Analysis Kenedix Retail REIT Corporation (3453)
6/5/2024
Analysis of Kenedix Retail REIT Corporation (3453)
Kenedix Retail REIT Corporation (symbol: 3453) has been showing some fluctuations in its stock price recently. The Relative Strength Index (RSI) values have been hovering around the 30-50 range, indicating a somewhat neutral to slightly bearish sentiment in the market.The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) indicator has been negative, suggesting a bearish trend. However, it's worth noting that on October 17th, there was a positive MACD histogram, indicating a potential shift in momentum.
The Moving Average (MA) indicator has been above the closing prices, which could indicate a bearish trend. The Simple Moving Average (SMA), Exponential Moving Average (EMA), and Weighted Moving Average (WMA) have been relatively close to each other, showing consistency in the trend analysis.
Overall, Kenedix Retail REIT Corporation seems to be experiencing some bearish pressure, but with some signs of potential reversal. Traders and investors may want to closely monitor the RSI, MACD, and moving averages for further insights into the stock's performance.
Main Statystic ðŸ§
The data provided includes financials, stock statistics, valuation metrics, stock price summary, and dividends and splits information for a specific company.In terms of financials, the company has strong cash flow with operating cash flow at $110.56 billion and levered free cash flow at $84.73 billion. The balance sheet shows a total cash of $67.15 billion, total debt of $104.59 billion, and a current ratio of 1.037. The profit margin is 26.31%, with a return on assets of 22.07% and return on equity of 147.25%. The fiscal year ends on September 30, 2023, and the most recent quarter reported is March 31, 2024.
Looking at stock statistics, the company has a short ratio of 1.53, with 99.29 million shares shorted out of 15.31 billion float shares. The stock has a beta of 1.264, with a 52-week low of $164.08 and a high of $199.62.
Valuation metrics show a PEG ratio of 26.32, forward P/E of 26.32, and trailing P/E of 29.59. The enterprise value is $2.95 trillion, with a market capitalization of $2.92 trillion. The stock is priced at a price-to-book ratio of 39.34 and a price-to-sales ratio of 7.65.
In terms of stock price summary, the 50-day moving average is $176.26, the 200-day moving average is $181.04, and the 52-week change is 6.85%.
Lastly, dividends and splits information show a payout ratio of 14.93%, with a forward annual dividend rate of $1 and a trailing annual dividend rate of $0.97. The company has a 5-year average dividend yield of 0.73% and a forward annual dividend yield of 0.53%. The last split date was on August 31, 2020, with a 4-for-1 split factor. The next dividend date is on May 16, 2024, with an ex-dividend date on May 10, 2024.
Income statement 💸
Here are the revenue figures for the company over the past four fiscal years:1. Fiscal Year 2023: Sales of $383,285,000,000
2. Fiscal Year 2022: Sales of $394,328,000,000
3. Fiscal Year 2021: Sales of $365,817,000,000
4. Fiscal Year 2020: Sales of $274,515,000,000
From these figures, we can observe the following trends:
- The company experienced a decrease in sales from FY 2022 to FY 2023.
- Prior to the decrease, there was a consistent growth in sales over the previous years.
- The highest sales figure was recorded in FY 2022.
These trends indicate fluctuations in the company's revenue performance, with a notable decline in the most recent fiscal year.
Balance Sheet
These are balance sheets. Here are the conclusions:1. The total assets have been increasing over the years, reaching $365,725,000,000 in 2018.
2. Current assets have fluctuated but generally show an increasing trend.
3. Non-current assets have also been increasing steadily.
4. Total liabilities have been increasing, with a slight decrease in 2019.
5. Shareholders' equity has been increasing over the years.
6. The company has been investing more in non-current assets and retaining earnings to strengthen its equity position.
Cash Flow 💶
This is a cash flow statement. Here are some conclusions we can draw from the data:1. The company's free cash flow has been fluctuating over the years, with the highest value in 2022 and the lowest in 2020.
2. Operating cash flow has generally been increasing, indicating improved operational efficiency.
3. The company has been consistently paying interest and income taxes, with varying amounts each year.
4. The end cash position has also been fluctuating, reaching its highest value in 2020.
5. Financing activities show significant changes each year, with large amounts being spent on common stock repurchase and debt issuance.
6. Investing activities also vary, with notable amounts spent on the sale and purchase of investments, as well as capital expenditures.
7. Overall, the company's financial activities seem to be dynamic, with a focus on managing cash flow, investing in growth, and returning value to shareholders.
Earnings estimate
Based on the analysts' estimates for future quarterly and annual earnings per share:1. For the current quarter ending on June 30, 2024, the average estimated EPS is $1.23, with a range from $1.18 to $1.26. This shows an improvement compared to the EPS of $1.17 from the same quarter a year ago.
2. For the next quarter ending on September 30, 2024, the average estimated EPS is higher at $1.42, with a range from $1.33 to $1.51. This is also an increase from the EPS of $1.35 in the same quarter last year.
3. Looking at the estimates for the current fiscal year ending on September 30, 2024, the average EPS is projected to be $6.10, ranging from $5.95 to $6.41. This indicates growth from the EPS of $5.67 in the previous fiscal year.
4. For the next fiscal year ending on September 30, 2025, the average estimated EPS is $6.69, with a range from $5.92 to $7.31. This forecast suggests a slight improvement from the EPS of $6.10 in the current fiscal year.
Overall, the analysts' estimates show a positive outlook for the company's earnings per share, with expected growth in both the short term and the long term.
Revenue estimate
The analysts' estimates for the future quarterly and annual sales of the company indicate a moderate growth trend.For the current quarter ending on June 30, 2024, the average sales estimate is $77,545,400,000, representing a 2% increase from the same period last year. The number of analysts providing estimates is 25.
Looking at the next quarter ending on September 30, 2024, the average sales estimate is $85,501,800,000, with a sales growth of 3% compared to the previous year. Again, 25 analysts have contributed to these estimates.
For the current fiscal year ending on September 30, 2024, the average sales estimate is $357,772,000,000, showing a 1% growth from the previous year. The number of analysts providing estimates for the annual sales is 38.
In the following fiscal year ending on September 30, 2025, the average sales estimate is $380,772,000,000, indicating a more significant growth of 6% from the previous fiscal year. The number of analysts remains at 38.
Overall, the estimates suggest a steady growth trajectory for the company's sales in both the short term and the long term.
Growth estimates
Based on the consensus estimates provided by analysts, we can draw the following conclusions regarding the growth rate of the company for different periods:1. Current Quarter: The estimated growth rate for the current quarter is 5.1%.
2. Next Quarter: The estimated growth rate for the next quarter is 5.2%.
3. Current Year: The estimated growth rate for the current year is 7.6%.
4. Next Year: The estimated growth rate for the next year is 9.7%.
5. Past 5 Years (per annum): The average annual growth rate for the past 5 years is 20.1%.
6. Next 5 Years (per annum): The estimated average annual growth rate for the next 5 years is 9.7%.
These estimates suggest a positive growth trend for the company, with a slight decrease in growth rate from the past 5 years to the next 5 years. However, the company is still expected to maintain a healthy growth rate in the upcoming periods.
Price target
The analysts' forecast for the future price of the security is as follows:- Low: $164
- High: $275
- Median: $201.43
- Average: $204.58
- Current price: $192.25
- Currency: USD
Based on these forecasts, we can see that the analysts have a range of opinions on the future price of the security, with the majority clustering around the median and average values. The current price is below both the median and average, suggesting that there may be potential for growth according to the analysts' forecasts.
Earnings
The company's results for the most recent quarter ending on April 30, 2025, have not been provided yet. The previous results from February 27, 2025, were related to the transfer agent. The results from January 31, 2025, were released after hours. The results from October 31, 2024, were not supplied at a specific time. The results from August 1, 2024, showed an earnings per share (EPS) estimate of 1.32.This is not investment advice. Remember to verify the information provided here.
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