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Analysis Invesco Markets II Plc - Invesco Global High Yield Corporate Bond Esg Ucits Etf (GBHG)

6/1/2024

Analysis Invesco Markets II Plc - Invesco Global High Yield Corporate Bond Esg Ucits Etf (GBHG)

Analysis of Invesco Markets II Plc - Invesco Global High Yield Corporate Bond Esg Ucits Etf (GBHG)

The provided data is for the stock symbol "GBHG" of Invesco Markets II Plc - Invesco Global High Yield Corporate Bond ESG UCITS ETF. Here is a short analysis based on the data:

1. Price Movement:
- The closing prices over the past few days have been relatively stable, ranging between 564.20 and 569.70.
- The stock has shown some fluctuations in price, with the highest price recorded at 574.48 and the lowest at 562.73.

2. Technical Indicators:
- RSI Indicator: The Relative Strength Index (RSI) values have been fluctuating around the 50-60 range, indicating a neutral to slightly bullish sentiment.
- MACD Indicator: The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) values have shown some variability, with the MACD line crossing above or below the signal line on different days.

3. Moving Averages:
- Simple Moving Average (SMA), Exponential Moving Average (EMA), and Weighted Moving Average (WMA) have been calculated for each day.
- The moving averages provide insights into the trend direction and potential support/resistance levels.

4. Overall:
- The stock seems to be trading in a relatively narrow range with some volatility.
- The technical indicators suggest a neutral to slightly bullish sentiment.
- Investors may want to monitor the price movements closely for potential breakout or trend reversal signals.

Please note that this analysis is based on the provided data and should be supplemented with additional research before making any investment decisions.

Earnings estimate

Based on the analysts' estimates for future quarterly and annual earnings per share:

1. For the current quarter ending on June 30, 2024, the average EPS estimate is $1.23, with a low estimate of $1.18 and a high estimate of $1.26. This shows an improvement compared to the EPS of $1.17 from the same quarter a year ago.

2. For the next quarter ending on September 30, 2024, the average EPS estimate is $1.42, with a low estimate of $1.33 and a high estimate of $1.51. This also indicates growth from the EPS of $1.35 in the same quarter last year.

3. Looking at the estimates for the current year ending on September 30, 2024, the average EPS estimate is $6.10, ranging from a low estimate of $5.95 to a high estimate of $6.41. This reflects an increase from the EPS of $5.67 for the previous year.

4. For the next year ending on September 30, 2025, the average EPS estimate is $6.69, with a low estimate of $5.92 and a high estimate of $7.31. This suggests a slight improvement from the EPS of $6.10 in the previous year.

Overall, the analysts' estimates point towards a positive trend of increasing earnings per share for both the upcoming quarters and the next two fiscal years.

Revenue estimate

The analysts' estimates for the future quarterly and annual sales of the company indicate a moderate growth trend.

For the current quarter ending on June 30, 2024, the average estimate is $77,545,400,000, representing a 2% increase from the same period last year. The number of analysts providing estimates is 25.

Looking at the next quarter ending on September 30, 2024, the average estimate is $85,501,800,000, with a sales growth of 3% compared to the previous year. Again, 25 analysts have contributed to these estimates.

For the current fiscal year ending on September 30, 2024, the average estimate is $357,772,000,000, showing a 1% growth from the previous year. The number of analysts providing estimates for the annual sales is 38.

In the following fiscal year ending on September 30, 2025, the average estimate is $380,772,000,000, indicating a more significant growth of 6% from the current fiscal year. The number of analysts remains at 38.

Overall, the estimates suggest a steady growth trajectory for the company's sales in both the short term and the long term.

Growth estimates

Based on the consensus estimates provided by analysts, we can draw the following conclusions regarding the growth rate of the company for different periods:

1. Current Quarter: The estimated growth rate for the current quarter is 5.1%.
2. Next Quarter: The estimated growth rate for the next quarter is 5.2%.
3. Current Year: The estimated growth rate for the current year is 7.6%.
4. Next Year: The estimated growth rate for the next year is 9.7%.
5. Past 5 Years (per annum): The estimated average annual growth rate for the past 5 years is 20.1%.
6. Next 5 Years (per annum): The estimated average annual growth rate for the next 5 years is 9.7%.

These estimates suggest that the company has been experiencing significant growth in the past but is expected to see a more moderate growth rate in the coming years, with a slight increase in the next year compared to the current year.

Price target

The analysts' forecast for the future price of the security is as follows:
- Low: $164
- High: $250
- Median: $200
- Average: $202.26
- Current price: $191.57
- Currency: USD

Based on these forecasts, it appears that the analysts are generally optimistic about the future price of the security, with a median and average price above the current price. The price range is quite wide, indicating some uncertainty among analysts about the future performance of the security.

Earnings

The company's results for the most recent quarter, ending on April 30, 2025, have not been provided at this time. The previous quarter's results, ending on February 27, 2025, were handled by the Transfer Agent. The quarter before that, ending on January 31, 2025, had results released after hours. The results for the quarter ending on October 31, 2024, were not provided at the time. However, for the quarter ending on August 1, 2024, the company reported an earnings per share (EPS) estimate of 1.32.

Main Statystic 🧠

The data provided includes financials, stock statistics, valuations metrics, stock price summary, and dividends and splits information for a specific company.

In terms of financials, the company has strong cash flow with operating cash flow at $110.56 billion and levered free cash flow at $84.73 billion. The balance sheet shows a total cash of $67.15 billion, total debt of $104.59 billion, and a current ratio of 1.037. The profit margin is 26.31% and the company's fiscal year ends on September 30, 2023. The income statement reveals an EBITDA of $131.39 billion, revenue of $381.62 billion, and a diluted EPS of 6.43.

Moving on to stock statistics, the company has a short ratio of 1.53, with 15.31 billion float shares and 99.29 million shares shorted. The stock has 15.33 billion shares outstanding, with 5.22% held by insiders and 57.59% held by institutions.

Valuation metrics show a PEG ratio of 26.32, forward PE of 26.32, and trailing PE of 29.59. The enterprise value is $2.95 trillion, with a price to book ratio of 39.34 and price to sales ratio of 7.65. The company's market capitalization is $2.92 trillion.

The stock price summary includes a beta of 1.264, 50-day moving average of $176.26, 200-day moving average of $181.04, and a 52-week range of $164.08 to $199.62.

Lastly, dividends and splits information shows a payout ratio of 14.93%, with a dividend date on May 16, 2024. The last split date was on August 31, 2020, with a 4-for-1 split factor. The company has a forward annual dividend rate of $1, a 5-year average dividend yield of 0.73%, and a trailing annual dividend rate of $0.97.

Income statement 💸

These are the revenue figures. Here are the conclusions:

1. The company's sales revenue has been increasing steadily over the years, from $274.5 billion in 2020 to $383.3 billion in 2023.
2. The gross profit margin has been relatively stable, with gross profit ranging from around $105 billion to $169 billion.
3. Operating income has also shown an increasing trend, reaching $114.3 billion in 2023 from $66.3 billion in 2020.
4. Net income has been growing consistently, from $57.4 billion in 2020 to $97 billion in 2023.
5. Earnings per share (EPS) have shown a slight fluctuation but have generally increased over the years.
6. The company has been able to maintain a healthy EBITDA margin, with EBITDA reaching $129.2 billion in 2023.
7. Despite an increase in income tax expenses, the company has managed to improve its net income continuously.
8. The company has been able to control its operating expenses effectively, allowing for growth in operating income.
9. Non-operating interest expenses have been relatively stable over the years.
10. The number of basic and diluted shares outstanding has remained constant, indicating no significant changes in share issuance.
11. Overall, the financial performance of the company has been positive, with growth in revenue, income, and earnings per share.

Balance Sheet

These are balance sheets. Here are the conclusions based on the provided data:

1. The total assets have been increasing over the years, reaching the highest value of $365,725,000,000 in 2018.
2. Current assets fluctuate from year to year, with the highest value in 2019 at $162,819,000,000.
3. Non-current assets have shown an increasing trend, with the highest value in 2019 at $175,697,000,000.
4. Total liabilities have also been increasing, reaching the highest value of $302,083,000,000 in 2022.
5. Shareholders' equity has been fluctuating, with the highest value in 2018 at $107,147,000,000.
6. The company has been relying more on non-current liabilities to finance its operations, as seen in the increasing trend of non-current liabilities.
7. The company has been investing more in non-current assets over the years, indicating potential long-term growth strategies.
8. The company's cash and cash equivalents have fluctuated over the years, suggesting varying liquidity positions.
9. Accumulated depreciation has been increasing, indicating the aging of the company's assets.
10. Overall, the company's financial position seems stable, with a focus on long-term growth and investment.

Cash Flow 💶

This is the cash flow statement. Here are some conclusions we can draw from the data:

1. The company's free cash flow has been fluctuating over the years, with the highest value in 2022 and the lowest in 2020.
2. Operating cash flow has been relatively stable over the years, indicating consistent operational performance.
3. The company has been consistently paying interest and income taxes, with varying amounts each year.
4. The end cash position has also been fluctuating, reaching its highest value in 2020.
5. Financing activities show significant variability, with large amounts being spent on common stock repurchase and debt issuance and payments.
6. Investing activities also vary, with significant amounts being spent on the sale and purchase of investments, as well as capital expenditures.
7. Overall, the company's financial activities show a mix of stability in operating cash flow and fluctuations in investing and financing activities.

MACD of GBHG

This is not investment advice. Remember to verify the information provided here.

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Contacts

Telephone number

+48 32 700 81 66

Email address

[email protected]

Company information

Honey Payment Group S.A. at Al. Aleje Jerozolimskie 65 / 79, 00-697 Warsaw, Poland, Register number KRS 0000335507, NIP 5252859204, REGON 388760204. Honey Payment Group is listed on the Warsaw Stock Exchange (WSE) under the ticker symbol HPG. Link