Analysis Intevac Inc (IVAC)
6/4/2024
Analysis of Intevac Inc (IVAC)
Intevac Inc (IVAC) has been showing some volatility in its stock price recently. The Relative Strength Index (RSI) values have been fluctuating around the mid-range, indicating indecision in the market. The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) indicator has been mostly negative, suggesting a bearish trend.The stock price has been moving around the Simple Moving Average (SMA), Exponential Moving Average (EMA), and Weighted Moving Average (WMA) values, indicating a lack of clear direction in the short term.
Overall, based on the recent data, Intevac Inc appears to be experiencing some uncertainty in its price movement. Traders and investors may want to closely monitor the RSI, MACD, and moving averages for potential signals of a more defined trend in the future.
Balance Sheet
These are balance sheets. Here are the conclusions:1. The total assets have been increasing over the years, reaching the highest value in 2023 at $352,583,000,000.
2. Current assets fluctuate, with the highest value in 2019 at $162,819,000,000.
3. Non-current assets have been increasing steadily, with the highest value in 2023 at $209,017,000,000.
4. Total liabilities have also been increasing, reaching the highest value in 2023 at $290,437,000,000.
5. Shareholders' equity has been fluctuating, with the highest value in 2020 at $65,339,000,000.
6. The company has been relying more on non-current assets to support its growth, as seen in the increasing trend of non-current assets compared to current assets.
7. The company has been financing its growth through a combination of liabilities and shareholders' equity, with a significant increase in liabilities over the years.
Cash Flow 💶
This is a cash flow statement. Here are some conclusions we can draw from the data:1. The company's free cash flow has been fluctuating over the years, with the highest value in 2022 and the lowest in 2020.
2. Operating cash flow has generally been increasing over the years, indicating improved operational efficiency.
3. The company has been consistently paying interest and income taxes, with varying amounts each year.
4. The end cash position has also been fluctuating, reaching its highest value in 2020.
5. Financing activities show a pattern of common stock repurchase, issuance of long-term debt, and payment of dividends.
6. Investing activities include the sale and purchase of investments, as well as capital expenditures.
7. Overall, the company seems to be managing its cash flow effectively, with a focus on operational efficiency and strategic investments.
Earnings estimate
Based on the analysts' estimates for future quarterly and annual earnings per share (EPS), we can draw the following conclusions:1. For the current quarter ending on June 30, 2024, the average EPS estimate is $1.23, with a low estimate of $1.18 and a high estimate of $1.26. This shows an improvement compared to the EPS of $1.17 from the same quarter last year, as forecasted by 27 analysts.
2. Looking ahead to the next quarter ending on September 30, 2024, the average EPS estimate is higher at $1.42, ranging from $1.33 to $1.51. This is also an increase from the EPS of $1.35 in the corresponding quarter a year ago, based on projections from 26 analysts.
3. For the current fiscal year ending on September 30, 2024, the average EPS estimate is $6.10, with a low estimate of $5.95 and a high estimate of $6.41. This reflects growth compared to the EPS of $5.67 for the previous fiscal year, as predicted by 40 analysts.
4. Looking further ahead to the next fiscal year ending on September 30, 2025, the average EPS estimate is $6.69, with a low estimate of $5.92 and a high estimate of $7.31. This indicates a potential increase from the EPS of $6.10 in the current fiscal year, according to projections from 40 analysts.
Revenue estimate
Based on the analysts' estimates for the future quarterly and annual sales of the company, we can draw the following conclusions:1. For the current quarter ending on June 30, 2024, the average sales estimate is $77,545,400,000, with a sales growth of 2% compared to the same quarter last year. The number of analysts providing estimates is 25.
2. For the next quarter ending on September 30, 2024, the average sales estimate is $85,501,800,000, with a sales growth of 3% compared to the same quarter last year. The number of analysts providing estimates is 25.
3. For the current fiscal year ending on September 30, 2024, the average sales estimate is $357,772,000,000, with a sales growth of 1% compared to the previous fiscal year. The number of analysts providing estimates is 38.
4. For the next fiscal year ending on September 30, 2025, the average sales estimate is $380,772,000,000, with a sales growth of 6% compared to the current fiscal year. The number of analysts providing estimates is 38.
Overall, the analysts are generally optimistic about the company's future sales performance, with moderate growth expected in both the quarterly and annual sales figures.
Growth estimates
Based on the consensus estimates provided:- The current year growth rate is estimated to be 7.6%.
- The next quarter growth rate is estimated to be 5.1%.
- The next year growth rate is estimated to be 9.7%.
- The average annual growth rate for the next 5 years is estimated to be 9.7%.
- The average annual growth rate for the past 5 years was 20.1%.
From these estimates, we can see that the company is expected to experience steady growth in the upcoming periods, with a slightly higher growth rate projected for the next year compared to the current year. However, the growth rate is expected to be lower compared to the average growth rate of the past 5 years.
Price target
The analysts' forecast for the future price of the security is as follows:- Low: $164
- High: $275
- Median: $201.43
- Average: $204.58
- Current price: $192.25
- Currency: USD
Based on these forecasts, it appears that the analysts are generally optimistic about the future price of the security, with a median forecast above the current price. However, there is a wide range of forecasts, from a low of $164 to a high of $275, indicating some uncertainty in the market.
Earnings
The company's results for the most recent quarter, ending on April 30, 2025, have not been provided at this time. The previous quarter's results, ending on February 27, 2025, were handled by the Transfer Agent. The quarter before that, ending on January 31, 2025, had results released after hours. The results for the quarter ending on October 31, 2024, were not provided at the time. However, for the quarter ending on August 1, 2024, the company had an EPS estimate of 1.32.Main Statystic ðŸ§
The data provided includes financials, stock statistics, valuation metrics, stock price summary, and dividends and splits information for a specific company.In terms of financials, the company has strong cash flow with operating cash flow at $110.56 billion and levered free cash flow at $84.73 billion. The balance sheet shows a total cash of $67.15 billion, total debt of $104.59 billion, and a current ratio of 1.037. The profit margin is 26.31%, and the company's fiscal year ends on September 30, 2023. The income statement reveals an EBITDA of $131.39 billion, revenue of $381.62 billion, and a diluted EPS of 6.43.
Moving on to stock statistics, the company has a short ratio of 1.53, with 99.29 million shares shorted out of 15.31 billion float shares. The average trading volume is 46.86 million shares over 10 days and 57.50 million shares over 90 days. The stock outstanding is 15.33 billion shares, with 5.22% held by insiders and 57.59% held by institutions.
Valuation metrics show a PEG ratio of 26.32, forward PE of 26.32, and trailing PE of 29.59. The enterprise value is $2.95 trillion, with a price to book ratio of 39.34 and price to sales ratio of 7.65. The enterprise to EBITDA ratio is 22.76, and the enterprise to revenue ratio is 7.73. The market capitalization is $2.92 trillion.
The stock price summary includes a beta of 1.26, a 50-day moving average of $176.26, a 200-day moving average of $181.04, a 52-week low of $164.08, a 52-week high of $199.62, and a 52-week change of 6.85%.
Lastly, dividends and splits information shows a payout ratio of 14.93%, with a dividend date on May 16, 2024. The last split date was on August 31, 2020, with a 4-for-1 split factor. The forward annual dividend rate is $1, with a 5-year average dividend yield of 0.73% and a forward annual dividend yield of 0.53%. The trailing annual dividend rate is $0.97, with a trailing annual dividend yield of 0.51%.
Income statement 💸
These are the revenues. Here are the conclusions:1. The company's sales have been increasing steadily over the past four fiscal years.
2. The EBIT (Earnings Before Interest and Taxes) and EBITDA (Earnings Before Interest, Taxes, Depreciation, and Amortization) have also shown a positive trend, indicating improving operational efficiency.
3. The net income has been growing consistently, reflecting the company's profitability.
4. The basic and diluted earnings per share (EPS) have been relatively stable over the years.
5. The company has been effectively managing its operating expenses, as seen in the consistent operating income.
6. The company has been able to maintain a healthy gross profit margin despite fluctuations in the cost of goods sold.
7. The company's non-operating interest expenses have been relatively stable, indicating a consistent financial strategy.
8. The company has been able to generate income from non-operating interests, contributing to its overall financial performance.
9. The number of basic and diluted shares outstanding has remained relatively constant over the years.
10. The company has been able to sustain its net income from continuous operations, showcasing its operational stability.
MACD of IVAC
This is not investment advice. Remember to verify the information provided here.
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