Analysis JAFCO Group Co., Ltd. (8595)
6/2/2024
Analysis of JAFCO Group Co., Ltd. (8595)
JAFCO Group Co., Ltd. is a company that seems to be performing well based on the recent financial data. Looking at the daily data from May 20th to May 31st, 2024, we can see that the stock price has been fluctuating but generally maintaining an upward trend.Key points from the data:
- The RSI indicator has been fluctuating around the mid-range, indicating some volatility in the stock price.
- The MACD indicator has been positive, suggesting a bullish trend.
- The Moving Average (MA) indicator has been above the stock price, indicating a positive trend.
- The Simple Moving Average (SMA), Exponential Moving Average (EMA), and Weighted Moving Average (WMA) have all been showing an upward trend.
Overall, based on this data, JAFCO Group Co., Ltd. appears to be in a positive position with potential for further growth. Investors may want to keep an eye on the RSI indicator for signs of overbought or oversold conditions and monitor the MACD indicator for any changes in the bullish trend.
Earnings
The company's results for the most recent quarter ending on April 30, 2025, have not been provided yet. The previous results from February 27, 2025, were related to the transfer agent. The results from January 31, 2025, were released after hours. The results from October 31, 2024, were not provided at a specific time. The results from August 1, 2024, showed an earnings per share (EPS) estimate of 1.32.Main Statystic ðŸ§
The data provided includes financials, stock statistics, valuation metrics, stock price summary, and dividends and splits information for a specific company.In terms of financials, the company has strong cash flow with operating cash flow at $110.56 billion and levered free cash flow at $84.73 billion. The balance sheet shows a total cash of $67.15 billion, total debt of $104.59 billion, and a current ratio of 1.037. The profit margin is 26.31%, with a return on assets of 22.07% and return on equity of 147.25%. The company's fiscal year ends on September 30, 2023.
Moving on to stock statistics, the company has a short ratio of 1.53, with 99.29 million shares shorted out of 15.31 billion float shares. The stock is held by institutions at 57.59% and insiders at 5.22%, with a short percent of shares outstanding at 0.65%.
Valuation metrics show a PEG ratio of 26.32, forward P/E of 26.32, and trailing P/E of 29.59. The enterprise value is $2.95 trillion, with a market capitalization of $2.92 trillion. The price to book ratio is 39.34, price to sales ratio is 7.65, enterprise to EBITDA ratio is 22.76, and enterprise to revenue ratio is 7.73.
The stock price summary includes a beta of 1.26, 50-day moving average of $176.26, 200-day moving average of $181.04, and a 52-week range from $164.08 to $199.62.
Lastly, dividends and splits information shows a payout ratio of 14.93%, with a forward annual dividend rate of $1 and a trailing annual dividend rate of $0.97. The company has a 5-year average dividend yield of 0.73% and a forward annual dividend yield of 0.53%. The last split date was on August 31, 2020, with a 4-for-1 split. The next dividend date is on May 16, 2024, with an ex-dividend date on May 10, 2024.
Income statement 💸
Here are the revenue figures for the company over the past four fiscal years:1. Fiscal Year 2023: Sales of $383,285,000,000
2. Fiscal Year 2022: Sales of $394,328,000,000
3. Fiscal Year 2021: Sales of $365,817,000,000
4. Fiscal Year 2020: Sales of $274,515,000,000
From these figures, we can observe the following trends:
- The company experienced a decrease in sales from FY 2022 to FY 2023.
- Prior to the decrease, there was a consistent increase in sales over the previous two fiscal years.
- The sales figures show a fluctuating pattern over the four years, indicating potential market volatility or changes in the company's business strategy.
These trends in revenue can provide insights into the company's performance, market conditions, and strategic decisions made during the respective fiscal years.
Balance Sheet
These are balance sheets. Here are the conclusions:1. The total assets have been increasing over the years, reaching the highest value in 2023 at $352,583,000,000.
2. Current assets fluctuate from year to year, with the highest value in 2019 at $162,819,000,000.
3. Non-current assets have been increasing steadily, with the highest value in 2023 at $209,017,000,000.
4. Total liabilities have also been increasing, reaching the highest value in 2023 at $290,437,000,000.
5. Shareholders' equity has been fluctuating, with the highest value in 2019 at $90,488,000,000.
6. The company has been relying more on non-current assets to support its operations.
7. There is a significant amount of debt in the company's capital structure, both short-term and long-term.
8. The company has been investing in machinery, furniture, and equipment over the years.
9. Retained earnings have been positive in most years, indicating profitability.
10. The company has been managing its cash and cash equivalents effectively, with fluctuations in other current assets.
Cash Flow 💶
This is the cash flow statement. Here are some key takeaways from the data:1. The company's free cash flow has been fluctuating over the years, with the highest value recorded in 2022 and the lowest in 2020.
2. Operating cash flow has generally been increasing year over year, indicating improved operational efficiency.
3. Financing activities show significant fluctuations, especially in terms of common stock repurchase and long-term debt issuance.
4. Investing activities also vary, with notable amounts spent on the purchase and sale of investments.
5. The end cash position has been relatively stable, with some fluctuations due to the company's financial activities.
6. Interest paid and income tax paid figures provide insights into the company's financial obligations.
7. Stock-based compensation is a significant non-cash item that impacts the company's financial performance.
These observations can help in assessing the company's financial health, investment decisions, and overall performance over the years.
Earnings estimate
Based on the analysts' estimates for future quarterly and annual earnings per share (EPS):1. For the current quarter ending on June 30, 2024, the average EPS estimate is $1.23, with a low estimate of $1.18 and a high estimate of $1.26. This shows an improvement compared to the EPS of $1.17 from the same quarter a year ago.
2. For the next quarter ending on September 30, 2024, the average EPS estimate is $1.42, with a low estimate of $1.33 and a high estimate of $1.51. This is higher than the EPS of $1.35 from the same quarter last year.
3. For the current fiscal year ending on September 30, 2024, the average EPS estimate is $6.10, with a low estimate of $5.95 and a high estimate of $6.41. This reflects growth from the EPS of $5.67 in the previous fiscal year.
4. Looking ahead to the next fiscal year ending on September 30, 2025, the average EPS estimate is $6.69, with a low estimate of $5.92 and a high estimate of $7.31. This indicates a potential increase from the EPS of $6.10 in the current fiscal year.
Overall, the analysts' estimates suggest a positive outlook for the company's earnings per share, with expected growth in both the short term and the long term.
Revenue estimate
The analysts' estimates for the future quarterly and annual sales of the company indicate a moderate growth trend.For the current quarter ending on June 30, 2024, the average sales estimate is $77,545,400,000, representing a 2% increase from the same period last year. The number of analysts providing estimates is 25.
Looking at the next quarter ending on September 30, 2024, the average sales estimate is $85,501,800,000, with a sales growth of 3% compared to the previous year. The number of analysts remains at 25.
For the current fiscal year ending on September 30, 2024, the average sales estimate is $357,772,000,000, showing a 1% growth from the previous year. The number of analysts providing estimates has increased to 38.
In the next fiscal year ending on September 30, 2025, the average sales estimate is $380,772,000,000, indicating a more significant growth of 6% from the current fiscal year. The number of analysts remains at 38.
Overall, the estimates suggest a steady growth trajectory for the company's sales in both the short term and the long term, with an increasing number of analysts providing forecasts.
Growth estimates
Based on the consensus estimates provided by analysts, we can draw the following conclusions regarding the growth rate of the company for different periods:1. Current Quarter: The estimated growth rate for the current quarter is 5.1%.
2. Next Quarter: The estimated growth rate for the next quarter is 5.2%.
3. Current Year: The estimated growth rate for the current year is 7.6%.
4. Next Year: The estimated growth rate for the next year is 9.7%.
5. Past 5 Years (per annum): The average annual growth rate for the past 5 years is 20.1%.
6. Next 5 Years (per annum): The estimated average annual growth rate for the next 5 years is 9.7%.
These estimates suggest a positive growth trend for the company, with a slight decrease in growth rate from the past 5 years to the next 5 years. However, the company is still expected to experience steady growth in the upcoming periods according to analyst consensus.
Price target
The analysts' forecast for the future price of the security is as follows:- Low: $164
- High: $250
- Median: $200
- Average: $202.26
- Current price: $191.57
- Currency: USD
Based on these forecasts, we can see that the analysts have a range of opinions on the future price of the security, with the low end at $164, the high end at $250, and the average at $202.26. The current price is below both the average and median forecast, indicating that there is potential for growth according to the analysts' predictions.
MACD of 8595
This is not investment advice. Remember to verify the information provided here.
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