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Analysis Kainos Group PLC (KNOS)

6/1/2024

Analysis Kainos Group PLC (KNOS)

Analysis of Kainos Group PLC (KNOS)

Kainos Group PLC (KNOS) is showing some interesting price movements and technical indicators based on the provided data:

1. Price Movement:
- The price of KNOS has been fluctuating between 0.00215 and 0.00490 in the recent days, with the latest closing price at 0.00250.
- There seems to be some volatility in the price, which could present trading opportunities for short-term traders.

2. Technical Indicators:
- RSI Indicator: The Relative Strength Index (RSI) is around 48.15, indicating a neutral position. This suggests that the stock is neither overbought nor oversold.
- MACD Indicator: The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) is negative, with the MACD line below the signal line. This could indicate a bearish trend in the stock price.
- Moving Averages: The Simple Moving Average (SMA), Exponential Moving Average (EMA), and Weighted Moving Average (WMA) are all showing different values, which could suggest some divergence in the trend signals.

3. Overall Analysis:
- The stock seems to be in a consolidation phase with some bearish signals from the MACD indicator.
- Traders may want to wait for more confirmation from other technical indicators before making any trading decisions.
- It would be advisable to keep an eye on the price levels and key support/resistance areas for potential entry or exit points.

Please note that this analysis is based on the provided data and should be supplemented with additional research before making any investment decisions.

Earnings

The company's results for the most recent quarter, ending on April 30, 2025, have not been provided at this time. The previous quarter's results, ending on February 27, 2025, were handled by the Transfer Agent. The quarter before that, ending on January 31, 2025, had results released After Hours. The results for the quarter ending on October 31, 2024, were not provided at the time. However, for the quarter ending on August 1, 2024, the company reported an earnings per share (EPS) estimate of 1.32.

Main Statystic 🧠

The data provided includes financials, stock statistics, valuation metrics, stock price summary, and dividends and splits information for a specific company.

In terms of financials, the company has strong cash flow with operating cash flow at $110.56 billion and levered free cash flow at $84.73 billion. The balance sheet shows a total cash of $67.15 billion, total debt of $104.59 billion, and a current ratio of 1.037. The profit margin is 26.31%, and the company's fiscal year ends on September 30, 2023. The income statement reveals EBITDA of $131.39 billion, revenue of $381.62 billion, and a diluted EPS of 6.43.

Moving on to stock statistics, the company has a short ratio of 1.53, with 15.31 billion float shares and 99.29 million shares shorted. The stock outstanding is 15.33 billion, with 5.22% held by insiders and 57.59% held by institutions.

Valuation metrics show a PEG ratio of 26.32, forward PE of 26.32, and trailing PE of 29.59. The enterprise value is $2.95 trillion, with a price to book ratio of 39.34 and price to sales ratio of 7.65.

The stock price summary includes a beta of 1.264, 50-day moving average of $176.26, 200-day moving average of $181.04, and a 52-week range from $164.08 to $199.62.

Lastly, dividends and splits information indicates a payout ratio of 14.93%, with a dividend date on May 16, 2024. The last split date was on August 31, 2020, with a 4-for-1 split factor. The forward annual dividend rate is $1, with a trailing annual dividend yield of 0.51% and a 5-year average dividend yield of 0.73%.

Income statement 💸

These are the revenue figures. Here are the conclusions:

1. The company's sales revenue has been increasing steadily over the years, from $274.5 billion in 2020 to $383.3 billion in 2023.
2. Despite the increase in sales, the cost of goods sold has also been rising, indicating a potential decrease in profit margins.
3. The company's gross profit has fluctuated over the years, reaching its peak in 2023 at $169.1 billion.
4. Operating income has shown an upward trend, with the company generating $114.3 billion in 2023 compared to $66.3 billion in 2020.
5. Net income has also been increasing annually, reaching $97 billion in 2023 from $57.4 billion in 2020.
6. Earnings per share (EPS) have shown a slight variation over the years, with diluted EPS ranging from $3.28 in 2020 to $6.13 in 2023.
7. The company has been able to maintain a stable number of outstanding shares, indicating no significant dilution of ownership.
8. Overall, the financial performance of the company in terms of revenue and income has been positive, showing growth and profitability.

Revenue estimate

The analysts' estimates for the future quarterly and annual sales of the company indicate a moderate growth trend.

For the current quarter ending on June 30, 2024, the average estimate is $77,545,400,000, representing a 2% increase from the same period last year. The number of analysts providing estimates is 25.

Looking at the next quarter ending on September 30, 2024, the average estimate is $85,501,800,000, with a sales growth of 3% compared to the previous year. The number of analysts remains at 25.

For the current fiscal year ending on September 30, 2024, the average estimate is $357,772,000,000, showing a 1% growth from the previous year. The number of analysts providing estimates has increased to 38.

In the following fiscal year ending on September 30, 2025, the average estimate is $380,772,000,000, indicating a more significant growth of 6% from the current fiscal year. The number of analysts remains at 38.

Overall, the estimates suggest a steady growth trajectory for the company's total revenues in the upcoming quarters and years, with a slightly more optimistic outlook for the next fiscal year.

Growth estimates

Based on the consensus estimates provided, we can draw the following conclusions regarding the growth rate of the company for different periods:

1. Current Quarter: The estimated growth rate for the current quarter is 5.6%.
2. Next Quarter: The estimated growth rate for the next quarter is 4.8%.
3. Current Year: The estimated growth rate for the current year is 7.5%.
4. Next Year: The estimated growth rate for the next year is 9.7%.
5. Past 5 Years (per annum): The average growth rate for the past 5 years is 20.1% per annum.
6. Next 5 Years (per annum): The estimated growth rate for the next 5 years is 11% per annum.

These estimates suggest a positive growth trend for the company, with a slightly lower growth rate expected in the near term compared to the historical average. However, the company is still projected to experience solid growth both in the short term and over the next 5 years according to analyst consensus.

Price target

The analysts' forecast for the future price of the security is as follows:
- Low: $164
- High: $250
- Median: $200
- Average: $202.26
- Current price: $191.57
- Currency: USD

Based on these forecasts, we can see that the analysts have a range of opinions on the future price of the security, with the majority clustering around the median and average values. The current price is below both the median and average forecast, suggesting that there may be potential for growth according to the analysts' predictions.

Balance Sheet

These are balance sheets. Here are the conclusions:

1. The total assets have been increasing over the years, reaching $365,725,000,000 in 2018.
2. Current assets include cash, inventory, and receivables, with cash and cash equivalents showing fluctuations.
3. Non-current assets consist mainly of investments and advances, with a significant portion in machinery, furniture, and equipment.
4. Total liabilities have also been increasing, with the highest value of $302,083,000,000 in 2022.
5. Current liabilities include short-term debt, accounts payable, and other current liabilities.
6. Non-current liabilities comprise long-term debt and other non-current liabilities.
7. Shareholders' equity has shown variations, with the highest value of $90,488,000,000 in 2019.
8. Common stock and retained earnings are the major components of shareholders' equity.
9. The company seems to be investing heavily in non-current assets, which could be a strategy for long-term growth.

Cash Flow 💶

This is the cash flow statement. Here are some conclusions we can draw from the data:

1. The company's free cash flow has been fluctuating over the years, with the highest value in 2022 and the lowest in 2020.
2. Operating cash flow has generally been increasing year over year, indicating improved operational efficiency.
3. The company has been consistently paying interest and income taxes, with varying amounts each year.
4. The end cash position has also been fluctuating, reaching its highest value in 2020.
5. Financing activities show a pattern of common stock repurchase and issuance, as well as long-term debt issuance and payments.
6. Investing activities reflect significant amounts related to the sale and purchase of investments, with varying levels each year.
7. Overall, the company seems to be managing its cash flow effectively, with a focus on operational efficiency and strategic investments.

Earnings estimate

Based on the analysts' estimates for future quarterly and annual earnings per share:

1. For the current quarter ending on June 30, 2024, the average estimated EPS is $1.23, with a low estimate of $1.18 and a high estimate of $1.26. This shows an improvement compared to the EPS of $1.17 from the same quarter a year ago.

2. For the next quarter ending on September 30, 2024, the average estimated EPS is $1.42, with a low estimate of $1.33 and a high estimate of $1.51. This also indicates growth from the EPS of $1.35 in the same quarter last year.

3. Looking at the estimates for the current year ending on September 30, 2024, the average estimated EPS is $6.10, with a low estimate of $5.95 and a high estimate of $6.41. This reflects an increase from the EPS of $5.67 from the previous year.

4. For the next year ending on September 30, 2025, the average estimated EPS is $6.69, with a low estimate of $5.92 and a high estimate of $7.31. This suggests a slight improvement from the EPS of $6.10 in the previous year.

Overall, the analysts' estimates show a positive outlook for the company's earnings per share, with expected growth in both the quarterly and annual results over the specified periods.

MACD of KNOS

This is not investment advice. Remember to verify the information provided here.

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Contacts

Telephone number

+48 32 700 81 66

Email address

[email protected]

Company information

Honey Payment S.A. at ul. Nowy Swiat 33/13, 00-029 Warsaw, Poland, Register number KRS 0000895826, share capital in the amount of 201.4 mln PLN, NIP 5252859204, REGON 388760204