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Analysis JPMorgan Chase & Co. (0Q1F)

6/3/2024

Analysis JPMorgan Chase & Co. (0Q1F)

Analysis of JPMorgan Chase & Co. (0Q1F)

JPMorgan Chase & Co. (JPM) is a well-known financial services company with a strong presence in the banking and financial sector. Looking at the recent data, the stock seems to be trading at a relatively stable level, with the price closing around $165.00.

From a technical analysis perspective, the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is quite low at 7.95, indicating that the stock may be oversold and could potentially see a reversal in the near future. The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) indicator is negative, suggesting a bearish trend in the short term.

Overall, while the stock price seems to be stable, investors may want to keep an eye on the RSI and MACD indicators for potential signals of a change in direction. Additionally, monitoring key support and resistance levels could provide further insights into the stock's price movements.

Revenue estimate

Based on the analysts' estimates for the future quarterly and annual sales of the company, we can draw the following conclusions:

1. For the current quarter ending on June 30, 2024, the average sales estimate is $77,545,400,000, with a sales growth of 2% compared to the same quarter last year. The number of analysts providing estimates is 25.

2. For the next quarter ending on September 30, 2024, the average sales estimate is $85,501,800,000, with a sales growth of 3% compared to the same quarter last year. The number of analysts providing estimates is 25.

3. For the current fiscal year ending on September 30, 2024, the average sales estimate is $357,772,000,000, with a sales growth of 1% compared to the previous fiscal year. The number of analysts providing estimates is 38.

4. For the next fiscal year ending on September 30, 2025, the average sales estimate is $380,772,000,000, with a sales growth of 6% compared to the current fiscal year. The number of analysts providing estimates is 38.

Overall, the analysts are generally optimistic about the company's future sales performance, with moderate growth expected in both the quarterly and annual sales figures.

Growth estimates

Based on the consensus estimates provided by analysts, we can draw the following conclusions regarding the growth rate of the company for different periods:

1. Current Quarter: The estimated growth rate for the current quarter is 5.1%.
2. Next Quarter: The estimated growth rate for the next quarter is 5.2%.
3. Current Year: The estimated growth rate for the current year is 7.6%.
4. Next Year: The estimated growth rate for the next year is 9.7%.
5. Past 5 Years (per annum): The estimated average annual growth rate for the past 5 years is 20.1%.
6. Next 5 Years (per annum): The estimated average annual growth rate for the next 5 years is 9.7%.

These estimates suggest a positive growth trend for the company, with a slightly lower growth rate expected in the next 5 years compared to the past 5 years. It indicates that analysts are generally optimistic about the company's growth prospects in the near future.

Price target

The analysts' forecast for the future price of the security is as follows:
- Low: $164
- High: $275
- Median: $201.43
- Average: $204.58
- Current price: $192.25

Based on these forecasts, it appears that the analysts are generally optimistic about the future price of the security, with a median forecast above the current price. However, there is a wide range between the low and high forecasts, indicating some uncertainty or differing opinions among analysts.

Earnings

The company's results for the most recent quarter, ending on April 30, 2025, have not been provided at this time. The previous quarter's results, ending on February 27, 2025, were handled by the Transfer Agent. The quarter before that, ending on January 31, 2025, had results released after hours. The results for the quarter ending on October 31, 2024, were not provided at the time. However, for the quarter ending on August 1, 2024, the company reported an earnings per share (EPS) estimate of 1.32.

Main Statystic 🧠

The data provided includes financials, stock statistics, valuation metrics, stock price summary, and dividends and splits information for a specific company.

In terms of financials, the company has strong operating cash flow and levered free cash flow, with a positive current ratio. The profit margin and operating margin are also healthy, indicating efficient operations. The company's fiscal year ends in September 2023, and it has shown a positive return on assets and return on equity.

Looking at stock statistics, the company has a low short ratio and a significant percentage of shares held by institutions. The stock price has fluctuated between a fifty-two-week low and high, with a positive change over the period.

Valuation metrics show a relatively high PEG ratio and forward PE ratio. The company's market capitalization and enterprise value are substantial, with a high price-to-book ratio and price-to-sales ratio.

The stock price summary includes beta, moving averages, and the range of prices over the past year.

Lastly, dividends and splits information shows the company's dividend history, payout ratio, and dividend yield metrics. The company has a regular dividend payout and has undergone a stock split in the past.

Income statement 💸

These are the revenues. Here are the conclusions:

1. The company's sales have been increasing steadily over the years, from $274.5 billion in 2020 to $383.3 billion in 2023.
2. The gross profit margin has been relatively stable, with gross profit ranging from around $105 billion to $169 billion.
3. Operating income has also shown a consistent growth trend, reaching $114.3 billion in 2023 from $66.3 billion in 2020.
4. Net income has been increasing over the years, from $57.4 billion in 2020 to $97 billion in 2023.
5. Earnings per share (EPS) have shown a slight fluctuation but have generally been on an upward trajectory.
6. The company has been able to maintain a healthy EBITDA margin, with EBITDA ranging from $81 billion to $129 billion.
7. Despite an increase in income tax expenses, the company has managed to grow its net income continuously.
8. The company has been effectively managing its operating expenses, with a slight increase in research and development costs over the years.
9. Non-operating interest expenses have been relatively stable, while non-operating interest income has shown a slight increase.
10. The number of basic and diluted shares outstanding has remained stable over the years.

Overall, the financial performance of the company in terms of revenues indicates a positive growth trajectory with effective cost management and increasing profitability.

Balance Sheet

These are balance sheets. Here are the conclusions:

1. The total assets have been increasing over the years, reaching $365,725,000,000 in 2018.
2. Current assets include cash, inventory, and receivables, with a significant portion in cash equivalents and short-term investments.
3. Non-current assets consist mainly of investments and advances, along with machinery, furniture, and equipment.
4. Total liabilities have also been increasing, but at a slower pace compared to assets.
5. Shareholders' equity has shown a positive trend, indicating a healthy financial position.
6. The company has been investing in leases, land, and improvements, reflecting a focus on long-term growth.
7. There is a consistent level of short-term debt and accounts payable, which the company manages effectively.
8. Retained earnings have fluctuated but overall show a positive trajectory.
9. The company has been utilizing cash and cash equivalents efficiently for investments and operations.
10. Overall, the financial stability and growth of the company seem well-maintained over the years.

Cash Flow 💶

This is the cash flow statement. Here are some conclusions we can draw from the data:

1. The company's free cash flow has been fluctuating over the years, with the highest value in 2022 and the lowest in 2020.
2. Operating cash flow has generally been increasing year over year, indicating improved operational efficiency.
3. Financing activities show significant fluctuations, with large amounts being spent on common stock repurchase and debt issuance/payment.
4. Investing activities also vary, with notable amounts spent on the sale and purchase of investments.
5. The end cash position has been fluctuating, but overall, the company has maintained a healthy cash reserve.
6. Interest paid and income tax paid have also varied over the years, impacting the company's cash flow position.
7. Stock-based compensation is a significant factor affecting the company's cash flow.
8. The company has been paying dividends consistently, impacting its financing cash flow.
9. The company's net income has been relatively stable, but other factors like depreciation and deferred taxes have influenced the cash flow statement.

Earnings estimate

Based on the analysts' estimates for future quarterly and annual earnings per share (EPS), we can draw the following conclusions:

1. For the current quarter ending on June 30, 2024, the average EPS estimate is $1.23, with a low estimate of $1.18 and a high estimate of $1.26. This shows an improvement compared to the EPS of $1.17 from the same quarter a year ago.

2. Looking ahead to the next quarter ending on September 30, 2024, analysts project an average EPS of $1.42, ranging from a low estimate of $1.33 to a high estimate of $1.51. This is higher than the EPS of $1.35 reported in the same quarter last year.

3. For the current fiscal year ending on September 30, 2024, the average EPS estimate is $6.10, with a low estimate of $5.95 and a high estimate of $6.41. This reflects growth compared to the EPS of $5.67 from the previous fiscal year.

4. Looking further ahead to the next fiscal year ending on September 30, 2025, analysts anticipate an average EPS of $6.69, with a low estimate of $5.92 and a high estimate of $7.31. This shows a slight increase from the EPS of $6.10 in the current fiscal year.

Overall, the analysts' estimates suggest a positive outlook for the company's earnings per share, with expected growth in both the short term and the long term.

MACD of 0Q1F

This is not investment advice. Remember to verify the information provided here.

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Contacts

Telephone number

+48 32 700 81 66

Email address

[email protected]

Company information

Honey Payment Group S.A. at Al. Aleje Jerozolimskie 65 / 79, 00-697 Warsaw, Poland, Register number KRS 0000335507, NIP 5252859204, REGON 388760204. Honey Payment Group is listed on the Warsaw Stock Exchange (WSE) under the ticker symbol HPG. Link