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Analysis Japan Retail Fund Investment Corp. (JRFIF)

6/5/2024

Analysis Japan Retail Fund Investment Corp. (JRFIF)

Analysis of Japan Retail Fund Investment Corp. (JRFIF)

Japan Retail Fund Investment Corp. (JRFIF) has been showing a consistent price close around 627.00 in the past few days. The Relative Strength Index (RSI) is indicating a very low value of 0.28, suggesting that the stock may be oversold.

The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) indicator is negative, with the MACD line below the signal line. However, the MACD histogram is showing a slight increase, indicating a possible reversal in the short term.

The Moving Average (MA) indicator is also below the current price, suggesting a bearish trend. The Simple Moving Average (SMA), Exponential Moving Average (EMA), and Weighted Moving Average (WMA) are all below the current price, further supporting the bearish outlook.

Overall, based on the technical indicators, JRFIF seems to be in a bearish phase with potential for a short-term reversal. Traders and investors should closely monitor the RSI, MACD, and moving averages for any signs of a trend change.

Revenue estimate

The analysts' estimates for the future quarterly and annual sales of the company indicate a moderate growth trend.

For the current quarter ending on June 30, 2024, the average estimate is $77,545,400,000, with a sales growth of 2% compared to the same period last year. The number of analysts providing estimates is 25.

Looking at the next quarter ending on September 30, 2024, the average estimate increases to $85,501,800,000, with a sales growth of 3% compared to the previous year. The number of analysts remains at 25.

For the current fiscal year ending on September 30, 2024, the average estimate for total revenue is $357,772,000,000, showing a 1% growth compared to the previous fiscal year. The number of analysts providing estimates increases to 38.

In the following fiscal year ending on September 30, 2025, the average estimate for total revenue is projected to be $380,772,000,000, indicating a more significant growth of 6% compared to the current fiscal year. The number of analysts remains at 38.

Overall, the estimates suggest a steady growth trajectory for the company's sales in both the short term and the long term, with an increasing number of analysts providing forecasts for the future periods.

Growth estimates

Based on the consensus estimates provided by analysts, we can draw the following conclusions regarding the growth rate of the company for different periods:

1. Current Quarter: The estimated growth rate for the current quarter is 5.1%.
2. Next Quarter: The estimated growth rate for the next quarter is 5.2%.
3. Current Year: The estimated growth rate for the current year is 7.6%.
4. Next Year: The estimated growth rate for the next year is 9.7%.
5. Past 5 Years (per annum): The average annual growth rate for the past 5 years is 20.1%.
6. Next 5 Years (per annum): The estimated average annual growth rate for the next 5 years is 9.7%.

These estimates suggest that the company has been experiencing strong growth in the past, and analysts expect this growth to continue at a slightly lower but still healthy rate in the coming years.

Price target

The analysts' forecast for the future price of the security paper is as follows:
- Low: $164
- High: $275
- Median: $201.43
- Average: $204.58
- Current price: $192.25

Based on these forecasts, it appears that the analysts are generally optimistic about the future price of the security paper, with a median forecast above the current price. However, there is a wide range of estimates, from $164 to $275, indicating some uncertainty in the market.

Earnings

The company's results for the most recent quarter ending on April 30, 2025, have not been provided yet. The previous results from February 27, 2025, were related to the Transfer Agent. The results from January 31, 2025, were reported After Hours. The results from October 31, 2024, were not provided at a specific time. The results from August 1, 2024, showed an EPS estimate of 1.32.

Main Statystic 🧠

The data provided includes financials, stock statistics, valuation metrics, stock price summary, and dividends and splits information for a specific company.

In terms of financials, the company has strong operating cash flow and levered free cash flow, with a positive current ratio. The profit margin and operating margin are also healthy, indicating efficient operations. The company's fiscal year ends in September 2023, and it has shown a positive return on assets and return on equity.

Looking at stock statistics, the company has a low short ratio and a significant percentage of shares held by institutions. The stock price has fluctuated between a fifty-two-week low and high, with a positive change over the period.

Valuation metrics show a relatively high PEG ratio and price-to-book ratio. The company's market capitalization and enterprise value are substantial, with moderate price-to-sales and enterprise-to-EBITDA ratios.

The stock price summary includes beta, moving averages, and the range of prices over the past year. Dividends and splits information shows the company's dividend history, payout ratio, and dividend yield metrics.

Overall, the data provides a comprehensive overview of the company's financial performance, stock statistics, valuation metrics, stock price trends, and dividends and splits information.

Income statement 💸

These are the revenue figures. Here are the conclusions:

1. The company's sales revenue has been increasing steadily over the years, from $274.5 billion in 2020 to $383.3 billion in 2023.
2. Despite the increase in sales, the cost of goods sold has also been rising, indicating a potential need for cost management.
3. The gross profit margin has remained relatively stable over the years, indicating efficient cost control measures.
4. The operating income has shown a positive trend, reaching $114.3 billion in 2023 from $66.3 billion in 2020.
5. The net income has also been increasing consistently, reaching $97 billion in 2023 from $57.4 billion in 2020.
6. The company has been able to maintain a healthy EBITDA margin, which indicates strong operational performance.
7. The company's tax expenses have also increased over the years, in line with the growth in revenue and income.
8. The basic and diluted earnings per share have shown an upward trend, reflecting the company's profitability and potential for shareholder returns.
9. Overall, the financial performance of the company in terms of revenue and income has been positive and shows a growth trajectory.

Balance Sheet

These are balance sheets. Here are the conclusions based on the provided data:

1. The total assets have been increasing over the years, reaching the highest value in 2023 at $352,583,000,000.
2. Current assets fluctuate slightly from year to year, with the highest value in 2019 at $162,819,000,000.
3. Non-current assets have been increasing steadily, with the highest value in 2023 at $209,017,000,000.
4. Total liabilities have also been increasing, reaching the highest value in 2023 at $290,437,000,000.
5. Shareholders' equity has been fluctuating, with the highest value in 2023 at $73,812,000,000.
6. The company has been relying more on non-current assets to support its growth, as seen in the increasing trend of non-current assets compared to current assets.
7. The company has been financing its growth through a combination of liabilities and shareholders' equity, with both showing an increasing trend over the years.

Cash Flow 💶

This is a cash flow statement. Here are some conclusions we can draw from the data:

1. The company's free cash flow has been fluctuating over the years, with the highest value in 2022 and the lowest in 2020.
2. Operating cash flow has generally been increasing year over year, indicating improved operational efficiency.
3. The company has been consistently paying interest and income taxes, with varying amounts each year.
4. The end cash position has also been fluctuating, reaching its highest value in 2021.
5. Financing activities show a pattern of common stock repurchase, long-term debt issuance, and payments, with significant fluctuations in these values.
6. Investing activities include the sale and purchase of investments, capital expenditures, and other investing activities, with significant variations in values each year.
7. Overall, the company's financial performance seems to be stable, with some fluctuations in key financial indicators.

Earnings estimate

Based on the analysts' estimates for future quarterly and annual earnings per share:

1. For the current quarter ending on June 30, 2024, the average estimated EPS is $1.23, with a low estimate of $1.18 and a high estimate of $1.26. This shows an improvement compared to the EPS of $1.17 from the same quarter a year ago.

2. For the next quarter ending on September 30, 2024, the average estimated EPS is $1.42, with a low estimate of $1.33 and a high estimate of $1.51. This is also an increase from the EPS of $1.35 from the same quarter last year.

3. For the current fiscal year ending on September 30, 2024, the average estimated EPS is $6.10, with a low estimate of $5.95 and a high estimate of $6.41. This reflects growth compared to the EPS of $5.67 from the previous fiscal year.

4. Looking ahead to the next fiscal year ending on September 30, 2025, the average estimated EPS is $6.69, with a low estimate of $5.92 and a high estimate of $7.31. This indicates a potential increase from the EPS of $6.10 in the current fiscal year.

Overall, the analysts' estimates suggest a positive outlook for the company's earnings per share, showing growth potential in both the short term and the long term.

MACD of JRFIF

This is not investment advice. Remember to verify the information provided here.

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Contacts

Telephone number

+48 32 700 81 66

Email address

[email protected]

Company information

Honey Payment Group S.A. at Al. Aleje Jerozolimskie 65 / 79, 00-697 Warsaw, Poland, Register number KRS 0000335507, NIP 5252859204, REGON 388760204. Honey Payment Group is listed on the Warsaw Stock Exchange (WSE) under the ticker symbol HPG. Link