Analysis JFE Holdings, Inc. (5411)
5/29/2024
Analysis of JFE Holdings, Inc. (5411)
JFE Holdings, Inc. (5411) is showing some interesting trends based on the recent data:1. **Price Movement**: The stock price has been fluctuating between 2262.00000 and 2340.50000 over the past few days, with the most recent closing price at 2302.50000.
2. **Technical Indicators**:
- **RSI Indicator**: The Relative Strength Index (RSI) is around 44.09, indicating a neutral position.
- **MACD Indicator**: The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) is negative at -24.18, suggesting a bearish signal.
- **Moving Averages**: The Simple Moving Average (SMA) is at 2321.70000, Exponential Moving Average (EMA) at 2340.93233, and Weighted Moving Average (WMA) at 2315.79140.
3. **Overall Analysis**:
- The stock seems to be in a consolidation phase with no clear trend.
- The MACD indicator shows a bearish signal, which might indicate a potential downward movement in the short term.
- The RSI is neutral, suggesting a balanced buying and selling pressure.
Investors should closely monitor the stock for any breakout or reversal signals before making any trading decisions.
Earnings
The company's results for the most recent quarter ending on April 30, 2025, have not been provided yet. The previous results were reported on February 27, 2025, through the Transfer Agent. Before that, on January 31, 2025, the results were released after hours. The results for the quarter ending on October 31, 2024, were not provided on time. However, on August 1, 2024, the company reported an earnings per share (EPS) estimate of 1.32.Main Statystic ðŸ§
The data provided includes financials, stock statistics, valuation metrics, stock price summary, and dividends and splits information for a specific company.In terms of financials, the company has strong cash flow with operating cash flow at $110.56 billion and levered free cash flow at $84.73 billion. The balance sheet shows a total cash of $67.15 billion, total debt of $104.59 billion, and a current ratio of 1.037. The profit margin is 26.31% and the company's fiscal year ends on September 30, 2023. The income statement reveals an EBITDA of $131.39 billion, revenue of $381.62 billion, and a diluted EPS of 6.44.
Moving on to stock statistics, the company has a short ratio of 1.66, with 94.31 million shares shorted out of 15.31 billion float shares. The average 10-day volume is 52.90 million shares, while the average 90-day volume is 62.82 million shares. The stock outstanding is 15.33 billion shares, with 5.22% held by insiders and 57.56% held by institutions.
Valuation metrics show a PEG ratio of 26.21, forward PE of 26.21, trailing PE of 29.43, and a market capitalization of $2.91 trillion. The enterprise value is $2.95 trillion, with a price to book ratio of 39.18, price to sales ratio of 7.62, enterprise to EBITDA ratio of 22.75, and enterprise to revenue ratio of 7.73.
The stock price summary includes a beta of 1.26, 50-day moving average of $173.69, 200-day moving average of $180.79, a 52-week low of $164.08, a 52-week high of $199.62, and a 52-week change of 8.25%.
Lastly, dividends and splits information shows a payout ratio of 14.93%, with a dividend date of May 16, 2024. The last split date was on August 31, 2020, with a 4-for-1 split factor. The forward annual dividend rate is $1, with a 5-year average dividend yield of 0.73% and a forward annual dividend yield of 0.53%. The trailing annual dividend rate is $0.97, with a trailing annual dividend yield of 0.51%.
Income statement 💸
Here are the revenue figures for the company over the past four fiscal years:1. Fiscal Year 2023: Sales of $383,285,000,000
2. Fiscal Year 2022: Sales of $394,328,000,000
3. Fiscal Year 2021: Sales of $365,817,000,000
4. Fiscal Year 2020: Sales of $274,515,000,000
From these figures, we can observe the following trends:
- The company experienced a decrease in sales from FY 2022 to FY 2023.
- Prior to FY 2023, there was a general trend of increasing sales over the years.
- FY 2020 had the lowest sales figure among the four fiscal years provided.
These trends in revenue can provide insights into the company's performance and market conditions over the specified period.
Balance Sheet
These are balance sheets. Here are the conclusions:1. The total assets have been increasing over the years, reaching the highest value in 2023 at $352,583,000,000.
2. Current assets fluctuate from year to year, with the highest value in 2019 at $162,819,000,000.
3. Non-current assets have been increasing steadily, with the highest value in 2023 at $209,017,000,000.
4. Total liabilities have also been increasing, reaching the highest value in 2023 at $290,437,000,000.
5. Shareholders' equity has been fluctuating, with the highest value in 2018 at $107,147,000,000.
6. The company has been relying more on non-current assets to support its operations over the years.
7. There is a significant amount of debt in the company's capital structure, both short-term and long-term.
8. Retained earnings have been negative in some years, indicating losses or dividend payouts exceeding profits.
9. The company has been investing heavily in machinery, furniture, and equipment as part of its non-current assets.
Cash Flow 💶
This is the cash flow statement. Here are some conclusions we can draw from the data:1. The company's free cash flow has been fluctuating over the years, with the highest value recorded in 2022 and the lowest in 2020.
2. Operating cash flow has generally been increasing year over year, indicating improved operational efficiency.
3. The company has been consistently paying interest and income taxes, with varying amounts each year.
4. The end cash position has also been fluctuating, reaching its highest value in 2020.
5. Financing activities show a pattern of common stock repurchase, issuance of long-term debt, and payment of dividends.
6. Investing activities include the sale and purchase of investments, as well as capital expenditures.
7. Overall, the company seems to be managing its cash flow effectively, with a focus on operational efficiency and strategic investments.
Earnings estimate
Based on analysts' estimates for future quarterly and annual earnings per share:1. For the current quarter ending on June 30, 2024, the average estimated EPS is $1.33, with a range from $1.27 to $1.36. This shows growth compared to the EPS of $1.26 from a year ago.
2. For the next quarter ending on September 30, 2024, the average estimated EPS is $1.53, with a range from $1.44 to $1.63. This indicates an increase from the EPS of $1.46 from a year ago.
3. For the current year ending on September 30, 2024, the average estimated EPS is $6.59, with a range from $6.43 to $6.92. This reflects growth compared to the EPS of $6.13 from the previous year.
4. For the next year ending on September 30, 2025, the average estimated EPS is $7.23, with a range from $6.40 to $7.90. This suggests an increase from the EPS of $6.59 from the previous year.
Overall, the estimates show a positive outlook with expected growth in earnings per share for both the upcoming quarters and the next two fiscal years.
Revenue estimate
Based on the analysts' estimates for the future quarterly and annual sales of the company, we can draw the following conclusions:1. For the current quarter ending on June 30, 2024, the average sales estimate is $83,776,900,000, with a sales growth of 2% compared to the same quarter last year. The number of analysts providing estimates is 24.
2. For the next quarter ending on September 30, 2024, the average sales estimate is $92,375,300,000, with a sales growth of 3% compared to the same quarter last year. The number of analysts providing estimates is 24.
3. For the current fiscal year ending on September 30, 2024, the average sales estimate is $386,681,000,000, with a sales growth of 1% compared to the previous fiscal year. The number of analysts providing estimates is 37.
4. For the next fiscal year ending on September 30, 2025, the average sales estimate is $411,555,000,000, with a sales growth of 6% compared to the current fiscal year. The number of analysts providing estimates is 37.
These estimates indicate a positive sales growth trend for both the upcoming quarters and the next fiscal year, with the highest growth expected in the next fiscal year ending in September 2025.
Growth estimates
Based on the consensus estimates provided:- The current year growth rate is 7.5%
- The next quarter growth rate is 4.8%
- The current quarter growth rate is 5.6%
- The next year growth rate is 9.7%
- The next 5 years compound annual growth rate (CAGR) is 11%
- The past 5 years compound annual growth rate (CAGR) is 20.15%
It can be observed that the growth rates are expected to vary across different time periods, with a higher growth rate projected for the next 5 years compared to the current and past periods. The company is expected to experience significant growth in the future based on these estimates.
Price target
The analysts' forecast for the future price of the security is as follows:- Low: $164
- High: $250
- Median: $200
- Average: $202.26
- Current price: $191.57
- Currency: USD
Based on these forecasts, it appears that the analysts are generally optimistic about the future price of the security, with a median forecast of $200. However, it's important to note that there is a wide range of forecasts, from a low of $164 to a high of $250. The current price of $191.57 is below both the median and average forecast, suggesting that there may be potential upside according to analysts.
MACD of 5411
This is not investment advice. Remember to verify the information provided here.
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