and advances being a significant portion of the assets.
4. Total liabilities have also been on the rise, but the company seems to have the capacity to cover these liabilities with its assets.
5. Shareholders' equity has shown variations, but overall, it has been positive, indicating that the company's assets exceed its liabilities.
6. The company has been using a mix of short-term and long-term debt to finance its operations.
7. The company has been investing in machinery, furniture, and equipment as part of its non-current assets.
8. The company has been managing its cash and cash equivalents effectively, with fluctuations in short-term investments.
9. Accumulated depreciation has been significant, indicating the aging of the company's assets.
10. Overall, the company seems to be in a stable financial position, with the ability to meet its short-term and long-term obligations.

Cash Flow 💶

This is the cash flow statement. Here are some conclusions we can draw from the data:

1. The company's free cash flow has been fluctuating over the years, with the highest value in 2022 and the lowest in 2020.
2. Operating cash flow has generally been increasing year over year, indicating improved operational efficiency.
3. Financing activities show a pattern of common stock repurchase and issuance, as well as long-term debt issuance and payments.
4. Investing activities reflect significant investments in the sale and purchase of investments, with fluctuations in capital expenditures.
5. The end cash position has varied over the years, reaching its highest value in 2020.
6. Interest paid and income tax paid have also fluctuated, potentially impacting the company's overall cash flow position.
7. The company has been consistent in paying dividends and managing its cash flow through various financing and investing activities.

Earnings estimate

Based on analysts' estimates for future quarterly and annual earnings per share:

1. For the current quarter ending on June 30, 2024, the average EPS estimate is $1.33, with a low estimate of $1.27 and a high estimate of $1.36. This shows growth compared to the EPS of $1.26 from the same quarter a year ago.

2. For the next quarter ending on September 30, 2024, the average EPS estimate is $1.53, with a low estimate of $1.44 and a high estimate of $1.63. This indicates an increase from the EPS of $1.46 from the same quarter last year.

3. For the current fiscal year ending on September 30, 2024, the average EPS estimate is $6.59, with a low estimate of $6.43 and a high estimate of $6.92. This reflects growth compared to the EPS of $6.13 from the previous fiscal year.

4. Looking ahead to the next fiscal year ending on September 30, 2025, the average EPS estimate is $7.23, with a low estimate of $6.40 and a high estimate of $7.90. This forecast suggests an increase from the EPS of $6.59 reported for the current fiscal year.

Overall, the analysts' estimates indicate a positive outlook for the company's earnings per share, with expected growth in both the short term and the long term.

MACD of 3774

This is not investment advice. Remember to verify the information provided here.

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Contacts

Telephone number

+48 32 700 81 66

Email address

[email protected]

Company information

Honey Payment Group S.A. at Al. Aleje Jerozolimskie 65 / 79, 00-697 Warsaw, Poland, Register number KRS 0000335507, NIP 5252859204, REGON 388760204. Honey Payment Group is listed on the Warsaw Stock Exchange (WSE) under the ticker symbol HPG. Link