Analysis Jabil Inc (JBL)
6/3/2024
Analysis of Jabil Inc (JBL)
Jabil Inc (JBL) has been showing some volatility in its stock price recently. The Relative Strength Index (RSI) values have been fluctuating around the mid-range, indicating a lack of strong trend in either direction. The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) indicator has been negative, but the MACD histogram has shown some positive values, suggesting a potential reversal in the short term.Overall, the stock seems to be consolidating with no clear trend. Traders may want to wait for a clearer signal before making any significant trading decisions.
Earnings
The company's results for the most recent quarter, as of April 30, 2025, have not been provided at this time. The previous results from February 27, 2025, were handled by the Transfer Agent. The results from January 31, 2025, were released after hours. The results from October 31, 2024, were not provided at the time. The results from August 1, 2024, showed an earnings per share (EPS) estimate of 1.32.Main Statystic ðŸ§
The data provides a comprehensive overview of the financial and stock-related metrics for a specific company. Here are the key points:1. **Financials**:
- **Cash Flow**: Operating cash flow for the trailing twelve months (TTM) is $110,563,000,320, while levered free cash flow TTM is $84,726,874,112.
- **Balance Sheet**: Total cash on a most recent quarter (MRQ) basis is $67,150,000,128, total debt MRQ is $104,590,000,128, current ratio MRQ is 1.037, book value per share MRQ is $4.837, total cash per share MRQ is $4.379, and total debt to equity MRQ is 140.968.
- **Profit Margin**: The profit margin is 26.306%.
- **Income Statement**: EBITDA is $131,393,000,000, revenue TTM is $381,623,009,280, diluted EPS TTM is $6.43, gross profit TTM is $169,148,000,000, revenue per share TTM is $24.537, net income to common TTM is $100,389,003,264, quarterly revenue growth is -4.3%, and quarterly earnings growth year-over-year is -2.2%.
- **Operating Margin**: The operating margin is 30.743%.
- **Return on Assets (ROA)**: ROA TTM is 22.073999%.
- **Return on Equity (ROE)**: ROE TTM is 147.25%.
2. **Stock Statistics**:
- **Short Interest**: Short ratio is 1.53, float shares are 15,308,320,742, shares short are 99,287,450, average 10-day volume is 46,860,048, average 90-day volume is 57,498,254, shares outstanding are 15,334,099,968, percent held by insiders is 5.22%, percent held by institutions is 57.589%, and short percent of shares outstanding is 0.65%.
3. **Valuations Metrics**:
- **Ratios**: PEG ratio is 26.319502, forward PE is 26.319502, trailing PE is 29.59409, price to book MRQ is 39.3405, price to sales TTM is 7.646095, enterprise value is $2,950,762,332,160, enterprise to EBITDA is 22.763, enterprise to revenue is 7.732, and market capitalization is $2,917,925,650,432.
4. **Stock Price Summary**:
- **Market Performance**: Beta is 1.264, 50-day moving average is $176.2646, 200-day moving average is $181.0429, 52-week low is $164.08, 52-week high is $199.62, and 52-week change is 6.853%.
5. **Dividends and Splits**:
- **Dividend Information**: Payout ratio is 14.93%, dividend date is May 16, 2024, last split date is August 31, 2020 (4-for-1 split), ex-dividend date is May 10, 2024, forward annual dividend rate is $1, 5-year average dividend yield is 0.73%, forward annual dividend yield is 0.5255%, trailing annual dividend rate is $0.97, and trailing annual dividend yield is 0.5097%.
Revenue estimate
The analysts' estimates for the future quarterly and annual sales of the company indicate a moderate growth trend.For the current quarter ending on June 30, 2024, the average estimate is $77,545,400,000, with a sales growth of 2% compared to the same period last year. The estimates range from a low of $75,869,000,000 to a high of $79,035,500,000.
Looking at the next quarter ending on September 30, 2024, the average estimate is $85,501,800,000, showing a sales growth of 3% year-over-year. The estimates vary from a low of $81,634,900,000 to a high of $91,144,800,000.
For the current fiscal year ending on September 30, 2024, the average estimate is $357,772,000,000, with a sales growth of 1% compared to the previous year. The estimates range from $350,189,000,000 to $364,505,000,000.
Looking ahead to the next fiscal year ending on September 30, 2025, the average estimate is $380,772,000,000, indicating a more significant sales growth of 6% year-over-year. The estimates range from $353,721,000,000 to $403,636,000,000.
Overall, the estimates suggest a steady growth trajectory for the company's sales in both the short term and the long term, with analysts forecasting positive performance compared to the previous periods.
Growth estimates
Based on the consensus estimates provided by analysts, we can draw the following conclusions regarding the growth rate of the company for different periods:1. Current Quarter: The estimated growth rate for the current quarter is 5.1%.
2. Next Quarter: The estimated growth rate for the next quarter is 5.2%.
3. Current Year: The estimated growth rate for the current year is 7.6%.
4. Next Year: The estimated growth rate for the next year is 9.7%.
5. Past 5 Years (per annum): The average annual growth rate for the past 5 years is 20.1%.
6. Next 5 Years (per annum): The estimated average annual growth rate for the next 5 years is 9.7%.
These estimates suggest a positive growth trend for the company, with a slight decrease in growth rate compared to the past 5 years but still showing healthy growth prospects in the near future.
Price target
The analysts' forecast for the future price of the security is as follows:- Low: $164
- High: $275
- Median: $201.43
- Average: $204.58
- Current price: $192.25
Based on these forecasts, it appears that the analysts are generally optimistic about the future price of the security, with a median forecast above the current price. However, there is a wide range of estimates, from a low of $164 to a high of $275, indicating some uncertainty in the predictions.
Income statement 💸
Here are the revenue figures for the company over the past four fiscal years:1. Fiscal Year 2023: Sales of $383,285,000,000
2. Fiscal Year 2022: Sales of $394,328,000,000
3. Fiscal Year 2021: Sales of $365,817,000,000
4. Fiscal Year 2020: Sales of $274,515,000,000
From these figures, we can observe the following trends:
- The company experienced a significant increase in sales from 2020 to 2022, followed by a slight decrease in 2023.
- Overall, there has been a positive revenue growth trend over the past four years, indicating the company's ability to generate increasing sales.
- It would be beneficial to further analyze the factors contributing to the fluctuations in revenue between the years to understand the company's performance better.
Balance Sheet
These are balance sheets. Here are the conclusions based on the provided data:1. The total assets have been increasing over the years, reaching $365,725,000,000 in 2018.
2. Current assets include cash, inventory, and receivables, with a significant portion in cash equivalents and short-term investments.
3. Non-current assets consist of leases, land, machinery, and investments, showing a steady growth.
4. Total liabilities have also been increasing, but at a slower pace compared to assets, indicating a healthy financial position.
5. Shareholders' equity has shown a positive trend, with common stock and retained earnings contributing significantly.
6. The company has been managing its short-term and long-term debts effectively, maintaining a balance between liabilities and equity.
7. Overall, the financial health of the company seems stable and improving over the years.
Cash Flow 💶
This is a cash flow statement. Here are some conclusions we can draw from the data:1. The company's free cash flow has been fluctuating over the years, with the highest value in 2022 and the lowest in 2020.
2. Operating cash flow has generally been increasing year over year, indicating improved operational efficiency.
3. The company has been consistently paying interest and income taxes, with varying amounts each year.
4. The end cash position has also been fluctuating, reaching its highest value in 2020.
5. Financing activities show a pattern of common stock repurchase, long-term debt issuance, and payments, with significant fluctuations in these values.
6. Investing activities indicate a mix of acquisitions, investments, and capital expenditures, with varying levels of cash flow from these activities each year.
7. Overall, the company's cash flow statement reflects a dynamic financial situation with fluctuations in different areas over the years.
Earnings estimate
Based on the analysts' estimates for future quarterly and annual earnings per share:1. For the current quarter ending on June 30, 2024, the average EPS estimate is $1.23, with a low estimate of $1.18 and a high estimate of $1.26. This shows an improvement compared to the EPS of $1.17 from the same quarter a year ago.
2. For the next quarter ending on September 30, 2024, the average EPS estimate is $1.42, with a low estimate of $1.33 and a high estimate of $1.51. This also indicates growth from the EPS of $1.35 in the same quarter last year.
3. Looking at the estimates for the current year ending on September 30, 2024, the average EPS estimate is $6.10, ranging from a low estimate of $5.95 to a high estimate of $6.41. This reflects an increase from the EPS of $5.67 for the previous year.
4. For the next year ending on September 30, 2025, the average EPS estimate is $6.69, with a low estimate of $5.92 and a high estimate of $7.31. This suggests a slight improvement from the EPS of $6.10 in the previous year.
Overall, the analysts' estimates point towards a positive trend of increasing earnings per share for both the upcoming quarters and the next couple of years.
MACD of JBL
This is not investment advice. Remember to verify the information provided here.
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